goldfishwars Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 Carson Wentz Over (+230.5 yards) - Wentz has had to throw the ball a lot with the Commanders chasing games, no reason we won't see this again. He has the receivers to put up numbers even when his own play is spotty. Jamaal Williams Over (+64.5) - No Swift this week, Lions ground game has been effective and Williams should get a big workload Josh Allen Over (+286.5 yards) - Bills can't move the ball on the ground and Mac Jones moved the ball through the air on the Ravens defense despite a pedestrian receiver corps. Eagles versus Jags Over (+45.5 pts) - Can't imagine this being a low scoring affair with two QB's hitting their stride Drake London Over (+4.5 Receptions) - Two sneaky good passing offenses on the field, Mariota is feeding the big boy on the outside 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 13 minutes ago, goldfishwars said: Carson Wentz Over (+230.5 yards) - Wentz has had to throw the ball a lot with the Commanders chasing games, no reason we won't see this again. He has the receivers to put up numbers even when his own play is spotty. Jamaal Williams Over (+64.5) - No Swift this week, Lions ground game has been effective and Williams should get a big workload Josh Allen Over (+286.5 yards) - Bills can't move the ball on the ground and Mac Jones moved the ball through the air on the Ravens defense despite a pedestrian receiver corps. Eagles versus Jags Over (+45.5 pts) - Can't imagine this being a low scoring affair with two QB's hitting their stride Drake London Over (+4.5 Receptions) - Two sneaky good passing offenses on the field, Mariota is feeding the big boy on the outside I was all over the Jax - Phi game for over player props. But BAL & PHI & PIT look like they’re getting more rain than initially expected. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dash Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 Last time there was projected high winds the CLV/PIT passing games got going that game. Maybe the rain will be an extra factor. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 (edited) FWIW 3 games with weather issues - BUF / BAL with significant rain and 15MPH wind; NYG-CHI and JAX-PHI have 60-70 percent chance of rain and 15MPH winds. NYJ-PIT seems ok for now with less than 30 percent light rain. Rest of slate looks clear. Obv still can change but adjust projections accordingly. Edited October 1, 2022 by Broncofan 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N4L Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 4 hours ago, Broncofan said: I was all over the Jax - Phi game for over player props. But BAL & PHI & PIT look like they’re getting more rain than initially expected. Interesting point here regarding the fact Heinz is home to the Pitt Panthers. That playing surface could be rough. This is the type of thing I wish I knew a Steelers season ticket holder who could go to the stadium early and watch warmups. If the surface is bad, could be an under game. I don't think I am going to bet it, but it's interesting nonetheless 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N4L Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 4 hours ago, goldfishwars said: Jamaal Williams Over (+64.5) - No Swift this week, Lions ground game has been effective and Williams should get a big workload I like this one a lot. Lions OL is fantastic and they are going to put Seattle's defense in the meat grinder. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 1 minute ago, N4L said: Interesting point here regarding the fact Heinz is home to the Pitt Panthers. That playing surface could be rough. This is the type of thing I wish I knew a Steelers season ticket holder who could go to the stadium early and watch warmups. If the surface is bad, could be an under game. I don't think I am going to bet it, but it's interesting nonetheless I’m ok with Breece Hall props because the short pass game gets even more work. But for guys who need chunk plays or get to the 2nd level…yeah, not good. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainmaker90 Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 On 9/24/2022 at 2:14 PM, Rainmaker90 said: My slate so far Wash +6.5 Car +2.5 Mia + 5 Balt ML Not a bad week for me. Had a real good college day yesterday too. Already locked Minny ML NYG -2.5 Dallas -3 very large Arizona +1 Almost certainly going in on KC tonight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 (edited) Kamara inactive; damn that’s tough because not many games you can get Dalton as QB and no Michael Thomas and get 11-1 for 7 catches, or +550 for 6. All Kamara bets void. Vegas must have had Kamara out as part of the equation, because line stayed stable - so cashout incurred no penalty. NO +3.5 pulled. That does offer 3 tastier props for TD - Juwan Johnson +800 & Marquez Callaway +900 (now +650) & Lat Murray +1000 (now +600) - all 3 are 0.5U plays. Edited October 2, 2022 by Broncofan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Soggust Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 Is Dortch a smash bet again this week? Seems like the ARI WRs are still hurt and his line is like 29.5 on DK and 2.5 receptions? Sorry if this is dumb, but am I missing something obvious here? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 (edited) 3 hours ago, Broncofan said: Kamara inactive; damn that’s tough because not many games you can get Dalton as QB and no Michael Thomas and get 11-1 for 7 catches, or +550 for 6. All Kamara bets void. Vegas must have had Kamara out as part of the equation, because line stayed stable - so cashout incurred no penalty. NO +3.5 pulled. That does offer 3 tastier props for TD - Juwan Johnson +800 & Marquez Callaway +900 (now +650) & Lat Murray +1000 (now +600) - all 3 are 0.5U plays. Ingram with 3 catches at 1st drive 3Q and hurt. 4th catch called back by penalty. Hate that Kamara was inactive. Think the 3U 4+ catch play was a lock. And 6-7 would have been in play. But I wouldn’t have played Lat Murray +1000 TD either. So I’ll take the 5.5U net result. Karma took Kamara away and gave me the Lat Murray play here. I’ll take it. Edited October 2, 2022 by Broncofan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
braylon Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 Spoiler Cordarrelle Patterson’s entire rushing ladder is very intriguing.. if he takes on a full workload 125+ is totally within reason with Clowney and Garret out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 (edited) With Gabe Davis active, Shakir bets cashed out with 0.1U lost. Off to a nice start with Latavius Murray, let's get 1-2 Josh Reynolds lol. Edited October 2, 2022 by Broncofan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
11sanchez11 Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 Treylon Burks o 41.5 Dortch o 34.5 + AZ ml Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UncleAdamz Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 3 hours ago, Soggust said: Is Dortch a smash bet again this week? Seems like the ARI WRs are still hurt and his line is like 29.5 on DK and 2.5 receptions? Sorry if this is dumb, but am I missing something obvious here? Rondale Moore is back, but AJ Green is out so it remains to be seen what his role will be. He was kind of running all of the gadget plays that Moore typically does, so there will likely be less volume. I still think 29.5 should be easily hit but who knows. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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