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ramssuperbowl99

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ramssuperbowl99 last won the day on November 21 2020

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  1. If we hit these numbers, assuming there are somewhere around 250 million eligible Americans, Pfizer account for 11%/month, Moderna would count for 8%/month, and J&J would be 8% in March, with a likely increase from there if they hit the 100M doses by June target. Weeks, not months, IMO.
  2. I mean by extension you can always decide to reset it and eat it if you have a rebuilding year, but fair enough.
  3. If Brees has a dead cap value of $X, and you borrow $X+$YMM from the next year, does it matter? No. Money is fungible. This is like taking a perpetual advance on your salary in a market with inflation. It's just smart.
  4. Then you borrow that money back and then some by using the cap space from the year after. I have no simpler way of explaining this than saying that in every single year, you will always be able to borrow more from the next year because the cap goes up.
  5. If the salary cap goes down, sure. So the next time there's a pandemic we can worry about it, but until then, this isn't true. Year N can always borrow from Year N+1.
  6. If they do release him, please make sure the title matches this one exactly. Maximum confusion.
  7. You can perpetually borrow in that future year. In year n, you push as much as you can to year n+1, in year n+1, you push to year n+2, etc. etc. As long as the NFL keeps making more money, there will be cap inflation and you come out ahead.
  8. Why? The salary cap inflates a bunch year over year. Every dollar in future years is less valuable, so you come out with greater total spending power.
  9. Yes, I haven't seen anything out that that shows people who have been infected can spread COVID, and I'd expect exactly the same logic to apply. Granted, you also expect it for re-infection, and there have been a few documented cases. I'm just saying I would expect any transmission to be negligible. Also not exactly the same thing, but I think Fauci/the CDC are also not speculating at all on the new variants, when that could do a lot to instill public confidence or relief. While they're a much more real threat than vaccinated transmission, we have vaccines getting dosed right now
  10. I don't say anything as a criticism of Dr. Fauci personally, and I hope my post isn't viewed as me turning on him or anything like that. I get what he's doing and I understand why he's doing it. My frustrations are with the situation he finds himself in, and more generally that scientists feel powerless to reassure people with 99.999% confidence because of how segments of the population react if the 0.001% happens. The guy has been through work stress that I can't even imagine this past year; I have nothing but empathy for him.
  11. I would expect that for rebuilding teams, but for win now teams I would expect more deals with a low year 1 cap number and a spike in year 2. Cap space is going to be at such a premium this year, teams will throw a second year on to distribute some of a hit to next year when it matters less.
  12. It's a 1 year blip, most large NFL contracts are spread out over multiple years, and the NFL salary cap has ridiculous inflation (> 5% yearly). Financially savvy teams will be able to limit the impact of this pretty well.
  13. This is all my opinion, since like you said, we don't have a similar study for Moderna. In general, I think the CDC, and I'll particularly call out Dr. Fauci, have really tried to combat the bad faith, anti-science subculture in America by only reporting what they can directly prove. I'm assuming part of this has been the reaction from that population to comments like the January, "don't wear masks" stuff that we still hear about. Anyone looking at that with a shred of intellectual honestly would realize the CDC's primary concern was making sure when someone's dad has a heart attack, his
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