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BDL 2019 Divisional Round: #6 Oklahoma City EF5's @ #3 New Orleans Jazz

Who wins?  

3 members have voted

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  1. 1. Who wins?

    • Oklahoma City EF5's
    • New Orleans Jazz

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  • Poll closed on 12/11/2019 at 04:00 PM

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BDL 2019 Divisional Round

Match: Oklahoma City EF5's @ New Orleans Jazz

Away Owner: @Whicker

Home Owner: @WFLukic

Vote for who you think will win this game.

Rules:
One vote per person, duplicate accounts will be banned and action taken against those attempting to rig the results.

One vote per team involved in the match. Co-owners may vote in every match up except their own.

For members, who have been following along, and wish to vote.  Please join the conversation and maybe give a reason you voted as you did. This will alleviate any suspicions of unusual voting and will promote discussion.

Note: Players that have a (D) next to their name indicate that they are doubtful or unlikely to play. Players with (Q) are game-time decisions.

Good luck to you both

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OKC

QB- Kyle Allen
RB- Joe Mixon
WR- Allen Robinson
WR- Michael Gallup
WR- Robert Woods
TE- Mark Andrews
LT- David Bahktiari
LG- Quinton Spain
C- Rodney Hudson
RG- Brandon Brooks
RT- Brian O'Neill
_____________________
RB- Melvin Gordon
RB- JD McKissic
RB- Frank Gore
WR- Emmanuel Sanders
WR- Keelan Cole
OL- Morgan Moses
OL- DJ Fluker
 

OLB- Von Miller
DL- Cam Heyward
DL- Lawrence Guy
DL- Sheldon Richardson
OLB- Matt Judon
ILB- Cory Littleton
CB- Tre White
CB- Marcus Peters
CB- Joe Haden
S- Malik Hooker
S- Adrian Amos
__________________
CB- Fabian Moreau
CB- Pierre Desir
DL- Corey Peters
DL- Steve McClendon
DL- Margus Hunt
OLB- Ryan Kerrigan
LB- Dont'a Hightower
S- Jordan Poyer

New Orleans

Offense:

QB: Josh Allen
RB: Ezekiel Elliott
WR1: Michael Thomas
WR2: Tyler Lockett
WR3: D.J. Moore
TE: Zach Ertz
LT: Andrew Whitworth
LG: Joel Bitonio
C: Travis Frederick
RG: Kevin Zeitler
RT: Mitchell Schwartz

RB2: Duke Johnson
RB3: Devin Singletary
WR4: Deebo Samuel
WR5: Parris Campbell
TE2: Mike Gesicki
TE3: Tyler Kroft
OL6: Riley Reiff
OL7: Connor McGovern

Defense: 

DE: Nick Bosa
DT: Geno Atkins
DT: Calais Campbell
DE: Cameron Jordan
LB: Alexander Johnson
LB/S: Haha Clinton-Dix
CB: Stephon Gilmore
CB: Chris Harris Jr.
CB: Kyle Fuller
SS: Micah Hyde
FS: Darnell Savage

DE3: Josh Allen
DE4: Olivier Vernon
DT3: Jeffery Simmons
DT4: Johnathan Hankins
LB3: Alec Ogletree
LB4/S4: Mark Barron
CB4: JC Jackson
CB5: Tre Herndon

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OKC

Offense (Shotgun spread)
We come into todays game as the clear underdogs here, let's be real. But this is where a team with such talented skill position players can do some damage. Here is the plan to do that.

Spread NO out- NO is going to sell out to stop any running attack we have. They won't fear Allen and they'll force him to be them. To combat this we spread the defense out. And with weapons on the outside as talented as this, NO can't do anything but pay attention to them. We'll flex Mark Andrews out from time to time as well, but this is all to lighten the box for Mixon/Gordon initially. NO when spread out like this generally starts 1 LB, and has HaHa acting as a hybrid player. With a line as powerful as the interior of my line is, we think if we can lighten the box for Mixon/Gordon we can do some damage against this defense. Both our RB's are running behind a far superior line in BDL than they do IRL, and we think that can help them show off how they can change the course of a game.

Let the WR's do the work- Allen has shown when he can be a game manager he can be effective. We aren't going to ask him to make 3/4 reads in a progression and dissect a talented defense. We're going to let ask our talented WR's to run high percentage quick routes: slants, outs, digs and such. If no one breaks open quickly, looking for a safety valve like Mark Andrews or his check downs in Mixon/Gordon. So basically, the way Tom Brady runs an offense now. 

Bait the NO line- With capable pass catchers like Mixon/Gordon/McKissic in the backfield and an aggressive defensive line, we want to run some screens, angle routes and draws to bait NO into giving up some chunk plays in clear passing situations. Having all 3 guys available for this allows us to run these plays without any tells, and we think it can be a big factor in the game. 

Defense (3-3-5 cover 1 base)
NO brings a powerful offense that can attack from multiple fronts, we feel our personnel can match up and create some problems. Here is how:

3-3-5- We feel like this base gives us the best option to defend everything that NO can do. If gives us 3 powerful down lineman to defend against Zeke, it allows us to keep two very good pass rushers on the field to attack Josh Allen, it gives us a deep defender to combat Lockett getting behind anyone and it allows us a safety to roam the intermediate part of the field to help against Zeke and combat where Josh Allen thrives as a passer. The coverage assignments would go as follows:

Thomas- White
Lockett- Peters
Moore- Haden
Ertz- Littleton
RB responsibilities will switch between Von/Judon and Amos since he'll be patrolling close to the LOS to begin with anyway. 

Clog up the interior of the field- Playing cover 1 allows us to sort of the clog the middle of the field where Allen likes to work, it let's us switch our robber off with another defender from time to time and attack as a blitzer, or let that other defender (Von or Judon) drop back into passing lanes. By switching up which player is coming as the 4th rusher constantly we can confuse Allen and force him to think rather just react each and every snap. 

Force Allen to beat us- The game plan is essentially the same for both teams, the QB is the wildcard. If we can bottle up Zeke, our plans to confuse and clog Allen's strengths can be really effective. 

New Orleans

Offense:

It’s playoff time and one of the BDL’s greatest rivalries gets its 3rd and final edition for the 2019 season. 

Playoff football is about time of possession, limiting mistakes and relying on your playmakers to come up big in the key moments. So with this in mind, we’re playing our smashmouth brand of football with the running game up the middle and quick hits to our receivers being they keys. 

Firstly, our plan is to attack OKC up the middle of their defensive line. While their defensive line is generally on the lighter side, we do expect them to line-up with a nose tackle, likely Lawrence Guy, in their base set. Despite this, we’re confident that we’ll be able to run it successfully given the strength of our offensive line. If OKC does go heavy, we plant to counter this by incorporating the read option and having Allen work himself into the game on designed runs. Our suspicion is that OKC will go DL and secondary heavy, so Allen should be able to outmatch the DL with his athleticism, while being able to avoid in hits in the secondary given his physical presence.

Zeke will get the majority of the snaps, in particular short yardage and goal line work but Singletary will see an increasing roll. In particular, we plan to get Singletary involved on delays and counters, where his vision, cutting ability and shift running style should be able to take advantage of it. On top of this, Johnson will see a nice amount of snaps as our 3rd down back, but also in two back sets in which he’ll on occasion motion to the slot or run routes out of the backfield. Broadly, the plan is to get Zeke the ball about 20 times, Singletary 10 and Johnson 5. 

The passing game will be heavily geared towards Allen’s strengths, and that’s getting him rolling out of the pocket or stepping up and hitting strikes in the short-intermediate zone. We’re not going to ask for any particular aggressiveness, but rather just have him look for the open man and throw a dart when he can. 

While Lockett will act as our deep threat primarily, Samuel will see an uptick in snaps and provide us a complementary YAC receiver on the other side of the field to where Moore lines up. Thomas as usual will be used heavily out of the slot on slants and crossing routes looking to pick up his usual 10-15 yards on each route, while Moore given his recent performances will see a more developed array of routes, including fades and deeper crossing patterns to take advantage of the matchup he’ll be getting against presumably Joe Haden. If OKC do go with zone, then the plan will just be having Allen look to run and slide where nothing is happening and taking the 5 yard or so gains, or sitting in the pocket and rifling it to whoever finds the soft spots in the zone. 

Ertz also figures to play an important role as the safety valve to keep our read option effective. If OKC go with man, he’ll largely be running short-intermediate out routes to keep his defender away from the middle, whereas if OKC zone, Ertz will be running drags and routes up the seam to keep the defenders further from the LOS.  

Defense:

We anticipate that OKC will come out with 3 wide and 1 TE. In this instance we have the following assignments in our usual Cover 1:

Gilmore – Robinson
Harris Jr – Sanders
Fuller – Woods
Clinton Dix – Running Back
Hyde – Andrews

Johnson will generally sit in the underneath zone looking to hit any of OKC’s receivers running slants/crossing routes. Savage will sit up top as the single high safety.

In the event that OKC go 4 wide, we’ll have JC Jackson come in as CB4 replacing Savage, Clinton-Dix will be the single high and Jackson will take the 4th WR with Hyde moving to cover the RB or remaining on Andrews if it’s 4WR 1TE. 

As usual, heavy rotation on the defensive line will be the name of the game as we plan to go heavier on early/running downs with this front:

DE: Campbell/Atkins
NT: Hankins
DT: Simmons
DE: Jordan/Vernon

While on passing downs we’ll generally go with:

DE: Bosa
DT: Campbell
DT: Atkins
DE: Jordan

With Allen rotating in on occasion for either Atkins and Campbell, with Jordan sliding in to keep them fresh, or for Jordan himself. Given Allen’s limited mobility and pocket presence, we plan to get aggressive on 3rd and longs and will bring in a 5 pass-rusher lineup (LB: Bosa, Allen - DL: Jordan, Campbell, Atkins) to bring the heat and make sure that we can force some ill-advised throws or get to Allen and take advantage of his fumbling issue.

Tl;dr 

- Run the ball a lot and take advantage of Allen’s legs with the read option.
- Passing game to take no chances – wait for the open man, or run where the opportunity comes and take what the defence gives you.

- Aggressive man coverage with a single high safety – make Kyle Allen throw his receivers open if he wants to avoid getting sacked.
- Rotate heavily on the DL, bring the heat on occasion but otherwise get the front 4 moving the pocket back, collapsing Allen and forcing quick and mistimed throws.

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When I imagined this game in my head...I thought dammit Hightower played so bad I am gonna have to dock OKC some points...but they were wise and played the more productive Littleton.

These teams are both stacked. NOLA has a few DPOY candidates on their team.

At the end of the day...only 1 team got their gameplan on point however. OKC gameplanned for exactly what NOLA has done all' season and offensively they went heavy rush while NOLA showed up with a well prepared passing defense.

While I expect a low scoring game, i also expect OKC to be able to contain Elliot and that laundry list of RBs to be able to tire down that NOLA defense and open up holes in the pass Defense.

OKC gets my vote here in a narrow win.

21-17 OKC

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I think Jlash did a phenomenal job on the game plan for OKC. He is attempting to stop the focus of what the Jazz plan is. This one really comes down to if they can be successful in that. That Jazz team is stacked though with talent and production everywhere. I’ll have to come back and cast my vote. 

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6 minutes ago, Malfatron said:

I guess my vote really did matter :)

 

You definitely flew over the cookoos nest lol 

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Let the record show I would've voted for OKC...since it's my game plan. 

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I’m going to cast my vote for NO if I still can. Like I said well done by Jlash but I think NO has the better overall team. 

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11 minutes ago, Counselor said:

I’m going to cast my vote for NO if I still can. Like I said well done by Jlash but I think NO has the better overall team. 

I agree.  I'd cast my vote for NO, I love their D in this matchup. 

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