thebestever6 Posted Saturday at 10:06 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:06 PM Really Tempted to play Johnny Wilson half stake +800 to score I could see him getting red zone looks with aj brown out. Someone talk me out of it haven't hit a td yet this year haha. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thebestever6 Posted Saturday at 10:24 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:24 PM (edited) I played Johnny Wilson +900 Fanduel .4 units 2TD +13000 .1 Units. The fact is no WR has stepped up yet outside of Devonte. So you give me the biggest wr on their team +900 odds in what should be and decently high scoring game and I'll bite. Edited Saturday at 10:34 PM by thebestever6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tank4Drake Posted Sunday at 01:52 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:52 PM Rams ML Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted Sunday at 04:10 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:10 PM Devaughn Vele out - Lil Jordan Humphrey back for +1300 / +20000 2+ 0.4U / 0.1U on TheScore. FD +1300. Hayden Hurst suddenly went up to +900 / +15000 2+ on the Score instead. Able to cash out Hurst w/o penalty on FD & go there Simi Fehoko is +2000 / +40000 2+ 0.4U / 0.1U on TheScore. He’s the 3rd WR with Josh Palmer out; Derrius Davis & Chark are the competition and he gets RZ snap because of his blocking. 0.4U / 0.1U. Vele / Pruitt voided. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adamq Posted Sunday at 04:12 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:12 PM Chris Conley to score +600 is my favorite long shot.. I would take his over on yards if anyone offered it Saubert under 20.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JaguarCrazy2832 Posted Monday at 01:04 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:04 AM 11 hours ago, Tank4Drake said: Rams ML Well played i put alot on Henry to score. Seemed too good to pass up 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tank4Drake Posted Monday at 01:38 AM Share Posted Monday at 01:38 AM 33 minutes ago, JaguarCrazy2832 said: Well played i put alot on Henry to score. Seemed too good to pass up Nice +255 cash out Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted Monday at 01:00 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:00 PM (edited) On 9/18/2024 at 11:34 PM, Broncofan said: OK so MNF lines are trickling out, so time to get that card posted: WEEK 3 MNF ATS/ML BUF/JAX U45.5 - the Bills & Jags are both bottom-6 in plays run per 2 games so far...and they are both heavily run-based, with a -5% pass rate over expectation. Without TO's, or chunk plays, that translates to a lower scoring game than advertised. I'm never a huge fan of unders entertainment wise, but barring OT or a completely different gameplan, I expect this to be a much more lower scoring affair than ppl expect. PLAYER PROPS Travis Etienne O48.5 rush yds 2U, 62+ rush yds +200 1U, 81+ rush yds +500 0.5U DK @ BUF - BUF has given up 260 yds rushing in game. Yes, Kyler Murray accounts for 57 of those yards, but the general inability to stop the run is still part of the BUF D with Milano & the safeties gone. Etienne also has a real chance to be playing without Tank Bigbsy, who left WK2 with a shoulder injury after fumbling (got destroyed on the KO return). Either way, this line is insanely low for a team that looks to run the ball. Etienne doesn't even need to be the bell cow to get into alt line territory. Khalil Shakir O43.5 rec yds 2U, 60+ rec yds +200 1U DK vs. JAX - while I expect this to be a low-scoring game, I expect BUF to use the short pass game vs. the DB's to succeed more this game. Why? Well, JAX is a top 5 run D, if not top 3, but their CB's struggle (and their best CB, Tyson Campbell, is out). Given BUF's lower pass volume, I'm trusting their most targeted and versatile WR, Shakir. The emphasis on slow pace and using more run does limit me to a single-alt line here, though. And that stingy run D is why I have to pass on James Cook even after that amazing game against MIA. Brian Robinson O50.5 rush yds 2U, 66+ rush yds +210 1U, 90+ rush yds +700 0.5U DK @ CIN - I get that CIN is a 7.5 pt favorite. But their run D is atrocious, and if WAS wants to protect Jayden Daniels, they'll do what teams have done for ages, and this year, doing to counter the smaller faster personnel on D - run. the. ball. Even if WAS is in trail mode, CIN's leaky run D could give up alt lines in 12-15 rushes, so I'm pretty comfortable with the full 3.5U alt line here. Ja'Marr Chase's line is set O79.5, which hardly provided any real alt line value, so I have to pass on that for now. I really considered Zack Moss's O52.5 line, but given CIN's struggles in establishing the run, and how easy it is to attack that secondary, I'm sitting tight on 3 MNF player props for now. I'll circle back when secondary plays come out. With 10U on 3 plays, that's enough for now. LONGSHOT TD Nothing that stands out right away, would like to see the Fri-Sat injury reports before committing. That's it for now, truthfully only 1-2 TD props have any interest, and only secondary player props are missing at this stage. With a huge SUN card, I don't mind being a little light for the MNF doubleheader. I'll update this one for MNF as it comes. BOL! 2 player props I'm adding (2nd once it's out, not out yet): ADDED SEPT 23 - Brenton Strange O25.5 rec yds 2U FD (DK - 26.5), 40+ rec yds +200 1U DK @ BUF - he's got the Engram role, and short-area is what BUF allows. ADDED SEPT 23 - Noah Brown rec O15.5 rec yds 4U, 25+ rec yds +200 2U, 40+ rec yds +500 0.5U & 50+ rec yds 0.5U DK @ CIN - he's on the PS waiting to be activated (you can do it 3x), so no props are out but I'm definitely on him. He's the actual WR2 behind Mclaurin, and they scheme him looks. As long as the # is less than 30, I'm in. EDIT - OMG 15.5 is so low. Gulp gotta go with the rare 7U play LONGSHOT TD PROPS ADDED SEPT 22 - Noah Brown +700 / +12000 2+ FD 0.8U/0.2U (now +600 / +10000 2+) @ CIN - same theme why I like the yards and alt lines. I added this last night, but woke up and saw the lines are a little lower. ADDED SEPT 22 - Drew Sample +1200 / +20000 2+ TheScore (+1000 FD) 0.4U / 0.1U vs. WAS - I'm going to wait until the 6-7 PM mark, as these odds often skyrocket. Sample still gets 50+ percent of snaps and is their best inline blocker. With Tee Higgins back, it's only worth a half-stake play. Tanner Hudson is out, so the TE room is easier to predict. Edited Monday at 03:29 PM by Broncofan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted Monday at 03:17 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:17 PM (edited) Wow Noah Brown props are so low at O15.5 rec yds His snap share is only going to increase as he gets familiar with O. ADDED SEPT 23 - Noah Brown iO15.5 rec yds 4U / 25+ +200 2U / 40+ +500 0.5U / 50+ +900 0.5U DK @ CIN - Gotta take the YOLO 7U chance Edited Monday at 05:41 PM by Broncofan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmittyBacall Posted Monday at 03:24 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:24 PM 7 minutes ago, Broncofan said: Wow Noah Brown props are so low at O15.5 rec yds His snap share is only going to increase as he gets familiar with O. ADDED SEPT 23 - Noah Brown iO15.5 rec yds 4U / 25+ +300 2U / 40+ +500 0.5U / 50+ +850 0.5U DK @ CIN - Gotta take the YOLO 7U chance Nice grab. Noah Brown kills Cincinnati every time for some reason, too. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted Monday at 03:29 PM Share Posted Monday at 03:29 PM (edited) 5 minutes ago, SmittyBacall said: Nice grab. Noah Brown kills Cincinnati every time for some reason, too. And Mclaurin gets the attention from the D. NGL it’s scary but have to leverage when books are way out of line. This is one of the rare cases. Edited Monday at 03:30 PM by Broncofan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thebestever6 Posted Monday at 04:34 PM Share Posted Monday at 04:34 PM woah!!! The rare Septenary banger. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thebestever6 Posted Monday at 11:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:26 PM drew sample went down to +950 so I think imma wait til the 50% live boost during the game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iknowcool Posted Tuesday at 12:23 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:23 AM JAMARR YESSS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JaguarCrazy2832 Posted Tuesday at 01:12 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:12 AM Took Oklahoma -2.5 at Auburn. Maybe its a self-loathing play but Auburn sucks, they have no offense at all Pittsburgh ML was -120 at Indy so I took that too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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