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goldfishwars

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  1. Goldfish's Slightly Too Early 2019 Season Predictions - 27 up

    Where did I say that?
  2. Goldfish's Slightly Too Early 2019 Season Predictions - 27 up

    Thanks! The trouble is for things to go right, the Raiders need to win early and that opening schedule is brutal.
  3. Goldfish's Slightly Too Early 2019 Season Predictions - 27 up

    27. Detroit Lions What’s New in 2019: A new offensive coordinator in Darrell Bevell who was a love/hate figure in his six seasons with the Seahawks and had a mixed career in Minnesota before that. Former Patriot Trey Flowers was signed for an enormous contract in FA and former Patriot Justin Coleman was brought in to play some slot. TJ Hockenson was the headline act of a quirky draft class. He could give this offense a real x-factor, even if traditionally top tight ends take a couple of years to show something. Roster Strengths: Defensive Line – They’ve got two monsters inside in A’Shawn Robinson, who was quietly excellent last year and Damon Harrison who is always excellent at what he does. On the edges, there’s not a lot of subtlety, but Da’Shawn Hand was a nice edge-setting find in the late rounds of the draft last year and the big off season addition Trey Flowers will offer more of that opposite. That’s a starting front four, at least, that is going to be really tough to run on. That’s the Patricia blueprint. Elsewhere – Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones is a more than serviceable tandem outside, Danny Amendola is a nice third passing option. Taylor Decker and Ricky Wagner are a slightly above average tackle combo, which is what you need to have to succeed in the NFL. Darius Slay is always reliable on one side of the defensive field. Matthew Stafford is ever the mercurial talent and I loved Frank Ragnow coming out last year, so interested to see how he does in his second season. Roster Weaknesses: Linebacker – It still looks kinda bulky and not very agile. Jarrad Davis had a noticeable drop in play last year and will need to bounce back. Secondary – Whoever suits up opposite Darius Slay, be it Teez Tabor, Rashaan Melvin or new rookie Amani Oruwariye. It looks a troublesome spot on paper. At safety, both starting jobs could be won in camp Elsewhere – It’s a functional offensive roster, but it noticeably lacks an explosive element. Right guard Kenny Wiggins is pretty uninspiring at right guard without an obvious replacement for his spot. Breakout Player: Kerryon Johnson – Had an impressive start to his rookie season, but didn’t play after week 11 where he injured his leg. He’s going to be the lead back in his second season and the Lions are going to run the football, probably a lot. How they can win in 2019: On offense, how Stafford meshes with yet another offensive coordinator will have a big impact on what the Lions are able to do in 2019. They’ve really got to find a consistent way to move the football, clearly that seems to be heading towards a ground heavy attack and a commitment to longer drives. Marshalling a patient offense has never been Stafford’s speciality so we’ll see how that pans out. He does have some passing targets this year, so if the ground attack thrives there will be opportunities for some signature big plays and some nice options underneath and down the seams. On defense, it’s a pressure scheme designed to frustrate opponents into bad decisions rather than one that is going to penetrate and attack so that has to be executed to perfection. Outside of Trey Flowers, who does that role well inside, there isn’t a player who can generate much of a pass-rush so that will have to be schemed in. Again, that's by design as much as anything. Teams will want to test this pass defense early and often, so that has to hold up. Predicted record 2019: 5-11 - Man, I just think there's more to football than focusing your efforts on being hard to beat and sometimes low-risk football bring back low rewards.
  4. Goldfish's Slightly Too Early 2019 Season Predictions - 27 up

    28. Tampa Bay Buccaneers What’s New in 2019: The whole coaching staff has been blown up, 90 years old Bruce Arians comes out of retirement to take the helm. He's installed a first year offensive coordinator in Byron Leftwich, and his former DC and former Jets head coach Todd Bowles who will bring his brand of the 3-4 to the defense. Ndamukong Suh was the big pick-up in free agency which was otherwise relatively quiet with Blaine Gabbert coming in to back-up Jamies, Shaq Barrett to help the pass-rush and Breshad Perriman to try and save his career. Tampa's draft class was met with a big of a shrug, with picks on positions that seem very familiar to other recent classes. Roster Strengths: Tight End – OJ Howard was quietly excellent over 10 games in year 2 and Cameron Brate still offers a decent red zone receiving threat (12 TDs in the last two seasons) as the second tight end in the rotation Defensive Tackle – The signing of Ndamukong Suh gives the Buccs two monsters on the inside with Vita Vea coming along at the end of his rookie season after a slow start Linebacker – A pairing of Devin White and Lavonte David roaming behind the behemoths sounds great to picture at this point in the off-season Elsewhere – Mike Evans is reliably great and the emerging Chris Godwin gives the Buccs a good 1-2 punch at receiver, although it’s not obvious who the third and fourth players are in that receiver rotation right now. Roster Weaknesses: Offensive Line – A really weak starting group on paper and a terrifyingly thin back-up situation which is going to be further stressed by a Bruce Arians offense. Running Back – Peyton Barber is apparently the absolute best they can conjure up, so unless the light switches on for Ronald Jones after disaster rookie year – he’s getting the rock again in 2019 Elsewhere – There are literally no clear starters at any spot in the secondary, which is weird. Breakout Player: OJ Howard – I think 2019 is the season people take notice if he can put a fully healthy year together. He really does have an all-round package at the position. How they can win in 2019: Arians worked his magic on a Cardinals roster, turning a previously uninspired roster into contenders. He’s got a similar job on his hands here and has got to get consistent play from the quarterback position, something his predecessors failed to deliver with Jamies Winston who hasn't been able to erase dumb plays from his game. There is just no room for injuries to major players at all and a run game which finished 29th in total rushing yards last year has to function without an obvious game-changing focal point. Both points of improvement can only come if the offensive line plays above expectation. On defense, Todd Bowles has a little more to play with in a front seven which has some potential to be a key calling card for this defense. But, they’ve got to locate their starters at the back-end and there’s more names than sure-things there currently and a lot of recent draft capital spent fixing and re-fixing with no clear answers. The Buccs conceded the third highest number of touchdowns through the air last year and the fifth highest in total yards, those combinations have to be identified early and hit the ground running. Predicted record 2019: 4-12 - Arians had great success in Arizona, but really has his work cut out to turn the Buccs into a winning team in year one of his stay in Tampa. It's such a thin roster at key spots that it's hard to see how they can compete consistently over a long NFL season.
  5. Goldfish's Slightly Too Early 2019 Season Predictions - 27 up

    They definitely could be much better, but where do you see those wins coming from on that schedule? My concern is if they clock losses early, there's not a lot of resilient personalities on that team, perhaps that's a useless bit of psychology to inject in the mix. Carr has looked good when the offensive line has, but they were bad last year and Cable is a terrible offensive line coach, provably and factually terrible. Trent Brown is the major addition one year from playing well in a contract year for a Patriots line coached by Scar and he makes everyone look good. Before that, the Niners cut bait because of his lack of motivation. The fact that Incognito has been pencilled in at left guard, with everything that dude has been up to, is a big concern. No obvious pass-rush plus an inexperienced back-end is not a great combination either.
  6. The 2014 Draft - How Did You Do?

    Some big hits and some misses. I was huge on Aaron Donald, Zack Martin and Brandin Cooks coming out that year, those were my guys. But I was also one of the few who thought Marcus Smith would be a really good pick and heard about that from Philly fans for years after, I was definitely not right on that. I loved Teddy coming out and to be fair he had his injury at the worst possible time. I also really liked the Calvin Pryor pick and that went south in a hurry. Further down, I thought Weston Richburg would be really good and he's had some injury and form issues. Cody Latimer I thought would be a really good player and he's really sucked. I remember being pretty high on Jimmy G and Trai Turner too.
  7. Goldfish's Slightly Too Early 2019 Season Predictions - 27 up

    29. Oakland Raiders What’s New in 2019: Last year's crop of coordinators remain for another season. Antonio Brown was brought in via a trade for way less than his on-field production suggests. Trent Brown was given a huge pay day to come in and play tackle and LaMarcus Joyner comes in from the Rams to play in the secondary. They've happily invited in some well-known locker room cancers (AB, Ritchie Incgnito, Vontaze Burfict - more on the field with him) from other teams and a draft class of high caliber ‘leaders’ with three low-risk first round selections this year. We’ll see which crop can run the asylum the most effectively. It's a weird way round to do things. Roster Strengths: Wide Receiver – Antonio Brown alone gives Derek Carr a reason to shake out himself out of the conservative slump he’s found himself in. Tyrell Williams is another big play threat on the outside. There’s room for a threat to develop underneath if those two can be a consistent menace on the perimeters. Offensive Line (Kind of) – Brown, Jackson and Hudson can give them a pretty good right side of the line if that’s where Brown ends up. Kolton Miller was awful in his first year, but there’s plenty of time for him to improve. Left guard is a vacancy right now. Let’s face it, the line will have to overcome the single worst offensive line coach in the NFL. Defensive Tackle – Maurice Hurst, Johnathan Hankins, PJ Hall and Eddie Vanderdoes returning from an ACL should give them a pretty decent inside rotation. Hurst and Hall could both take next steps. Elsewhere - The secondary is better stocked than it has been in recent seasons, but there’s a reliance on recent draft picks to get it done at corner. Roster Weaknesses: Tight End – There isn’t a proven tight end on the roster, so they need to find one from within. Gruden has talked up hybrid receiver/TE Darren Waller, but he has 18 catches in four NFL seasons so I’ll believe that when I see it. Edge – The Raiders probably need immediate returns from surprise high pick Clelin Ferrell, because Arden Key was poor in his first season and outside of development pick Maxx Crosby there’s very little else to get excited about. Linebacker – It’s been a tough position for the Raiders to get right. Brandon Marshall is serviceable, but it’s fringe level talent elsewhere around him. If Vontaze Burfict is starting a lot of games next season, that’s not a sign things are getting better. Breakout Player: PJ Hall – A 3rd round pick last year, who was pretty raw coming out and then had to play too many snaps in his first season. The fact he looked pretty good on that first year workload bodes well for his second full season. How they can win in 2019: An improved roster in 2019, but a dog of schedule to overcome especially early on where they face Broncos, Chiefs, Vikings, Colts, Bears and then the Packers. They really need to ride that storm out so that morale isn't impacted. That means improved performances are going to need to be significant enough to translate that into an improved wins total. Winning early becomes important too, because malcontents in the locker room are known to cause issues when things aren’t going to plan. Those wins can be won on offense with a more aggressive Derek Carr and a consistent running game featuring a rookie feature back who has never been a feature for a full season. He's been at his best when he's had a good offensive line as they did pre-Cable who has never coached a top 10 offensive line in the NFL. On defense, they need to overcome the same issues as the Giants in that they have a young secondary and an unproven pass-rush. They face Pat Mahomes twice, Phillip Rivers twice, Aaron Rodgers, Deshaun Watson and Andrew Luck in seven games during their schedule this year. The back-end needs to be ready to go and that probably means immediate returns on Trayvon Mullen, their 2nd round selection, starting opposite Gareon Conley who came on himself late last year. Predicted record 2019: 4-12 - They've got a hell of a job to prevent this from turning into a circus after Hard Knocks is finished. Sadly that could be the most entertaining they get this year as the roster is a little top-heavy to get through that tough schedule and brutal run of away games.
  8. Goldfish's Slightly Too Early 2019 Season Predictions - 27 up

    30. Arizona Cardinals What’s New in 2019: Man, I mean a lot and probably too much. We have a first time head coach, whose first gig in the NFL comes with his current role. It’s still wild to see a guy fail upwards by getting fired by his college team and supposedly swarmed over by NFL teams within the same year. Former Packers OC Tom Clements will be the team's de-facto offensive coordinator and Vance Joseph comes over from Denver to take on the DC duties after being fired as their head coach. I would imagine Joseph will have somewhat of a free reign there. In free agency, JR Sweezy and Marcus Gilbert were signed to bolster the offensive line and Charles Clay was brought in to compete for tight end snaps. On defense, Terrell Suggs and Brooks Reed were brought in to help with the outside pass-rush, Darius Philon to help the defensive line, Jordan Hicks signed to help the linebacker spot and Robert Alford and DJ Swearinger to help the secondary. A brand new QB comes into replace last year’s brand new rookie QB and he headlines a rookie class which was surprisingly exciting especially given the GM’s recent record. Roster Strengths: Running Back – At running back, there’s an all-pro talent in David Johnson who was written-out of the offensive playbook last season for no good reason at all. Wide Receiver – I mean, kinda - there's a lot of names there at least. There will be a lot of heavy receiver sets in most Cardinals offensive plays next season and the Cards added three intriguing draft picks in speedster Andy Isabella, big play Hakeem Butler and route runner KeeSean Johnson to join future HOF Larry Fitz and last year’s 2nd round pick Christian Kirk (plus Kevin White??) already present. Outside of Fitz, it’s inexperienced, but it’s also exciting and has a nice blend of skills. Elsewhere - Chandler Jones has been rolling since coming in via a trade which didn't then work out in the Pats favor for once and Patrick Peterson should be his reliably top tier self after he returns from a four game suspension. Roster Weaknesses: Offensive Line – Still plenty to work through, with all spots pretty much available to be won outside of DJ Humphries on the left side and that’s if he can sustain good health after missing 18 games over the past two seasons. Tight End – There's gonna be an epic battle between Ricky Seals-Jones, Charles Clay and Maxx Williams for the starting gig Breakout Player: Christian Kirk – Kirk had an up and down rookie season, but has an inside track with the new offensive scheme given his experience in an Air-Raid offense at A & M and his former teammate there Kyler Murray is now his new quarterback. Even in a crowded receiver corps, he can handle the load as a high volume target in a pass-heavy attack. How they can win in 2019: Firstly, there's a huge amount on the plate of a first time head coach. He has a new system to implement and Arizona has seen a fairly dramatic roster overhaul since the off-season began. Secondly, whether it is by the quarterback’s elusiveness or through the better health/ability of the offensive line, they need to protect Kyler Murray who is going to have a full schedule for a rookie quarterback and he's got to be up to that task. The new scheme perhaps could shield him from some of the defensive pressure they couldn't hold back in 2018, but the ball is going to be in the air, whether that’s on a screen to David Johnson, or a stick throw to Larry Fitz. It’s an incredibly young roster on offense, so getting those guys ready to play early is fairly crucial to their success in 2019. If they can achieve that, that same new scheme could leave defensive opponents confused and slow to catch-up. The Cards have a favorable schedule early, so that's where that advantage may show up. Arizona had the worst run defense in football in 2018, that feels like priority number one. Perhaps the move back to a 3-4 will help, Chandler Jones is expected to partner Suggs at outside linebacker, leaving an interior of Darius Philon, Rodney Gunter, Corey Peters and rookie Zach Allen to rotate through, but they to deliver the improvement. Jordan Hicks seems like an upgrade over what they’ve had at linebacker in recent seasons and they might get him a decent full-time running partner in Haason Reddick who has failed to flourish in a utility role since he was their first pick in 2017. Priority number two is finding a full-time running partner opposite Patrick Peterson, whose suspension leaves them extremely vulnerable at the back-end for six games especially if Robert Alford, who was terrible last year, has to take on his role. It might be Byron Murphy, their 2nd round draft pick who could be more comfortable playing in the slot early. Either way, they are going to to need him to come out of the gate hard. Predicted record 2019: 4-12 - I think there might be a little too much to do in a quick turnaround here, but if they finish 2019 with a rosier looking 2020 on the horizon then the Cards will probably be happy with that.
  9. Bengals OL Jonah Williams likely done for the season

    Man, that sucks.
  10. Goldfish's Slightly Too Early 2019 Season Predictions - 27 up

    31. New York Giants What’s New in 2019: The coaching staff is as it was in 2018. On the personnel side, we saw plenty of replacements come in from key losses with some net positives, some clear net downgrades. Kevin Zeitler has been a solid interior lineman in his two stops and should help shore shore things up inside. Mike Remmers is probably a marginal improvement over Chad Wheeler at right tackle, but had an uninspiring sting in Minnesota. Jabril Peppers steps into the Landon Collins role as he showed in his second season he’s a better fit playing closer in. Golden Tate is essentially a direct replacement for OBJ and obviously he’s not OBJ, but has been a very serviceable NFL receiver. Roster Strengths: Running Back – I mean it’s Saquon Barkley and then nobody really else behind him, but he’s stud racehorse who was every bit as advertised as a rookie. The whole team is on his shoulders this year. Interior Defensive Line – James Bettcher could field a very respectable and very young interior trio in recent draft picks BJ Hill, Dalvin Tomlinson and Dexter Lawrence. It’s beefy and a little same-same, but it’s talented enough to thrive. Elsewhere - Unlike last year, plenty of bodies thrown at the cornerback position from the draft including 2nd rounder from the supplemental draft Sam Beal and this year’s third 1st round pick in DeAndre Baker. A couple will need to stick for it to have been worth it. Roster Weaknesses: Quarterback – Eli Manning’s arm died two years ago and if you take recent footage at off-season camps seriously, it’s all but over for him. If he’s starting in 2019, Daniel Jones is nowhere near ready or weird NFL politics are still at play. Edge – Kareem Martin, Lorenzo Carter, Markus Golden and Oshane Ximines are the guys trusted to generate outside pressure this year. Carter is the most talented of that group, but only showed glimpses of his physical talent as a rookie and they need a big leap from him, or anyone, to sustain the loss of Olivier Vernon. Linebacker – Not a good group on paper. Alec Olgetree looked vastly overpaid last season and BJ Goodson is a little stodgy next to him. Breakout Player: Evan Engram – Had a down year in 2018 due to injuries, but when he was finally healthy down the stretch he managed to average 80 yards per game down the stretch. If that period of good health continues, he’s one of the few game breakers on this offense. But, the offensive game plan still has to work out how to use him properly. How they can win in 2019: On offense, the line should be at least headed back towards average after a shaky period. But, they’re kinda stuck at the quarterback position because their starter needs to retire now and the future starter probably isn’t ready to play. They have to find a way of navigating through that, which will almost certainly mean loading up Saquon Barkley and hope he can stay healthy for 16+ games. Then, they need to develop a passing attack which can thrive on play-action and feature players who can make plays down field. That might need the young guy to start games earlier and make use of his mobility if they want to avoid 2019 becoming a wasted year. The run defense is capable of being solid and should be stout enough to make it difficult for teams to run on them inside. If that proves to be true, they either need to find a pass-rush which masks the age deficiencies at the back-end, or get their young players playing above expectation early for the front to generate pressure. For that to happen they need to find combinations they like at the back-end and hope their certain recent draft picks at corner can separate themselves. At safety, a lot lies on 35 year old Antoine Bethea's ability to lock down the free safety spot which he manned for James Bettcher in Arizona. Predicted record 2019: 3-13 - It's a lumpy roster full of young guys and experienced journeymen vets who aren't married to the jersey. It's difficult to see how they shake themselves out of mediocrity for another year.
  11. Goldfish's Slightly Too Early 2019 Season Predictions - 27 up

    32. Miami Dolphins What’s New in 2019: Pretty much everything from the coaching side. They have a brand new first time head coach in Brian Flores, who climbed the ranks at the Patriots to become their unofficial defensive coordinator last year. There are first time coordinators in Chad O'Shea, the former Patriots wide receiver coach who will run the offense and Patrick Graham, who'll run the defense. Graham has been a long-time assistant at various stops and was most recently coaching the linebackers in Green Bay. Miami will also have a brand new starting quarterback, be it future HOF candidate Ryan Fitzpatrick or Josh Rosen who came onboard during the draft. Roster Strengths: Secondary – Three very serviceable names in the safety rotation right now in versatile Minkah Fitzpatrick Reshad Jones and TJ McDonald. That concentrated strength on an otherwise shallow roster suggests the latter could be traded before the reason starts. Xavien Howard is a potential lockdown corner on one side and Bobby McCain is a decent slot corner with some versatility to play safety. A third name at corner needs to emerge to put this crop among the better secondary groups in the NFL. Elsewhere - The interior defensive line has a potentially decent 1-2 punch in Devon Godchaux, who exceeded all expectations as a 5th round rookie last year, and new 1st rounder Christian Wilkins. Linebacker also has a potentially solid tandem in Jerome Baker and Raekwon McMillan, those two showing anything in order to see less of the grossly overpaid Kiko Alonso would be a good sign. The receiver spots have talent, but desperately needs to find a run of health of some consistency. Roster Weaknesses: Edge – Starting defensive ends right now are draft bust to date Charles Harris and one of a rotation of NFL fringe talent (Jonathan Woodard, Tank Carradine) looking to start opposite. It's not pretty. Offensive line – Right now the starting trio inside is likely to comprise of solid new rookie Michael Deiter (assuming he wins a job) entering his first NFL season, plus two of Chris Reed, Daniel Kilgore or Jesse Davis. Laremy Tunsil has been inconsistent, but has all-pro physical gifts at left tackle. The right side will be won in camp, but potentially in a ‘least-worst’ kinda way. Jordan Mills has built a whole career out of being the least worst option. Depth – This is a poorly constructed roster with a frightening lack of depth at most roster positions and little to protect Miami from potential decimation if injuries occur at key spots Breakout Player: Minkah Fitzpatrick – Perennial breakout candidates Devante Parker and Kenyan Drake could still surprise, but Fitzpatrick seems more likely to take a next step towards pro bowl level play entering his second season after a kinda solid first season where he was just moved around too often. How they can win in 2019: I think their best chance to win is in a scenario where Josh Rosen wins the starting quarterback job and deserves to do so. After that has happened, he needs to display the kind of talent which led some to believe he was the best quarterback in an exceptional quarterback class only one year ago. The offensive line will definitely need to play above expectations for that to happen and the new offensive scheme will probably have to shield them to help that get there. There is talent at receiver and a group with a nice complimentary skill-set if they can find an effective way to utilize it. Perhaps Mike Gesikcki can be that X-factor in his second season after a pretty miserable rookie year. The running game doesn't have an obvious volume back in its locker, so perhaps can find creative ways to use Kenyan Drake and Kalen Ballage as receivers. On defense, the coaching staff are going to have to be creative about creating pressure and the back-end will have to hold up at key spots for that to happen. The defense ranked 31st against the run in 2018 and the addition of Christian Wilkins will help, but his addition alone won't be a main solution or even what he's best at. Defensive players who were part of that problem last year, need to be a big of the solution in 2019. They don't have a choice. Predicted record 2019: 2-14 - The Dolphins haven't set themselves up to win in 2019 and it would be a minor miracle to see them do that on a regular basis. The new regime will need to light a fire underneath several under-performing talents on the roster for them to have success and have their own inexperience to overcome.
  12. Just for a bit of off-season fun, I've ranked every team by the quality of their coaching staff, the quality of their roster and their regular season schedule. Hope you guys enjoy it. Ranks 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. Detroit Lions 28. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 29. Oakland Raiders 30. Arizona Cardinals 31. New York Giants 32. Miami Dolphins
  13. NFL General Random Thoughts Thread

  14. Everything OTA's

    Pete Prisco OTA's Daniel Jones looking better than the corpse of Eli Manning = Those haters must now eat crow
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