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aceinthehouse

Good News! We're guaranteed a top 5 pick.

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There is some sort of good news.

If we somehow beat the Giants today, which is certainly possible?

And the Lions somehow beat the Broncos, which is also a possibility?

The Redskins stay @#4. We won't move up or down this week.

So if you can't cheer for the Skins to lose because of draft positioning, which I certainly understand. Plus, we despise the Giants.

Otherwise a win & a Lions loss, would drop us to #5, which isn't terrible I guess.

After today's games, we will either be sitting at #5, #4, #3 or #2.

But I think a loss today, would almost certainly guarantee us a top 5 pick.

Even if we beat the Cowboys week 17.

The way I'm going about it. I'm rooting for neither a win or loss.

I just want Haskins to play awesome & look better than Daniel Jones.

I want Scary Terry to get over 100 yards receiving & break the Redskins rookie record.

I want Sweat to accumulate sacks (currently has 5 I believe) & cause fumbles, which Jones is good at giving away.

And I want Wes Martin to play like Russ Grimm.

Everything else is gravy!

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The likely outcomes for the Redskins are #2, #3, and #5. 

▪️ They get #2 if they lose to the Giants and the Dolphins beat the Bengals.

▪️ They get #3 if they lose to Giants and the Bengals beat the Dolphins. 

▪️ They get #5 if they beat the Giants.

** The two caveats there are (1) they could still get #2 even if CIN beats MIA, if somehow the rest of the games broke our way in terms of SOS and (2) if they beat NYG and DAL, all bets are off and they could pick as low as #8 or possibly even #9. I don’t think either is probable, as I don’t think the SOS is likely to change much and I don’t think DAL throws the game against us. 

It’s kinda funny reading all these very serious mocks analyzing what the Redskins will do at #4, when that’s really the most unlikely spot from #2-#5 for them to end up.  

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Granted, you wrote this before the 1PM games, @e16bball, but there was a pathway (that almost hit) where Washington could have been picking #1: Cincy wins out (3-13), we lose out (3-13), and Miami defeated New En ... okay, no ... they lost, but the Chargers and Colts won along with the 49ers and Panthers losing.

It would have been a tight rope walk, but it was possible.

Now, not so much.

Good news, though, is that Washington is now guaranteed a top 5 pick.

3. Detroit (3-11-1) plays Green Bay
4. NY Giants (4-12) plays Philadelphia
5. Miami (4-12) plays New England

Depending on how tomorrow night plays out, Green Bay may be resting or be gunning. Philadelphia cannot afford to take it easy against the Giants because an Eagles loss plus Dallas win gives the Cowboys the division. Even the Patriots have something to play for (a first round bye ... a KC win plus New England loss equals Chiefs getting the first weekend off).

 

Rooting interests for Week 17 (excluding the Washington game)

  • 1 PM games
    • Detroit over Green Bay
    • Miami over New England
    • LA Chargers over Kansas City (raises Miami's SOS)
    • New Orleans over Carolina (lowers Washington's SOS)
    • Tampa Bay over Atlanta (raises Giants' SOS)
  • 4 PM games
    • NY Giants over Philadelphia
    • Indianapolis over Jacksonville (raises Miami's SOS)
    • Arizona over LA Rams (raises Giants' SOS)
  • SNF
    • Seattle over San Francisco (lowers Washington's SOS)

 

I don't think the other games matter at all, and I'm pretty sure the difference between Washington and Giants' SOS values is large enough that the Giants would have the tiebreaker evenif the Cardinals and Bucs win. The Miami-Washington delta is tight enough where those games could matter.

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Something that is possible & would be awesome.

If the Lions, Giants & Dolphins all win next week?

And the Redskins knocked off the Cowboys? 

We would stay at #2.

Just something to keep in mind.

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34 minutes ago, aceinthehouse said:

Something that is possible & would be awesome.

If the Lions, Giants & Dolphins all win next week?

And the Redskins knocked off the Cowboys? 

We would stay at #2.

Just something to keep in mind.

From your lips to gods ears!

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Dont forget that Detroit has 3 wins as well.Their game matters if we win,ahh I see ace got Detroit.

Edited by TKellion

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Would love to see Miami, NY & Detroit win their games.

Then, we go into Dallas game with no pressure, as we would be locked into the #2 spot.

And with a chance to end their playoff hope. 

But the good news is, the worst spot we can get is the #5 pick. Not too shabby.

Either way, we should be in position to get a really good player for us.

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