Woz Posted April 26, 2018 Share Posted April 26, 2018 23 hours ago, Skinsin2013 said: Injuries and bullpen... Murphy, Eaton, Rendon. Kelley to the DL now. Isn't just injuries. The guys who are playing are playing a bit like poo. 23 hours ago, Skinsin2013 said: Some good news... Baseball America's first "Hot Sheet" (hottest players in the minors) was led by Juan Soto. He was just promoted to High A baseball. He's only 19 and had 5 dingers in 16 games. Between Soto and Robles, there's good things to come... at least in the Nats' outfield. Which will likely soften the impending loss of Harper in terms of on-field performance. The PR/fan reaction will still be rough, though. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeezy Fanatic Posted May 3, 2018 Share Posted May 3, 2018 Nats starting to play some better baseball and on a 4 game win streak. Meanwhile, the Mets are coming back down to Earth and they got dealt some bad news with a Jacob deGrom injury last night. 4 games back now of the division leading Braves. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lavar703 Posted May 3, 2018 Share Posted May 3, 2018 On 4/26/2018 at 12:56 PM, Woz said: Isn't just injuries. The guys who are playing are playing a bit like poo. Which will likely soften the impending loss of Harper in terms of on-field performance. The PR/fan reaction will still be rough, though. Harper isn’t going anywhere. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Woz Posted May 3, 2018 Share Posted May 3, 2018 2 hours ago, Jeezy Fanatic said: Nats starting to play some better baseball and on a 4 game win streak. Meanwhile, the Mets are coming back down to Earth and they got dealt some bad news with a Jacob deGrom injury last night. 4 games back now of the division leading Braves. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeezy Fanatic Posted May 3, 2018 Share Posted May 3, 2018 Was looking at stats today, and evidently Bryce's BABIP is less than his batting average. Not sure I've ever seen that before, seems like maybe a chance for some correction to a higher average. CC: @Slateman Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slateman Posted May 3, 2018 Share Posted May 3, 2018 9 minutes ago, Jeezy Fanatic said: Was looking at stats today, and evidently Bryce's BABIP is less than his batting average. Not sure I've ever seen that before, seems like maybe a chance for some correction to a higher average. CC: @Slateman https://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2010/4/21/1436058/batting-average-babip-redux TL;DR version: Home runs don't count on BABIP. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Woz Posted May 3, 2018 Share Posted May 3, 2018 Just now, Slateman said: https://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2010/4/21/1436058/batting-average-babip-redux TL;DR version: Home runs don't count on BABIP. whaaaaa??? The theory being since it left the park, it was never in play? That's ... somewhat nutty. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slateman Posted May 3, 2018 Share Posted May 3, 2018 58 minutes ago, Woz said: whaaaaa??? The theory being since it left the park, it was never in play? That's ... somewhat nutty. Sacrifice flies don't count toward batting average either, but they do count in BABIP. BABIP is supposed to be a way to determine if hitters are getting lucky. Home runs aren't considered luck. The theory that is the conditions weren't favorable, hitting it that hard would have resulted in a hit anyway. But this was supposed to determine who was getting lucky by a ball sneaking through a defense that wasn't aligned right, or had a fielder with less range than another. Some of this is valid. I seriously doubt Jed Lowrie is going to sustain a .374 BABIP over the course of a season. But that doesn't mean that everyone with a higher BABIP than batting average is simply getting lucky. Speed tends to offset these results somewhat. Guy put it play, it just happened to be a weak ground back to third. For 95%, it's an out. But because Dee Gordon is fast as hell, he' beats it out. He can sustain that higher BABIP so long as his legs hold out. Speed never slumps. The same can be true of really good hitters. Jose Altuve has absurdly high BABIP. Yes, he's fast, but he also consistently hits balls hard and hits line drives. Same with Miguel Cabrrera (the hitting the ball hard and line drives part ... not the fast part). Guy is simply a really good hitter who consistently makes good contact with a good launch angle. But generally speaking, large disparities between BABIP and batting average are usually the result of some luck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Woz Posted May 3, 2018 Share Posted May 3, 2018 Just now, Slateman said: Sacrifice flies don't count toward batting average either, but they do count in BABIP. Which makes sense for BABIP (you put the ball in play) and sort of does when you realize that batting average was designed by a British guy who knew cricket and tried to apply math to a similar sport. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeezy Fanatic Posted May 3, 2018 Share Posted May 3, 2018 5 game win streak, 4 game sweep of the Pirates, and back to .500 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Woz Posted May 3, 2018 Share Posted May 3, 2018 Just now, Jeezy Fanatic said: 5 game win streak, 4 game sweep of the Pirates, and back to .500 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtle28 Posted May 4, 2018 Author Share Posted May 4, 2018 So the Nats sweep a team who might be worse than the Reds - who they swept to open the season and gave us false hope. Color me skeptical Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeezy Fanatic Posted May 4, 2018 Share Posted May 4, 2018 6 hours ago, turtle28 said: So the Nats sweep a team who might be worse than the Reds - who they swept to open the season and gave us false hope. Color me skeptical The Pirates were like 17-12 before this series? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtle28 Posted May 5, 2018 Author Share Posted May 5, 2018 13 hours ago, Jeezy Fanatic said: The Pirates were like 17-12 before this series? Oh ok, I thought they were worse. I follow baseball like Hockey... from a far until the playoffs/World Series. I never watch an entire baseball game from the 1st to the 9th, too boring. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jeezy Fanatic Posted May 6, 2018 Share Posted May 6, 2018 Nice comeback win today. Nats take 2 of 3 from the Philthies and now only 2 games back in the division. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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