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matt79511

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  1. 2019 NFL Draft Prospects

    I can't believe I actually checked to see if that was his real name
  2. 2019 Free Agency - Potential Targets

    Honestly if we gave Amos 4 years/$32M with a little over half guaranteed, that could work. Like you said he’s young, and the safety market was frigid last year, so you never know. Just not sure shopping at the top of the market at the SS position is a wise endeavor, and moreover it’s the last thing I expect our team to do. edit: that’s probably a low estimate, he should get more than Tony Jefferson (4 years/$34M/$19M guar, signed two years ago)
  3. 2019 Free Agency - Potential Targets

    Right. Those factors are likely to assure him a much larger deal than ET, at least in terms of guarantees. Amos is one of the 8 or 9 best guys who’s more or less assured to reach the market, yet was the 10th or 11th best starter on his team’s defense last year. I can’t imagine whoever signs him will get a bargain on that deal
  4. 2019 Free Agency - Potential Targets

    If by smarter you mean cheaper I’m not entirely sure you’ll be correct
  5. Dak, the QB of the future or not.

    Unfortunately that’s just the norm. You don’t Drew Brees or Aaron Rodgers taking pay cuts. You can say “yeah but they’re Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers” but they only have one ring apiece.
  6. Dak, the QB of the future or not.

    I think it’s definitely both. Brady’s also had unprecedented longevity which gives him a little more confidence that he’ll continue to last while most guys are concerned about their career duration. On principle, players taking less than they’re worth is stupid though. It just sets a bad precedent and allows owners to continue to find ways to suppress wages even as the cap explodes. I’m positive there are many players out there, from practice squad pittance types to guys who’ve made tens of millions, who resent Brady for doing this.
  7. Gearing up for next season

    Just spitballing here- Lawrence: 7 years, $148M, $61M fully guaranteed at signing Cooper: 5 years, $85M, $40M guaranteed Jones: 5/70/33 Elliott: 6/84/30 Smith: 5/60/28 Collins: 5/56/25 … Prescott: 10/291/105 I’m also gonna dispute the notion that La’el is not a priority. I understand the “you can’t pay four offensive linemen” argument but I reject it. He already counts $9.9M against the cap this year, sixth on the team if you don’t count Lee, so going from there to 10-11 a year is not that big of a stretch. Plus it’s possible they regret letting Leary walk, or at the very least can see that doing so had a detrimental effect on the offensive line. Biggest question, of course, is if Collins is actually worth it; if he can still take the next step in his game. I just don’t think we can overlook the fact that he’s missed just one offensive snap in the last two years while Tyron, Frederick, and Martin have collectively missed almost two thousand. Even if you pay La’el, I doubt you’ll be “paying four offensive linemen” three years from now, honestly. And I think there’s a case to be made that a decent $10M/year OT is actually more valuable than an elite $12M LB or $15M RB.
  8. Gearing up for next season

    I should elaborate- I meant this in terms of who’s most important to sign long term *this offseason*, which is kind of a different discussion from “Who do we still want/need to be here in 2024?” It’s a little more of a cap-mechinal POV (i.e. we can save much more this year through D-Law and Cooper extensions than anyone else’s). Of course, the cap and the concept of value have everything to do with how good the players are. Semantics. “How do you rank these dudes” is fine, obviously.
  9. Gearing up for next season

    I agree with the majority of your points but I have a minor nitpick here. Should we extend both this offseason, I bet Zeke gets more than Byron. Byron might hedge his bets given his lack of professional CB experience and take something in the $12M/year range instead of holding out to be the highest paid CB. Zeke I can’t see taking less than the Gurley contract.
  10. Gearing up for next season

    I’ll go... 1. DeMarcus Lawrence- At this point, he might be the best player on the entire team. He’s only the guy on the list who’s not actually under contract- ergo, the only one we’re at a serious risk of not having for 2019. This is kind of a gimme. 2. Amari Cooper- I understand the sunk cost fallacy, but you can’t really give up a first round pick for a guy to only get a year and a half out of him, one of which he’s not even cheap, right? Plus the tag number for WRs is onerous compared to other positions. 3. Dak Prescott- I get the reticence to put him this high, as his contract is more likely to destroy this team’s ability to contend in the long term than any of these others. That being said, let’s be honest- it could be worse. Much, much, worse. The dropoff from Dak to Cooper Rush is bigger than the dropoff from any of these other guys to their backups, IMO- and that’s saying something, because I just called D-Law our best player and I barely acknowledge Taco as a member of the NFL. “We have to commit to our QB despite his flaws because he’s our guy and we’re afraid of the unknown” is bad business. But I think for our team it makes sense. The only team reasonable QBs we’ve had since Aikman were an undrafted free agent and a fourth round pick. We got effing lucky with Romo and we got effing lucky with Dak. I just don’t wanna push that luck. 4. Byron Jones 5. La’el Collins I view both of these players as likely candidates for next year’s franchise tag. Byron only has one season of full time CB play and La’el has had an up and down career to say the least. At the same time, Byron is an All-Pro who never gets hurt and losing him would really, really bite. La’el is, as @DaBoys said, essentially an average-to-slightly-above-average right tackle. I don’t think that means he’s not a priority. Above average offensive linemen do not grow on trees, ESPECIALLY at OT. Collins will be one of the hottest tickets on next year’s market should he reach it- especially since some teams may still project him as an All-Pro guard. Maybe we won’t give out an 8-figure AAV to a fourth offensive lineman- or maybe we see that our window is closing and just don’t have time to develop another player at the position. I’m not sure. But I like him and am a little uneasy about the idea of trying to replace him. He’s another example of a guy that we just got lucky with. 6. Ezekiel Elliott 7. Jaylon Smith I have these guys last because we have tenders for next year on them- 5th year option for Zeke, RFA tender for Jaylon. Both of these guys are great players- better than the two above them, arguably. I’m just dubious about the positional value here, and especially the longevity. For the record, I have Zeke over Jaylon because I think Zeke’s style of play lends itself to a longer career. As much he excels at and seems to enjoy trucking, he does a good job of protecting himself for the most part. Jaylon is basically a human missile, that worries me a bit. How I expect the team to rank them: 1. Dak 2. Amari 3. Lawrence 4. Zeke 5. Jaylon 6. Byron 7. La’el
  11. Gearing up for next season

    Lull period thought experiment: How would you rank the following players in terms of how important it is that the Cowboys re-sign them, and how do you expect the team to rank them? Dak Prescott Ezekiel Elliott Amari Cooper Demarcus Lawrence Byron Jones Jaylon Smith La’el Collins
  12. Gearing up for next season

    Looney filled in admirably for Frederick but to say he "played extremely well" feels like a stretch. Teams were working him a little bit towards the end of the year. I think PFF had him as one of their absolute lowest graded centers (like 2nd or 3rd to last). I don't know about all that, but I would agree he's clearly a below average starter. Awesome backup, but the LG throne is rightly C-Will's to defend. La'el counts $10M against the cap now (hit his $2M performance escalator) so I don't think anyone is buying that some rookie who'll make roughly the same per year in salary as Collins does per game is gonna take his starting job. Definitely need a swing tackle if Fleming walks plus some insurance for Collins' impending FA, though. My understanding is that Clinton-Dix was really bad this year and has mostly been bad for the last several years. I would be pretty surprised if we splurged on him. I mean I kind of have a hard time buying that we'll spend on any safety at all. It would've cost nothing to bring in Vaccaro or Boston last year and we still rode with Heath. I fully agree that if/when we lose Beasley, his replacement has to be someone with a greater capacity for explosive plays offensively. Again, would think that player is more likely to be acquired via the draft than FA.
  13. Gearing up for next season

    Agreed. I doubt that flipping he and Collins is a legit consideration. Technically they both have 33" arms, but La'el just seems to have a much wider frame.
  14. Gearing up for next season

    I wouldn’t keep Lee for more than $1.5, $2M at the most. He was playing like 5 snaps a game for us by the end and the drop off from LVE to him was sizable. I mean you could move him to SAM I guess but what’s the point, just re-sign Wilson or sign a journeyman or draft someone on Day 3- you can even do all 3 of those things. Crawford I’m a little more mixed on. He wouldn’t get a $7-8M APY on the market, but he could probably get close to the $15M he’s owed over the next two years in total guarantees. If they approach him about a pay cut, it’s probably going to be in the form of an extension. I honestly doubt they view reducing his cap hit as a real priority at the moment. They obviously value him a lot more highly than we do.
  15. 2019 Free Agency - Potential Targets

    I’m not opposed, but Gerald McCoy or Malik Jackson wouldn’t affect the comp pick formula, and also not be as much of an arse
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