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Researchers on Monday announced the most comprehensive estimates to date of elderly people’s elevated risk of serious illness and death from the new coronavirus: Covid-19 kills an estimated 13.4% of patients 80 and older, compared to 1.25% of those in their 50s and 0.3% of those in their 40s.

The sharpest divide came at age 70. Although 4% of patients in their 60s died, more than twice that, or 8.6%, of those in their 70s did, Neil Ferguson of Imperial College London and his colleagues estimated in their paper, published in Lancet Infectious Diseases.

The new estimates come as scientists have been scrambling to figure out the underlying reasons for older people’s greater susceptibility to the virus — and, in particular, why some mount a stronger immune response than others.

https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/30/what-explains-coronavirus-lethality-for-elderly/

 

Paper from where those stats come from:

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(20)30243-7/fulltext

 

 

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1 minute ago, Blahstoise said:

 

 

Important to note the 1.38% overall CFR they estimated may be significantly overstated because:

"We also assumed perfect case ascertainment outside of Wuhan in the age group with the most cases relative to their population size (50–59-year-olds); however, if many cases were missed, the case fatality ratio and infection fatality ratio estimates might be lower."

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5 hours ago, VonKarman said:

It's just the influence of Catalonia TBH. Data across the country looks "good". This week is going to be the one with most deaths, and from April 9th onwards (aproximately) active cases will start to drop.

I hope so. Andalucia has been pretty stable and tonight it was reported the region has only needed to use 15% of it's total ICU bed capacity.

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4 hours ago, acowboys62 said:

The media did what now to prevent what?  Numbers aside the media has and is continuing to fuel panic in most areas. 

What should they do, tell people it’s ok and dandy? It’s a lot worse than expected. That is at least agreeable. 

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A pro-tip for all you folks not getting outside and seeing as much sunshine as you might otherwise, start taking a vitamin D supplement. Take it from someone with a vitamin D deficiency, you really don’t want to be cooped up with low vitamin D levels. 

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