babyatemydingo Posted April 6, 2019 Share Posted April 6, 2019 Half of all first rounders will bust. Here are 32 potential first rounders. Delete 16 who will bust. Note: I left out the questionable QB selections who may be made due to need. Yeah, we got that. Also, I don't care about some guy you think should have been included. Go! Kyler Murray Dwayne Haskins Josh Jacobs DK Metcalf NKeal Harry AJ Brown Marquise Brown Andre Dillard Jonah Williams Jawaan Taylor Cody Ford Chris Lindstrom Garrett Bradbury Nick Bosa Clelin Ferrell Rashan Gary Montez Sweat Quinnen Williams Ed Oliver Jeffery Simmons Christian Wilkins Dexter Lawrence Devin White Devin Bush Josh Allen Brian Burns Greedy Williams Byron Murphy Deandre Baker Deionte Thompson Taylor Rapp Johnathan Abram Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ninjapirate Posted April 6, 2019 Share Posted April 6, 2019 where did you get your safety rankings from bro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scalamania Posted April 6, 2019 Share Posted April 6, 2019 JOSH JACOBS WILL BUST1!111!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danger Posted April 6, 2019 Share Posted April 6, 2019 2 hours ago, Scalamania said: JOSH JACOBS WILL BUST1!111!!!!!!!! Most aren't saying that. He's just not worth a first rounder. 50% bust rate in the first round isn't really accurate these days IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scalamania Posted April 6, 2019 Share Posted April 6, 2019 2 minutes ago, Danger said: Most aren't saying that. He's just not worth a first rounder. 50% bust rate in the first round isn't really accurate these days IMO. /s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danger Posted April 6, 2019 Share Posted April 6, 2019 2 minutes ago, Scalamania said: /s I'm very aware you're sarcastic. I'm just pointing out that you're misinterpreting WHY most people say he's not a good pick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scalamania Posted April 6, 2019 Share Posted April 6, 2019 1 minute ago, Danger said: I'm very aware you're sarcastic. I'm just pointing out that you're misinterpreting WHY most people say he's not a good pick. I don't think I'm misinterpreting anything - people DONT want him but nobody can give an actual legit reason (positional value is not a legit reason) WHY they don't want him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danger Posted April 6, 2019 Share Posted April 6, 2019 9 minutes ago, Scalamania said: I don't think I'm misinterpreting anything - people DONT want him but nobody can give an actual legit reason (positional value is not a legit reason) WHY they don't want him. Positional value absolutely is a legit reason. You don't see people taking kickers early in the draft (normally). But there's more to it than that. This team under Doug has never used a bellcow RB and we have Jordan Howard to take on the bulk of the carries. RB isn't a hugely impactful position these days. Barkley was an elite talent and was capable of far more than Jacobs. If somehow someone like him fell to our pick then yes I'm all for it. But RB is one of the biggest gaps between the blue chip players and the rest. After those blue chip players the gap between late 1st round graded players and even 4th rounders is relatively small. In short. Taking a RB later on 1. There isn't much of a dip in talent 2. Allows us to get players of more importance 3. Makes more sense for the way this team operates. I'd be ok with taking Jacobs at 25 IF we didn't have Jordan Howard, and we tended to rely primarily on 1 RB in this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danger Posted April 6, 2019 Share Posted April 6, 2019 Let me put it this way. Jacobs at 25 wouldn't be a bad pick, but rather a wasted pick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scalamania Posted April 6, 2019 Share Posted April 6, 2019 1 minute ago, Danger said: Let me put it this way. Jacobs at 25 wouldn't be a bad pick, but rather a wasted pick. I don't think it would be a wasted pick at all. On a team without many holes we need to be taking the BPA, and in most situations (unless Ferrell, Wilkins or Burns drops) it's going to be Jacobs. If you draft Josh Jacobs and he comes in and has a Sony Michel like impact year 1 (which would be my projection for him) that's absolutely worth the pick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scalamania Posted April 6, 2019 Share Posted April 6, 2019 Here's something I found to be interesting - last year 5/8 teams in the divisional playoffs, 3/4 teams in the championship playoffs and 2/2 teams in the Super Bowl both have a 1st round running-back as their primary back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danger Posted April 6, 2019 Share Posted April 6, 2019 1 minute ago, Scalamania said: I don't think it would be a wasted pick at all. On a team without many holes we need to be taking the BPA, and in most situations (unless Ferrell, Wilkins or Burns drops) it's going to be Jacobs. If you draft Josh Jacobs and he comes in and has a Sony Michel like impact year 1 (which would be my projection for him) that's absolutely worth the pick. The team has many holes that will arrive in the coming seasons. But right now. A list of holes we should be looking to address immediately or for next season. LB, S, OT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danger Posted April 6, 2019 Share Posted April 6, 2019 Just now, Scalamania said: Here's something I found to be interesting - last year 5/8 teams in the divisional playoffs, 3/4 teams in the championship playoffs and 2/2 teams in the Super Bowl both have a 1st round running-back as their primary back. It's correlation, not causation. It's because they didn't have other holes. So taking a runningback in the first isn't WHY they made the playoffs. They would have the playoffs with or without the runningback. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scalamania Posted April 6, 2019 Share Posted April 6, 2019 1 minute ago, Danger said: It's correlation, not causation. It's because they didn't have other holes. So taking a runningback in the first isn't WHY they made the playoffs. They would have the playoffs with or without the runningback. This team doesn't have many holes - LB is not an immediate need and the OT class is terrible. Safety certainly is a need but I'm not sure there's a top tier one in this draft. I guess we'll see what this team does come draft day. ....also just realized this isn't the prospect thread and we totally derailed the meaning of the OP, my bad @babyatemydingo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ninjapirate Posted April 6, 2019 Share Posted April 6, 2019 4 hours ago, Scalamania said: Here's something I found to be interesting - last year 5/8 teams in the divisional playoffs, 3/4 teams in the championship playoffs and 2/2 teams in the Super Bowl both have a 1st round running-back as their primary back. here's a fun fact we won a superbowl in the past 2 years without one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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