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Hunter2_1

2018 Regular Season Awards/Summary

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Posted (edited)

+

Team MVP

Best Offensive Player

Best Defensive Player

Coach (or assistant) of the Year

Rookie of the Year

Best Individual Performance of the Year

Player Who Surprised/Pleased You The Most 

Best Game of the Year (team)

Best Moment/Play of the Year

-

Most Disappointing Player 

Biggest Drop-off From Preceding Years

Worst Game of the Year

Worst Moment of the Year

What Would You Say Our Krypotine(s) Has Been?

 

Your Expected Record Going Into The Season?

How Would You Rate This Season (out of 10)?

How Confident Are You For Our Playoff Chances, and How Far Do We Go?

 

 

Edited by Hunter2_1

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Posted (edited)

+

Team MVP

Tom Brady

Best Offensive Player

Tom Brady

Best Defensive Player

Stephon Gillmore

Coach (or assistant) of the Year

Dante Scarnecchia

Rookie of the Year

Sony Michel

Best Individual Performance of the Year

James White vs CHI - 40 yards on 11 carries / 57 yards and 2 TDs on 8 rec

James White vs GB - 31 yards on 12 carries 2 TDs / 72 yards on 6 rec

Tom Brady vs MIA - 358 yards 3 TDs 0 Int

Player Who Surprised/Pleased You The Most 

J.C. Jackson, or Bentley before injury

Best Game of the Year (team)

vs Kansas City. I know we gave up a ton, but we absolutely needed that kind of night.

vs Colts second

Best Moment/Play of the Year

Brady threading the needle to Gronk for the TD vs NYJ

Josh Gordon catch vs CHI

-

Most Disappointing Player 

Rob Gronkowski

Biggest Drop-off From Preceding Years

Rob Gronkowski

Worst Game of the Year

at Tennessee

Worst Moment of the Year

Most will say Miracle in Miami but I'm going for a few of Tom's throws vs TEN. Just looked a completely different QB.

What Would You Say Our Kryptonite(s) Has Been?

Florida. Or just inconsistency defending run.

 

 

Your Expected Record Going Into The Season?

12-4

How Would You Rate This Season (out of 10)?

6

How Confident Are You For Our Playoff Chances, and How Far Do We Go?

If we avoid BAL, I think we make the AFC CG, but we will not win in Arrowhead. Another AFC CG exit away from home

 

LFG!

Edited by Hunter2_1

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Team MVP

Tom Brady

Best Offensive Player

Tom Brady

Best Defensive Player

Stephon Gilmore

Coach (or assistant) of the Year

Ivan Fears

Rookie of the Year

Sony Michel

Best Individual Performance of the Year

Albert McClellan - 2 blocked punts vs. Miami (I know one was a "deflection" because it went like one yard, but screw that)

Player Who Surprised/Pleased You The Most 

Cordarrelle Patterson

Best Game of the Year (team)

New England 38-24 Indianapolis - The score doesn't reflect it, but that game was over when it started and it was great to watch.

Best Moment/Play of the Year

Tom Brady TD run to beat the Chiefs

Most Disappointing Player 

Rob Gronkowski

Biggest Drop-off From Preceding Years

Rob Gronkowski

Worst Game of the Year

Miami 34-33 New England

Worst Moment of the Year

Miami.

What Would You Say Our Krypotine(s) Has Been?

Run Defense

Your Expected Record Going Into The Season?

12-4

How Would You Rate This Season (out of 10)?

7

How Confident Are You For Our Playoff Chances, and How Far Do We Go?

KC might be the only ones in our way.

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Team MVP: Tom Brady

Best Offensive Player: James White

Best Defensive Player: Trey Flowers

Coach (or assistant) of the Year: Dante Scarnecchia

Rookie of the Year: Sony Michel

Best Individual Performance of the Year: Cordarelle Patterson versus Green Bay

Player Who Surprised/Pleased You The Most: John Simon

Best Game of the Year (team): Week 5 win versus Colts in Foxborough

Best Moment/Play of the Year: Cordarelle Patterson resurgence be it a kick return or rushing attempt.

-

Most Disappointing Player: Chris Hogan

Biggest Drop-off From Preceding Years: Adrian Clayborn

Worst Game of the Year: Week 3 loss versus Lions in Detroit

Worst Moment of the Year: Josh Gordon indefinite suspension by NFL announced for violation of drug policy

What Would You Say Our Krypotine(s) Has Been?: Ego

Your Expected Record Going Into The Season?: 11-5/12-4

How Would You Rate This Season (out of 10)? 7/10

How Confident Are You For Our Playoff Chances, and How Far Do We Go? Any team is capable of winning this year from either conference, but with home field advantage and a solid running game, I am confident overall in the Patriots ability to win the Super Bowl although less confident than in recent years.

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Team MVP Tom Brady

Best Offensive Player Tom Brady

Best Defensive Player Stephon Gilmore

Coach (or assistant) of the Year Dante Scarnecchia

Rookie of the Year Sony Michel

Best Individual Performance of the Year Brady vs Miami

Player Who Surprised/Pleased You The Most Lawrence Guy

Best Game of the Year (team) vs Minnesota (home)

Best Moment/Play of the Year BB screams at Thielen

-

Most Disappointing Player Gronkowski

Biggest Drop-off From Preceding Years Gronkowski

Worst Game of the Year at Tennessee

Worst Moment of the Year Miami miracle

What Would You Say Our Krypotine(s) Has Been? mental toughness

 

Your Expected Record Going Into The Season? 12-4

How Would You Rate This Season (out of 10)? 6

How Confident Are You For Our Playoff Chances, and How Far Do We Go? actually pretty confident. Reasons are Brady I think will play well in the playoffs and this defense reminds me of 2014-2016. I think NE will win the AFC. Super Bowl no idea but think we got a decent shot.

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Posted (edited)

Team MVP

Tom Brady

Best Offensive Player

Shaq Mason

Best Defensive Player

Trey Flowers

Coach (or assistant) of the Year

Dante Scarnecchia

Rookie of the Year

Sony Michel/J.C. Jackson

Best Individual Performance of the Year

Trey Flowers week 1 v. Texans; Brady week 6 v. KC

Player Who Surprised/Pleased You The Most 

J.C. Jackson

Best Game of the Year (team)

Week 13 v. Minnesota

Best Moment/Play of the Year

Josh Gordon catching Brady's 500th TD pass

 

Most Disappointing Player 

Gronk, Hightower

Biggest Drop-off From Preceding Years

Gronk, Hightower

Worst Game of the Year

@Pittsburgh (I know they had worse performances overall, but I just really, really hate losing to the Steelers)

Worst Moment of the Year

Miami "Miracle"

What Would You Say Our Krypotine(s) Has Been?

Teams that can run the ball effectively.

Your Expected Record Going Into The Season?

10-6

How Would You Rate This Season (out of 10)?

6

How Confident Are You For Our Playoff Chances, and How Far Do We Go?

Lose in AFCCG against either KC or SD

Edited by Starless

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9 hours ago, Starless said:

How Confident Are You For Our Playoff Chances, and How Far Do We Go?

Lose in AFCCG against either KC or SD

I agree that we would be favoured to lose at KC but our pass rush and secondary could do enough to limit the number of scores the offence needs. I am a bit more hopeful that we could get the win over Los Angeles at home (I almost wrote San Diego too.) 

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Team MVP

Tom Brady

Best Offensive Player

James White

Best Defensive Player

Stephon Gilmore

Coach (or assistant) of the Year

Brian Flores (to be different from the obvious answer)

Rookie of the Year

Sony Michel

Best Individual Performance of the Year

 

Player Who Surprised/Pleased You The Most 

JC Jackson/Cordarelle Patterson

Best Game of the Year (team)

Beating the Bears away

Best Moment/Play of the Year

Brady threading the needle to Gronk (I was at the game - my second ever trip across the Pond to watch the team). If only there were a few more suhc moments - it was all more wistful for its rarity

-

Most Disappointing Player 

Chris Hogan

Biggest Drop-off From Preceding Years

Rob Gronkowski

Worst Game of the Year

Inexplicably losing so badly to Detroit 

Worst Moment of the Year

The Miami Miracle - I saw it once on Redzone after I assumed the game was over and have not been back since. 

What Would You Say Our Kryptonite(s) Has Been?

Running QBs or maybe running backs on the outside - basically our edge defence due to slow linebackers. 

Your Expected Record Going Into The Season?

12-4 (13-3 on my more homerish days)

How Would You Rate This Season (out of 10)?

8/10 to be honest - we're healthy and got the bye. Downers being the WR position and Gronk's decline. 

How Confident Are You For Our Playoff Chances, and How Far Do We Go?

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Posted (edited)

After looking at the analytics, I have some new answers (though I'm still good with my old ones):

Team MVP

Tom Brady

New Answer: Tom Brady

Brady's WAR this season was +1.81 (+1.54 passing*, +0.27 rushing), the best on the offense because he's the quarterback.

*Passing WAR in this case is the WAR added by passes Brady threw - it doesn't separate him from his receivers or whatever, and rushing WAR doesn't separate him from his blockers or scheme or anything.

Best Offensive Player

Tom Brady

New Answer: Brady

See above. Brady wasn't up to his usual standards, but that's still damn good.

Best Defensive Player

Stephon Gilmore

New Answer: Gilmore

I haven't managed to find enough publicly-available numbers for defensive players to track their WAR, but Gilmore was a first-team AP All-Pro (and PFF All-Pro, as if that's worth anything).

Coach (or assistant) of the Year

Ivan Fears

New Answer: Fears

I'm very confident that Fears has been a big part of the team's rushing success this season, which would have only been better if Jeremy Hill didn't tear his ACL Week 1.

Rookie of the Year

Sony Michel

New Answer: Michel and J.C. Jackson

I'm going with a tie here. The analytics, or my model at least, didn't really like Michel's season too much, as it spat out a modest +0.25 WAR rushing and receiving (again, this doesn't separate from blockers, scheme, quarterback, other receivers, defensive mistakes, etc. - it's the WAR added on the plays he had the ball). I think this probably reflects the fact that like, half the long runs he had got called back for something. Jackson, on the other hand, is the No. 2 now in a legitimately championship secondary who gave up a passer rating of something like 42. FORTY-TWO.

Player Who Surprised/Pleased You The Most 

Cordarrelle Patterson

New Answer: Patterson

The analytics backed up my original thought. The Patriots' WAR on Patterson's touches was +0.57, including a team-best +0.0168 WAR per target. That figure looks small, but it's insane. For reference, Edelman had a WAR of +0.003 per target, while Josh Gordon (leading WAR receiver) had +0.008 WAR per target. Patterson lapped the field, and he could be a huge key to playoff success.

Most Disappointing Player 

Rob Gronkowski

New Answer: Jacob Hollister

Going with the other tight end now. I hoped Hollister would build on his experience this year as the young, athletic receiving TE2, but he really didn't. He caught four passes all season, for a WAR of +0.02. I expected so much more.

 

Edited by AlNFL19
Michel WAR was wrong

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