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Packers "Treshold" Players


rcon14

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This will be a thread that I will update when I can properly filter guys through, and the times come in (still waiting on DB times for some drills today). This will be updated with pro days as well (at least as much as I can), and your help would be appreciated in making sure I don't let anyone fall through the cracks. The list of guys that clear will likely expand pretty significantly once pro days occur (a lot of guys don't run 40s, especially don't run 3-cones and shuttles, until their pro day).

QB: GB doesn't have a long list here, mostly guys who are not super short, and also have some mobility. This is probably the least confident position for the thresholds.
Thresholds: 6'1'', 4.8 40
Players: Jake Browning, Ryan Finley, Nick Fitzgerald, Tyree Jackson, Drew Lock, Easton Stick, Jordan Ta'amu, Clayton Thorson

RB: Two types of RB, the big bruiser and the regular ZBS back.
Thresholds: 205 lbs, 4.65 40, 7.0 3-cone
Players: Ryquell Armstead, Alex Barnes, Miles Sanders, Dexter Williams

WR: GB isn't likely to draft your favorite tiny WR. Consistently targeted big-athletic WRs.
Thresholds: 5117 height, 4.6 40, 7.1 3-cone
Players: Miles Boykin, Ashton Dulin, Bisi Johnson, DaMarkus Lodge, Terry McLaurin, Stanley Morgan, David Sills, Cody Thompson

TE: Just straight-line speed thresholds here.
Thresholds: 4.7 40
Players; Noah Fant, TJ Hockenson, Alize Mack, Foster Morequ, Josh Oliver, Irv Smith, Kahale Warring, Caleb Wilson

OL: This one may have changed because Cole Madison did not fit. Not willing to junk it though after about 15 years of consistency.
Thresholds: 7.7 3-cone, 4.75 shuttle
Players: Paul Adams, Ryan Bates, Garrett Bradbury, Shaq Calhoun, Andre Dillard, Hjalte Froholdt, Chris Lindstrom, Kaleb McGary, Connor McGovern, Trey Pipkins, Dalton Risner

EDGE: This is where I used the formulas. GB has largely drafted high-end athletes (except for Fackrell who was putrid).
Thresholds: -1.21 Speed 40, -.65 Agility
Players: Ben Banogu, Nick Bosa, Brian Burns, John Cominsky, Maxx Crosby, Jamal Davis, Rashan Gary, Montez Sweat, Chase Winovich, Josh Allen

IDL: Same formulas. GB has done very well when they've stuck to the thresholds and really bad when they've strayed.
Thresholds: -.3 Speed 40, .08 Agility
Players: Khalen Saunders, Renell Wren

LB: Not a lot of draft capital used here, generally like bigger guys who move well but don't want to spend high draft capital on them. Oren Burks in the 3rd was the highest pick GB has spent on an OBLB since AJ Hawk. Probably should get Devin White and Devin Bush out of your mocks. GB doesn't value the position.
Thresholds: 4.8 40, 7.2 3-cone
Players: Dakota Allen, Cody Barton, Ben Burr-Kirven, Devin Bush, Blake Cashman, Ryan Connelly, Justin Hollins, Sione Takitaki, Drue Tranquill, Devin White

DB: Jaire stretched the height threshold a bit, but GB doesn't like tiny CBs. Like other positions, they want big guys who can move. Both CB and S seem to be similar so no distinction is shown here. HHCD and Quinten Rollins broke from these, so there's a chance the DB thresholds are a little less limiting than other positions.
Thresholds: 5102 Height, 4.57 40, 6.85 3C
Players: Devante Davis, Amani Hooker, Isaiah Johnson, Justin Layne, Amani Oruwariye, David Long, Ken Webster, Julian Love, Alijah Holder, Corey Ballentine

 

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Just now, Arthur Penske said:

Did anything change with MM? Could anything change with MLF?

I don't think it's a coaching thing, I think it's a FO philosophy thing. Especially since they both use ZBS primarily (OL would seem to be the big one that could change), I wouldn't expect anything to change. 

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6 minutes ago, Fl0nkerton said:

How important is arm length for the Guard position?

Froholdt had the shortest at the combine, but other than that he tested well.

I have no idea if I'm being honest.

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1 hour ago, rcon14 said:

OL: This one may have changed because Cole Madison did not fit. Not willing to junk it though after about 15 years of consistency.
Thresholds: 7.7 3-cone, 4.75 shuttle
Players: Paul Adams, Ryan Bates, Garrett Bradbury, Shaq Calhoun, Andre Dillard, Hjalte Froholdt, Chris Lindstrom, Kaleb McGary, Connor McGovern, Trey Pipkins, Dalton Risner

I would add 10 yard split (less than 1.8) to this threshold as well.  Risner falls outside of that, the rest are within that.

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26 minutes ago, Fl0nkerton said:

How important is arm length for the Guard position?

Very small sample size on guys short of 32", but not a lot of success.  More than a few successful guards and centers below 33" though: both Pounceys, Lindley, Pugh, DeCastro, etc.

It matters less the closer you are to the ball, but it's a bit concerning.  Less so than "he has so little experience" though.

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This what I had for the OL thresholds. Had it saved in my excel spreadsheet for a number years. If I remember correctly I've found all drafted OL fell within those thresholds except Madison who was ever so slightly over some of the measures that it probably made little difference to our opinion of him at the time. The undrafted ones tend to fall outside some of these measures especially Lane Taylor but we do try out best to find undrafted players as close as possible to the thresholds. Basically if there is a group of guys within those thresholds you can pretty much guarantee they are on our list. Draft rumors, visits, combine interviews of OL more often than not tend to include OL that just so happens to be the same names on the list.

TT's OL Athletic Thresholds	
Height	        Between 6'3" and 6'6"
Weight	        under 325lbs
40 Time	        < 5.30s
Short Shuttle	< 4.85s
3 Cone	        < 7.85s
Vertical	at least 25"
Bench	        least 23

 

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2 hours ago, Chili said:

 


TT's OL Athletic Thresholds	
Height	        Between 6'3" and 6'6"
Weight	        under 325lbs
40 Time	        < 5.30s
Short Shuttle	< 4.85s
3 Cone	        < 7.85s
Vertical	at least 25"
Bench	        least 23

 

Voila:

Prospect Name School Height Weight Arm L Reps 40 20 Vert Broad Shuttle Three Cone
Adams, Paul Missouri 6' 6" 317 33 1/2 16 5.18 4.74 27 103   7.68
Bailey, Zack South Carolina 6' 5" 299 33.00 24 - - 28 103   -
Bars, Alex Notre Dame 6' 6" 312 32 3/4 - - - -     -
Barton, Jackson Utah 6' 7" 310 34.00 25 5.18 4.66 27 109   7.85
Bates, Ryan Penn St. 6' 4" 304 32 1/2 28 5.09 4.53 27 102   7.45
Benzschawel, Beau Wisconsin 6' 6" 309 33 3/8 20 5.24 - -     -
Bradbury, Garrett N.C. State 6' 3" 306 31 3/4 34 4.92 4.53 31 104   7.41
Cajuste, Yodny West Virginia 6' 5 312 34.00 32 - - - -   -
Calhoun, Shaq Mississippi St. 6' 2" 310 33 1/8 26 5.07 4.62 28.5 105   7.46
Daley, Dennis South Carolina 6' 5" 317 33 3/8 20 5.23 4.92 26.5 103   7.95
Davis, Nate North Carolina Charlotte 6' 3" 316 33 1/8 23 5.23 4.83 26 107   7.94
Deiter, Michael Wisconsin 6' 5" 309 33 1/8 21 5.23 4.81 28 105   7.88
Dillard, Andre Washington St. 6' 5" 315 33 1/2 24 4.96 4.4 29 118   7.44
Edoga, Chuma USC 6 '3" 308 34 3/4 21 5.19 - - -   -
Edwards, David Wisconsin 6' 6" 308 33 3/8 - 5.28 4.77 25.5 99   7.69
Evans, Bobby Oklahoma 6' 4" 312 34 3/4 22 5.20 - - -   -
Ford, Cody Oklahoma 6' 4" 329 34.00 19 5.21 4.87 28.5 104   8.27
Froholdt, Hjalte Arkansas 6' 5" 306 31 1/4 31 5.20 4.54 27.5 105   7.51
Gaillard, Lamont Georgia 6' 3" 305 33 1/2 - - - - -   -
Gray, Derwin Maryland 6' 4" 320 34 3/8 26 5.26 - - 90   -
Greene, Donnell Minnesota 6' 5" 335 35 1/4 - - - - -   -
Greenidge, Ethan Villanova 6' 4" 327 34 3/4 - - - - -   -
Haynes, Phil Wake Forest 6 '4" 322 33 1/2 33 5.20 4.95 31 108   7.76
Herbig, Nate Stanford 6' 3" 335 33 1/4 29 5.41 5.04 24 90   8.15
Howard, Tytus Alabama St. 6' 5" 322 34.00 21 5.05 4.87 29.5 103   8.34
Hyatt, Mitch Clemson 6' 5" 303 34 1/8 28 - 4.52 25.5 102   7.72
Ivey, Martez Florida 6' 5" 315 36 1/4 - - - - -   -
James, Andre UCLA 6' 4" 299 32.00 21 5.32 4.84 29 105   8
Jenkins, Elgton Mississippi St. 6' 4" 310 34.00 29 - 4.62 28 109   7.77
Johnson, Devon Ferris St. 6' 7" 338 34 3/4 26 5.16 5.28 - 89   8.34
Johnson, Fred Florida 6' 7" 326 34.00 - - - - -   -
Jones, Tyler N.C. State 6' 3" 306 33 3/4 23 - 4.82 31.5 111   7.75
Jordan, Mike Ohio St. 6' 6" 312 34 1/4 19 5.27 4.71 32.5 116   7.71
Knight, Brandon Indiana 6' 4" 314 34.00 - - - - -   -
Lindstrom, Chris Boston College 6' 4" 308 34 1/8 25 4.91 4.54 30.5 117   7.61
Little, Greg Mississippi 6' 5" 310 35 1/4 - 5.33 4.74 25 113   -
McCoy, Erik Texas A&M 6' 4" 303 33.00 29 4.89 4.62 31 107   8.28
McGary, Kaleb Washington 6' 7" 317 32 7/8 23 5.05 4.58 33.5 111   7.66
McGovern, Connor Penn St. 6' 5" 308 34 1/8 28 - 4.57 - 112   7.66
Miles, Joshua Morgan St. 6' 5" 314 35 5/8 - 5.32 4.75 36 109   8.07
Nijman, Yosh Virginia Tech 6' 7" 324 34.00 27 - 4.5 - 114   8.07
Opeta, Sua Weber St. 6' 4" 301 33 1/4 39 5.02 4.94 33 112   8.06
Patterson, Javon Mississippi 6' 3" 307 32 1/2 27 5.13 4.78 27.5 98   7.72
Pierschbacher, Ross Alabama 6' 4" 307 32 1/8 20 5.20 4.7 22.5 -   7.83
Pipkins, Trey Sioux Falls 6' 6" 309 33 7/8 16 5.12 4.7 33.5 114   7.61
Pope, Ryan San Diego St. 6' 7" 320 34 1/4 25 - - - -   -
Powers, Ben Oklahoma 6' 4" 307 33 3/4 21 - - - -   -
Prince, Isaiah Ohio St. 6' 6" 305 35 1/2 23 5.09 5.02 27 115   7.9
Risner, Dalton Kansas St. 6' 5" 312 34.00 23 5.30 4.52 28.5 110   7.69
Roemer, Tyler San Diego St. 6' 6" 312 33 7/8 18 5.21 4.76 30.5 108   7.75
Samia, Dru Oklahoma 6' 5" 305 33.00 28 5.29 4.7 27.5 101   7.89
Scharping, Max Northern Illinois 6' 6" 327 33 5/8 27 - 4.69 28 108   7.77
Sweet, William North Carolina 6' 6" 313 34 3/8 23 5.27 5 30.5 111   8.01
Tate, Trevon Memphis 6' 2" 293 32 3/8 22 - - - -   -
Taylor, Jawaan Florida 6' 5" 312 35 1/8 24 - - - -   -
Udoh, Oli Elon 6' 5" 323 35 3/8 26 5.05 5.05 28.5 105   7.88
Williams, Jonah Alabama 6' 4" 302 33 5/8 23 5.12 4.79 28 100   8.01
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