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I got boned so hard with the Miami backdoor cover and the Jets scoring a TD in a blowout literally on the last play of the game. 

Had the under 42 and bought the bills to -4

Final score 44 and bills won by 3 

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1 hour ago, N4L said:

I got boned so hard with the Miami backdoor cover and the Jets scoring a TD in a blowout literally on the last play of the game. 

Had the under 42 and bought the bills to -4

Final score 44 and bills won by 3 

The Jets have an annoying habit of doing this. Last offseason I got the under on 6.5 Wins and felt immediately vindicated when they looked arguably worse than the Dolphins after Sam Darnold went down to injury and went 1-7 through the first half of the season. But then they inexplicably finished 7-9 and I have hated them ever since.

Rammy will be happy to know I have some equity on the Rams to win the NFC and since placing the bet the implied probability has doubled from about 4 to 8%.

Edited by Fray32

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2 hours ago, N4L said:

I got boned so hard with the Miami backdoor cover and the Jets scoring a TD in a blowout literally on the last play of the game. 

Had the under 42 and bought the bills to -4

Final score 44 and bills won by 3 

Bills killed me too, i had them in 2 different parlays, and straight up. Everything covered except BUF 

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3 hours ago, N4L said:

I got boned so hard with the Miami backdoor cover and the Jets scoring a TD in a blowout literally on the last play of the game. 

Had the under 42 and bought the bills to -4

Final score 44 and bills won by 3 

I pretty much only do teasers and player props these days. Only thing I’m consistently successful at. That being said, I feel this, Vikings freaking killed me by not covering +14.5, had them in a ton of teasers. Went from a +1500 week to like a +200 week. Kirk Cousins is my biggest enemy 

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3 hours ago, N4L said:

I got boned so hard with the Miami backdoor cover and the Jets scoring a TD in a blowout literally on the last play of the game. 

Had the under 42 and bought the bills to -4

Final score 44 and bills won by 3 

Thankfully my teaser survived. Whenever I see teams score last second I always think of the betting repercussions felt around the world. 

I also got very lucky last night and dropped $50 on Cam Newton to score twice at +1200 odds. One of my bigger hauls.

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I went 0-3 in my bets and couldn't be happier to see Payton lose.

Murray had 3 carries for 14 yards. And at halftime the team averaged 6.2 YPC. What's Payton do? Completely abandons the run and blows the game.

Some plays make sense to me and then I see something like this and I literally have to ask myself if Murray is bangin the coaches the wife? When it results in the team losing the game because they were forcing throws, not controlling the clock, and causing turnovers...I feel justified in my play.

Anyways, back to the drawing board for Thursday. In the meantime, I will have to settle for Saints tears, which are delectable. 

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Any early line thoughts this week? Tough week. 

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Out of all the 2-0 teams, Raiders are the betting favorite to not make the playoffs. I disagree with this, we should be second behind the Bears. 
 

Out of all the 0-2 teams, the Eagles are the betting favorite to make the playoffs. I agree with this. 

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On 9/22/2020 at 6:01 AM, MikeT14 said:

Any early line thoughts this week? Tough week. 

Blue Horseshoe loves Anacott Steel

 

AZ at home vs Detroit . Opened AZ - 3.5 and now its at AZ - 5.5
Patricia doesn't have the CBs or the LBs to handle that AZ offense.
And even if Golladay is back, he won't be 100% so that limits Stafford

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On 9/22/2020 at 9:01 AM, MikeT14 said:

Any early line thoughts this week? Tough week. 

Really tough week. Potential for a lot of upsets. There aren't a bunch of spreads that stick out, but I really do like the Rams ML.

I'm tempted by the Giants ML, considering how utterly banged up the Niners are (or the spread +4 if you want to feel safer). I feel like they can steal a win at home. I'm also kind of tempted by the Titans -2.5; a line which seems weirdly low and baity considering how bad Minnesota has looked. Feels like a trap. 

I'm probably going to keep it simple this week and parlay ML favourites with LAR. I like the Chargers, Patriots and Seahawks all to take care of business at home. 

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If you wanna start the week a winner, take Jags ML.


Week 1: Jags ML vs Colts  

Week 2: Jags + 10.5 vs Titans

Week 3: Jags ML vs Phins ?

 

Minshew will not let you down.

Edited by KhanYouDigIt

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4 hours ago, KhanYouDigIt said:

If you wanna start the week a winner, take Jags ML.


Week 1: Jags ML vs Colts  

Week 2: Jags + 10.5 vs Titans

Week 3: Jags ML vs Phins ?

 

Minshew will not let you down.

Love the Jags as a dog.   

As a favorite....gotta admit I'm just going to take the over tomorrow lol (I took 47 when it opened...guess it's not a controversial take since it's 48 now lol).

Edited by Broncofan

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On 9/22/2020 at 9:01 AM, MikeT14 said:

Any early line thoughts this week? Tough week. 

TEN -2.5

I hate to say it, but TAM -6

ATL -3 - CHI's 2-0 start vs. ATL's 0-2 reflects the very different levels of competition.

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24 minutes ago, Broncofan said:

TEN -2.5

I hate to say it, but TAM -6

ATL -3 - CHI's 2-0 start vs. ATL's 0-2 reflects the very different levels of competition.

Agreed on Atlanta. My favorite point spread of the week. I’d buy it down to 2.5 though and parlay it with a heavy ML Favorite to still get even money though. 

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