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drfrey13

Post Combine Mock Off-season

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Figured I would do this and one more before the draft.  Limited on time so there will not be a lot of explanations but feel free to discuss, criticize, or say good job.

FA

Adam Humphries (WR) accepted your 4 year offer for $7,000,000 per year
Trenton Brown (OT) accepted your 5 year offer for $14,500,000 per year
Trey Flowers (EDGE) accepted your 5 year offer for $12,500,000 per year
Denzel Perryman (LB) accepted your 5 year offer for $8,500,000 per year
Le'Veon Bell (RB) accepted your 5 year offer for $14,400,000 per year
Darqueze Dennard (CB) accepted your 3 year offer for $9,500,000 per year
Steven Nelson (CB) accepted your 4 year offer for $6,500,000 per year
 
Draft
 
4: R1P4
 
EDGE JOSH ALLEN
KENTUCKY
Insert Montez Sweat here if you like.  Q was gone so without a trade back I will pick the best DE/Edge
 
24: R1P24
 
LB DEVIN WHITE

LSU

Do not know how but I will not argue with the computer.  Would also take Bush if White is gone.

 
 
27: R1P27
 
DL DEXTER LAWRENCE
CLEMSON
Nobody should have an issue putting this big body next to Hurst.
 
35: R2P3
 
TE T.J. HOCKENSON
IOWA
The reason why I did not try and resign Cook.  Still have enough money to do that also.
 
66: R3P2
 
S JOHNATHAN ABRAM
MISSISSIPPI STATE
 
 
106: R4P4
 
WR MILES BOYKIN
NOTRE DAME
 
 
141: R5P3
 
WR DeMarcus Lodge
OLE MISS
 
 
196: R6P23
 
EDGE CARL GRANDERSON
WYOMING
 
 
218: R7P4
 
OT TREY PIPKINS

SIOUX FALLS

 
1 Derek Carr QB 28 2023 $22,500,000
2 Trenton Brown LT 26   $14,500,000
3 Le'Veon Bell RB 27   $14,400,000
4 Trey Flowers DE 26   $12,500,000
5 Rodney Hudson C 30 2020 $10,017,000
6 Darqueze Dennard CB     $9,500,000
7 Denzel Perryman ILB 25   $8,500,000
8 Adam Humphries WR 26   $7,000,000
9 Gabe Jackson G 28 2023 $7,000,000
10 Steve Nelson CB     $6,500,000
11 Josh Allen DE     $5,662,506
12 Jordy Nelson WR 34 2020 $5,368,750
13 A.J. McCarron QB 28 2020 $5,000,000
14 Justin Ellis DT 28 2021 $4,750,000
15 Tahir Whitehead OLB 29 2021 $4,291,666
16 Karl Joseph SS 25 2021 $3,781,374
17 Jalen Richard RB 25 2020 $3,095,000
18 Daryl Worley CB 24 2020 $3,095,000
19 Kolton Miller LT 23 2023 $3,061,664
20 Gareon Conley CB 24 2022 $2,854,752
21 Lee Smith TE 31 2021 $2,616,666
22 Devin White SLB     $2,157,018
23 Dexter Lawrence NT     $2,077,948
24 Erik Harris S 29 2020 $2,025,000
25 Derek Carrier TE 29 2021 $1,700,000
26 Denzell Good RT 28 2020 $1,675,000
27 TJ Hockenson TE     $1,419,021
28 P.J. Hall DT 24 2022 $1,069,154
29 Brandon Parker T 23 2022 $930,758
30 Andrew DePaola LS 32 2022 $905,000
31 Eddie Vanderdoes DT 24 2021 $869,303
32 Arden Key DE 23 2022 $829,439
33 DeAndre Washington RB 26 2020 $787,302
34 Jonathan Abram S     $776,210
35 Nick Nelson CB 22 2022 $744,670
36 Marquel Lee ILB 23 2021 $708,423
37 Miles Boykin WR     $689,084
38 Maurice Hurst DT 24 2022 $649,761
39 Nicholas Morrow OLB 24 2020 $647,500
40 David Sharpe T 23 2021 $645,000
41 Nathan Peterman QB 25 2020 $645,000
42 James Cowser OLB 28 2020 $645,000
43 Denver Kirkland G 25 2020 $645,000
44 Gabe Wright DT 27 2020 $645,000
45 Johnny Townsend P 24 2022 $624,388
46 DeMarcus Lodge WR     $580,080
47 Keon Hatcher WR 24 2020 $570,000
48 Carl Granderson DE     $535,433
49 Trey Pipkins OT     $521,995
50 Sutton Smith DE     $515,707
51 Eddy Piniero K 23 2021 $503,333
52 Chris Warren RB 23 2021  
  Total       $183,730,905
  Cap        $  194,158,000
  Cap Space      

 $    10,427,095

 

 
QB Carr McCarron Peterman  
RB Bell Ricard Warren Washington
WR Nelson Lodge    
TE Hockenson Smith Carrier  
LT Brown Parker    
LG Jackson Sharpe    
C Hudson      
RG Good Kirkland    
RT Miller Pipkins    
WR Humphries      
WR Boykin Hatcher    
         
         
DE Flowers Key    
DT Hurst Hall Vanderdoes  
NT Lawrence Ellis Wright  
DE Allen Granderson Smith  
SLB White Cowser    
MLB Perryman Lee    
WLB Whitehead Morrow    
CB Dennard Nelson Nelson  
S Joseph Harris    
S Abram      
CB Conley Worley    
         
         
P        
K        
LS      

 

 

 

So many ways this team can go this off-season we do not need to panic.  We just need to be strategically aggressive in FA and let the draft fall to us.  Enjoy

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Would be amazing but these computer mocks are useless and these players don’t fall. Can’t wait for FA and the draft!

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Would be a great draft, but I don't see any chance of most of those players falling. 

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44 minutes ago, Blazer026 said:

Would be a great draft, but I don't see any chance of most of those players falling. 

If I could do trades I was thinking about trading down from 4 to 6 getting Sweat, draft Bush at 24, Lawrence at 27, combining the draft capital from the trade down with 35 to take either Iowa TE.  This is a much more possible draft and we still end up with a great edge, LBer, NT, and TE.  I actually think that Sweat might put on some weight before his pro day and get in the conversation with Allen.  I do not know if Sweat just has a hard time putting on weight but he looks like he skips leg day a couple times a week.

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I don't think a single player will be there where you are picking them. It would be an A+ off season but there's no way we bring in that many big names and that prospect pool.

Like the effort though. 

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57 minutes ago, BayRaider said:

Would be amazing but these computer mocks are useless and these players don’t fall. Can’t wait for FA and the draft!

Some players fall every year.  Hurst is a prime example.  Simmons could fall or just barely get out of the 1st.  If he is a top ten talent taking him at 27 would be a smart move since we are not trying to make the playoffs next year.  Would be like trading 27th this year for 2 late firsts next year value wise.  I would seriously consider him at 35 and not question at 66.

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Sorry mate, but it is just super unrealistic IMO...the draft I mean, since you did with a draft gen. it is not on you :)

Allen and maybe Dexter are realistic, but the rest is pipedream IMO...I can't understand why are these draft simulators this bad...

 

On the FA moves:

-I don't like the 14,5M for Brown... way too much for an unproven "system" OT IMO

 

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So on the subject of mock drafts and players dropping I took a random mock draft done less than a week before the draft and compared the top 50 players taken in the draft.  There were 7 players that dropped more than ten places and ten players that were taken at least ten places earlier than expected.  Also 4 early second round choices were not even in the top 100 of the mock draft.  There were also players like Hurst and Key that were projected to go in the early 2nd that feel outside of the top 50 selected.  I hope we keep that trend going.  Also the top 8 players that fell were projected to be 1st rounders and 2 were projected top 15 picks.  This mock got just under 50% of the picks within 5 picks of the actual choice so this was a fairly accurate mock.

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On 3/8/2019 at 1:31 AM, Rolni said:

Sorry mate, but it is just super unrealistic IMO...the draft I mean, since you did with a draft gen. it is not on you :)

Allen and maybe Dexter are realistic, but the rest is pipedream IMO...I can't understand why are these draft simulators this bad...

 

On the FA moves:

-I don't like the 14,5M for Brown... way too much for an unproven "system" OT IMO

 

The one move you did not like and pays him $2 million more than what I said.

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4 hours ago, drfrey13 said:

The one move you did not like and pays him $2 million more than what I said.

You called it :)

Still not a fan of this Brown move...

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There was a few options when it came to the o line.  I was 99.9% positive that they needed to do something and this was the option I liked the most because we spend more but also moves Miller to the RT where I believe he fits better.  I thought for sure that when we drafted Miller and Parker that Parker was going to sit behind Penn to be the LTOTF and Miller would be a beast at RT after a year or two.  Would have rather drafted a few other players last year ahead of him but understood why they felt the need to do it the way they did.

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But the thing now is we either paid LT money to a RT or we will now move over our young LT to RT and hope he can develope there fast. He admited that he struggled with the side switch in college...

We had Penn last year, so I can't really understand why didn't they put Miller at RT then, if that is his best position...

Cable and Gruden seems to be totally uncapable to put together a working OL...without that Carr is screwed and AB's arrival will mean pretty much nothing... 

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8 hours ago, Rolni said:

But the thing now is we either paid LT money to a RT or we will now move over our young LT to RT and hope he can develope there fast. He admited that he struggled with the side switch in college...

We had Penn last year, so I can't really understand why didn't they put Miller at RT then, if that is his best position...

Cable and Gruden seems to be totally uncapable to put together a working OL...without that Carr is screwed and AB's arrival will mean pretty much nothing... 

I think Cable when designing his line looks to optimize the run game first and is willing to sacrifice pass protection.  It is smart to make sure you have a good run game but in the league now you can not sacrifice pass pro.  Just like Carr Cable had to deal with injuries and not being at full strength but he made to questionable decisions especially if they listened to him about trading up for Parker.  If it was going to be a RT Orlando Brown should have been the pick.  

Miller's issue I believe was moving from RT to LT.  He was a much better RT at UCLA but got hurt 2 years in a row.  He moved to LT his last year and we were desperate to get a LT and he had the measurables.  His play on the field did not warrant a first round selection.  He is comparable to Lane Johnson in his movement skills.  He is a little bit bigger but has less straight line speed.  Both had some of the same concerns coming out also.

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9 hours ago, Rolni said:

But the thing now is we either paid LT money to a RT or we will now move over our young LT to RT and hope he can develope there fast. He admited that he struggled with the side switch in college...

We had Penn last year, so I can't really understand why didn't they put Miller at RT then, if that is his best position...

Cable and Gruden seems to be totally uncapable to put together a working OL...without that Carr is screwed and AB's arrival will mean pretty much nothing... 

 In all actuality Penn was supposed to start at LT while Miller sat the bench trained and learned for a season. Penn got injured early and that forced the Raiders to start Miller. The Raiders knew that Miller was a raw prospect, I think because of that no one knows where he'll play on the line next year but I can imagine that they still want him to be the LTotF.

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