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  1. What is your REALISTIC expectation for this year?

    "Feels right" and "feels right for their ceiling" aren't the same thing. That's like saying playoffs "feels right", versus playoffs "feels right as a ceiling". Completely different meaning. Keenum hasn't proven all that much. He manned an offense loaded with talent with a good OC who's now a head coach. There are questions about every team in the west. You like to point to the flaws on the Raiders, but I can pick apart the other teams as well. We're at an impasse because of optimism, but I find it laughable that optimism makes me a "casual fan". Unknown leaves it open to interpretation. Stating an opinion grounded in my evaluation of players/scheme is just that. An opinion. I'd love to see you ground them in a lot of the rooks we drafted for example. Yes they're rooks. There were a ton of impactful rooks last year, and a lot of people called them out as booms. I.e. kamara, who I liked more than McCaffrey and 3rd best in the class. Hurst for example, I feel similarly about, BEFORE we draft him. Other teams may have also improved. I'm not underselling them. I think we have a shot this year to make some noise and removed some of the players holding this roster down (last years corners, Roberts, likely Nelson on most snaps, etc.). I"ll just leave it at that.
  2. Which Team(s) Got Worse This Offseason?

    All the coordinators and positional coaches I mentioned are worse than the prior staff? Seriously? Gruden aside, there's a lot that goes into coaching a team, mainly the coordinators/support staff. AFC West bias aside, I have a hard time believing you think our old staff is better than this one, when many of our now fired coaches haven't had much NFL success and these new ones have in the past.
  3. 2018 Free Agency Thread v2

    Breeland and Eli Rogers visiting! Hopefully we can offer Breeland something equivalent to/better than KC. We have 2.3 mil and that's not good, but I'm hoping we can cut some of the bodies to make space for him/Bowman.
  4. What is your REALISTIC expectation for this year?

    IIRC, you said 9-7 "if everything breaks right". So 9 wins doesn't "feel right", that's literally you backtracking, unless suddenly you think everything will "break right". Also, the offense doesn't need to be a top 5 scoring unit to be a good team. That's hyperbole. The defense better under Pagano, which would be impossible if there wasn't some talent and potential on the defensive roster. It's not a lost season defensively if that's what you're implying. Also, it's laughable that you think I'm discounting any other teams. I don't have time to delve into every team's offseason. I know the caliber of teams we're going against. The AFC West is pretty competitive, no matter what hype surrounds the Chargers, Broncos, and Chiefs. I also trust our qb situation far more than Mahomes/Keenum and that's a big advantage people fail to mention constantly. The Chiefs are without Alex Smith, who just had a career year from them. Nothing is settled in Denver re their quarterback and OL situation. The Chargers are a good team on paper, but they haven't been able to put it together early in seasons. There aren't overwhelming division favorites here like the NFC North, for example. This division is wide open.
  5. 2018-2019 NFL Season Predictions (Awards)

    Fair enough. I dunno though man, 4-12 is brutal for a team that actually has talent and a qb on the roster.
  6. What is your REALISTIC expectation for this year?

    Because I like the moves we've made? Because I've picked apart weaknesses on the roster that have been addressed? Because I said that Downing's offense was garbage and that there's talent on the roster offensively? No one is saying this team is perfect, but moves have been made aggressively to fix those spots. You can call them holes if you want, because some of the players are free agents/rookies, but I see reasons for optimism. For example, if I didn't like the players we drafted, I wouldn't be as optimistic. Jihad Ward for example, I thought was an awful pick. If we drafted him to play DT this year, I wouldn't feel as good as I do about Hurst, for example. Also, no team is without holes, even in the division. Every team has strengths and weaknesses. Obviously, the defense has question marks. No one's denying that. But there are reasons to believe it can improve. If you don't see massive upgrades on the staff, then I don't know what I can do to convince you that anything will work out with this team. The media is predicting 5-11/6-10, or 4th in the AFC West. I see a lot more reasons for optimism just based on the sheer weight of how terribly coached this team was last year, let alone all the holes on the roster last year. I'd rather have Gruden as a coach than JDR. Gruden's playcalling> Downings (this one is obviously a projection, but you can't seriously tell me that Gruden will be a worse playcaller than a rookie playcaller who couldn't even land a positional coaching job after we fired him) Paul Guenther>KNJ (this is obvious) Mike Trgovac>Jethro Franklin (this is even more obvious) Edgar Bennett>Rob Moore (this might be the most obvious) These guys are respected, proven coaches in this league at key positions. And I trust them to develop players and get more out of guys than the previous staff. Maybe that's Kool Aid.
  7. Where we took PJ Hall, although I like doubling up, I would have taken Derrius Guice or Isaiah Oliver. Where we took Brandon Parker, I would have taken Malik Jefferson. I'd stand pat on Kolton Miller. He was a reach, but we need a right tackle and he has very good athletic upside, even if his technique is a ways off.
  8. Top 10 NFL rookies that will exceed expectations?

    Ridley will have easily the best production as a rookie. He's a very good receiver prospect too. Safest receiver prospect since Cooper in 2015. Runs good routes, has deep speed. Emmanuel Sanders 2.0
  9. First Rookie Running Back to 1,200 yards rushing?

    Barkley may not have the OL for it. I can see him with an ungodly amount of receiving yards though. Guice has a very good shot at it IMO. He wasn't as good last year coming off of injury, but I think they're gonna feed him quite a bit because they're in win now mode over there. I'd say Guice gets like 250 carries and ekes it out.
  10. What is your REALISTIC expectation for this year?

    What kind of pieces/offense did Gruden have in Tampa compared to ours. Also, I don't think anyone can be worse than Downing last year. I remember guys who watch film, e.g. Louis Riddick calling Downings offense a joke. His spacing concepts were so bad that two receivers would always end up in the same place. Olsen can help him install the offense and hopefully has learned something from collaborating with McVay. In addition, Edgar Bennett will help the receivers learn the scheme, as Packers fans have had nothing but good things to say about him as a receivers coach.
  11. What is your REALISTIC expectation for this year?

    Nelson had a massive dropoff in speed from 2015 to 2016. Yeah obviously if Johnson drops off that much, we're screwed. I'm hoping the coaches know something we don't.
  12. Rams give Brandin Cooks 5 year extension

    I like Adams. I really do. But he needs to prove it more than he has to this point. He's a redzone threat for sure and is dynamic after the catch, but his numbers have been pretty mediocre for a guy being paid like a top 5 receiver (and I know what you will say and I don't disagree). Not saying he won't earn his deal, but the Packers are banking purely on what he CAN do. Yes, he will be the focal point and I anticipate jumps in yardage, etc. But a big part of that is that he's playing with arguably the most talented quarterback in the game. I may take major heat for this right now, but I can't really say Adams is a significantly better receiver than Amari Cooper, situation, talent, and production being factors, and my forum would eat me alive if our GM/me offered Amari Davante's deal right now. Cooks has produced every year since his rookie year and has consistently taken the top off of defenses and I think improved teams' run games as a result. I think I just value deep threats more in this league, as I think it opens up underneath passing so much. Yes, Cooks played with Brees and Brady, but I don't know if any qb elevates his receivers like Rodgers does. I have no doubt that Adams will outproduce Cooks with Rodgers as his qb vs. Goff, but I think right now, Cooks is the superior player.
  13. Rams give Brandin Cooks 5 year extension

    Re: packers fans above, if Adams is the point of comparison, this is a good deal. I'd rather have Brandin Cooks than Davante Adams, and I'm a big fresno state guy, and Adams went to my high school... I'd like to think this is a good deal for a guy like Cooks who can consistently take the top off a defense and is only 24 years old. He has room to grow as well...
  14. What is your REALISTIC expectation for this year?

    He IS old... but he was good in coverage last year, including man coverage. You don't have to trust him. 4-5 teams gave him offers and he chose ours. We have an excellent defensive staff that brought him in. If anything is a concern, it was his play in the run game... He's also in his 2nd year off the achilles, which always helps in regaining athleticism, which is part of the reason I want Bowman back as well.
  15. What is your REALISTIC expectation for this year?

    He's cheap and a short term commitment, is clearly aware on the field, and was good in coverage, while providing a vet presence to the young guys. You only have so many draft picks and I'm sure Gruden would have loved to upgrade the spot. He may override Reggie this time around next year. In the meantime, lets hope for a young guy to develop.