N4L Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 @BayRaider where are you getting that info? vegas insider has 73% of the money on the packers plus the points. 67% for chiefs laying the 7.5. Is that just the number of tickets? I am very surprised that 81% of the money is on the niners/packers over (according to vegas insider). that seems very lopsided for a game featuring an extremely dominant defense and a strong run game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BayRaider Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 (edited) 4 minutes ago, N4L said: @BayRaider where are you getting that info? vegas insider has 73% of the money on the packers plus the points. 67% for chiefs laying the 7.5. Is that just the number of tickets? I am very surprised that 81% of the money is on the niners/packers over (according to vegas insider). that seems very lopsided for a game featuring an extremely dominant defense and a strong run game. Using both Action Network and The Spread. Never heard of Vegas Insider. Both have exact same thing. Edited January 15, 2020 by BayRaider 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BayRaider Posted January 15, 2020 Share Posted January 15, 2020 @N4L Never heard of 81% on one side in anything ever. Not sure I trust Vegas Insider. LSU -5.5 was 72%. First 70+% side ive seen in a longgg time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BStanRamFan Posted January 15, 2020 Author Share Posted January 15, 2020 5 hours ago, N4L said: Also easy to lose money if you don't know what you are doing. Those obviously hit but those types of bets seem like they are designed for the public to lose. (I get that's the whole point of every casino, but that's to a lesser degree than these parlay player props they are trying to lure you into playing by having them +whatever) When you stop trying to hit the moon with every bet you make, it's a lot easier to win. You want the bet slip that cashes, not the prayer that would make you rich if you get lucky. With that being said, I'm happy you hit this one lol I am only making two bets this weekend. The over in the KC TEN game is one. I'll leave the other one unsaid but you might be able to guess I think it really depends on how you view gambling and sports bets in general. Completely agree the smartest was to play is straight bets and incremental growth of your bankroll. I view this as more of entertainment or like playing the lottery. If you went to the movies it would cost you 16$ for 2 hours of entertainment. This is roughly $20 for atleast 4 hours of entertainment. Win or lose, I got my moneys worth. OR it's like playing the lottery. People pay $5-$10 to play the lottery everyday and it lasts 10 seconds. I throw in a 9 team player prop TD parlay for 5$ to win $30k and I'm at the edge of my seat for atleast the 1 o'clock games. I don't expect to win, but I don't lose too much either. Three weeks ago I almost hit a 4team player prop parlay (Justice Hill TD,Derrick HenryTD+Tannnhill 2TD+AJ Brown TD, Zeke TD+Cowboys win, and Wentz + Daniel Jones Over 300 yards passing)$10-->$7324.69 Missed it by 11 yards friggin Carson Wentz. Point is, I had the dog in a headlock for 4 hours and felt like I got my 10$ worth. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BayRaider Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 A rush of bets came in on Packers. Here is the Public this week: Spread Only: 49ers 54% Packers 46% You also have a huge amount on the Packer ML. Chiefs/Titans, Spread Only: Chiefs 62% Titans 38% I said Titans + 7 1/2 and 49ers -7 back on Tuesday which is looking even better now. Those two bets winning would make Vegas a ton of money. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Forge Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 Local sports radio had the Vegas guys on all the time from places like Westgate, William hill, etc and they usually talk about where the money is for them. I'll have to make it a point to remember to try and listen and say what they say for local Vegas 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shanedorf Posted January 18, 2020 Share Posted January 18, 2020 The reason the ratio ( 81%) is so lopsided on the Packer/9er moneyline is that very few are betting on SF to win - because it doesn't pay very well. You'd have to bet $350 to win $100 and that's not very appealing to the smart bettors. It is NOT a measure of who the public or the wise guys think will win the gamehttps://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/scoreboard/previews/packers-@-49ers.cfm/date/01-19-20 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted January 19, 2020 Share Posted January 19, 2020 1 2 hours ago, Shanedorf said: The reason the ratio ( 81%) is so lopsided on the Packer/9er moneyline is that very few are betting on SF to win - because it doesn't pay very well.You'd have to bet $350 to win $100 and that's not very appealing to the smart bettors. It is NOT a measure of who the public or the wise guys think will win the gamehttps://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/scoreboard/previews/packers-@-49ers.cfm/date/01-19-20 Unless you're a sucker for VegasDave.... but then again, that disqualifies you from the bolded statement. A look at parleys might show how much ppl really think about the 49ers/Pack game. I'm pretty sure there are very few GB ML bets there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmittyBacall Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 Guesses on the Super Bowl odds? Is the spread a pick ‘em at this point? -1.5 KC (public loves Mahomes), -1.5 SF (after stomping GB)? Game total should be massive. I’m thinking they open at something like 53.5 or 54.5. Whatever it is, I’ll take the over. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malfatron Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 i believe its -1 kc so far i could be wrong Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmittyBacall Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 The game total has opened at 53. I definitely want the over, but do I wait to see how the line moves? I think if anything it goes up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Forge Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 2 hours ago, SmittyBacall said: The game total has opened at 53. I definitely want the over, but do I wait to see how the line moves? I think if anything it goes up. The over is where I would lean, and I probably wouldn't wait on that. I think it's light 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JAF-N72EX Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, Forge said: The over is where I would lean, and I probably wouldn't wait on that. I think it's light I second this. I imagine the over is going to be much higher within the next 2 weeks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N4L Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 (edited) On 1/14/2020 at 10:58 PM, N4L said: I am only making two bets this weekend. The over in the KC TEN game is one. I'll leave the other one unsaid but you might be able to guess OVER 53 and 49ers -7 2-0! Swept the weekend again! Third time I've done that in this thread!! I actually ended up playing a third bet: https://ibb.co/gj209gS +850! RAHEEM THE DREAM. He went for 140+ when the niners played the Packers last year on MNF, so I felt like this was great value. Funny thing is the system glitched and that was the max bet. For some reason it wouldn't let me play to win an even 1k, so it forced me to do 999.94 which is just 49.999 backwards. Felt like a good omen. Didn't play any other props either This is amazing Edited January 20, 2020 by N4L 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JAF-N72EX Posted January 20, 2020 Share Posted January 20, 2020 3 minutes ago, N4L said: OVER 53 and 49ers -7 2-0! Swept the weekend again! Third time I've done that in this thread!! I actually ended up playing a third bet: https://ibb.co/gj209gS +850! RAHEEM THE DREAM. He went for 140+ when the niners played the Packers last year on MNF, so I felt like this was great value. Funny thing is the system glitched and that was the max bet. For some reason it wouldn't let me play to win an even 1k, so it forced me to do 999.94 which is just 49.999 backwards. Felt like a good omen. This is amazing Nice. As bad as it may sound, it looks like Coleman going down with an injury played in your favor. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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