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jetskid007

2020 New York Jets Offseason version 1.0: Senior Bowl addition

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Final Record: 7-9


Expiring Contracts

  • LB Jordan Jenkins – 4 years, $52 million 
  • CB Brian Poole – 4 years, $25 million
  • LT Kelvin Beachum - 2 year, $16 million
  • LG Alex Lewis – 2 years, $12 million
  • WR Demaryius Thomas – 1 year, $2.45 million
  • QB Trevor Siemian – 1 year, $2.45 million 
  • QB Maurice Canady – 1 year, $2 million 
  • OL Tom Compton – 1 year, $1.5 million  
  • P Lachlan Edwards – 1 year, $1.5 million 
  • LB Albert McClellan – 1 year, $950,000 
  • QB David Fales – 1 year, $950,000 
  • TE Daniel Brown – 1 year, $850,000 
  • LB James Burgess – RFA – original round tender
  • CB Arthur Maulet – RFA – original round tender
  • WR Jeff Smith – ERFA
  • LB James Burgess – ERFA
  • DB Bennett Jackson – ERFA
  • OL Leo Koloamatangi – ERFA
  • K Sam Ficken – ERFA
  • WR Robby Anderson 
  • RT Brandon Shell
  • C Ryan Kalil
  • LB Neville Hewitt
  • LB Brandon Copeland
  • S Rontez Miles 
  • RB Ty Montgomery 
  • OT Brent Qvale
  • RB Bilal Powell
  • WR Josh Malone

 Released

  • CB Trumaine Johnson ($11m savings) June-1 Cut
  • RG Brian Winters ($7.5m savings)
  • CB Daryl Roberts ($6m savings)
  • WR Josh Bellamy ($2.25m savings) 

Restructured

  • WR Jamison Crowder ($3.5m savings) 
  • DL Henry Anderson (convert $3.5m salary into guaranteed roster bonus) 

Recap: The Jets are looking to totally rebuild and reload their OL, WR, and CB units, which shouldn’t be a surprise. The only returning opening day starter from 2019 is Beachum, who re-signs on a one year deal with an option masquerading as a two-year deal. Both perimeter starting corners will also see their contracts terminated. I think the team wants Robby back, but not at the price he’ll receive on the open market. The rest of their moves are fairly procedural: they’ll bring back Pool, who became one of the best slot corners in the NFL under Gregg Williams, they’ll re-sign Alex Lewis on a heavily incentivized deal, they’ll re-sign DT to be the 4th or 5th option in their passing game and the leader of the WR room, and they’ll re-up a number of their backups. As far as cuts go, I think Avery Williamson will be back (with Hewitt and Copeland moving on), and I think they’ll restructure Henry Anderson’s contracts to allow for it to be more trade-able, essentially serving as a salary dump. 

A few things to keep in mind for player evaluation: 

  • The Jets will become a need-based drafting team. This is something that scares me a little, but it is the reality of the situation. In every stop Douglas has been in, those teams drafted need over BPA. Many times, those teams will even stack their needs and draft two, if not three, players at a position in a single draft. The reason why his teams have been need-based drafting will be explained a little more below, but just have to keep in mind that this style can lead to a higher bust rate in round 1. 

  • This time, the Jets really will create a pipeline. Specifically for OL. Maccagnan preached it but never executed it. Douglas, on the other hand, was intimately involved with teams who have drafted at least one OL or DE in every single draft dating back to 2000. In fact, Baltimore selected an OL in all but one draft during Douglas’s 15 year stint with the organization, Chicago drafted one in his only draft with the team, and Philadelphia did in 2-of-3 drafts. Again, Douglas is an OL by nature and has risen to the top of the league due to his ability to evaluate offensive linemen. You can be sure that he’ll be selecting at least one every year, with sights on stockpiling and developing them the way Baltimore has since their inception. 

  • Rex Ryan isn’t the only Jets head coach with a foot-fetish… Jokes aside, one of Gase’s more positive traits is his ability to identify talent, and the primary attribute he focuses on is footwork. On the offensive side of the ball, it doesn’t matter if it’s an OL, WR, TE, RB, or QB, you’ll always hear Adam refer to clean footwork and fast feet as primary evaluation tools. He cited such for “his guys” after they were acquired via free agency (Jamison Crowder) and the draft (Chuma Edoga), with it being a popular phrase used to evaluate Darnold’s performances throughout the year. It seemed to have been a popular theme in Miami as well. 

  • And he’s not the only one… One thing we know that Douglas and Gase agree on is their evaluation of offensive line prospects. Every scout, coach, executive has certain things they emphasize most - a trait to build off of so to speak - and they both prioritize FEET. I’ve covered Gase’s affinity for footwork and lower half athleticism at the position, but how about the guy who actually makes the final decision? It’s no secret that Douglas was the expert in the building when it came to scouting offensive lineman throughout his time in Baltimore (he would sign-off on the prospect rankings once Ozzie and DeCosta put together their final rankings and was also credited with uncovering Marshal Yanda), and one should presume the same during his time with CHI/PHI as well. When you look at Douglas’s history in the last decade alone, he too has placed a premium on big men with foot quickness, balance, and lower-half flexibility. Andre Dillard (PHI-2019), Matt Pryor (PHI-2018), Jordan Mailata (PHI-2018), Cody Whitehair (CHI-2016), John Urschel (BAL-2014), Ricky Wagner (BAL-2013), Ryan Jensen (BAL-2013), Kelechi Osemele (BAL-2012), Gino Gradkowski (BAL-2012), Jah Reid (BAL-2011), Ramon Harewood (BAL-2010), and Michael Oher (BAL-2009) all had one thing in common: foot quickness and athleticism. 

  • WHO CARES ABOUT POSITION LABELS! In furtherance of our discussion about how both Douglas and Gase evaluate offensive linemen, keep in mind that both of them can give a damn what a player’s position was in college, specifically when it comes to the offensive line. Instead, they focus on how versatility the linemen are and what their skill set allows for them to be at the NFL level. Yanda, Oher, Osemele, Jensen, Wagner, Whitehair, and Pryor were all LTs who either moved to RT, G, or C in the pros. Gase has played traditional LTs  at G or at RT. Bottom line: the position they played in college means very little in the big picture; ultimately, both want to find guys who fit certain roles within the scheme regardless of position. 

  • Look for players who are technically sound and tough, even if that means sacrificing upside, for the sake of building a "chippiness" culture. While Maccagnan and Joe Douglas both placed a similar emphasis on collecting leaders, Douglas is a lot more committed to that creed. Maccagnan would try to leverage high character picks with lower character/upside guys, but you won’t see that with Douglas running the show. He’s going to draft football players, and that won’t always mean the youngest guy or the guy with the most upside in the draft, which is what Maccagnan seemed to look for. Instead, Douglas is a much safer drafter who prioritizes using draft picks as a means to building a team and a culture - you don’t have to hit every pick out of the park, but chances are, if you collect a lot of good hard working football players, you’ll build a good football team even if they’re not all making a significant impact on the field.


 

FREE AGENCY

New York Jets sign former Washington Redskins RG Brandon Scherff

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Terms: 5 years, $72,500,000

Joe Douglas’ mission since arriving here was to emphasize the line of scrimmage, and he’ll make it a priority throughout his first full offseason as the Jets GM. For a long time I thought Scherff would be slapped with the franchise tag, but now that the team appears to be headed in a new direction with Trent Williams more willing to return on a new deal with Bruce Allen gone, it wouldn’t shock me if they moved on from Scherff to reallocate resources elsewhere, especially considering that they have high hopes for both Ereck Flowers and Wes Martin at the guard spots (remember, Ron Rivera had a lot of say in CAR personnel when Gettleman was fired, and he let Norwell walk). Furthermore, Scherff is represented by Neil Cornrich, who happens to also represent Marshal Yanda. In 2007, Joe Douglas was "the guy" when it came to scouting the OL for the Ravens. He advocated for Yanda in the 3rd round, which naturally led to a lot of positive for everyone around. Fast-forward to 2020, where Douglas is now running his own team. Douglas has had plenty of opportunities to scout Scherff as VP Player Personnel with the Eagles. Obviously these are just a few scenarios and links, but when you factor in how desperate we are for OL, and our pursuit of Zack Martin (RG), it would seem Scherff fits the billing as arguably the best OL who should hit the market. Although Scherff scares me - there’s a lot of bust potential there - I feel Joe Douglas is hellbent on making a signature addition to the offensive line kind of the way he did by signing Ryan Kalil, and Scherff would provide that. At 28 years old, he has plenty of good years left, but the Jets will have to work overtime in order to make sure they can keep him healthy (has missed 15 games in the last 3 seasons). 

 

New York Jets sign former Detroit Lions OL Graham Glasgow

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Terms: 4 years, $52,500,000

The Jets went big-game hunting to start free agency by adding Brandon Scherff, and they will follow that up by signing Glasgow to be their new center. Glasgow has been effective since entering the league as a 3rd round pick, but Detroit never truly allowed him to settle in one position. However, the silver lining is that Glasgow offers significant position flexibility as a C/LG/RG being that he’s started full seasons at each position and also rotated throughout this season. He has made it clear that he intends to test the open market, stating he wants to feel “wanted”, and I’m guessing Joe Douglas will fulfill that request by making him one of the highest paid center’s (and 7th highest paid interior OL) in the league. Another positive takeaway from this signing is that it allows the Jets to be flexible with their offensive line given Glasgow’s interchangeability. Glasgow embodies everything the Jets are looking for in a player, but I’d be naive to say that these numbers wouldn’t concern me as a fan. That said, but I think Joe Douglas understands that you can’t let years 3-5 of a contract deter you when signing a player considering the constant inflation of the salary cap. Howie Roseman has maneuvered the changes to the NFL cap structure better than anyone, largely because of his willingness to give out long-term deals with the foresight that the cap would continue to rise. Oh, and if you’re the dot-connecting type as I am, keep in mind that Jets RB coach/offensive strategist Jim Bob Cooter was his offensive coordinator in Detroit from 2016-2018. 

 

New York Jets sign former Baltimore Ravens CB Jimmy Smith

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Terms: 2 years, $10 million

I know a lot of Jets fans will want the Jets to shoot higher, but when tracking Joe Douglas’s stops as an executive, those organizations seem to be rather averse to signing cornerbacks to big money contracts, especially in free agency. Instead, I think he will work the draft and deeper free agent market to build depth at the position, which actually has some players the Jets really like, while adding a savvy veteran like Jimmy Smith, whom he has ties with dating back to his days with Baltimore. Smith should have no problems winning a starting nod in New York.  
 

New York Jets sign former Tennessee Titans WR Tajae Sharpe

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Terms: 2 years, $9,500,000 

It's not the name that Jets fans will want to see as Robby Anderson’s replacement, but it’s the one I’ll continue to link to the Jets until it doesn’t happen. Tajae Sharpe is a great match for Adam Gase’s offense; he’s a crisp route runner due to his superb footwork and flexibility. He has good size, very good hands, is known as a player who prefers to be coached hard and has a very good football IQ. He’s been buried on the depth chart in TEN, operating as the 5th option in the passing game behind AJ Brown, Corey Davis, Adam Humphries, and Jonnu Smith on a team that prioritizes running the football. Originally from Newark, NJ, I think he’ll be eager to return home and play for coach Gase, who will respect his traits far more than Tennessee did. He so closely resembles Stevie Johnson as a player, just needs an opportunity to show that he can produce in an offense that fits his skill set

 

New York Jets sign former Philadelphia Eagles CB Ronald Darby 

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Terms: 1 year, $4 million

Darby, the  former Buffalo Bills corner who Joe Douglas pushed to trade for in 2017. Darby couldn’t rid himself of the injury bug throughout his time in PHI, only appearing in 28 games across 3 seasons, and played poorly in 2019. The Jets are hoping Gregg Williams and his staff can revitalize Darby’s once promising career, but he’ll have to settle for another 1 year deal, which seems to be a theme with young, talented CBs who have played average ball (see Claiborne, Breeland).

 

New York Jets sign former Philadelphia Eagles RB Jordan Howard 

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Terms: 1 years, $4 million

Philadelphia The Philadelphia pipeline continues with Howard, the former Chicago Bears running back who Joe Douglas pushed to trade for in 2019. This will fuel a lot of Le’Veon Bell trade rumors, but I don’t think he will be traded, at least prior to camp. I think the Jets will absolutely try to use Le’Veon more as a receiver in 2020 if he does return, which will have Howard taking on the Bilal Powell role. Howard couldn’t rid himself of the injury bug throughout his time in PHI, but was effective when he was on the field. The Jets won’t ask much of Howard: he’ll be a committee back in their backfield, but has himself a prime opportunity to own his role with the NYJ if the team opts to trade Le’Veon prior to the season

 

New York Jets sign former Indianapolis Colts S Clayton Geathers 

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Terms: 1 year, $3.5 million

Unless you're an elite safety, you’re pretty much going to have a hard time getting paid on the open market, hence why Clayton Geathers will have to settle for a lesser salary as a 3rd safety; the supply simply does not match the demand. Geathers is more talented than the reserves we’ve had, so it wouldn’t surprise me if he actually got some playing time in subpackages as a slot rusher and SS/LB. He has crossed paths with Jets assistant GM Rex Hogan


The New York Jets trade Henry Anderson to the Indianapolis Colts for a 2022 conditional 7th round pick 

Not much to discuss here - the Jets send back Anderson to the team that drafted him for nothing. Conditions would include a Pro Bowl appearance and that the Colts keep him throughout the expiration of his contract. 

 

FREE AGENCY RECAP

Connecting the dots” can seem like overkill, but hear me out: when JD arrived in Philadelphia, the team added a bunch of former Ravens/Bears that he crossed paths with: Chris Givens (2016), Alshon Jeffery (2017), Timmy Jernigan (2017), Haloti Ngata (2018), LaRoy Reynolds (2018), Kamar Aiken (2018), DeAndre Carter (2018), and Jordan Howard (2019). Since joining the Jets, this trend continued: he picked up Godwin Igwebuike and Alex Brown (PHI) off waivers, traded for Alex Lewis (BAL), signed Marcus Cooper (CHI), signed Albert McClellan (BAL), signed Quincy Adeboyejo (BAL), claimed Bennett Jackson (BAL) off waivers, signed Blake Countess (PHI), signed BJ Bello (PHI), signed Paul Worrilow (PHI), claimed Maurice Canady (BAL) off waivers, and signed Kenneth Dixon (BAL). We also saw the Jets bring in former Colts who assistant GM Rex Hogan had familiarity with. I think you’ll see this trend continue, as he tries to fill the roster with players he’s come accustomed to in addition to players who were opponents that he immensely respects. Smith (BAL), Darby (PHI), Howard (CHI/PHI) and Geathers (IND) all fit that billing. As far as need filling: obviously the Jets made two major investments in the OL - that’s going to happen regardless. As far as their approach to WR, again, I think it’s all about understanding the big picture. As an executive, you only have so much money you can spend, and when you enter into a draft that is arguably the best receiver class ever, you’re going to use those free agency dollars on positions of scarcity. This year’s draft class isn’t that great at LB/EDGE, hence why I see them funneling those resources into Leonard Floyd and the DBs. The expectation should be that the Jets go heavy on offense this year

 



 

2020 NFL DRAFT

Day 1

  • 1. CIN: Joe Burrow, QB, LSU 
  • 2. WAS: Chase Young, DE, OSU 

TRADE: DET sends 1(3) and 2021 3rd round pick to LAC for 1(6), 2(37), and 2021 1st round pick

  • 3. LAC: Tua Tagovalioa, QB, Alabama 
  • 4. NYG: Isaiah Simmons, LB, Clemson
  • 5. MIA: Justin Herbert, QB, Oregon 
  • 6. DET: Jeffrey Okudah, CB, OSU
  • 7. CAR: Derrick Brown, DT, Auburn
  • 8. ARI: Mekhi Becton, OT, Louisville 
  • 9. JAX: Javon Kinlaw, DT, South Carolina 
  • 10. CLE: Jedrick Wills, OT, Alabama 

Recapping the top 10: The first big shocker is Tua to the Chargers, which I will explain. I know everyone and their mother has Miami taking him at 5 (or via trade up themselves), but I think the Chargers are the cheaper, more desperate organization who will agree to this deal far before the draft, much like the Jets did in 2018. Daniel Jeremiah, who is employed by the Chargers as a play-by-play analyst, has gone on record stating he believes that either Brady or Taylor/Tua will be QBing the team next year. I don’t have enough balls to put Brady to the Chargers just yet, and I think Rivers is moving on, hence why I see them opting to make a big play for Tua in the draft. They're historically a cheap ownership group so I don’t see a move for another veteran QB other than Brady, as he is the only veteran out there capable of selling their PSLs. The next best thing? Draft the shiny new “hometown-ish” QB in Tua. The team is high on backup QB Tyrod Taylor as a bridge, so Tua will have time if he needs it, but in the end the Chargers accomplish making a splash without having to dish out too many guaranteed dollars while the rookie wage scale remains in place, as it's rumored to be undergoing significant changes under the new CBA. Miami has all the draft capital in the world, but I think they have something for Herbert and may even prefer him over Tua given his durability issues, so they won’t feel compelled to move up. Besides, Herbert is the perfect QB for new OC Chan Gailey’s system, and his skill set is exactly what the respected coach prefers, so keep an eye on that pairing. As far as the rest of the top 10, this draft is extremely top heavy when it comes to tackles and we’re finally seeing the media catch up to what NFL circles are thinking: you have 4 truly elite OL prospects in this draft. As a result, you’re seeing many mock drafts with 4 of them going in the top 10, but don’t be fooled: that will not happen on draft day. Free agency still needs to happen, and there’s bound to be at least one or two teams who throw a curveball on draft day. In this case, I have that one team being the New York Giants. Dave Gettleman hasn’t been with an NFL team that has drafted an Offensive Lineman in round 1 since 1999, when the Giants drafted Lucas Petitgout with the 19th pick. Instead, Gettleman has always placed a premium on athletic freaks in round 1 - usually defenders, WRs, or RBs - while relying on his uncanny ability to find effective offensive linemen later in drafts or in free agency. Simmons is exactly the type of player Gettleman falls in love with; he’s a do-all player who you just let go out and play football, not so different from recent draft studs Saquon Barkley (2018), Christian McCaffery (2017), and Shaq Thompson (2015). For all the criticism Gettleman gets, he’s an elite scout and there truly is a method to his madness, even if it’s a bit outdated. Even if we were to assume that 3 OTs go in the top 10, I’d still foresee a scenario where the Jets come away with the 4th either at 11 or 13. The last time - and only time since 1985 - over 4 OL went in the top 10 was in 2013, when 3 Ts and 2 Gs went in the top 10 (also 11th). However, that was also the last time a QB wasn’t drafted in the top 4 picks (and only time since 2000), which helps explain why 3 OL and a DE went top 4 (all premium positions outside of QB).


TRADE: the New York Jets send their 1st round pick (#11 overall) to the Indianapolis Colts for their 1st round pick (#13), 4th round pick (#119), and 5th round pick (#160) 

Douglas has made it clear that he’ll always listen if teams call. Baltimore was always one of those teams that strategically traded down throughout Ozzie Newsome’s tenure (see Jimmy Smith as the most famous example), and with the amount of times Douglas has referred back to those days you have to consider that he’ll take the same approach unless there’s a prospect available he feels he cannot pass on. Being said, the Jets have a lot of relationships in the Colts front office, and they will be looking to jump the Raiders out of fear that Gruden will take Jordan Love at 12. Other teams later in the round will call - most notably the Eagles - but the Jets are in a position where their top OL is still on the board. They can conceivably move down 2 spots and still get their man while acquiring an additional mid-round draft picks

 

With the 13th pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, the New York Jets select… 

Tristan Wirfs, Offensive Tackle, Iowa

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Player Comparison: Zack Martin 

I think it's entirely possible that Wirfs is the top OL off the board, but in this scenario I have Wills and Becton (who teams are going to fall in love with) coming off ahead of him. Fans will be antsy here with Andrew Thomas available, but I don’t think the NFL GMs will be as high on him as DraftTwitter is… he’s certainly a very good offensive tackle, but I think he’s going to fall further than people think, similarly to how Cam Robinson and Jawaan Taylor did in 2018 and 2019 as he lacks elite fundamentals and has shown a resistance to correcting his unorthodox footwork and technique. Besides, keep an eye out to see if Wirfs hires Neil Cornrich; if he does, you can bet there will be some wink-winking between JD and the agent, who also happens to represent free agency signee Brandon Scherff. Why is that important? Many agents want to get the biggest bite out of the apple and they’re always planning ahead by leveraging their free agent clients as a means to set floors for their draftee clients (if X falls to our pick, we’ll take him). Furthermore, when you consider the depth of this class, you’ll see teams become more comfortable waiting to address the position as we near closer to draft day. Wirfs is one of the best athletes in the draft, has position versatility, and will have a lot of clout within front offices and the scouting community given the school he went to. He’s extremely light on his feet, has good length and good hip flection. His play strength is out of control at times, so he needs to work on maintaining his balance. Although there’s still room to figure out exactly where he’s best fit, you can be sure that he’s a safe player who has the ability to be an All-Pro OL. Perhaps unpopularity, I don’t think the Jets will use Wirfs at LT, instead, he will either play LG or RT to begin his career with a possibility of shifting to the left side down the road, but as the game has evolved, teams are learning to build their scheme around elite OL regardless where they are lined up, and I think Gase will be a huge fan of slotting Wirfs at LG because of how dynamic he can be as a pulling G in the run game and the kind of impact he can make blocking stunting pass rushers, allowing the tackle to simply focus on winning their one-on-ones. To provide a specific example, too many times we saw edges get free rushes at Darnold in 2019, largely because the protection called for the LT/RT to have double duty to make sure that the rush didn’t come from the inside, which left Le’Veon Bell in the backfield trying to block both a blitzing defender and an edge rusher. By bulking up the interior, you totally eliminate this problem. Now, the Jets offensive line overhaul appears complete, with Wirfs, Scherff, Glasgow, and Beachum likely occupying 4-of-5 with a direct competition between Edoga and Lewis for the final starting spot. Keep in mind that Gase has traditionally been more libral in his line combinations, not afraid to put natural tackles at guard or to switch a traditional LT to the right side, so there are a number of different combinations that will be on the table throughout training camp - including Edoga or Beachum at LG. Ultimately, the Jets will seek to start the best 5 regardless of position, and that’s the correct approach for them to take


 

Day 2 

With the 48th pick of the 2020 NFL Draft, the New York Jets select… 

Jauan Jennings, Wide Receiver, Tennessee

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Player Comparison: Corey Davis-Brandon Marshall

Jennings is by far the most interesting prospect I’ve reviewed in this entire class. He’s a 6’3, 206 lb receiver who plays like a linebacker. On the surface, many will point to a lack of production with his character issues and immediately disregard him as a fit for the Jets culture, but you have to search deeper than that to understand why he is just the perfect fit for this organization. Jennings was recruited to play QB, but was converted into a WR during his freshman year. He’s an ultra-alpha competitor, and it shows both on and off the field. It took Jennings until his junior year to truly feel at home at WR, but I’m confident had he been playing for a team with better QB play over the past two seasons, he’d be spoken of as one of the top 5 WRs in this class. Jennings is a YAC demon, routinely gaining extra yardage in a variety of ways. He’s a good route runner with tremendous athleticism and is avid at high-pointing and catching the football with his hands as opposed to body catching. He plays with the biggest chip on his shoulder that I’ve ever seen… he’s only scratching the surface of what he’s capable of doing. He has unique play strength but also flexible hips and terrific elusiveness for a man his size, which reminds me a lot of Brandon Marshall. He’s not as big as Marshall, but the way they play the game is so similar. Unfortunately, he has a lot of Marshall’s persona off the field too. His attitude has boiled over too many times - he was dismissed from the program temporarily for constantly challenging the coaching staff and criticizing Tennessee for holding him out due to a wrist injury that he wanted to play through, and earlier this year he was suspended for stomping on a Vanderbilt player. In High School, he had documented run-ins with his basketball coach, and quit the team out of refusal to run sprints outdoors prior to their championship game. By all accounts he seems like a smart guy, but there’s definitely that Vontez Burfict gene in him that coaches will have to monitor. Some have taken this to be a positive, with Senior Bowl director Jim Nagy calling him “truly, truly unique… wired mentally with a real competitive edge. Will bring a tone-setter attitude and play tough in the middle of the field… get the ball in his hands, he’s a junkyard dog… he’s different than anyone else in this draft.” When you read this, keep in mind that the Jets are filled with borderline psychotic competitive SOBs/mega alpha personalities whether its Adam Gase (who in fact is a receiver’s coach by nature) or Gregg Williams or Jamal Adams… the Jets embrace that attitude and seek to build their culture around that mentality, but it will be up to the staff to keep him in check and channel that competitiveness and passion into his play on the field only. I have a good feeling that Jennings will ascend to WR1 sooner rather than later, but the fact that he can be a core special teamer immediately will really have the coaches pushing for him on draft day

 

With the 68th pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, the New York Jets select… 

Robert Hunt, Offensive Line, Louisiana-Lafayette 

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Player Comparison: Will Hernandez-Kelechi Osemele

Douglas continues to pile resources into the offensive line, to all of New York’s delight, now investing another asset into the unit. Shout-out to Dane Brugler for linking this prospect to the Jets in his most recent mock draft, but I have him going in round 3 considering he has been dealing with injury and won’t be able to play participate in the Senior Bowl, which will give other prospects the opportunity to jump ahead of him. The Louisiana Rajun’ Cajun’ is what Dave Gettleman would call a “hog molly”; he’s the nastiest linemen in this year’s class and it’s not very close in my opinion. He played RT at college - which I think he’s absolutely capable of playing in the pros - but much like Wirfs he can be a top tier interior lineman as well. Although I think there’s more positional versatility as a G/RT, he gives me vibes of current Giants’ LG Will Hernandez, but unlike Hernandez, Hunt has more work to do fundamentally and mechanically. With that said, he has naturally quick feet, suggesting that he should be able to clean up the mechanics, and is well versed in the ZBS. Ideally, the Jets will want their OL-of-the-future to look something like Edoga-Wirfs-Glasgow-Scherff-Hunt, but the beautiful thing that they have built is versatility.  My guess is Hunt will be included in the competition at either LG or RT, but in all likelihood he’ll spend most of 2020 as a reserve, with 2021 being his primary opportunity to earn a starting job


 

With the 79th pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, the New York Jets select… 

Alton Robinson, Defensive End, Syracuse

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Player Comparison: Derek Barnett

Robinson is exactly the type of edge rusher the Ravens have spent years drafting to create their pipeline at the position. Physically, he’s extremely similar to Derek Barnett. He has a lean but filled-out frame in his torso and chest, but boasts broad shoulders and a thick base. He isn’t the longest pass rusher in the class and may not be the most gifted guy in combine testing, but the past two seasons have been very positive. He has a wonderful first step and is a fluid sprinter - he rarely wastes any body movements and that body control allows him to convert speed to power seamlessly. Unlike Jachi Polite, Robinson is known to be a worker and was a leader in the Syracuse locker room, which the Jets will value, but he does have some red in his ledger: he was arrested in 2016 on a robbery charge, and was accused of committing one in 2015 as well, which resulted in him being dismissed by Texas A&M before his career even began, which resulted in him being a JUCO freshman before transferring to Syracuse in 2017. Apparently he has come a long way off the field and he believes his history helped shape him, responding that “when life knocks you down, you just got to get back up, no matter how tough it gets… put the ball down and let’s just play”. In terms of how he can impact in year 1: he certainly has a lot of technical work - specifically with his hands - but given his uncanny body control and adequate core strength, there should be some optimism that he can become a complete rusher. Gregg Williams and his staff did an excellent job coaching up our young DL last year, and I can only imagine that they can’t wait to get their hands on Robinson, who has the potential to be a 8-10 sacks per year type of player
 

 

Day 3 

TRADE: the New York Jets send their 4th round pick (#117 overall) and 5th round pick (#158) to the Washington Redskins for their 4th round pick (#105)

Given the depth of this receiver class, I anticipate there will be a lot of jockying for a top pick in the 4th round, but with Cincinnati being categorically opposed to trading draft picks on draft day, I think the Jets will strike a deal with Washington, who should be more open to making a deal

 

With the 105th pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, the New York Jets select… 

Gabriel Davis, Wide Receiver, UCF 

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Player Comparison: Keenan Allen-Riley Ridley

Have to give a shout-out to Matt Miller for linking Gabriel Davis to the Jets because it's one of the best prospect fit matches you will find throughout the draft process, however, given the depth of this class I don't think Davis will go on Day 2. I know some will say that's being overly optimistic, but look at last year as proof: we saw Hakeem Butler fall to pick 103, and he was a consensus day 2 pick. Davis has been on the radar for some time now due to his combination of size, speed, hands, catch radius, advanced route tree, body control, and a high football IQ. He plays with an enormous chip on his shoulder, which as I've well documented is a quality I think the Jets will love, but what makes him such a great fit is his route running and versatility: Gase will love his nuanced footwork and his incredible timing on routes; our offense is built on the receivers ability to run extremely precise routes, and I’m sure Gase will be extremely fond of Davis’s dedication to his craft at such an early age. Additionally, Davis’s ability to play in every set regardless of position won’t hurt either. The easy comp is Keenan Allen because they almost look identical and play very similarly too, but Davis has more speed which allows him to be a better downfield receiver, whereas Allen makes a greater impact creating YAC. A better comp is Allen Robinson. They too have similar body types, playing styles, and athletic abilities, but I think Davis may have more natural hands. All said, Davis is pretty much the receiver Adam Gase wanted Robby Anderson to develop into: a complete X receiver who can run every route and win all over the football field, regardless of coverage. He could slide in as a week 1 starter and make an enormous impact right away.

 

 

FA RECAP: 

  • Brandon Scherff, RG, Washington Redskins 
  • Graham Glasgow, OL, Detroit Lions  
  • Jimmy Smith, CB, Baltimore Ravens  
  • Tajae Sharpe, WR, Tennessee Titans 
  • Ronald Darby, CB, Philadelphia Eagles 
  • Jordan Howard, RB, Philadelphia Eagles
  • Clifton Geathers, S, Indianapolis Colts

DRAFT RECAP: 

  • 1(13) Tristan Wirfs, OL, Iowa 
  • 2(48) Jauan Jennings, WR, Tennessee 
  • 3(68) Robert Hunt, OL, Louisiana-Lafayette  
  • 3(79) Alton Robinson, DE, Syracuse 
  • 4(105) Gabriel Davis, WR, UCF 
  • 4(119) Darius Anderson, RB, TCU
  • 5(160) Chase Lucas, CB, Arizona State
  • 6(191) Chris Williamson, CB, Minnesota 

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A few notes: 

  • I think the Jets will LOVE WR Van Jefferson, but ultimately, he's going to go between the Jets Round 3 picks after a huge senior bowl week. He's literally Terry McLaurin 2.0. I also expect them to be strongly connected to Michigan OL Jon Runyan Jr, but you can only spend so many picks on OL. At the end of the day, Jets have to be happy with their first 4 picks, even if there were some players they had hoped to land didn't make it to them. 
  • I don't think the Jets will feel fulfilled at the CB and EDGE positions, but the GM would tell you that this is a process. His main priority - meaning immediately - is to build around Sam Darnold, and that will mean heavily investing both money and draft picks in the offense. Ideally Bless Austin will take a step in his development so the Jets can run out he/Jimmy Smith/Pool for the year, with the others competing for spots in the pecking order. Similarly, the Jets won't have much change at EDGE other than the addition of Robinson, so they're expecting Phillips and Bashem to pick up where they left off, as well as some of the depth guys (i.e. Willis, John Franklin-Myers) to make an impact.
  • It's entirely possible the Jets make trades in Training Camp to address some of their weak spots. We were one of the more active teams leading up to the season, and it wouldn't shock me if the Jets made a trade for a player like Leonard Floyd if Douglas felt he was a missing piece. Also might be the time we see a Le'Veon Bell trade, given that the Jets will have paid his bonus money and teams may re-consider if they experience injury at the position. 

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If i remember correctly you can't designate Tru as a post June 1st cut due to the collective bargaining agreement running out.  Unless they come up with some agreements before this FA period we are going to have much less cap savings from him.  

I am a bit hesitant to sign off on spending that much money on Scherff.  Guy has had several years in a row now end with shoulder surgeries.  Shoulder's scare the crap out of me, especially for the big fellas.  

I love the Glasgow signing.

You think Andrew Thomas lasts that long?  I think I'd take him over Wirfs, as I think he has more potential to become a franchise LT guy.  I'd still be very happy with Wirfs though, guy will certainly help with a road grading run game.  

I'm gonna have to look into this Juaun Jennings kid, I've seen you mention him a few times, I haven't see him going this high other places.  

I can dig the rest of the draft.  And i love the focus on the line.  This is what we should have been doing for years.  

 

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59 minutes ago, rampantjet said:

If i remember correctly you can't designate Tru as a post June 1st cut due to the collective bargaining agreement running out.  Unless they come up with some agreements before this FA period we are going to have much less cap savings from him.  

I am a bit hesitant to sign off on spending that much money on Scherff.  Guy has had several years in a row now end with shoulder surgeries.  Shoulder's scare the crap out of

 

Unfortunately, that is correct.   Post June 1 designation requires 2 years in work as this year is the final year under current CBA without next season under contract.  Hence, all terminated contracts will be a whole final ($$) this year as of right now.   Good catch, Rampantjet.

Edited by JetsandI

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2 hours ago, rampantjet said:

If i remember correctly you can't designate Tru as a post June 1st cut due to the collective bargaining agreement running out.  Unless they come up with some agreements before this FA period we are going to have much less cap savings from him.  

I am a bit hesitant to sign off on spending that much money on Scherff.  Guy has had several years in a row now end with shoulder surgeries.  Shoulder's scare the crap out of me, especially for the big fellas.  

I love the Glasgow signing.

You think Andrew Thomas lasts that long?  I think I'd take him over Wirfs, as I think he has more potential to become a franchise LT guy.  I'd still be very happy with Wirfs though, guy will certainly help with a road grading run game.  

I'm gonna have to look into this Juaun Jennings kid, I've seen you mention him a few times, I haven't see him going this high other places.  

I can dig the rest of the draft.  And i love the focus on the line.  This is what we should have been doing for years.  

Nice catch. Admittedly I've been working on this for months, revisiting and revising as I saw fit, so I'm sure there are a few more errors in there. Either way, it shouldn't impact our cap positioning (as it stands I had about $20m available post-draft in my excel sheet). 

 

First, let me address RT vs. LT. The Athletic wrote how from an importance standpoint, teams are no longer distinguishing the left as "more important" than the right: https://theathletic.com/1023509/2019/06/12/there-is-no-longer-a-distinction-between-left-tackles-and-right-tackles/. The reason being? In the past teams used to put their best, fastest pass rusher on the blind side, but we're seeing this less and less. As high schools and colleges all the way up to the NFL adjusted over the decades by putting terrific athletes on the blind side, defenses started to zag again by lining up their best/fastest pass rushers over the RT. Now, we see them line up all over the place. What the article doesn't cover is how RT vs. LT still has differences, most notably in the run game, and being that TEs typically line up on the right of the formation, you need your RTs to have some more power (since they do spend time facing 3s and 5s), meaning you're LT is playing on an island more often. Also, the RT carries much heavier importance in the run game, which is also often designed to go right. 

Andrew Thomas: we're going to see him start falling out of favor as the draft nears. He's absolutely a top-notch prospect, but also has the most bust potential of the top 4 guys. He comes with some work ethic questions, and his unwillingness to clean up his mechanics is going to resonate with some front offices. He has weird footwork that has worked for him, but relies wayyyy too much on his upper body strength. That won't work in the NFL. In many ways, he's Greg Robinson. Robinson has carved out a solid career, but his development was massively stunted because of his inability to become more technical. What will be key for him is to readjust his lower half. If he can, he'll be alright, but if he continues to be stubborn with it you'll blink and everyone will be saying "what could have been". 

Why teams will have Becton, Wills, and Wirfs higher: safety. Despite being a massive player, Becton looks the most natural as a LT of all the Ts and that includes Thomas. His size makes you think that he's a mauler (which he is), but what's going to get him paid is that he's a dancing bear. His game starts with his feet and works its way through his hips/chest/hands, which is what you want in a LT, and it helps him even more that he's HUGE - think about it: how many people can get around him or go through him in less than 3 seconds? He showed that he was capable of in 2019, and the primary concern going forward is whether he can stay in shape. If he can get his play weight down to 350, woof... Wills/Wirfs are high-floor, high-ceiling prospects as long as you can get over that their best NFL positions may not be at LT. They both have the athletic ability to, but I don't think its their game to be an "iso" OL who sits on an island and keeps the QBs backside clean. They're both very good pass protectors and have everything you look for in terms of lower half mechanics, but they're power/movement-players by nature. You're getting more out of them at RT/G then you would at LT as ridiculous as that sounds. Wirfs is bigger, but I see so much of Zack Martin in him. Both high-hipped, thick base, broad torso, powerful upper bodies despite not being extremely lengthy, and are on the same tier in terms of athleticism. I think you can play him at LT, but as a pulling RT/LG he can be truly elite.

It'll come down to where they get drafted, but if I'm the Jets, don't force any of these prospects to be LTs; bring them in and see where they fit best. In the big picture it won't matter that much, especially when you have a QB like Darnold whose routinely moving around the pocket... just put some studs in front of him and good things will happen. 

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13 hours ago, jetskid007 said:

A few notes: 

  • I think the Jets will LOVE WR Van Jefferson, but ultimately, he's going to go between the Jets Round 3 picks after a huge senior bowl week. He's literally Terry McLaurin 2.0. I also expect them to be strongly connected to Michigan OL Jon Runyan Jr, but you can only spend so many picks on OL. At the end of the day, Jets have to be happy with their first 4 picks, even if there were some players they had hoped to land didn't make it to them. 
  • I don't think the Jets will feel fulfilled at the CB and EDGE positions, but the GM would tell you that this is a process. His main priority - meaning immediately - is to build around Sam Darnold, and that will mean heavily investing both money and draft picks in the offense. Ideally Bless Austin will take a step in his development so the Jets can run out he/Jimmy Smith/Pool for the year, with the others competing for spots in the pecking order. Similarly, the Jets won't have much change at EDGE other than the addition of Robinson, so they're expecting Phillips and Bashem to pick up where they left off, as well as some of the depth guys (i.e. Willis, John Franklin-Myers) to make an impact.
  • It's entirely possible the Jets make trades in Training Camp to address some of their weak spots. We were one of the more active teams leading up to the season, and it wouldn't shock me if the Jets made a trade for a player like Leonard Floyd if Douglas felt he was a missing piece. Also might be the time we see a Le'Veon Bell trade, given that the Jets will have paid his bonus money and teams may re-consider if they experience injury at the position. 

Nice job, very helpful. I do agree with you, I just hope you didn't do all this work on your boss's time.

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9 hours ago, rampantjet said:

If i remember correctly you can't designate Tru as a post June 1st cut due to the collective bargaining agreement running out.  Unless they come up with some agreements before this FA period we are going to have much less cap savings from him.  

I am a bit hesitant to sign off on spending that much money on Scherff.  Guy has had several years in a row now end with shoulder surgeries.  Shoulder's scare the crap out of me, especially for the big fellas.  

I love the Glasgow signing.

You think Andrew Thomas lasts that long?  I think I'd take him over Wirfs, as I think he has more potential to become a franchise LT guy.  I'd still be very happy with Wirfs though, guy will certainly help with a road grading run game.  

I'm gonna have to look into this Juaun Jennings kid, I've seen you mention him a few times, I haven't see him going this high other places.  

I can dig the rest of the draft.  And i love the focus on the line.  This is what we should have been doing for years.  

 

I agree with you. I think Wills will be the 1st OT off the board in this draft. After that it will be whoever teams like. Thomas, Becton and Wirfs will be in a big group. I'd be happy with any one of them to be honest. I do think that Becton has the highest risk factor, but also could be the best of the group just as easily. Outside of Wills, I think Thomas is the safest pick given this board. So I'd take him over Wirfs. But I'd be happy with either.

Regarding Jennings. He's highly talented and think of DT when you think of him. Big physical and can run. Great body control. Whats his knock? Off the field issues. Drugs, issues yelling at coaches, etc. For me that doesn't warrant being picked at 48. For a team that desperately needs WR talent.. I dont think he's the answer. Bc everyone else in this offseason isnt moving the needle at all (resigning DT who's a shell of himself and Tajae Sharpe). Kid could be great bc physically he has all the tools and he has that competitive edge. But he just as easily can get kicked out of the league for being stupid. I agree that there's hard to argue that a more talented prospect will be available in this area. But I just dont think we are a team that can afford that risk with a 22yr old QB we're hoping to be a franchise QB. What I do like is the pick of Davis in the 4th. I doubt he will be available this late, but you never know. Bets way to hope he falls here is a slow 40. Bc he isnt a guy that will kill you with quickness and speed. But he will kill you with size, strength and catching ability.

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Another thing about Andrew Thomas to consider is the elite LG play from Kindley.  Thomas did not concern himself with DL rushing up the middle, he only had to concern himself with the edge.  That said, if we can somehow land Thomas and Kindley, I think our left side of the OL will be set for a while.

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All the great teams of the past have been built thru the draft, the Cowboys, Steelers, New England, Giants & the Baltimore Colts. FA are great when you have to fill two or three holes in your roster. It work for us several; years ago when we picked up Decker, Marshall, & Faneca. But the draft is the key, and you can't built a top team in one draft. The last five years of Macc  horrible drafting has set us back years, three of Maccs, top first round picks. were trade for the three third round picks, that is a formula for failure. I am really curious how Douglas is going to handle the offseason. Even our Super Bowl winning team was built thru the draft with players like Namath, Boozer, Matt Snell. & George Sauer Jr. 

Edited by doumeyer

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Fantastic read as always. Love the depth and breakdown of all components of the offseason. 
 

I would love to trade back this draft (like we nearly always say) and if we can add more picks for Douglas to work with I think he will turn this thing around quickly for us. 
 

I’m also not that fussed on prioritising any one position on the o-line. I’d prefer to put as many studs as we can get and just protect Sam. Not bothered if we spend the 11th pick on a elite guard or left tackle. Great thing is this is the year to get offensive lineman and with Douglas scouting them I feel we are in a very strong position 

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1 hour ago, Bobby816 said:

I agree with you. I think Wills will be the 1st OT off the board in this draft. After that it will be whoever teams like. Thomas, Becton and Wirfs will be in a big group. I'd be happy with any one of them to be honest. I do think that Becton has the highest risk factor, but also could be the best of the group just as easily. Outside of Wills, I think Thomas is the safest pick given this board. So I'd take him over Wirfs. But I'd be happy with either.

Regarding Jennings. He's highly talented and think of DT when you think of him. Big physical and can run. Great body control. Whats his knock? Off the field issues. Drugs, issues yelling at coaches, etc. For me that doesn't warrant being picked at 48. For a team that desperately needs WR talent.. I dont think he's the answer. Bc everyone else in this offseason isnt moving the needle at all (resigning DT who's a shell of himself and Tajae Sharpe). Kid could be great bc physically he has all the tools and he has that competitive edge. But he just as easily can get kicked out of the league for being stupid. I agree that there's hard to argue that a more talented prospect will be available in this area. But I just dont think we are a team that can afford that risk with a 22yr old QB we're hoping to be a franchise QB. What I do like is the pick of Davis in the 4th. I doubt he will be available this late, but you never know. Bets way to hope he falls here is a slow 40. Bc he isnt a guy that will kill you with quickness and speed. But he will kill you with size, strength and catching ability.

What I think, not necessarily what I want 

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45 minutes ago, doumeyer said:

All the great teams of the past have been built thru the draft, the Cowboys, Steelers, New England, Giants & the Baltimore Colts. FA are great when you have to fill two or three holes in your roster. It work for us several; years ago when we picked up Decker, Marshall, & Faneca. But the draft is the key, and you can't built a top team in one draft. The last five years of Macc  horrible drafting has set us back years, three of Maccs, top first round picks. were trade for the three third round picks, that is a formula for failure. I am really curious how Douglas is going to handle the offseason. Even our Super Bowl winning team was built thru the draft with players like Namath, Boozer, Matt Snell. & George Sauer Jr. 

I think the primary thing to understand is that teams Joe Douglas has been associated with go into each offseason with an agenda to “fix” their biggest weakness. It doesn’t always work, but that’s why I say we should expect the Jets to become more “needs based” under Douglas. He and his front office are all all stars in the scouting community; they’re not afraid to take a player perceived as a “reach” if they believe in what that player is capable of, especially if that player fits within the agenda.  

Entering 2017 the Eagles biggest weakness was pass defense. The responded by signing a pass rusher, signing a CB, trading for a CB, and drafting a pass rusher in R1 and CB back to back in rounds 2-3. Stuff like this was a theme in BAL as well. 

With that, I think the Jets have identified OL as their biggest weakness, and when you consider that Douglas ground his teeth by being an OL scouting specialist, I think we should expect that he’s going to dump a ton of resources into the position, and will draft at least one every year in rounds 3-7. Yes, there are needs at WR, CB, and DE as well, but they can’t address every position with premium resources in 1 year. They’ll focus on building around Sam this year and see how the defense works out under Gregg in season 2. You can be damn sure that CB/EDGE will be high on the shopping list in 2021 either way

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2 hours ago, xrade said:

Another thing about Andrew Thomas to consider is the elite LG play from Kindley.  Thomas did not concern himself with DL rushing up the middle, he only had to concern himself with the edge.  That said, if we can somehow land Thomas and Kindley, I think our left side of the OL will be set for a while.

True. But why cant we put a good LG next to him as well? Or RG for that matter. We shouldn't just be getting 1 or 2 OLineman this offseason. A HUGE amount of money should be spent on atleast 2-3 guys in FA and hopefully a pick at 11. And even in the midrounds.

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17 minutes ago, Bobby816 said:

True. But why cant we put a good LG next to him as well? Or RG for that matter. We shouldn't just be getting 1 or 2 OLineman this offseason. A HUGE amount of money should be spent on atleast 2-3 guys in FA and hopefully a pick at 11. And even in the midrounds.

You can cook it however you want, I just think the bust potential with Thomas is higher than the rest of the top 4 lineman, and we're starting to see that NFL people are thinking the same (re: Brugler, Jeremiah). As I wrote in my report, there's a lot of Jawaan Taylor/Cam Robinson/Greg Robinson going on there, which scares me. If push came to shove I'd still take him, but it would be like getting married to the girlfriend that's smoking hot and has her moments but clearly has some emotional/mental red flags that you hope get resolved RE: maturity of being married or via therapy lol. 

Douglas doesn't take me as a guy who really cares whether you play G/T; I think he'll opt to take the best offensive lineman, guys who can change the way your scheme works and how defenses are forced to game plan against you, and in this case its Wirfs regardless if he's playing LT, RT, or LG. Sure, you can always build from the outside-in while investing less on the interior guys/asking them to do less, but when you have a player to the caliber of Nelson/Martin, your playbook expands exponentially. Ideally you'd like that guy as a left tackle, but I fear that player is Mekhi Becton/he won't be available when we pick. 

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