They have to beat LSU in order to get in. There's no way that the committee would take a two-loss non-conference champ. That's the only way Georgia gets in, and with the way LSU has been playing offensively I don't see that happening. Ohio State seems to be a shoe-in alongside LSU and Clemson. The fourth spot is really the only one that might be in consideration. A Tua-less Alabama team isn't going to be appealing, unless they look good in their last few games. Utah/Oregon probably stands to be the biggest beneficiary to this situation. Win and they're likely in. Somehow this breathes new life into Oklahoma, but they'll need some help. They need Alabama to look flat without Tua, and they need Oregon and/or Utah to look average. Oklahoma should get two more games against ranked opponents with Oklahoma State and a rematch against Baylor in the Big 12 championship.