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  1. AFC East is going to be the most exciting division, soon

    There's reasons to feel good about all 32 teams in the NFL. But I don't see enough of a critical mass to say the AFC East will get interesting anytime soon. Buffalo has a solid program. I'd say they're the safest bet of the bunch right now. Well-coached, some ascending guys on defense (Edmunds and Milano, Tre White, Oliver?), OL performs up to or over talent level on a year over basis. The combo of question marks at QB (I'm very bearish on Allen) and the skill positions just limits how good the imagination can see them being. 31st in offensive expected points contributed last season, 30th in points and 30th in yards. A strong defense won't be enough with offense like that. The Dolphins were right to pull the trigger on a teardown. But the fruit of the effort is really the guys they draft in the next 2 or 3 seasons. Hard to judge their rebuild without seeing more draft picks made. Right now they're in total asset collection mode. The best bet of the lot to make the playoffs to me is the definitely the Jets. They have the most mature, win-now roster of the group, with a clear potential identity on both sides of the ball (controlling LOS on defense with the 2 Williamses and a filled out front 7, moving the ball with Darnold). But Darnold really needs to take a step forward to make that happen. 29th in offensive expected points, 23rd in points, 29th in yards gained.
  2. Which teams improved/regressed the most on paper?

    The Pats project to regress, mostly due to age. Tom Brady is 42 now, not 41 Rob Gronkowski retired Trey Flowers left Patrick Chung is 31, not 30 Julian Edelman is 32, not 31 Devin McCourty is 31, not 30 Also of note: Trent Brown left, Jason McCourty (31), Marcus Cannon (31) For the Pats to offset this substantial aging to their core, they will need their 2nd year players (a bunch of whom were redshirted) and highly drafted rookies to step up.
  3. General Talk Thread

    Yeah, I think we just disagree on this one. Morris could defend well with his mind put to it, and is a great iso defender on the big scoring forwards, but he's inattentive and bad away from the ball. And offensively he was just another jump shooter on a team full of them. No activity as a cutter or moving off the ball, just hanging out at the 3pt line waiting. As for leadership, his leadership was largely like Kyrie's. Talk about how they need to be better but never do the dirty work on the court that would actually make them better. Everyone on that team expected someone else to do the dirty work, and it started from the top with Kyrie and Morris. Like I said, I think he's a good player. But he's more ego, jump shooting, and laziness away from the ball, on a team whose three problems are too much ego, too much jump shooting, and too much laziness away from the ball. IMO, the only scenario in which you would keep Morris is if you made a big AD trade. Because you have his bird rights and can pay tax to re-sign him, then maybe get his brother with the MLE. But I think both Kyrie and Morris need to go. EDIT: as a side note, its been something like half a decade since I was posting on this forum. I hope you've been well!
  4. General Talk Thread

    If I were Ainge, I'd let Marcus Morris walk and bring back Daniel Theis. Theis has performed well in green. Advanced stats smile upon him, he's active and can switch defensively. Morris is a solid NBA player, but he's all about getting his, and he doesn't fit a supporting role well. I'm not sure what external guys the Celtics could add if/when Kyrie walks. I like Satoransky from the Wizards but he's RFA.
  5. General Talk Thread

    Whether it's worth to trade both it is another question, but: 1) I would expect part of convincing Kyrie to stay is getting rid of them. 2) How would you make the money work otherwise? If Horford opts in, you can trade him and keep Brown/Smart. IF he'd play along which is a big if. And then you haven't solved the team's chemistry issues if you're trading the only guy who knows how to play with his teammates. And you know AD/Kyrie want to play with Horford. To keep Horford, you've got to combine Brown and Smart to match the money. Or Smart and Rozier via S&T combined, but that'd be tricky because 1) New Orleans has to actually agree to it 2) Rozier has to play along.
  6. General Talk Thread

    1) Theis is UFA 2) Baynes has an opt-out, and is likely UFA 3) To make the money match in a Davis trade, you need to send >$21M in salary to the Pelicans. So Tatum and Horford, unless you're willing to part with Brown and Smart instead of Horford I think the realistic AD/Kyrie scenario is this: 1) Give max extension to Kyrie 2) Trade Tatum, Brown, and Smart for AD 3) Re-sign Marcus Morris and Terry Rozier using bird rights 4) Backfill the bench with scraps. Hope Marcus can convince Markieff Morris to play here on the cheap AD-Horford-Morris-Hayward-Irving with Rozier-Morris #2 and whatever you can scrounge off the bench.
  7. Bucs draft OLB Anthony Nelson - SIGNED

    Yeah. Nelson was my favorite DL prospect in the class relative to the media projections of where they were ranked. When Chandler Jones was drafted, a lot of people (partly because of his long body type, partly because he was seen as not "speedy" enough, and partly because of the Patriots tendencies) assumed that he was supposed to be the next Richard Seymour and play 5-tech. But with Jones, there were flashes of speed-to-power in college where he looked like a terror off the edge. And the Pats cultivated that natural athleticism - he didn't get much bigger, he played with better bend more consistently and learned how to use his length to his advantage. Nelson is in the same boat, he gets pigeon-holed as a power player, but he flashes really great quickness and bend. I think a team that develops him as a base DE, and doesn't try to bulk him up and turn him into more of an interior player, will be rewarded.
  8. Bucs draft OLB Anthony Nelson - SIGNED

    I love this guy. Was hoping the Pats would snag him. Reminds me a bit of Chandler Jones. Nice get.
  9. Which was your favorite draft pick?

    I like Froholdt, WInovich, and Bailey a ton relative to where they were taken. Froholdt has played at a high level in the SEC. He has an NFL athletic profile. And on top of that, he's younger in football years than his American peers. Started playing OL in 2016. Winovich has been pigeon-holed a bit. He keeps getting comped to Rob Ninkovich because of the names/pigmentation but he's got a little Jamie Collins in him too. Nink was a down lineman first, linebacker second. Winovich flies around the field. Bailey has a huge leg, and SB aside, Allen has been very average throughout his career. They could upgrade at punter and the cost is minimal.
  10. Joejuan Williams-CB-Round 2, Pick 13 (45 overall)

    This. When the Pats restructured Gilmore's contract to free up cap room, they essentially committed to having him on the team one year longer.
  11. Things you like about your least favorite teams

    I don't really dislike any NFL teams much. Jets fans are pretty cool in my experience. Real football people usually. Its like the scene in The Matrix where Morpheus has the two pills. They could have chosen the blue pill if they just wanted to wear a jersey and eat chips with salsa. The Ravens under Ozzie are one of those teams where the names always change but the production is constant. I admire that about them. And Ed Reed is one of the 5 best defensive players I've ever seen play. I guess the rival with the least reason for me to like them is Miami.
  12. Definitely Greg Little or Kaleb McGary imo. They have question marks at LT. Wynn is unproven and coming off an injury. Cannon is older/injury prone/not cheap. Thuney is going to be a free agent. That way, they have two LT options - Little and Wynn. If Scar coaches up Little, Wynn can play LG, and they can let Thuney walk. All of that said, this is as close to an obvious trade down board as you'll get to me. Ideally you look for a team desperate to pick a QB with a 5th year option and harvest some draft picks for the trouble.
  13. 2019 Draft - Edge Rushers

    Emphasis on genetics. Nick is actually smaller than his dad and older brother. John was listed at 270 lbs, Joey is listed at 280 lbs. Some people are just gifted.
  14. 2019 NFL Combine

    Is there a results tracker out there? I used to follow a Google Sheets spreadsheet with the results but it's gone this year.
  15. Everybody panic! Good to see this forum is active still. Lots of familiar faces.