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Aaron Rodgers Agrees To New Deal


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Just now, SpeightTheVillain said:

Cap guys break it down plz. 

Until we get a better idea of the structure, we can only speculate.  I would assume this tacks on another 4 years onto the deal, which means the signing bonus get prorated over the first five years (first three years of the new deal, and two years of the old deal).  His cap hit should go up this year.

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From the Contract thread:

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The fact that he has 2 years at 20/year won't be lost on the organization. 

Any new deal will factor that into the negotiations.  Assume we are going to "rip up his current deal" and pay him 6 years 32/year for a total of 192 Mil, instead we would pay him 6 years 178 mil because he has 2 years at 20 Mil on his current deal.

The money will get averaged out into the deal, and we can assign the cap $ how we like.

 

I'm much more worried that Cousins will reset the QB market at about $36 mil/year (20% of the cap) and Aaron will want about 25% of the cap (42 mil).  The best QBs are empirically worth 25% of the cap, potentially even more.  Cousins is going to change the NFL.

So yeah, Cousins didn't end up resetting the QB market or changing the NFL (outside of the fully GTD deal), and Rodgers didn't even earn much of a premium over Cousins.

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Leaving this here... These are the top QB contracts for the previous 5 biggest deals (Only Dalton signed, and at below a top guy rate in 2014).  Typically the top QBs are getting around 15% of the current total cap as their AAV.  Rodgers pushed that envelope a bit, and I'd expect he'll do the same again this time around ( for reference, the same cap % in 2018 would be 30.6 Mil aav)

 

I'll say this.  There's no fundamental reason that teams only want to spend 15% of the cap on QB.  They've been getting away with it, but it's hardly equitable from a pure economics standpoint as a player's agent.

Name Year Pos Team Age Length Total Avg Practical Gtd %Gtd Total cap year of signing AAV % of total cap 
Jimmy Garoppolo (2018-2022) 2018 QB SF 26 5 $137,500,000 $27,500,000 $74,100,000 53.89% $183,934,518 14.95%
Matthew Stafford (2017-2022) 2017 QB DET 30 5 $135,000,000 $27,000,000 $92,000,000 68.15% $175,074,000 15.42%
Andrew Luck (2016-2021) 2016 QB IND 28 5 $122,970,000 $24,594,000 $87,000,000 70.75% $163,439,000 15.05%
Russell Wilson (2015-2019) 2015 QB SEA 29 4 $87,600,000 $21,900,000 $61,542,000 70.25% $151,471,000 14.46%
Aaron Rodgers (2013-2019) 2013 QB GB 34 5 $110,000,000 $22,000,000 $54,000,000 49.09% $131,925,000 16.68%

 

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