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SpeightTheVillain

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  1. At this point, probably a lot. They are average in the first 3 categories and slightly above average in turnover margin per game. The next closest teams are 2019 Pittsburgh and 2004 Seattle
  2. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pythagorean_expectation
  3. AFC North Cleveland Browns - 2013 Detroit Lions (3) Cincinnati Bengals - No Team Within 15 Values Baltimore Ravens - 2005 Chicago Bears (8) Pittsburgh Steelers - 2006 Jacksonville Jaguars (8) AFC East Buffalo Bills - 2008 Houston Texans (4) Miami Dolphins - 2013 Arizona Cardinals (6) New York Jets - 2001 Carolina Panthers (4) New England Patriots - No Team Within 15 Values AFC South Jacksonville Jaguars - 2008 Seattle Seahawks (6) Indianapolis Colts - 2008 Carolina Panthers (4) Houston Texans - 2002 Washington Football Team (8) Tennessee Titans - No Team Within 15 Values AFC West Denver Broncos - No Team Within 15 Values Kansas City Chiefs - 2005 Jacksonville Jaguars (5) LA Chargers - 2002 Buffalo Bills (8) Las Vegas Raiders - No Team Within 15 Values
  4. I have been working on a project that compares teams as they sit in the current NFL landscape to how teams performed in history (as of now it only goes back to 2001) and thought you all might be interested in seeing the results. It works as follows: I take four metrics: 1. DVOA (as provided by Football Outsiders). 2. Pythagorean Wins ((Points for^2.37)/(Points For^2.37+Points Against^2.37)*16) 3. Passer Rating Differential (Team Passer Rating - Opponent Passer Rating) 4. Turnover Margin Per Game (TO Margin / Games Played). I then normalize each metric to a score from 0 to 100 for each individual season, allowing every team since 2001 to be plotted on a 4-dimensional graph. I then find a current team and find the closest historical comparison. Any comparison not within 15 values on the graph is disregarded as too attenuated ( the closer on the graph, the more similar). The results are as follows (distance on the graph in parentheses): NFC North Minnesota Vikings - 2019 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9) Green Bay Packers - 2006 Jacksonville Jaguars (5) Detroit Lions - 2003 Washington Football Team (4) Chicago Bears - 2012 New Orleans Saints (5) NFC East Dallas Cowboys - 2003 Buffalo Bills (6) Philadelphia Eagles - No Team Within 15 Values New York Giants - 2001 Dallas Cowboys (3) Washington Football Team - 2007 New York Jets (5) NFC South Atlanta Falcons - 2003 Detroit Lions (4) Carolina Panthers - 2006 New York Jets & 2013 Pittsburgh Steelers (Tied)(6) New Orleans Saints - 2006 New York Giants & 2004 Cincinnati Bengals (Tied)(8) Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 2002 Miami Dolphins (3) NFC West Arizona Cardinals - No Team Within 15 Values Seattle Seahawks - 2006 Philadelphia Eagles (3) San Francisco 49ers - 2019 Los Angeles Rams (5) LA Rams - 2013 Denver Broncos (6)
  5. In the NFL it is easy to become successful but extremely difficult to maintain success. What about SF? What about NO? How are the Packers gonna beat them? There is no guarantee that SF or NO will be as successful next year. SF has undergone changes, Brees is old and liable to fall apart at any moment. Long-term planning is why GB has been generally successful for almost 30 years. Obviously, the FO and LaFleur think Love can play. Are they right? Who knows - probably not even them. But being angry about long term planning, which has been the cornerstone of the Packers success, seems strange to me.
  6. Anybody have any thoughts about Antonio Gandy-Golden, WR from Liberty? Looks big and has a real good press release from what I've seen. Potential mid-round target? Plus he went to Liberty so you know the ghost of TT is on board.
  7. We used to see this in reverse whenever we played Pittsburgh. Automatic over. These defenses practiced against this offense all training camp. Scoring is gonna be hard for both teams.
  8. You can't fumble it forward and have it be advanced
  9. The paranoid delusions of other NFCN fans are too good. I'm almost glad the Packers won this way. It is highly entertaining
  10. Because we all want that MACtion.
  11. It is a coaching philosophy thing. Teams are gonna run on Pettine with the way he plays. Not many teams can win running more than they pass. That's all it is
  12. Also both Pettine and Dom realize you aren't going to win running all the time. They play so much sub, they are baiting the run.
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