bucsfan333 Posted December 24, 2018 Author Share Posted December 24, 2018 Ok. Let's look at the favorites and assume they all play out with no upsets. Week 16 Broncos @ Raiders Week 17 Dolphins @ Bills Lions @ Packers Jets @ Patriots Panthers @ Saints Jags @ Texans Cowboys @ Giants Falcons @ Bucs Raiders @ Chiefs Cardinals @ Seahawks 49ers @ Rams Chargers @ Broncos Bears @ Vikings Browns @ Ravens Eagles @ Redskins Bengals @ Steelers Colts @ Titans That puts the top of the draft as follows, treating ties as a half win to calculate win percentages. 1. Arizona Cardinals 3-13 (.525) 2. Oakland Raiders 3-13 (.550) 3. New York Jets 4-12 (.508) : 5-11, 7-9, 7-8-1, 5-11, 7-9, 10-6, 9-6-1, 11-5, 7-9, 5-11, 11-5, 9-7, 5-11, 11-5, 7-8-1, 11-5 New SOS: 127-126-3 (.502) 4. San Francisco 49ers 4-12 (.504) : 9-6-1, 5-11, 12-4, 12-4, 3-13, 7-8-1, 13-3, 3-13, 3-13, 5-11, 5-11, 10-6, 7-9, 10-6, 11-5, 13-3 New SOS: 128-126-2 (.504) 5. Detroit Lions 5-11 (.504) : 4-12, 4-12, 11-5, 10-6, 7-8-1, 7-9, 10-6, 9-6-1, 11-5, 6-10, 11-5, 13-3, 3-13, 5-11, 9-6-1, 7-8-1 New SOS: 127-125-4 (.504) 6. Buffalo Bills 5-11 (.525) : 10-6, 12-4, 9-6-1, 7-8-1, 9-7, 11-5, 10-6, 11-5, 11-5, 3-12, 5-11, 7-9, 4-12, 5-11, 11-5, 7-9 New SOS: 132-123-1 (.518) 7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 5-11 (.521) : 14-2, 9-7, 9-6-1, 11-5, 7-9, 7-8-1, 6-10, 6-10, 7-9, 5-11, 4-12, 6-10, 14-2, 10-6, 10-6, 7-9 New SOS: 132-122-2 (.520) 8. New York Giants 5-11 (.525) : 5-11, 10-6, 11-5, 14-2, 6-10, 9-7, 7-9, 7-9, 4-12, 5-11, 9-7, 11-5, 7-9, 9-7, 10-6, 10-6 New SOS: 134-122 (.523) 9. Jacksonville Jaguars 5-11 (.544) : 5-11, 11-5, 9-7, 4-12, 12-4, 10-6, 11-5, 9-7, 10-6, 9-6-1, 5-11, 10-6, 9-7, 7-9, 7-9, 11-5 New SOS: 139-117 (.543) 10. Carolina Panthers 6-10 11. Cincinnati Bengals 6-10 So just losing isn't enough to keep the six spot. The Jets and 49ers pulling off upsets week 17 doesn't help us at all. Even at 5-11, they'd each have a better (or worse) SOS. A Lions win @ Green Bay moves us up. And not having played either team doesn't help/hurt our SOS. Since both the Lions and Packers played Buffalo, it doesn't change their SOS either. So we slide back up to six and Buffalo slides up to five. If the Bills beat the Dolphins, we move up. Since we didn't play the Dolphins or the Bills, it doesn't change our SOS. The Lions played both the Bills and the Dolphins, so their SOS doesn't change either. So we would simply slide back up to six and the Lions would stay at five. Obviously, if they both win we move up to five. tl;dr - The worst we could do with a loss is fall to seven. The best we can probably hope for is to move up to five. I'm not going through all that to see what happens if we win. 😂 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scoundrel Posted December 24, 2018 Share Posted December 24, 2018 How has my boy Vea looked of late? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bucsfan333 Posted December 24, 2018 Author Share Posted December 24, 2018 30 minutes ago, Counselor said: How has my boy Vea looked of late? He moves people. If he played guard he'd be a monster in the run game. 😂 He actually slides off blockers a lot better now than he did a month or so ago. And it's showing on the stat sheet. He's getting pressure and pushing the pocket pretty well. And he's starting to become a huge factor in the run game; more than just holding his ground and making RBs pick a side. He's making tackles around the LOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scoundrel Posted December 24, 2018 Share Posted December 24, 2018 4 hours ago, bucsfan333 said: He moves people. If he played guard he'd be a monster in the run game. 😂 He actually slides off blockers a lot better now than he did a month or so ago. And it's showing on the stat sheet. He's getting pressure and pushing the pocket pretty well. And he's starting to become a huge factor in the run game; more than just holding his ground and making RBs pick a side. He's making tackles around the LOS. So he is finally comfortable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravishingone Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 50 minutes ago, Counselor said: So he is finally comfortable Vea has played extremely well. His rookie stats are comparable to the rookie yrs of Sapp and GMC. Considering the amt of time he missed to start the season that is pretty impressive. Hopefully the bust label or 2 down player is finally over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bucsfan333 Posted December 25, 2018 Author Share Posted December 25, 2018 If the Raiders shock the world and beat the Chiefs week 17, they could drop all the way to 10. Which means we now have a shot to move to four. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bucsfan333 Posted December 27, 2018 Author Share Posted December 27, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caaddy24 Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 1 hour ago, bucsfan333 said: ****, I feel like after the top 7 or 8 there's a big drop offs for D-lineman. Be nice to get the 7th at this point. With Herbert not coming out I'm not feeling any of the other QBs. I'm still hoping for a Derek Carr trade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deuces22wild Posted December 27, 2018 Share Posted December 27, 2018 Fingers crossed we stay inside the blue chip bracket. Is it just me or do we always seems to be one or two picks away from the higher end guys? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bucsfan333 Posted December 27, 2018 Author Share Posted December 27, 2018 42 minutes ago, deuces22wild said: Fingers crossed we stay inside the blue chip bracket. Is it just me or do we always seems to be one or two picks away from the higher end guys? Suh, AD, Megatron... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bucsfan333 Posted December 27, 2018 Author Share Posted December 27, 2018 Something else to consider. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lil' Shorty Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 3 hours ago, deuces22wild said: Fingers crossed we stay inside the blue chip bracket. Is it just me or do we always seems to be one or two picks away from the higher end guys? I mean we should be able to get a great player wherever we pick in the 1st, but for the guys being touted as top tier then a loss would help us get there. Williams, Oliver, Allen, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bucsfan333 Posted December 30, 2018 Author Share Posted December 30, 2018 It sure doesn't look like Oakland is gonna pull off the upset. Already. 😂 So we're gonna pick at five. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lil' Shorty Posted December 30, 2018 Share Posted December 30, 2018 Nick Bosa Josh Allen Quinnen Williams Ed Oliver Jonah Williams We’ll get a blue chip lineman if we want one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bucsfan333 Posted December 30, 2018 Author Share Posted December 30, 2018 5 minutes ago, Lil' Shorty said: Nick Bosa Josh Allen Quinnen Williams Ed Oliver Jonah Williams We’ll get a blue chip lineman if we want one. Gotta think a QB goes in there somewhere too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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