NYRaider Posted October 29, 2021 Share Posted October 29, 2021 1 hour ago, Broncofan said: Not sure I’m that comfortable with Steelers if Conklin, Chubb and Baker are back (not a huge Baker guy but he’s still far better than Case Keenum). Even if Baker plays he's still not at 100% and it looks like they'll be without Ward, Clowney, Jackson, and McKinley defensively. Baker, Willis, Conklin, Tretter, Landry, and Chubb are all trending towards playing but I don't think any of them are at 100%. OBJ is still TBD after he missed practice all week before being a LP on Friday. So that means the Browns will likely be without 4 defensive starters and playing with a banged up QB, RB1, WR1, and 3 starting OL. The Steelers are finally healthy and will have Zach Banner back which should be a huge boost to their offensive line. I ran with Packers ML earlier in the week on a couple of smaller parlays and will keep my Steelers pick as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaveOurSonics Posted October 29, 2021 Share Posted October 29, 2021 Another brutal beat last night. Essentially had Cardinals ML and that Douglas INT was gut wrenching. In hindsight, a bad bet, but one that should've won anyways. At least the Ertz Over hit for a net even night. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYRaider Posted October 29, 2021 Share Posted October 29, 2021 14 minutes ago, SaveOurSonics said: Another brutal beat last night. Essentially had Cardinals ML and that Douglas INT was gut wrenching. In hindsight, a bad bet, but one that should've won anyways. At least the Ertz Over hit for a net even night. I had placed a couple of parlays earlier in the week on Packers, ML. Thought they were toast when they couldn't score from the 1 yard line. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted October 29, 2021 Share Posted October 29, 2021 (edited) 4 hours ago, Shanedorf said: 10,000 thanks for taking all of us on a full NFL gambling tour in this thread, we truly appreciate all the effort you put into it. Quite illuminating. Good Luck ! Figured it helps to show the entire set of picks and also show the numbers / theory behind it. Because it’s really the only way to succeed long term. I’ve done well the last 2 years but honestly I’ve learned more in the last 2 years than I did the previous 10+. It also makes every game watchable (which given the quality with some of those games - is really necessary lol). Edited October 29, 2021 by Broncofan 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BareYourTeeth Posted October 29, 2021 Share Posted October 29, 2021 Jumped on the Cowboys team total under 26½ -115. If Dak plays so be it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYRaider Posted October 29, 2021 Share Posted October 29, 2021 Austin Ekeler with another DNP today. Wonder how that moves the Pats/Chargers line. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYRaider Posted October 29, 2021 Share Posted October 29, 2021 Joe Mixon: O 73.5 rushing yards / 1 TD (+120) Damien Harris: O 72.5 rushing yards / 1 TD (+156) 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N4L Posted October 29, 2021 Share Posted October 29, 2021 1 hour ago, NYRaider said: Joe Mixon: O 73.5 rushing yards / 1 TD (+120) Damien Harris: O 72.5 rushing yards / 1 TD (+156) I like both of these - add Khalil Herbert over rushing yards to this 49ers wont have kinlaw or Aziz Al-shaair and that will really hurt our run defense. Bears OL gets a lot of heat for their pass blocking but they are pretty good in the run game. Bears have shown us they will run the ball even when they are losing, so even if the niners win this game there is a good chance herbert will go over his total. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaveOurSonics Posted October 30, 2021 Share Posted October 30, 2021 6 hours ago, NYRaider said: Austin Ekeler with another DNP today. Wonder how that moves the Pats/Chargers line. Appears to be more precautionary than anything but obviously the status pregame will be important to monitor. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYRaider Posted October 30, 2021 Share Posted October 30, 2021 3 hours ago, SaveOurSonics said: Appears to be more precautionary than anything but obviously the status pregame will be important to monitor. The Patriots beat the Chargers 45-0 last season, obviously every game/year is different but I'm on Patriots ML hard this week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYRaider Posted October 30, 2021 Share Posted October 30, 2021 11 hours ago, Broncofan said: Figured it helps to show the entire set of picks and also show the numbers / theory behind it. Because it’s really the only way to succeed long term. I’ve done well the last 2 years but honestly I’ve learned more in the last 2 years than I did the previous 10+. It also makes every game watchable (which given the quality with some of those games - is really necessary lol). You are the man Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYRaider Posted October 30, 2021 Share Posted October 30, 2021 And genuinely I do appreciate all of the info, advice, and feedback I receive from all of the regulars in here. @Broncofan @N4L @SaveOurSonics you all have made my approach to betting and looking at games completely different. Cheers boys, hope we all make some mula this weekend. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYRaider Posted October 30, 2021 Share Posted October 30, 2021 8 hours ago, N4L said: I like both of these - add Khalil Herbert over rushing yards to this 49ers wont have kinlaw or Aziz Al-shaair and that will really hurt our run defense. Bears OL gets a lot of heat for their pass blocking but they are pretty good in the run game. Bears have shown us they will run the ball even when they are losing, so even if the niners win this game there is a good chance herbert will go over his total. The only thing that concerns me about Herbert is Damian Williams. Williams didn't play much last week but he was on the covid list and didn't practice all week. He was good to go all week this week so I could see them shifting more so to a 50-50 RB duo rather then just Herbert as the lead back or Herbert getting all the touches but we won't really know until the game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
braylon Posted October 31, 2021 Share Posted October 31, 2021 Most Rush Yards in the PIT/CLE game: Nick Chubb -136 Found this on Fanduel. This is an absolute lock barring something extremely flukey happening (Chubb injury or a 75+ yard run by Najee). I'm as confident in this as I was the D'Ernest Johnson props last week. Clowney active helps this prop a ton too. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeT14 Posted October 31, 2021 Share Posted October 31, 2021 30 minutes ago, braylon said: Most Rush Yards in the PIT/CLE game: Nick Chubb -136 Found this on Fanduel. This is an absolute lock barring something extremely flukey happening (Chubb injury or a 75+ yard run by Najee). I'm as confident in this as I was the D'Ernest Johnson props last week. Clowney active helps this prop a ton too. Riding Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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