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Everything posted by CWood21

  1. 2018 Free Agency - Prospects for GB

    No. You made a claim that the Packers needed a "fast" WR. I pointed out a WR that ran a 4.42 forty, and you're trying to spin it to fit your argument. How about Jeff Janis? The point I'm trying to make is just because you're "fast" doesn't make you any good. Troy Williamson? Darrius Heyward-Bey? So fast, yet awful.
  2. 2018 Free Agency - Prospects for GB

    It worked so well when we drafted Trevor Davis, didn't it?
  3. 2018 Free Agency - Prospects for GB

    Yes...because that's the worst thing to have.
  4. A brand new forum means a brand new introductions thread. Even if you're a previous returing poster, or someone whose checking out Football's Future for the first time stop by and say hello. Share with us a little bit about yourself. Your life Username: Age: State you were born in: State you live in now: Something unique about you: Your love of the Packers When did you start following the Packers: What made you become a fan: Favorite current Packers: All-time favorite Packers: Favorite moment in team history: Your interests Other favorite teams: Hobbies outside of football: Favorite movie: Favorite TV Show: Favorite band:
  5. Need one of these CB's - the best of the rest

    Where did you see Ward linked to the Bucs?
  6. Need one of these CB's - the best of the rest

    That's where my feelings are as well. As much as I love Denzel Ward, I don't feel confident in that third tier of pass rushers. The difference between Harold Landry/Marcus Daveport and Ogbo Okoronkwo/Lorenzo Carter is bigger than the difference between Denzel Ward and Isaiah Oliver/Carlton Davis.
  7. Jets, Colts Swap 1st Round Picks

    For some reason, I had thought Denver was running more of a 43 Under where Walker was your strong-side EDGE and Von Miller was your weakside EDGE.
  8. Jets, Colts Swap 1st Round Picks

    Honestly hadn't really put much stock into Chubb for Denver. Imagined with them investing in DeMarcus Walker last year, Shane Ray a few years ago, and Von Miller still under contract that they'd look at other positions. Any chance they're in play for Denzel Ward after dealing Talib?
  9. Jets, Colts Swap 1st Round Picks

    I figured after the Paxton Lynch debacle he was going to stay away from project QBs. I wouldn't be surprised if they were the team to take Nelson though. Especially if two teams move up into the top 4.
  10. 2018 NFL Draft Discussion

    Most of the time they come after I look into a team's history. I mean, there was a history when Andy Reid's teams had drafted lineman in the first round like 8 of the last 12 first round picks were. I wouldn't say they are more right or more wrong. I had Jack Conklin pegged to Tennessee well before most people believed that it would happen, that's one of them I remember vividly.
  11. Jets, Colts Swap 1st Round Picks

    For years, we've been expecting the Chargers to take a QB and for years they haven't. I'm honestly not expecting that to change this year. I was merely saying if for some reason Baker Mayfield slid down the board and was available at 17 I think they'd seriously consider it. Here's my guess as which QBs are in play for each team. Cleveland - Sam Darnold, Josh Allen, Baker Mayfield NY Giants - Josh Rosen, Sam Darnold NY Jets - Josh Rosen, Baker Mayfield, Josh Allen Buffalo - Sam Darnold, Josh Rosen, Josh Allen I think Denver would take any of them except Josh Allen, and I think Arizona is probably the team looking to move up to select Lamar Jackson.
  12. Not really. I don't remember the exact structure of the contract, but if they cut Flacco they would have had some dead money on the books. It's nothing compared to what they would have had on the books had they kept him on the roster, but he had a cap hit north of $30M IIRC. Signing bonuses are paid at the time the contract is signed, but for cap purposes it's spread over the life of the contract. For example, Joe Flacco signs a 4 year deal with a $20M signing bonus. When Flacco signs that contract, he's immediately paid $20M but for cap purposes that $20M is spread out to $5M every year. $5M in 2018, $5M in 2019, etc. Now let's say the Ravens release him after this season, since there was $15M left in future years from signing bonus that gets kicked to the 2019 cap in dead money. If they wait until after the 2019 season, it's only $10M in dead cap. After 2020 season, it's only $5M. Back to the original Flacco comment, the way it was structured was that the first three years had a low cap hit but as soon as Year 4 hit, it jumped up drastically. Joe Flacco signed a "new" deal almost 3 years after he signed the original deal.
  13. 2018 NFL Draft Discussion

    No. Maybe I worded it poorly but I was trying to convey that if the first three picks were anything but QBs, I'd be wildly surprised.
  14. Jets, Colts Swap 1st Round Picks

    Right now, there are three teams I can pretty much guarantee you will end up drafting a QB in the 1st round: Cleveland, New York (Jets), and Buffalo. Then you've got that next group that you'd probably call opportunistic and that'd include teams like New York (Giants), Denver, and Arizona who'd probably jump at the opportunity to draft a franchise QB. Finally, you get into the group where they could go for a QB but probably won't be in a position to do so, which would include Miami, Cincinnati, Los Angeles (Chargers), New Orleans, and Pittsburgh.
  15. Jets, Colts Swap 1st Round Picks

    I'd love for someone to take my bet. I'd make a ton of money off of it. We're going to see 4 QBs go in the top 6 IMO. The first three picks will be QBs, and I'd venture a guess that someone will trade up to that 6th spot to get that 4th one IMO.
  16. Jets, Colts Swap 1st Round Picks

    Honestly, I've felt that the Giants' desire to trade down is being overstated. This honestly smells exactly like the Titans situation a few years ago with Marcus Mariota. They'll be willing to move down, but only if a team is willing to overpay. What is that price? I'm honestly not sure. Does anyone truly believe that if the Giants think they have found a franchise QB that they'll move on from them because of Eli Manning? He's already 37 years old and they can release him after next season and save $17M if their rookie is ready.
  17. Jets, Colts Swap 1st Round Picks

    Sig bet? He'll be a top 12 pick.
  18. On a similar note, I see many fans talk about restructuring contracts and I'd venture that 98% of those posters don't know what entails. Yes, sometimes it lowers the amount of money due to a player, but in most situations it essentially pushes cap hits from this year into future years. Let's say you have a player who has a $1M signing bonus and a $13M base salary with two years left beyond this year. You've got a $14M cap hit this year which isn't ideal, so you decide to take $12M of that $13M and convert it into a signing bonus which you spread over the 3 years (so $4M/year for 3 years). You lowered your 2018 cap hit by $8M this year, but you took that $8M that you saved this year and pushed $4M into 2019 and $4M in 2020. It's not a real ideal situation.
  19. Is it ideal? No. Does it prevent them from making other moves? No. They still save $9M by releasing him, which is enough to get into that 2nd tier of corners if his play falls off. It's not a toxic contract by any means, but it's not an ideal situation by any means. Most of the time you are incurring dead cap is because the signing bonus gets accelerated when you release a player. All the cap hit from the signing bonus that was on the cap in future years immediately comes to that present year. As for the Flacco situation, it's not so much a restructure as it's forcing both of them to come together to negotiate a new deal which generally leads to more years being added to the contract. Generally at the point where the cap hit is too high, the guaranteed money has already been paid out, i.e. signing bonus and initial year salary. When those artificially high cap hits are there, the team is feeling the pressure to negotiate a new contract in order to lower the cap hit. In order to do this, you have to get the player to agree to it, which means the power of negotiation is on the players side. Flacco can say he wants another 3 years on his deal in order to lower his cap hit, at which point the Ravens are pretty much forced to. The Ravens are essentially forced into one of two situations. Either release Joe Flacco and have no starting QB, or extend him to lower his cap hit. Maybe I'm weird, but I find the machinations of the salary cap to be wildly fascinating. Might be one of the more underrated part of the NFL, and a great cap guy can't be under-appreciated.
  20. 2018 NFL Draft Discussion

    Honestly, I'd be surprised if anything but the first 3 picks were used on QBs. Cleveland and New York (Jets) seem intent on taking a QB with their picks. New York (Giants) seem to be leveraging their pick in a trade-down, but I could see this being similar to the situation a few years ago when the Titans were "shopping" their pick and eventually ended up taking Mariota. I think the Giants desire to trade-down might be getting overstated, unless they get that big deal like the one the Colts got. Cleveland at 4 could go Saquon Barkley there, but they're also the last spot to get a QB before Denver at 5 gets an opportunity to do so. I don't think the signing of Case Keenum prevents the Broncos from selecting a QB. And the structure of Keenum doesn't prevent it either. Could lead to a Sam Bradford situation down the road if he plays well in Denver. If a team moves up (i.e. Buffalo), I could see Denver turning around looking to improve their OL (Nelson) at 5 and then the Colts could shop their pick again. Honestly, I wouldn't be surprised if Buffalo moved up to 4 for a QB, and then the Browns turned around and moved back up from 12 to 6 to land Barkley. As for Chubb, I think he's now in that 4-7 range. I don't think Cleveland will be on him as much as I think some believe they will be. I think they're the ideal trade-down candidate wanting to get one of the last top QBs.
  21. Jets, Colts Swap 1st Round Picks

    Acquiring Foles means you're more in a win-now mode, but I also think the Eagles' demands are going to be higher than what teams are willing to deal with. He's on an expiring contract, and I'd venture most teams view him as a place holder at their QB position.
  22. Depends on how you want to look at it. Most people immediately look at the guarantees or the signing bonus, and come to an evaluation of the contract. First thing I look at is the structure. Almost all contracts are backloaded. Salary cap goes up in future years, and as a result an $8M cap hit this year doesn't feel the same as an $8M cap hit three years from now. You get into healthy and unhealthy contracts for me when you see major jumps in cap hits. Joe Flacco's contract a few years ago was that way when his early year cap hits were in the mid teens, and then it jumped to high 20s or low 30s which pretty much forces them to renegotiate his contract. Then I look at when is the earliest get out of the contract. You can release a player at any given time, but you're going to incur dead cap. If you're dead cap is higher than his active cap hit, he's not going to get released unless he's toxic. Looking at Kyler Fuller, the Bears could release him after next year and his dead cap equals his cap hit so it's unlikely they'd release him. The year after that, the dead cap is $8.5M when his cap hit is $17.5M, which means they'd save money by releasing him. Signing bonuses are always paid up front, but they're pro-rated (or spread out) over the life of the contract up to 5 years. In an ideal world, you want the signing bonus as little as possible. But that's not really realistic.
  23. 2018 NFL Draft Discussion

    If you think he's Haloti Ngata, yes. But I don't see the pass rush value being there. Personally, I wouldn't but I'd imagine some team has a top 10 grade on him.
  24. 2018 NFL Draft Discussion

    For some reason, I've got some weird feeling they're going to draft an OL in the 1st round but wouldn't rule out Chubb.
  25. It'd be awesome if the Lakers pick stayed at 12, and then the Cavs' pick was 15. Won't happen though.