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Official 2020 QB Thread

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13 minutes ago, Counselor said:

Cole McDonald baby!

Kinda has the hitch wind up like Flip, looks designed in a lab for San Diego, do the right thing Chargers, take your boy and move back home.

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2 minutes ago, Fureys49ers said:

Kinda has the hitch wind up like Flip, looks designed in a lab for San Diego, do the right thing Chargers, take your boy and move back home.

He’s not my boy lol I think it’s hilarious he declared. He throws the ball like Uncle Rico

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Posted (edited)
14 minutes ago, Counselor said:

He’s not my boy lol I think it’s hilarious he declared. He throws the ball like Uncle Rico

I was talking more so to the Chargers haha. I’ll admit, I’d be more interested in him than some of the other QBs thought to be late round talents. Good size, athleticism, strange delivery but he seems to know how to use it, maneuvers within a pocket decent enough. By no means claiming him as some great talent but there’s some tools to keep me interested if I’m a coach looking for a QB 3. 

Edited by Fureys49ers

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12 hours ago, Ozzy said:

Jamie Newman?  He is in the transfer portal so pretty sure that is a sign he is not declaring early for the draft.  Also Love is a much better long term talent and has far superior arm talent than Jalen Hurts, Jalen has him in terms of toughness and leadership sure but Love could throw circles around Jalen Hurts.  Shea Patterson is pretty damn good and arguably the best passer on the run in motion of anyone on this list.  

 

Newman applying for the transfer portal around the time Fromm declared....sounds like a match (Georgia & Newman).   Dude can sling it.

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I split the data in my model to test it against out-of-sample data, and made some changes based on that (correlation is 0.50). With just one game left in the college season, my model's rankings stand at:

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  • Model adjustment bumps Burrow down to 5th since 2006 (Newton)
  • Model adjustment flips Stanley and Eason

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Final projections for this year:

There's a new red variable here that's the probability that each quarterback matches the average from the 2006-2016 Rounds 1-3 sample that I used to create the model, which was around 89 rather than 100. 

BLG2YoZ3UOLkhf7-NyG8ecFXa8ZJZPitPbsrWRq5DDWLplQSd-QRPtBocw6s4sxH1pYaxMCju7iOmEglzBMan8_gzImfhwRxMA4QkE62WiiAgkMrITg89GaagOHSwXRWNGdteDYr

  • Burrow's championship game performance boosted him above Newton and Mayfield to 3rd since 2006 (Murray, Mariota).

Hopefully I'll get some time to do some tape study with these guys to get some complete grades (probably weighting it half-and-half).

And the raw point estimate for ANY/A+ (can be interpreted as a rough 0-100 grade):

F9b-2MZKaEm5TQ24K95mnC4h1m15mNPFSo1UIixtOqq55I-9A9Ia-9wlIeeZNgtNciVTgn1W4yKaX6mujFG3k90T4Tcg0TRqkCytM4Zw32qFgmNr8f3CM2ly4tSlJwKjOltMRzJT

Obviously it wasn't exactly created for this purpose so some of the intervals between players seem pretty small.

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