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Mr Anonymous

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  1. LaFleur's Lieutenants - Coordinator/Staff Thread

    I appreciated the effort, nice work.
  2. 2019 Draft Discussion

    The simplest way I could put it is this - it would be quite the statistical anomaly and amazing coincidence to have DBs be the top rated players on the draft board for their first two picks in 3 of the last 4 years. Were 6 of their last 8 top two choices made with DBs as the highest rated player, or did they reach for need? (Alexander 1st, Jackson 2nd, King 2nd, Jones 2nd, Randall 1st, Rollins 2nd) Going about a draft that way kills you.
  3. 2019 Draft Discussion

    That's a question we don't have the answer to unfortunately. It certainly feels like they did some reaching to try and fill the CB position these past few years with the amount of high draft capital spent at the position. And where did that get them? And @JBURGE just hit on my primary point. I'd love it if an EDGE rusher with a BLUE draft grade was available at 12. If so, they run up to the podium and take him. But if the only BLUE player on the board is a WR or a MLB, you run up and take one of them instead. You don't pick the edge rusher you have a RED grade on. BLUE players are so hard to come by, and so much more impactful, that you jump for joy if there's one available when you're on the clock. You don't pay any mind to what position they play.
  4. 2019 Draft Discussion

    BLUE players BLUE players BLUE players BLUE players BLUE players I kid somewhat, but I don't care what position we spend #12 and #30 on, it needs to be an impact player at those spots if available. I don't care if the only BLUE players on the board are WRs and MLBs, they should be taken. Begin factoring in need once the top tier prospects are off the board. The Packers have BLUE players at a mere 2 spots right now - QB and LT. The next closest would be DT (Clark). And beyond Clark, they really only have Alexander as someone else who has the potential to rise to BLUE (All-Pro, Perennial Pro Bowl level) And since you need more than one OT, more than one DT, and more than 1 CB to field a lineup, every position besides QB should be in consideration for both 1sts. And if they're not going to be able to get a BLUE at 12, then they should use the added ammunition they have to move up to get one. Sorry to belabor the point. I meant to leave it at as a joke post with my top 5 but fell into the trap of explaining myself. It is simply that important to draft the best players regardless of positional need. BLUE players win Super Bowls.
  5. Milt Hendrickson hired to senior personnel position

    Yep with your blessing and a little time away to recharge, I'm dropping in from time to time. Happy to be here without the weight of any inside info to share and with low expectations. I'll be a low volume, low controversy contributor which is where I'm much more comfortable.
  6. Milt Hendrickson hired to senior personnel position

    Lol, yeah it's officially official now. Gute has been trying to bring him in for over a year but it was really sudden right there at the end when he actually signed on the dotted line. From the moment he picked up a pen at the table, it took him all of 3 seconds to finish signing his name. It all happened so fast.
  7. Milt Hendrickson hired to senior personnel position

    If the name sounds familiar it's because this has been in the works for awhile. Still good to see it made official. This should be a solid hire and a much needed addition after many departures.
  8. 2019 Draft Discussion

    Yeah, regardless of the means of categorization - color tiers, number scales, etc, the basic premise is that players graded in the highest tier should never be passed over for a player in a lower tier based on perceived team need. Whether a team correctly assigns grades or player scores is another matter as well. If you're grading / scoring players correctly but reaching to fill need, that's something you can fix going forward. If you're evaluating and grading poorly then you need new people brought in to evaluate better.
  9. 2019 Draft Discussion

    Come draft weekend, free agency, and who is available on the street, should be completely ignored in the first round. You're likely only getting a crack at blue players in the first round. You might get lucky and have a blue-rated player fall to you in the 2nd. I don't care if a guy playing in the CFL is the only viable FA at a given position, your darn well better not pass on a BLUE player to take a RED one because the FA market is bleak.
  10. 2019 Draft Discussion

    The likely follow up to what I just posted is... What if Derwin James is a BLUE (he already has his 1st All-Pro) and Jaire Alexander + player picked with NO 1st both wind up being REDs? In that case, the Packers failed on the trade. You take the BLUE (All Pro) over two REDs (solid starter) each and every time. That's why I said at the time the trade would likely be regretted. I also had Tremaine Edmunds as a BLUE who was available before the trade down as well. The Packers need either Jaire, or the NO pick to turn into a BLUE to make it a good trade if James and/or Edmunds become BLUEs. If Jaire and the Saints pick both become BLUE players, then Gute should have a dedicated section of the Packer HOF awarded for that trade. BLUE players win championships. The reds, purples, and oranges are completely interchangeable on NFL rosters. The drop off in play between one red and another red is marginal. But the play from a BLUE is dramatically greater than a RED.
  11. 2019 Draft Discussion

    Yep, if they had both James and Alexander as blue tier players, then the tie is broken by need. I'd love to know if they had both players graded equally or similarly. If they had James as a BLUE and Alexander as a RED and those two become what those tiers suggest, then there's a good chance they made a mistake in the end. In other words if both end up being BLUES, the Packers made out like bandits getting that extra pick. But if James is a BLUE and Alexander tops out as a RED, then they likely blew it. That's just an example. New names will fill these debates every year going forward. But given how scarce "BLUE"s are, you take them and worry about excess at a position later. Here we are today and the Packers have a desperate need at safety. It's excusable to have gone on need for Alexander if they had him on par with James. If they reached, it will likely bite them in the end even with the Saints pick. Of course they could get a BLUE from pick 30 and win the trade that way as well even if Jaire never becomes one himself.
  12. 2019 Draft Discussion

    I won't argue that. Still need time to know who comes out ahead all things combined. If Gute turns that NO pick into Parris Campbell, I'll be doing backflips.
  13. 2019 Draft Discussion

    Winning championships comes down to accumulation of field-titling players of which there are few. In scouting, these are the all-pro / pro bowl caliber players and they are typically placed in color tier "blue". The vast majority of NFL rosters are compiled of "red" (solid starter) and "purple" (solid backup). The bottom of a roster is comprised of "orange" (marginal backup) players. The draft should be about picking as many of the players you have "blue" grades on regardless of position. A team should never draft a red or purple player over a blue because of need. BLUE - Pro-Bowl / All-Pro level player RED - Solid NFL Starter PURPLE - Solid Backup ORANGE - Marginal Backup Reds, purples, and oranges don't win championships. Accumulate as many blue players as you can and worry about redundancy later. Injuries and inconsistency in play are too prevalent to pass on a blue player because of a perceived blockage.
  14. 2019 Draft Discussion

    Because drafting for need it what leads to passing on a Derwin James when he falls in your lap. In all seriousness, needs change so quickly. If one player is head and shoulders above others, take him and don't look back.
  15. Conference Championship Games

    Kansas City is going to win
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