SmittyBacall Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 7 hours ago, BayRaider said: Lost my $30 parlay but I won my $115 bet on the Texans -2.5. This week I’m taking all the money I won on Texans and putting it on Texans/Chiefs OVER. $215. Common sense says over, but these games have been uncharacteristically low scoring so far. I thought Vikings/Saints had shootout potential and it took OT to push it to 46 points. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BayRaider Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 7 hours ago, SmittyBacall said: Common sense says over, but these games have been uncharacteristically low scoring so far. I thought Vikings/Saints had shootout potential and it took OT to push it to 46 points. I would of bet the Under in every single game last week if I was forced to choose. (I actually did pick the Texans/Blls under in my parlay). This week I think the other three games go under but I am highly confident Texans/Chiefs goes OVER. It's at 49. My personal prediction is 35-27 Chiefs. Texans D is terrible (Josh Allen just isn't good....). I see Mahomes and Watson dueling it out tbh. I don't like saying "Lock of the Week" but I'm really confident. Usually my confident meter is around 60%, this one like 85%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BayRaider Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 Trying to double up from Texans win last week. If I win this, I'll withdraw and take a break til the NBA Playoffs. Winning three bets in a row is ridiculously difficult. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Split the Sticks Posted January 6, 2020 Share Posted January 6, 2020 I haven't decided yet. Right now leaning towards KC, Ravens, GB, 49ers. I have to do some research before I even think about O/U. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BayRaider Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 (edited) Trying to double up from my Texans win last week. One big Straight Bet on the Texans/Cheifs Over and one Five Team Parlay. Never do Parlays guys, the odds of hitting them are ridiculously low. A 5 Teamer odds for example are 11%. I'm just trying to have fun in the playoffs, that's all. I am also apparently fading the Public. I looked at this after the fact. Fading the public is usually pretty profitable though. Edited January 11, 2020 by BayRaider Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BayRaider Posted January 11, 2020 Share Posted January 11, 2020 Images fixed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N4L Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 I have a MASSIVE parlay with the packers -4 as the final leg. Should I hedge by taking hawks +5 (-117) or by taking them on the ML +185? @Forge Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N4L Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, N4L said: I have a MASSIVE parlay with the packers -4 as the final leg. Should I hedge by taking hawks +5 (-117) or by taking them on the ML +185? @Forge @SmittyBacall @BayRaider Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BayRaider Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 1 minute ago, N4L said: I have a MASSIVE parlay with the packers -4 as the final leg. Should I hedge by taking hawks +5 (-117) or by taking them on the ML +185? @Forge That’s a tough one man. I’m extremely confident the Packers will win and had them as a ML in my parlay. I think they can easily win by 1-7 points is the thing. I could see 28-27 just as easily as 28-21. Personally I don’t hedge cause I feel like I’m shorting myself of the proper odds if I won but let @Forge give you some advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N4L Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Just now, BayRaider said: That’s a tough one man. I’m extremely confident the Packers will win and had them as a ML in my parlay. I think they can easily win by 1-7 points is the thing. I could see 28-27 just as easily as 28-21. Personally I don’t hedge cause I feel like I’m shorting myself of the proper odds if I won but let @Forge give you some advice. I usually dont hedge but this is a monster monster parlay. Ive basically shot the moon on a full weekend of football if i hit this niners -7, under 44, titans +10, under 48, KC - 10, Over 51, packers -4 wish i would have bought it to 3 points kinda freaking out lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmittyBacall Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 6 minutes ago, N4L said: @SmittyBacall @BayRaider Tough call. If the payout is big enough, I’d hedge +4.5 to be safe. My brain says Packers but my gut says Seahawks. Go with your gut! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N4L Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Just now, SmittyBacall said: Tough call. If the payout is big enough, I’d hedge +4.5 to be safe. My brain says Packers but my gut says Seahawks. Go with your gut! yeah, I think I may take a bunch of +4.5/5 and then do some ML. The reason the +180 looks nice is because I could lower the amount of risk on my hedge Never a bad idea to lock in some profit imo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BayRaider Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 6 minutes ago, N4L said: I usually dont hedge but this is a monster monster parlay. Ive basically shot the moon on a full weekend of football if i hit this niners -7, under 44, titans +10, under 48, KC - 10, Over 51, packers -4 wish i would have bought it to 3 points kinda freaking out lol If you’re looking at a huge pay day that’s four figures, maybe I hedge 10-20% to ensure some profit but certainly nothing crazy like 40-50%. That’s basically like paying a ton of extra juice for your parlay just to get some added security. Tough call. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N4L Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 wow didnt realize the game started. I guess I will not hedge LMAO WOW 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N4L Posted January 12, 2020 Share Posted January 12, 2020 Just now, N4L said: wow didnt realize the game started. I guess I will not hedge LMAO WOW If the packers score first I will try and get hawks +10. If the hawks score first I will not be happy lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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