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CWood21

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Everything posted by CWood21

  1. The STL Cardinals Thread - Offseason

    Looking at our OF depth, you've got Ozuna, Pham, and Fowler in the big league OF. Jose Martinez likely gets one of the backup OF spots, and PT at 1B. That means Grichuk for now is our 5th OF, and backup CF. That probably becomes Harrison Bader sooner rather than later. Memphis likely has Adolis Garcia and Tyler O'Neill as their two corner OFers. Sierra was slotted to be there IMO, but this frees up Oscar Mercado to make that jump.
  2. The STL Cardinals Thread - Offseason

    We weren't going to get any world beaters for Piscotty given the season he had, but they're not bad prospects. Honestly, I probably would have asked for an arm instead of Schrock. I wonder if they were willing to deal Dakota Chalmers. Sounds like there might be a hang up with one of the players medicals.
  3. The STL Cardinals Thread - Offseason

    Yeah, Munoz is the better of the two prospects. Munoz ranked 13th according to MLB.com and 16th according to FanGraphs although I think FanGraphs was from last year. Seems that his future lies at third base, which is a positional weakness of the Cardinals. Strong arm should make him a good defender there. Solid swing, with projection for power seems like a pretty good gamble to make. Schrock is an all-hit 2B with limited defensive abilities and no power. Probably nothing more than trade fodder with Kolten Wong already under contract.
  4. Marcell Ozuna traded to the Cardinals

    I wasn't trying to imply he was going to fade into oblivion. Thinking .280/.350/.530. He's not going to be a 140+ wRC+ next year.
  5. Marcell Ozuna traded to the Cardinals

    He hit over .310 and ISO'd almost 50 points higher than his career average. Is it sustainable? Honestly, I haven't seen enough of him to say one way or the other.
  6. Marcell Ozuna traded to the Cardinals

    Until we get a better idea of what the other offers were, we may never know. This very well could have been the best package available. I mean, it's clear they coveted Alcantara and don't share the same concerns that hrubes has. And Sierra is a good player. But let's not pretend like Ozuna is a perennial 5 WAR OF either. Cardinals are gambling too.
  7. Marcell Ozuna traded to the Cardinals

    If he learns how to use his speed, he's a rich man's Revere yes. But I'm not sure he'll ever learn to utilize that speed.
  8. Marcell Ozuna traded to the Cardinals

    Sierra doesn't have that random power surge that Ellsbury sort of had. EDIT: Alcantara and Sierra might be back-end top 100.
  9. Marcell Ozuna traded to the Cardinals

    LIS, it all depends on whether or not he can utilize his speed. If he can utilize that speed, he's a threat to steal everytime he gets on base path. And he's going to be BABIP you to death, so even if the walk rate doesn't improve he should hit enough. Not a very high ceiling, but a pretty high floor. As for Alcantara, you saw the stuff and control improve in AA but it regressed in his brief MLB debut. But I'm of the belief that you're a starter until you prove you can't.
  10. Marcell Ozuna traded to the Cardinals

    Magneuris Sierra and Sandy Alcantara are blue-chip player by Jesse Sanchez. LOL
  11. The STL Cardinals Thread - Offseason

    2 years, $17M. At that price, they can have them. I would have liked to keep him around, but I'm not paying $8.5M for a guy who really doesn't have much experience as a closer.
  12. Marcell Ozuna traded to the Cardinals

    Depends on what happens with Sierra and your opinion of Alcantara obviously. If he can actually tap into that speed, it looks a HELL of a lot better. Really surprised they didn't demand Flaherty. Probably wanted the upside of Alcantara over the floor of Flaherty.
  13. Marcell Ozuna traded to the Cardinals

    Now that we have the entire deal here's my thoughts on it. I'm going to work backwards. Daniel Castano is a non-prospect. You look at the number he posted with State College (Short Season affiliate), and the numbers are interesting. But that's before you realize he just turned 23 years old a few months ago. And then those numbers look significantly less impressive, especially considering most of the players the Cardinals send to SS State College are recently drafted college players. Zac Gallen has been a guy that most Cardinals fans that have been digging into the farm system have kept an eye on. He's produced at every level, and really never faltered like most thought he would. A 3rd round pick in 2016, he made it all the way to Memphis in a little over a calendar year. That being said, the numbers he posted in Memphis aren't repeatable. He's not striking out 10+ per 9 innings. He doesn't have that kind of stuff. MLB.com's ranking of him at 13th is incredibly generous. He's probably closer to the 16-20 range. FanGraphs' had him ranked 18th, which is pretty accurate IMO. Fastball sits in the low 90s, but apparently has touched as high as 95. Makes it highly effective with it's natural sink combined with his control. Has curve, cutter, and change-up, but nothing grade out more than average. Makes up for it with command. I've heard a Mark Buehrle comp, but that's probably a best-case scenario. Worst case scenario, he's going to eat innings for a bad Marlins' ball club. As I've touched on Sierra, there's a LOT to like and a lot to be frustrated about. He can hit pretty darn well, has a good sense of the strike zone, and isn't overly prone to striking out. You'd like to see him walk a bit more as a leadoff hitter, but I don't think it'll ever be a detriment to him. There's no power there, like none. Any power comes in the form of him using his legs. Kolten Wong has more power than him. Defensively, he's probably the best Cardinals CF since Jim Edmonds other than maybe Peter Bourjos although that speaks to both him and what kind of defenders the Cardinals have had in CF. And he's got an arm to match. Should be a really good defender. And I left speed for last. He's got plenty of it, the problem is he doesn't utilize it enough on the basepath. He's only had one season where he stole 30+ bases and even when he was in the upper-levels he didn't really show he knew how to utilize his speed. Not sure the Cardinals were the organization to show him that tbh. IF the Marlins can get him to tap into that speed regularly, this deal swing up significantly for the Marlins. If not, it's just a meh deal. Nothing @hrubes20 said was inaccurate about Sandy Alcantara. He's tremendously flawed. His off-speed stuff are still a significant work in progress, and he lacks much control either. He's definitely improved in that regard though. But you can't teach velocity. His fastball sits in that 95-98 MPH range, but will go 100+ MPH out of the bullpen. He's got a slider and a curve, but neither are much more than show-me pitches at this point. His change-up is probably the off-speed pitch that has developed the most, but it's still not a big threat. Let's put it this way, Weaver has a significantly better change-up. Worst case scenario, Alcantara ends up as a late-inning reliever with questionable control. Best case scenario, they're trading him away in a few years for a haul. Overall, I'm pretty pleased with this deal for the Cardinals. This is the gamble they needed to make. Nobody likes dealing prospects, but the Cardinals have the prospect death to weather this deal.
  14. Marcell Ozuna traded to the Cardinals

    I don't watch a whole lot of Blue Jays games tbh, but I think he will hit a bit more than Pillar. Not a bad comp though looking at the numbers. Sierra is rail thin though. I think Pillar might have 40 pounds on him tbh.
  15. The STL Cardinals Thread - Offseason

    Different players. Sierra offers something that the Cardinals haven't had in a LONG time, a speedy GG-caliber defender in CF. Bader isn't as good offensively, but has a bigger offensive profile. Honestly, just a matter of preference really.
  16. Marcell Ozuna traded to the Cardinals

    Not ever going to hit for it either. Doesn't have the frame. Almost all of his XBH come via the speed. Hit tool is really good, probably 60ish. Just wish he walked a bit more. Defensively, he's a GG-caliber defender in CF and the arm to match. Has speed, but doesn't utilize it enough on the basepath. Only had 1 season where he stole 30+ bases in his minor league career. Instincts on the basepath aren't there yet. Really struggled with a comp, maybe early-Marlins Juan Pierre with a significantly better arm?
  17. The STL Cardinals Thread - Offseason

    Honestly, I'm not losing sleep over it. Sure, he can hit and plays good defense but the fact that he can't utilize is speed is really frustrating. Really only had one season where he used his speed, and even then he doesn't utilize it very well. Probably would have been back-end top 10 for me.
  18. Chicago Cubs Thread - #secondhalfcubs

    https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/top-22-prospects-chicago-cubs/
  19. Marcell Ozuna traded to the Cardinals

    @BrownieTheElf @twslhs20
  20. The STL Cardinals Thread - Offseason

    I would assume that’s their next move.
  21. The STL Cardinals Thread - Offseason

    I'm not sure anyone really "wanted" Longoria as the big bat, I think he was more the complimentary big bat. If you added him with Ozuna, that makes our middle of the order significantly more impressive. Not sure you have your lineup correct though. Most likely would be: 1B Matt Carpenter CF Tommy Pham LF Marcel Ozuma 3B Evan Longoria RF Dexter Fowler SS Paul DeJong C Yadier Molina 2B Kolten Wong Although, I'd LOVE to figure out a way to get Manny Machado into that lineup. Slot him in that 3rd hole and knock everyone else down one. Just dreaming though.
  22. The STL Cardinals Thread - Offseason

    If they're going to deal for a rental, it's going to be Josh Donaldson. But the Blue Jays seem to be resisting the idea of rebuilding and are going to try and make a contender in the AL East.
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