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mission27

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Everything posted by mission27

  1. Coronavirus (COVID-19) - 3rd try

    5/27/2020 MoL Scores: Methodology and disclaimer: MoL score is a simple metric for measuring rate of spread of the novel coronavirus within communities. The metric was developed by mission and TLO and has not been subjected to academic peer review. The MoL looks at a trailing average of daily new cases and compares this to trailing active cases within the community. These rankings do not represent the opinion of anyone other than mission and TLO and should not be taken as advice of any kind. Please note while the numbers themselves are objective calculations, smugness and Taylor Swift lyrics may factor into our commentary and decisions on tiers. The MoL reserves the right to make changes to this methodology at any time. Please follow all relevant governmental and/or WHO/CDC guidance. We will defeat this virus. "I forgot that you existed And I thought that it would kill me, but it didn't And it was so nice So peaceful and quiet" - Taylor Swift Smugness is as smugness does. Tier 1: Outbreak under control, safe to begin relaxing social distancing measures Tier 1 countries are pretty,... pretty... pretty good How to safely open up in Tier 1? Take a look at the MoL method for proper easing, otherwise known as the MoL public health cost benefit matrix. New Zealand: 0.0 (perfect score still!) France: 0.2 Netherlands: 0.4 Israel: 0.6 Belgium: 0.7 Italy: 0.9 UK: 1.0 Japan: 1.1 Portugal: 1.1 Spain: 1.2 Australia: 1.6 Switzerland: 1.7 USA: 1.9 Czech Republic: 2.0 Sweden: 2.2 Philippines: 2.8 Singapore: 2.8 South Korea: 2.8 Global: 3.0 Turkey: 3.0 Germany: 3.6 Austria: 4.1 Ireland: 4.1 China: 4.6 Hong Kong: 6.0 Tier 2: New case growth is minimal suggesting social distancing is working, likely a few weeks away from breaking into tier 1 Tier 2 countries aren't doing as well as Tier 1 countries, but eh, we'll give 'em a pass, why not! Especially since Larry doesn't want to get fatwahed again. Canada: 3.2 (big league, great job) Russia: 4.0 Denmark: 5.0 Tier 3: Countries in this group that are showing increased MoLs have the potential to go deep into the danger zones, but countries with falling MoLs may only be a couple of days from tier 2 status and may have already peaked in gross # of new cases These countries could really do a lot better if they followed common decency standards, like washing their hands or respecting wood Iran: 10.0 India: 10.4 Brazil: 11.0 Tier 4: Aggressive growth, still likely have not peaked in single day cases, and likely a week or two minimum from peak in deaths (however many of these countries are still slowing down) We feel very bad for the last Tier 4 country remaining on our list, the Mexico. Its like that time Funkhauser became an orphan at 60 (RIP Funkhauser). Mexico: 25.4 USA State Level MoLs Great job everyone, very good numbers. MoL Deaths Slight uptick in deaths today, as expected due to the holiday weekend backlog, but we remain about 54% below the all-time high which is great. Canada Great job @JBURGE New all-time low for Quebec, Ontario headed in the right direction, and the country just a few days away from Tier 1 as they start to open up. Wonderful. The MoL would like to thank everyone for their contributions to this important work including @ET80 @acowboys62 @dtait93 @Dome @naptownskinsfan @kingseanjohn @Malfatron @Shady Slim @malagabears @daboyle250 @vikesfan89 @ramssuperbowl99 @sdrawkcab321 @Nazgul @kingseanjohn @TwoUpTwoDown @Xenos @Nex_Gen @FinneasGage @TVScout @seriously27 @N4L and the others who love us so much We'd even like to thank @pwny @Glen and others for their critical attitude because of the attention it brings to the great work MoL is doing @TLO The message of this gif is that the MoL is signing out until tomorrow (although we reserve the right to **** on anyone who questions our authority on these matters)
  2. MLB could return by late May

    Theyre all LTBIFB
  3. Coronavirus (COVID-19) - 3rd try

    5/26/2020 MoL Scores: Methodology and disclaimer: MoL score is a simple metric for measuring rate of spread of the novel coronavirus within communities. The metric was developed by mission and TLO and has not been subjected to academic peer review. The MoL looks at a trailing average of daily new cases and compares this to trailing active cases within the community. These rankings do not represent the opinion of anyone other than mission and TLO and should not be taken as advice of any kind. Please note while the numbers themselves are objective calculations, smugness and Taylor Swift lyrics may factor into our commentary and decisions on tiers. The MoL reserves the right to make changes to this methodology at any time. Please follow all relevant governmental and/or WHO/CDC guidance. We will defeat this virus. "If you're horrible to me, I'm going to write a song about it, and you won't like it. That's how I operate." - Taylor Swift Today the USA saw a big drop in deaths, maybe partly due to Memorial day, while Canada hits a new low Tier 1: Outbreak under control, safe to begin relaxing social distancing measures Tier 1 countries are pretty,... pretty... pretty good How to safely open up in Tier 1? Take a look at the MoL method for proper easing, otherwise known as the MoL public health cost benefit matrix. New Zealand: 0.0 (perfect score!) France: 0.3 Netherlands: 0.4 Israel: 0.5 Belgium: 0.7 Italy: 0.8 UK: 0.8 Japan: 0.9 Portugal: 1.0 Spain: 1.3 Australia: 1.7 Switzerland: 2.0 USA: 2.0 Ireland: 2.1 Czech Republic: 2.2 South Korea: 2.4 Sweden: 2.4 Philippines: 2.7 Singapore: 2.8 Global: 3.0 Turkey: 3.0 Austria: 3.3 Germany: 3.5 Hong Kong: 5.3 China: 5.4 Tier 2: New case growth is minimal suggesting social distancing is working, likely a few weeks away from breaking into tier 1 Tier 2 countries aren't doing as well as Tier 1 countries, but eh, we'll give 'em a pass, why not! Especially since Larry doesn't want to get fatwahed again. Canada: 3.2 (another new all-time low, I expect them to be tier 1 by the weekend, great job) Russia: 4.0 Denmark: 5.1 Tier 3: Countries in this group that are showing increased MoLs have the potential to go deep into the danger zones, but countries with falling MoLs may only be a couple of days from tier 2 status and may have already peaked in gross # of new cases These countries could really do a lot better if they followed common decency standards, like washing their hands or respecting wood India: 10.4 Iran: 10.5 Brazil: 11.7 Tier 4: Aggressive growth, still likely have not peaked in single day cases, and likely a week or two minimum from peak in deaths (however many of these countries are still slowing down) We feel very bad for the last Tier 4 country remaining on our list, the Mexico. Its like that time Funkhauser became an orphan at 60 (RIP Funkhauser). Mexico: 25.5 USA State Level MoLs A little note on why this data sometimes diverges from Worldometer - it does not seem to include data from the US Military, VA Hospitals, or Navajo Nation because those numbers are reported by the federal rather than state government. While that's a very small percentage of cases there are major active outbreaks in Navajo Nation and several VA facilities. Because of this, the Worldometer numbers will tend to be a bit higher. I would look at this chart for state by state but focus on Wolrdometer for the overall US trend, although the difference between 1.8 and 2.0 is very small of course. MoL Deaths Deaths are now 54%!!! below the peak, less than half of April 21st. The last three days have been 3 of the 4 lowest death totals since late March. Some of this is likely due to the holiday so I'd expect we may plateau or even tick up a bit over the next week but still this is real serious progress to be excited about. Canada Great job @JBURGE Ontario finally with a good day after a string of records. Quebec flat for today, but still at about half the case count from a few weeks ago. I think we're well on our way to tier 1 status in a matter of days. The MoL would like to thank everyone for their contributions to this important work including @ET80 @acowboys62 @dtait93 @Dome @naptownskinsfan @kingseanjohn @Malfatron @Shady Slim @malagabears @daboyle250 @vikesfan89 @ramssuperbowl99 @sdrawkcab321 @Nazgul @kingseanjohn @TwoUpTwoDown @Xenos @Nex_Gen @FinneasGage @TVScout @seriously27 @N4L and the others who love us so much We'd even like to thank @pwny @Glen and others for their critical attitude because of the attention it brings to the great work MoL is doing @TLO The message of this gif is that the MoL is signing out until tomorrow (although we reserve the right to **** on anyone who questions our authority on these matters)
  4. MLB could return by late May

    Better than 0
  5. Coronavirus (COVID-19) - 3rd try

    Likelihood is it would eventually be brought under control through a combination of herd immunity and vaccines But we'll be a lot more ready 2nd time around tbh
  6. Coronavirus (COVID-19) - 3rd try

    And Maryland has actually made a fair bit of progress the last couple of weeks. You'd expect their numbers to track closely.
  7. Coronavirus (COVID-19) - 3rd try

    Its just odd that DC is so far behind the other major metros in getting this under control. I suppose Chicago arguably too although they've stabilized at least.
  8. Coronavirus (COVID-19) - 3rd try

    Virginia is a **** show. Lot more testing though which is good news.
  9. Coronavirus (COVID-19) - 3rd try

    Gotta keep pushing the envelope tbhwy
  10. Coronavirus (COVID-19) - 3rd try

    Interesting, wonder if similar stuff is happening elsewhere tbh
  11. Coronavirus (COVID-19) - 3rd try

    Pretty sure we're already in a second cold war tbhwy
  12. Coronavirus (COVID-19) - 3rd try

    Tbh lets hope this is the most serious pandemic of our lives, but yeah, something worse I could see people refusing to comply next time around
  13. Coronavirus (COVID-19) - 3rd try

    5/25/2020 MoL Scores: Methodology and disclaimer: MoL score is a simple metric for measuring rate of spread of the novel coronavirus within communities. The metric was developed by mission and TLO and has not been subjected to academic peer review. The MoL looks at a trailing average of daily new cases and compares this to trailing active cases within the community. These rankings do not represent the opinion of anyone other than mission and TLO and should not be taken as advice of any kind. Please note while the numbers themselves are objective calculations, smugness and Taylor Swift lyrics may factor into our commentary and decisions on tiers. The MoL reserves the right to make changes to this methodology at any time. Please follow all relevant governmental and/or WHO/CDC guidance. We will defeat this virus. "Turns out freedom ain't nothing but missing you" - Taylor Swift Today the MoL was yet again attacked but live to fight another day. Tier 1: Outbreak under control, safe to begin relaxing social distancing measures Tier 1 countries are pretty,... pretty... pretty good How to safely open up in Tier 1? Take a look at the MoL method for proper easing, otherwise known as the MoL public health cost benefit matrix. Israel: 0.4 Netherlands: 0.4 France: 0.5 Belgium: 0.8 Italy: 0.9 UK: 0.9 Japan: 1.0 Portugal: 1.0 Spain: 1.2 New Zealand: 1.3 Australia: 1.5 Switzerland: 1.9 USA: 2.0 South Korea: 2.2 Czech Republic: 2.2 Sweden: 2.3 Philippines: 2.5 Ireland: 2.2 Singapore: 2.8 Global: 3.0 Turkey: 3.0 Germany: 3.4 Austria: 3.8 Hong Kong: 5.3 China: 5.4 Tier 2: New case growth is minimal suggesting social distancing is working, likely a few weeks away from breaking into tier 1 Tier 2 countries aren't doing as well as Tier 1 countries, but eh, we'll give 'em a pass, why not! Especially since Larry doesn't want to get fatwahed again. Canada: 3.3 (new all time low, we may be pretty close to moving them into tier 1) Russia: 4.1 Denmark: 5.3 (Denmark is inflated because they close cases too quickly, we may need to move them into tier 1 before they hit the 3.0 mark) Tier 3: Countries in this group that are showing increased MoLs have the potential to go deep into the danger zones, but countries with falling MoLs may only be a couple of days from tier 2 status and may have already peaked in gross # of new cases These countries could really do a lot better if they followed common decency standards, like washing their hands or respecting wood India: 11.0 Iran: 11.0 Brazil: 12.6 Tier 4: Aggressive growth, still likely have not peaked in single day cases, and likely a week or two minimum from peak in deaths (however many of these countries are still slowing down) We feel very bad for the last Tier 4 country remaining on our list, the Mexico. Its like that time Funkhauser became an orphan at 60 (RIP Funkhauser). Mexico: 25.9 USA State Level MoLs Maryland cracks tier 1, but Virginia moves in the wrong direction with their worst day yet. Hmmmm. Interesting to see Louisiana struggling the last couple of days after seeming to have things under control, we will investigate. May be testing. MoL Deaths Deaths are now 49% below the peak, so about half what they were on April 21st. Lowest number of deaths since March. Nice job. Canada Great job @JBURGE... NOT. Great job Quebec though. Show those Ontario mounties how its done. The MoL would like to thank everyone for their contributions to this important work including @ET80 @acowboys62 @dtait93 @Dome @naptownskinsfan @kingseanjohn @Malfatron @Shady Slim @malagabears @daboyle250 @vikesfan89 @ramssuperbowl99 @sdrawkcab321 @Nazgul @kingseanjohn @TwoUpTwoDown @Xenos @Nex_Gen @FinneasGage @TVScout @seriously27 @N4L and the others who love us so much We'd even like to thank @pwny @Glen and others for their critical attitude because of the attention it brings to the great work MoL is doing @TLO The message of this gif is that the MoL is signing out until tomorrow (although we reserve the right to **** on anyone who questions our authority on these matters)
  14. Coronavirus (COVID-19) - 3rd try

    Based on state by state numbers, May 25th saw: - Lowest number of deaths since March 29th - Highest number of tests performed (and that's after correction of mixing viral and antibody tests) - Lowest % of tests coming back positive - 2nd lowest number of cases reported since March 27th Mondays are slow but still encouraging trend continues.
  15. Coronavirus (COVID-19) - 3rd try

    Oh yeah JW's are super nice. A step down from Four Seasons and St Regis tier, but I've found them to be just as nice as a Ritz Carlton often tbh. Hilton's copycat brand (Conrad) isn't quite as nice imo although still a quality hotel.
  16. Coronavirus (COVID-19) - 3rd try

    I have a weird thing about Omni hotels, idk why, just find them generally nicer than your average Marriott or Westin tbh. There aren't enough of them.
  17. Coronavirus (COVID-19) - 3rd try

    mission promises to wear a mask, unless ET's wife gets frisky and then all bets are off
  18. Coronavirus (COVID-19) - 3rd try

    Tbh I dont understand why they couldn't have just opened this pool bar at 25% capacity. If its not economically feasible that sucks, but its a reasonable request. Hopefully they got shut down by Houston PD and fined. I've always wanted to stay at that Omni btw.
  19. Coronavirus (COVID-19) - 3rd try

    Yep. Its not surprising either that the first long weekend after places started to slowly open up you have some cases of people not respecting the rules. Like you saw in that article though, Houston police are responding to these things as they pop up and I think over time they're going to get better at shutting these things down / business will figure out its not worth holding this kind of gathering because they'll get shut down. Its not going to be perfect but we'll do the best we can.
  20. Coronavirus (COVID-19) - 3rd try

    I wish the media wouldn't spend so much time highlighting this behavior, when the vast majority of people are not acting like this Clearly stupid though. Its like people didn't see what happened in Miami in March. No, you aren't likely to get sick outside on a hot day and you wont turn into New York City because of one pool party, but that doesn't make it smart behavior.
  21. Coronavirus (COVID-19) - 3rd try

    I'd like to know when people are making highly offensive assertions about TLO and I. But I agree with bucs and others, this discussion is not productive and going forward I'm not going to engage & will focus on posting about football, coronavirus, and smugness.
  22. Coronavirus (COVID-19) - 3rd try

    Its not worth feeding the troll. Yet again he is trying to steer this conversation to a place of personal attacks and rule breaking so that he can get this thread locked because he's mad nobody agreed with his takes. We should probably ignore him. My bad for even responding.
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