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Mr Raider

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  1. Predict The Playoffs 1-16 Seeding

    I go back and forth. In the recent past I kind of preferred the 1-16 format because you'd see the 9 and 10 seed from the West getting left out when they would be like the 7 seed in the East. This year though the 16 teams would still be 8 from the East and 8 from the West. If for whatever reason this would be the easiest way to make some form of the playoffs happen I would definitely take it. And it could make for some interesting match ups.
  2. Predict The Playoffs 1-16 Seeding

    There's been talk of the playoffs this year being a 1-16 seed tournament regardless of conference due to Covid-19. If that were to happen how do you guys think the playoffs would play out? Any teams get a benefit from that with the current standings? Any team at a disadvantage? Overall feelings with the idea. And finally, predictions for the playoffs if it were to go down like this. As of today it would look like this
  3. Last Years FA Studs and Duds

    For the Raiders... Trent Brown got a lot of money, highest paid OT type money, which is hard to live up to, but he played at a pro bowl level on the right side. He was downright dominant at times. But he was banged up for a small stretch of the season. Still having him is a big boost to an OL that was very good last year and should continue to be very good for the next couple. Lamarcus Joyner on the other hand was terrible. He's among the top 5-10 paid safeties and I would assume among the highest paid nickel corners in the entire NFL and he was garbage. I'm truly not sure how much that falls on him and how much falls at playing him in the slot when most Rams fans said he was a good safety that could play the slot sometimes. The staff seems to want to keep him there this season and a lot of people think there's a decent chance he gets beat out by Amik Robertson at some point during the season. That could be because Robertson was a guy a lot of people liked as a nickel corner this year, but also because we just don't have any faith in Joyner. I'll be shocked if he isn't cut after this upcoming season when it's easy to do so.
  4. Onside kick versus 4th and 15

    Yeah it makes no sense. The value of possibly getting the ball back to go up 14-0 just isn't anywhere near worth the risk of giving the ball to a clearly inferior team already in range to get points. The Chiefs offense is downright ridiculous, but even as good as they are they are going to have a tough time converting 4th and 15. Picking up 15 yards on one play when the other team knows that you need 15 yards in one play is very very difficult. Even if you're playing a bad team. It's one play. There's just no reason you would take the risk to POSSIBLY go up 2 scores early in the game immediately, and it's not like the conversion ends in points so you would still have to have a successful, long drive. You kick the ball and force that clearly inferior team to sustain a drive to get points. Not gift wrap them some if you fail so you can maybe go up 2 scores if you can convert a low percentage play. The better your team is, and the worse the team you're playing it incentives you less to try something like that. And even a bad team playing a team better than them where the idea of jumping out to an early two score lead sounds enticing and is more important, you still just simply can't risk attempting something like that and shooting yourself in the foot if you fail on a play that probably fails 80+% of the time. I just can't see any scenario where teams would try and use the 4th and 15 unless they're in desperation mode. Yeah the idea of getting the ball back and possibly scoring without the opponent touching the ball sounds fantastic, but you still have to weigh that benefit against the likelihood you fail, and unless you're trailing late in the game that risk/reward just doesn't match up to jump out to a bigger lead. Particularly if you're a good team with confidence in your ability to score consistently. No reason not to trust your defense to get the ball back, and even if they can't if you have an elite offense no reason to not trust you'll continue to score without having to open up the door for quick, easy points to the opposition based on your ability to execute one long play.
  5. The Jets and Jamal Adams

    It's also easy to see why Adams would feel like he deserves considerably more than someone like Collins though. Yeah they are both safeties and both best skill is probably their ability to dominate in the box. But Adams brings considerably more to the table in coverage IMO. He isn't a turnover machine but Collins really only had that one year where he had a handful of picks. If Collins is worth 14 and has a similar skill set but not quite as elite in the box, and a step or two below in coverage as well I can see why someone of Adams skill set would want more than a million or two more, but the problem is, he isn't on the free agent market. He wants a new deal while still having years left, even if he gets it in that case you are usually going to be sacrificing a few million bucks of what you could get on the market for the immediate long term security. And the NFL hasn't totally set separate markets for more pure FS ball hawks and guys who play their best in the box but aren't a liability in coverage. It helps the more you can cover, but unless you are downright elite at it in addition to what you can do in the box it's hard to argue just where the value is to either of those situations. Just the nature of having so few safeties that can cover and play like a LB in the box.
  6. The Jets and Jamal Adams

    I definitely agree. Like I said I personally believe that safety is a very underrated, key piece to any good to great defense, but I don't value pure in the box more traditional strong safeties that much. A guy can be at his best playing in the box and functioning as a small LB, but they still need to be at least solid at covering backs and tight ends for me to consider giving them a huge deal. It's just too easy to exploit a guy who's only real value is playing safety with the coverage of a traditional LB. Obviously it's rare to find any guy that can play as a total stud in the box and have unlimited range and play at a high level as a single high safety, so you don't need to be that, even some of the elite guys can't do both of those things at the same, elite level. But you can't be a total liability in coverage to deserve to be paid like the top safety in the game. I tend to value coverage and range in my safeties in todays game most, but I'll definitely take a guy that can dominate in the box and can get me tackles in the backfield and sacks if he's at least solid in coverage. Particularly if he's a total tone setter, vocal guy capable of being the leader of my defense. Adams to me is at his best playing in the box, downhill, and attacking... He's an elite safety at that IMO, but I haven't watched him and felt like he was a liability or easily picked on if asked to cover backs and tight ends and cover ground over the top. Collins is a good comparison in terms of ability in the box but not nearly as fluid in coverage, and that's a huge difference in value and what they should be paid. Even if Adams isn't as elite in coverage, he's still very good, and finding that is super rare and why I would be willing to pay him the money of top safety in the NFL and why it would be hard for me to pull the trigger on trading him for less than a fantastic offer. A good NFL defensive coordinator shouldn't have a hard time putting out a defense capable of getting the most out of a guy like Adam's skill set. Assuming the talent on the rest of the defense isn't totally bare, but that's every position in football.
  7. Player Appreciation Thread

    I just posted the PFF video on my Facebook saying how underrated JJ is and that he should have won ROTY. I hope he can stay healthy and we can keep him fresh with a consistent secondary rusher capable of being productive for a handful of snaps each week. If we can I truly believe Jacobs will insert himself into the elite RB's in the NFL conversation. When you watch him play its so easy to see just how naturally talented he is. Big, strong, super powerful, great wiggle for a guy that isn't scat back size, fantastic vision, always falls forward, capable of winning on inside gives and getting to the outside and gashing teams. And although he was under used in this area and had a couple concentration drops he has nice, soft hands. I expect us to make it a real effort to get the ball in his hands more in the passing game this season. Overall I just expect a fantastic, highly productive year. I see the vision for this offense and it seems obvious they want to build it around Jacobs (a great idea to try and slow down the Chiefs high powered offense and a weakness to the running game), with explosive big play wideouts that can score fast, with Waller being the reliable, consistent force over the middle. I can see Jacobs having 1300ish yards, 10 TD'S, and average around 4.7 a carry. Plus I think his biggest improvement will be in the passing game where I can see him catch 40-50 balls. Jacobs is probably who I am most excited to see this year and in recent memory in general, and one of the few I have/had the most confidence in playing at a super high level over the past 10-15 years.
  8. Rank every division’s QB situations: AFC East

    It's hard to say with Tua and Stidham... They just haven't played so you have to base it on how you viewed them as prospects and how much you trust the coaching staff and supporting talent. So based off talent and my belief of the guys that haven't started I would have them listed by most talented as such Dolphins - I absolutely love Tua as a prospect. The injury history is worrisome, and would have gave me some pause drafting him in the top 5, but I'm not a doctor, nor do I have access to any of the inside information on his current health. So strictly speaking on talent I believe Tua is the cream of the crop in the AFC East at the moment, and believe there's a very good chance that he's the Dolphins new franchise QB for the next decade and will keep them competing for the division with regularity. The OL still has some question marks so I would likely want to give them some time to gel and some time to develop before throwing Tua out there, but Fitzpatrick is a great option for something like that. I also really like Flores and thought he did a good job last season all things considered with what he had to work with. He kept the team fighting. I think the Dolphins take a step forward behind a defense that won't be elite but good, and an offense that relies on the run game and a nice stable of backs and let Tua be eased in and only asked to make a few big plays. Parker was solid last year, but I can't say I trust him or any of the wideouts on the roster, but there is upside. Jets - I'm a big believer in Sam Darnold. I think he has immense talent and some things you just can't teach from a intangible aspect. He has great size, a good arm, he's athletic enough to buy time and move the pocket, and he has shown real accuracy at all stages of the field, but hasn't put together enough accuracy and the total package consistently yet. Which isn't a HUGE concern for me from a young player going into his third year, especially when he missed time with something so random as mono and was playing behind 5 blocking dummies essentially. My problem though is I don't love his supporting cast. And I mainly mean the coaching staff, I am just not a believer in Gase. I believe there's a real possibility that he holds Darnold back. He also doesn't have a ton to work with at WR though I was very high on Mims and believe he can become a low end one or high end two and could be Sam's favorite target, I don't think it will be enough of an immediate impact. I do think the OL will be improved and that will help Darnold and help Bell get back on track, but I'm not ready to say they will be a good OL. Bills - I honestly have no idea what to make of Josh Allen. Sometimes I watch him and I think that guy is clearly destined to be a franchise QB long term, and sometimes I watch him and think there's no way the inaccuracy and questionable decision making doesn't grow thin at some point, especially on a team I think is super talented and well rounded. He still has yet to throw for even 275 yards in a game if I remember right. Obviously stats aren't everything but in this era you have to be able to win with your arm from the QB position. His athleticism is a great plus though and can be a real asset to a team set up to have a good running game, solid OL, some explosive big play WR and a smothering defense. I think Allen is my 3rd on the list of who I believe is the most talented QBs in the division, but I believe he is in the best situation conducive to success. Diggs is a fantastic fit for him as a guy that can make explosive, game changing plays, and pushes all the other wideouts down to a more natural fit on the depth chart. I also believe that Singletary and Moss will form a fantastic duo at RB with young, fresh legs that can take over games by themselves. Patriots - I just never thought much of Stidham in college. I watched him a decent amount in college being a fan of an SEC team, and he was a fine, solid, college QB. But I never looked at him and thought there's a guy I am sure will become a high level starter in the NFL. I trust Belichick as a coach so that is a big boost in his favor, but overall I just don't think he's super talented. He's an ok athlete, decent enough arm, has some solid short accuracy but isn't anywhere near consistent with it. I do think he'll be playing for a coaching staff that can scheme him some success, so he likely won't be a total train wreck, but I don't see the Patriots winning many games because of Stidham. He'll likely just be asked not to lose them and make the occasional play and hope the defense can be close to what they were last year. The problem is they have lost some key contributors and haven't added much in the way of guys I expect to make an immediate impact and nobody on their offense really strikes fear in me. I liked Harry coming out and there's reason to be hopeful for a nice second year jump after missing a lot of time last season, but only so much can be expected. James White is a consistently good pass catching back I like. And I believe Sony can still be a very very good NFL RB, but he seemed to enter Bill's dog house last season so he really needs to step up. I just don't see an overall situation that lends itself to a ton of high level production from the QB position. Although he did look good in the preseason last year that just isn't enough for me to be considered sold. That's how I would list it on talent. My list for which guy/team do I think will have the most success from the QB position for the upcoming season would be 1. Bills 2. Jets 3. Dolphins 4. Patriots And if I believed Tua was going to start from day one I would probably put the Dolphins ahead of the Jets only because of their lack of weapons and my lack of belief in the coaching staff to adequately adjust and scheme up some success at a high level from the talent they do have. The only guy I would be totally shocked if they had a breakout year relative to their expectations (IE Tua being ROTY and Darnold/Allen becoming pro bowl caliber players) would be Stidham. I can invasion the Patriots as a team being successful but I can't convince myself that would be because of high level QB play. And I also wouldn't be shocked if Tua doesn't play as much as fans hope, and Allen and Darnold fail to take a step forward and leave the Bills really questioning their QB position long term on a team I think is good, consistent QB play away from making some real noise, and the Jets having to decide just how much fault was Gase's and who is the right man to come in and get the most out of Darnold. Though I predicted the Bills to win 11 games so obviously I am currently leaning more towards Allen taking the next step. I just really like that team and coaching staff top to bottom.
  9. Yeah, I mean reading the case for him in this thread I could see how/why someone thinks he's deserving or how he gets in to the hall. But I don't think he's anywhere close to a lock. And if I'm looking back at lists of guys that should be in the HOF and see Talib listed having still not got in he won't be one of those guys that I think how is he not in there. And I am not a huge fan of Talib, mostly just because of his time playing for a team that is a huge rival to my favorite team. But I am usually pretty good at keeping that bias aside when talking about the HOF. There's plenty of Raider rivals I have argued belong in or thought they were an easy choice. I don't think my feelings towards Talib the person/player have anything to do with it besides the fact that I just don't think he was a good enough player. He's classic hall of very good player IMO. But I'm sure there are guys with comparable stats, length of time played, and accolades that one can say if this guy is in Talib deserves to be in. I just simply think there's quite a few guys that wouldn't be in my version of the HOF. But I would have it a little more exclusive than the current NFL HOF.
  10. This I wouldn't mind, but you don't change the name of the trophy that's synonymous with winning the super bowl for like 50 years. You can consider Bill the greatest coach of all time if you'd like, but his status as the greatest coach at the time (and maybe still today) is not the only reason why Lombardi had the trophy named after him. It's also the impact he had on turning the game into the most popular sport in the world, it's beyond just his skill its his cultural and historical impact on the sport. At best you have this conversation after he's retired and been away for a couple years. Just seems wrong to name the ultimate prize after a guy that still currently coaching lol.
  11. The Jets and Jamal Adams

    Almost every team in recent memory that has won the super bowl has had pro bowl caliber safety play. Last year the Chiefs have Mathieu. Patriots have had McCourty for all of their recent super bowl wins. The Eagles had Malcolm Jenkins The Broncos had TJ Ward who was a pro bowler around that time I believe. The Seahawks had 2, though obviously different type of players in Earl Thomas and Kam Chancellor. The Ravens had Ed Reed, even at his advanced age was still one of the better safeties in the game. The Giants had Antrel Rolle. The Packers had Nick Collins. The Steelers obviously had Troy P. Some say it's a devalued position, and maybe, but I personally think it's an incredibly underrated position in terms of how important it is. A great safety by its might not be as important as an edge rusher, but a safety that can play over the top, play like a mini LB in run support, cover backs and tight ends, and make some plays in the backfield, makes a WORLD of difference in terms of turning an average defense into a good one and a good defense into an elite one. And obviously those guys vary from just how talented they were, but they range from pro bowl caliber that year or close to it for the most part, to downright elite, all timers. And those teams certainly had other great players and some had positions that were more important or played a bigger part in the team success, but I think great safety play is a key to fielding a defense capable of being great and winning big games in todays era where there's more passing, less base defense, and more and more athletic guys at running back, WR, and TE. Adams to me seems like the easiest selection to the next group of young guys that turn into downright elite safeties. Every time I watch him I come away impressed. And I don't think pure coverage is his strongest attribute, but I haven't seen him and thought he was bad. And he brings so much more to the table, he's still incredibly young, and he seems determined to be great and a hard worker. I wouldn't just give him away. Now if he is asking to be paid in the ball park of elite pass rushers or something, I wouldn't pay that and if he won't budge I would trade him for a first and a day two pick because you would be lucky to get that (if everyone knows he won't budge on his contract demands). But if he just wants a contract making him the highest paid Safety, I'd feel comfortable paying that. I would probably try my best to play some hard ball and get him to play out this upcoming season with all the uncertainty around everything with Covid. Only the team and Adams knows if that's possible or if holding off a year will result in a holdout or a fractured locker room. History says it likely wont though and he would cave sooner than later, and be happy to take the contact next offseason. He just doesn't have a ton of leverage with how many years he has left and the franchise tag being around. But there are exceptions where it's turned ugly. Hard to way the risk/benefits to holding off paying him for another season.
  12. Onside kick versus 4th and 15

    Agree with every word. When reading the first couple paragraphs I was already replying that I agree but my only pause is the idea of a ticky tack penalty like DPI, holding, etc giving teams a first over a close call or bad call and not because they executed properly. But you touched on it. I think there could be a reasonable workaround for that small issue. Either way, possibility for a penalty or not, I still like the idea. The onside kick is just so random and recovering it usually takes luck or a blunder by the other team. And while I am aware it's the team's fault for being in the position to need an onside kick, I like the idea of a team being able to get back in because their offense executed and made a big play over a stroke of pure luck. 4th and 15 isn't some scenario where you have a strong chance of converting. I don't have the numbers but it has to be a very low percentage in terms of being converted. I won't hate it if they don't make the change. But I definitely like the idea. I think it could add some excitement, and I think it could make for some truly wild moments to help comebacks which are always fun (unless you're a fan of the team losing the lead lol).
  13. I'm not a huge Skip Bayless fan, but his barometer (or at least one of them) for does a guy belong in the HOF is, if he has to think twice about it, you aren't a hall of famer. I don't think that is necessarily a perfect way to determine it, but I like it more than the cliche, of can you tell the story of whatever sport without mentioning them. I have always been one that would prefer the HOF be more exclusive than it is at times. I personally wouldn't have any of Talib, Mathis, Holmes, Rivers, or Eli in the HOF. In that order would also be how I would put them in terms of furthest from the HOF to closest. Talib - I just never saw his talent or game as stand alone, HOF quality. I think he's a hall of very good type. When he was on he could certainly shut down the best of the best, but he also had a specific type of the top tier wideouts that he would dominate and a specific type that would give him trouble. In his best years where he was closest to being dominant he played under terrific coordinators that could scheme up elite defenses, played opposite another very good to borderline elite corner that fit him perfectly keeping him off of the smaller, shifter, quicker precious route runners that could give him trouble, and behind some elite pass rushers and overall dominant front sevens that made his job much easier. He was also a hot head that was prone to the occasional irrational mistake/action/play that hurt the team. Also had some off the field issues if I remember correctly. All of that to me means a guy with some really great seasons and at his best flashed HOF talent, but the total package just isn't there to put him in IMO. Mathis - Mathis was always one of my favorites to watch. He was in a perfect situation for much of his career playing in a dome, opposite Freeny (a sure fire HOFer IMO), on a defense designed to play fast and pin their ears back to take advantage of a Peyton Manning and then Andrew Luck led offense. But he was never the focal point of any defense he was on. Dwight was always the guy teams prioritized over him, and Sanders for a few years on the backend kept coaches up at night over Mathis. He had one year where I would consider him among the top 3-5 elite pass rushers. And that season was great. Plus I love all the forced fumbles. It's an underrated aspect of any defensive player. But he also wasn't a terrific run defender and could be a liability on that end. I grew up watching Mathis, and he was a very very good player. And I think he has a shot at getting in, he just wouldn't be in my HOF. Holmes - Even though he's second on the list, part of me wants to put him in. Because when he was on... I have seen very few better at playing the running back position. But him being on, whether by circumstance or fault of his own, just wasn't often enough to put him in IMO. I think you need more than 3 uber elite years to get in, or if you only have that you need to add some longevity by being a productive player for longer even if at a lower level. I feel like some more post season success would go a long way, and is why I would have TD in the HOF. The playoffs matter, big games matter, and while football is a team sport so it's never on just one guy, getting into the HOF isn't easy and it's not fair because not everyones situation is created equal. That's not to say a guy can't get in without post season success, especially at RB, but it helps your case if you put the team on your back for memorable moments in the biggest games. Whether he won a super bowl doesn't mean much to me because he wasn't much of a contributing factor. Rings themselves don't do it, you have to have played a part in getting there for the bonus to override such a short, but dominant career. Rivers - Another hall of very good IMO. Like all of these guys. Rivers at his peak was a fantastic QB. A few seasons of top 5 play at his position, and more top 10, but at the end of the day when you're a QB being discussed for the HOF I need more overall success. No championships, no super bowl appearances even, and although some seasons his supporting cast could have been better or injuries really hurt the team (and that happened to Rivers more than a lot of QBs I remember) they just never got over the hump, and he had some teams that were certainly super bowl caliber. I don't even have many memories of Rivers having great performances and was just outdone by an elite team (not to say it didn't happen). Teams win championships, not individual players, but the HOF should be reserved for the elite players, and elite, all time QB's just win at least a super bowl. He's got the longevity, the bulk stats, he seemed to be a good leader, but he just falls a little short because of the position he plays and lack of success at the highest level. It doesn't help that in his draft class there are 4 super bowls combined for the 2 other big QBs from his class and every other elite QB in his era got at least one (Brady, Manning, Brees, Rodgers). If he makes a super bowl or two with the Colts or manages to win one? I'd more than likely put him in. Manning - Kind of the opposite of Rivers in that he was never consistently near the top of the league in QB play but he stepped up huge and won when it counted. He has the bulk stats for sure. But he wasn't terribly efficient. He was prone to some jaw dropping bone head plays, he wasn't the most accurate, or have a cannon. And his teams outside of the two super bowl years weren't dominant. Even the super bowl years they weren't seen as a juggernaut behind their elite, franchise QB. The win over the undefeated Patriots is huge. It's a prime example of a guy stepping up in crunch time and making plays when the pressure is highest. I am a sucker for that. But the first super bowl was largely won because of a dominant performance by a defense, slowing down one of the best offenses ever. Regardless how much I love post season success and how heavily I way it, a couple of wins with the pressure being the highest doesn't overweigh your performance on the whole of your career. It makes for a great narrative which helps anyones HOF chance, but it's not enough to fit my personal HOF criteria. He is a Giants ring of honor type, he was a franchise QB, and a good one, sometimes even a little better. But he was never truly great for any length of time. And as much as I factor in post season success (particularly at his position) it can't be the only real HOF argument you hang your hat on. Suggs I would have in the HOF. I think he has enough of the bulk stats, enough of the accolades for the people that value that stuff above all else, he has a lot of post season success, played on some absolutely great defenses, and he had a lot of help around him for sure, but I do feel like there was a stretch of football where I would turn on games and just felt like I was watching one of the best all around edge players in the game. He wasn't among the elite pure pass rushers, but he was a very very good one capable of winning with speed, power, technique, hustle and will. He had a terrific motor. And he was incredibly versatile. And I think run defense is often overlooked by many for edge players and while I do agree its not the most important thing for an end, and the elite of the elite can even be poor at it and could get my HOF vote, I can't overlook that aspect when talking about Suggs. It was one of the great things he brought to the table. He also has the longevity of being a cornerstone piece of a defense capable of playing at the highest level of football in the game for a really long time. Suggs is the only guy on this list that I would personally have in the HOF if it was done my way. I think all but Holmes and Talib will have my stamp of approval as HOFers if we go simply off of what history says is that caliber of player based on who is already in..
  14. How draft classes is Mahomes worth?

    I agree with this sentiment as long as he is on his rookie contract (and perhaps even with an extension depending on just how much it is). I also agree that whatever it would take isn't something another franchise could conceivably justify giving up for him even if his play and value is worth it. However, in a hypothetical situation, I wouldn't trade him while under his rookie contract. If he signs an extension for 40+ million a year and a team wanted to offer me 3 FULL draft classes and the immediate draft class was coming from a team picking in the top 5 I would consider it. I believe you can win with Mahomes even on a huge contract but the margin for error is much slimmer. You're counting on Mahomes being able to mask a lot of problems and overcome a consistent lack of young talent being able to be retained and free agents brought in to help. Even then I would be hesitant to pull the trigger because he's just that good and the cap is rising plus veterans will take a discount to come play with a talent like him to try and win a championship. It's a move that could easily backfire in your face and get you fired if you miss on the next QB you draft badly and/or Mahomes goes on to win and produce at the same level he has to this point. But 3 is what it would take to make me give it real consideration. Anything less and it's no deal, the more added the more likely I would be to pull the trigger. I would also need to trust that Andy was going to be there to help develop the next QB if I'm the Chiefs in this scenario for the next 3-5 years at least, and there would need to be a QB or two that I really loved in the next draft or two that I thought was close to a sure fire franchise guy. If all of those stars aligned I could see myself pulling the trigger and trusting that the next guy I drafted could be a QB capable of winning it all (though you can't go in ever expecting to find Mahomes 2.0), and the advantage to having him for peanuts plus the additional cap space that would offer to resign my young talent and add talent through free agency plus 3 drafts of having multiple first, second, and third round picks that should be able to come in and contribute to a team capable of winning it all. Even with all of that considered it would be so hard to pull the trigger. He's the most talented QB we have seen in a long time, that has come in and played at a level you just never expect to find in their first two years starting and already won a super bowl. It's hard to move on from that for anything. If you do the trade off could be a dynasty if everything is done right and falls into place, but you could just as easily be trading away 10-15 years of consistent winning for lottery tickets that never amount to anything.
  15. 2nd year breakouts

    The obvious choice for the Raiders is Clelin Ferrell. He was the 4th overall pick last year and though he started off very poor he was dealing with injuries and an illness, plus being played out of position asking to rush from the 3 technique spot a lot early in the year. The final 5ish games he really turned it on and became more of the impact player we expected. With a couple of truly high end games. I think we see far more of that this year. I also think Jonathan Abram was mentioned and agree. He only played one game but in that game his presence was felt. He will have some coverage mishaps especially playing with a secondary full of young players, but I expect him to make a ton of splash plays. My true homer Breakout though is Trayvon Mullen. He was phenomenal for a rookie corner. He didn't start until week 5 or 6, but he hit the ground running. Almost everyone in our backfield got picked on, but Mullen was the exception. He provided sticky coverage, good awareness, and was very physical. A little grabby at times, but I think year 2 is one where he plays like a top 10-15 corner in the league. For my non Raiders I'm very excited to see Hollywood Brown and Jeffrey Simmons like others have mentioned. Montez Sweat and Brian Burns will both have years that put them in the conversation for top end young pass rushers in all the NFL. And I think Hockenson takes a big step for Detroit. Then again I thought Ebron was going to almost every year he was there. TJ just seems like the next guy that vaults himself into the tier just below Kelcie and Kittle as dominant tight ends that have a huge impact on productive offenses.