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Fort4242

First Mock Off-Season

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Hey guys I am a long time FF member.  Rarely post, but follow these boards daily.  Thought I would try my hand at a mock off-season for NYJ.

As of right now the Jets have $65.3mm in Cap Space.

 

Cuts

Trumaine Johnson – One could argue this makes us thinner at an already bad position, but with how bad Johnson has been, I think we can sign just about anyone to upgrade him.  Doesn’t save us a ton of cap space, but adds $3mm to the cap.  I’ll take an extra $3mm over having to sit through Johnson another season.

Brian Winters – Another cut where we need the help, but Winters has been mediocre.  Adds $7.2mm to the cap so this one is a no brainer.  We can find even an average guard and get similar or better production.

Quincy Enunwa – hopefully he retires so we don’t need to cut him, but he just can’t stay healthy and neck injuries are no joke.  I love QE but makes sense to move on.  Saves $2.4mm

Darryl Roberts – Another CB cut, which makes us extra thin at the position, but he’s 29 and isn’t anything above average.  Saves us $5.8mm in cap space. 

Josh Bellamy – saves $1.3mm

 

Trade

Le’Veon Bell – We send Bell to Kansas City for their 3rd round pick.  Shady isn’t getting younger, and they continue to go all in while Mahomes is still on the rookie deal.  Bell is wasting away here, and we can get a cheaper, younger option through the draft.  Saves us just under $5mm in cap space.

 

After all these moves we currently have about $90mm in cap space this off-season.

 

Re-Sign

Brian Poole – Had a nice year and still only 27 years old.  One of the lone bright spots at CB.  Him and Austin makes a good start to revamping the CB unit.  Originally signed a 1yr/$3mm contract, we give him a 4 year contract for $32mm with $18mm guaranteed.    $8mm cap hit this year.

Alex Lewis – Decent depth signing.  Can start if we don’t fill the position and at least provides a solid back up on the line if we are able to upgrade.  3 year deal for $9mm - $5mm guaranteed.  $3mm cap hit this year.

Jordan Jenkins – Had a solid year last year and the edge market is crazy expensive.  4 Year deal for $48mm with $20mm guaranteed.  Helps keep a solid young player in place so we don’t open another hole that needs to be filled.  $12mm cap hit this year.

Kelvin Beachum – Solid pass protector who can start if we don’t upgrade or need to give a rookie some time.  2 Year deal for $15mm with $9mm guaranteed.  $7.5mm cap hit this year. 

 

After paying all the re-signings we now have roughly $62mm in cap space to sign FAs. Right now the Jets project for about $8.5mm for rookies, so $53.5 for Free Agency.

 

Free Agency

Jack Conklin – Priority #1 for me in Free Agency.  Only 26 years old, and if he hits the market is a must add.  We sign him for 4 years/$56mm.  This gives him $14mm per year, and puts him right between Trent Brown and Juwan James signings from last year. 

Brandon Scherff – Mixed reviews about him being elite or not, but he’s got to be better than what we had this year.  28 Years old so still years left, we sign him for 4 Years/$40mm.  Right between the contracts Paradis and Saffold got last year on the market.

Bradley Roby – Still somewhat young at 28 years old and had a solid season.  This gives us the opportunity to use Roby and Austin on the outside and keep Poole in the slot.  3 Years/$30mm.

Phillip Dorsett – Solid WR who is still only 27 years old.  Losing Robby we need a new deep threat on the field, and the former first rounder has the ability to stretch it.  4 years/$16mm. 

Jordan Howard – Need a replacement for Bell since we traded him.  Bell’s style didn’t work because our offensive line couldn’t create holes for his patience, so we get a guy who can put his head down and plow forward for positive yards.  Gase doesn’t seem interested in throwing to his RBs anyway, so no need for a guy who excels at pass catching.  2 Years/$9mm. 

Case Keenum – We saw the value of having valuable backup QBs this year – Saints, Titans, Dolphins, Chiefs, Colts, Jets, etc. all had to field their back up at some point this season, for one reason or another.  If we’re expecting a shot at playoffs next year, money well spent to make sure we have someone competent in case Sam goes down.  1 year/$4mm. 

I assume we use the remaining money to sign low cost depth guys at various positions.

 

NFL Draft

The top 10 picks in the draft include (in no order) Joe Burrow, Tua Taovailoa, Andrew Thomas, Tristian Wirfs, Jedrick Wills, Jeffrey Okudah, Isaiah Simmons, Chase Young, Derrick Brown, and Jerry Jeudy.  You could argue guys like Epenesa or Herbert go Top 10 as well, but assume this is how it falls, and the Big 3 OTs are off the board

#11: CeeDee Lamb, WR:  Signing Conklin and Scherff gives us some breathing room on the offensive line, and we get arguably the best playmaker in the draft.  Enunwa and Robby both leaving this off-season left a big hole at WR, and we add one of the best.  The WR class is deep this year, so we could potentially wait to select one, but I think Lamb is the best player on the board at this point and gives our offense a much needed weapon. 

#43: Jake Hansen, C, Oregon: Creed Humphrey returning to school makes the center position thinner in the draft, but if Hansen falls to the Jets here, he should be the pick.  Good technician with size and lots of experience.  Can start right away for us. 

#75: Jaylon Johnson, CB, Utah: Projected to go around here.  Solid cover corner with good instincts and can run with receivers.  Only concern is Johnson is very thin with a skinny lower body.  Fears of him getting pushed around by bigger WRs, but he can mix in as the #4 CB behind Austin, Roby and Poole. 

#107: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB, LSU: Perfect complement to Howard’s power running style.  CEH can be our satellite back for passing downs. 

#139: Trevon Hill, EDGE, Miami: Had some off-field issues, getting kicked off the team at Virginia Tech before going over to Miami.  Good pass rushing skill set and lacks strength in the run game.  Could be a good pass rush specialist for us in the first year. 

#171: Michael Onwenu, G, Michigan: Good power blocker who needs to better his conditioning.  Some concerns with weight problems Depth for the line. 

#203: Dominik Eberle, K, Utah State: Grab a kicker.

 

 

QB: Sam Darnold – Case Keenum

RB: Jordan Howard – Clyde Edwards-Helaire

WR: CeeDee Lamb – Jamison Crowder – Phillip Dorsett – Vyncint Smith

TE: Chris Herndon – Ryan Griffin

OT: Kelvin Beachum – Jack Conklin – Chuma Edoga – Brandon Shell

OG: Brandon Scherff – Alex Lewis – Michael Onwenu – Jonathan Harrison

C: Jake Hansen – Jonathan Harrison

 

DE: Henry Anderson – Nathan Shephard – Jordan Willis

DT: Quinnen Williams – Steve McLendon

ILB: CJ Mosley – Avery Williamson – Blake Cashman

OLB: Jordan Jenkins – Tarell Basham – Trevon Hill

CB: Bradley Roby – Blessuan Austin – Brian Poole – Jaylon Johnson

S: Jamaal Adams – Marcus Maye

 

Obviously we are still very weak at edge rusher and lack depth at Safety, but the overall vision of this off-season was to give Darnold a better offense, and specifically improve that atrocious offensive line.  We can't improve everything all at once, so I tried to use the resources we had where I thought we needed the most help.  Upgrades this off-season at OL, WR and CB - 3 of our biggest weaknesses I would argue.  Overall each unit looks solid, with the biggest glaring weakness at EDGE.  Williams was able to make it work without one this year, so we can look to allocate resources at EDGE next off-season.  Jenkins is solid and now under contract, so really only need one edge guy. And who knows, maybe Trevon Hill turns into something.  

The only thing that I was a bit un-sure of was the contracts.  No clue what people are going to sign for, but I gave it my best guess based on current contract and 2019 free agency.  

Go ahead and tear it apart.  Would love to hear your feedback.

 

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I like it. How realistic it is can be questioned. Im not sure Conklin and Scherff even hit FA, never mind us getting both. That’s really the only unrealistic part I see. But that changes a lot. Especially getting Conklin bc that affects a lot of what then changes as a need for us at 11. We resign Beachum and sign Conklin it’s hard to say we need an OT at 11 then, making Lamb a great pick. We don’t sign 2 OTs and immediately that’s the need at 11.

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8 minutes ago, Bobby816 said:

I like it. How realistic it is can be questioned. Im not sure Conklin and Scherff even hit FA, never mind us getting both. That’s really the only unrealistic part I see. But that changes a lot. Especially getting Conklin bc that affects a lot of what then changes as a need for us at 11. We resign Beachum and sign Conklin it’s hard to say we need an OT at 11 then, making Lamb a great pick. We don’t sign 2 OTs and immediately that’s the need at 11.

Yeah I agree I've seen a lot of speculation about Scherff hitting FA, but Conklin might be more hopeful.  Especially the way Titans play offense it would be silly not to re-sign him.  

If the Big 3 OTs are gone before #11 (Thomas, Wirfs, Wills) and we don't sign a OT in FA, are you comfortable taking a guy like Austin Jackson?

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Really like the direction you went (Prioritizing OL and CB on D)  and think the contractual portion is fairly realistic. While I'd love to grab both Conklin/Scherff, that's probably a pipe dream, I also think a lot of people on here will be very disappointed with what we get for Bell (My guess is closer to a 5th).  Assuming the top 3 OT are gone, personally I'd be cool with Lamb but don't see JD going in that direction.   

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26 minutes ago, Fort4242 said:

Yeah I agree I've seen a lot of speculation about Scherff hitting FA, but Conklin might be more hopeful.  Especially the way Titans play offense it would be silly not to re-sign him.  

If the Big 3 OTs are gone before #11 (Thomas, Wirfs, Wills) and we don't sign a OT in FA, are you comfortable taking a guy like Austin Jackson?

I rate Becton higher than Jackson. I do feel Becton is a bit of a reach at 11 though. He’s very raw technically. He’s a freak physically with his size snd mobility... but unlike the other 3, him starting right away will have more rough patches bc how raw he is. In all honesty FA and even trades leading up to the draft will big time alter who I want at 11. Right now I say I want OT at 11. Be upgrade the OL in the offseason leading up to the draft than I want Jeudy or Lamb. We upgrade WR and only get 1-2 OLinemsn in FA than I for sure want an OT (even teaching on Becton). I see no way I want us going defense period. Bc we just don’t have the resources to get 3-4 OLineman and 2 WRs.

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28 minutes ago, Bobby816 said:

I rate Becton higher than Jackson. I do feel Becton is a bit of a reach at 11 though. He’s very raw technically. He’s a freak physically with his size snd mobility... but unlike the other 3, him starting right away will have more rough patches bc how raw he is. In all honesty FA and even trades leading up to the draft will big time alter who I want at 11. Right now I say I want OT at 11. Be upgrade the OL in the offseason leading up to the draft than I want Jeudy or Lamb. We upgrade WR and only get 1-2 OLinemsn in FA than I for sure want an OT (even teaching on Becton). I see no way I want us going defense period. Bc we just don’t have the resources to get 3-4 OLineman and 2 WRs.

You all know I am not a mock draft guy, but so much talk about a LT when we have Bechum, our big need on the O line is a another all star center, we have done great in our history having a top centers, A center is the anchor of the O line.

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12 minutes ago, doumeyer said:

You all know I am not a mock draft guy, but so much talk about a LT when we have Bechum, our big need on the O line is a another all star center, we have done great in our history having a top centers, A center is the anchor of the O line.

We don’t have Beachum. He’s a FA.

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31 minutes ago, Bobby816 said:

We don’t have Beachum. He’s a FA.

That's not good news, it just another hole to fill. That means we have at least four holes to fill on the O line, maybe five. 

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58 minutes ago, doumeyer said:

That's not good news, it just another hole to fill. That means we have at least four holes to fill on the O line, maybe five. 

Ya almost the whole OL is FAs which is actually not bad, bc none of them are good and we don’t have money tied up in them. Harrison and Edoga aren’t FAs and are worth keeping. But everyone else are FAs except Winters. Who id bet my retirement account on that he gets cut.

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If we were to get Conklin and Scherff in FA, taking Lamb at 11 is a lot easier to swallow. Add Hansen in the second rd and I would be ecstatic. As long as we upgrade LT, C, and at least one OG, I would love it.  That is what this team needs more than anything. 

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Like most of it.  Love Edwards-Helaire.  Love Lamb, he certainly changes our O.  I'm not sure how much i love Hanson at C, i have to watch more tape on him, but he is sub 300;bs, and i want some brutes on the line.  I think with that pick i would prefer Cesar Ruiz out of Michigan.  I really like the Onwenu pick though, nothing like getting a 350lber on the line.  

Getting both big time FA OL seems a bit far fetched but it would be pretty nice.  I actually really like getting Case Keenum.  Not sure how much we need Howard, and I am not sure I'd pay him that much, but i wouldn't be totally against it.  He is a young guy and still runs hard.  

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If this was to happen I’d be pretty happy. My only disagreement is not resigning Robby. Dorsett, IMO, is at best a 4th receiver. 

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48 minutes ago, Rich51 said:

If this was to happen I’d be pretty happy. My only disagreement is not resigning Robby. Dorsett, IMO, is at best a 4th receiver. 

Ya i agree, i feel like spending so much time in the Pats offense made Dorsett look more effective than he is..... and even that didn't look that effective.  

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I like the idea of adding Dorsett. Nice low key signing that I think works for Gase and Darnold. I’m on the Lamb bandwagon. So I’m happy with that pick. 
 

Bell was 7th in receptions by a RB. Not sure I agree with your comment about Gase not throwing to RBs. The Howard signing doesn’t seem like a good match to me. 

Edited by SDotNova

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