Bears to decline Trub's 5th year option

[G08]

^ I think the above refutes the "dink/dunk" opinion. 

[Heinz D.]

19 hours ago, CBears019 said:

I agree with you, but aren’t you really against people saying something along the lines of, “Sure he had a decent season, but if you remove games A, B, and C you’ll see that he didn’t really do that well”?

Isn’t this kind of the same?  Sure, his YPA was low, but if you remove all those short passes to Cohen it would be higher.

No, because Cohen stank. It wouldn't have mattered who was throwing him the ball--he was awful.

And shouldn't have been on the field nearly as much as he was. If at all.

That's not Trubisky's fault. 

[JAF-N72EX]

*DISCLAIMER: I have not yet fact checked these so take them how you may. *

Sorry to you phone users out there. Complain to invision.

Target depth per throw % (meaning where the target was on the field when they caught the pass)

Quarterback	Short (To 0 yards)	Rank	Underneath (1-10 yards)	Rank	Intermediate (11-20 yards)	Rank	Deep (21+ yards)	Rank
Daniel Jones	15.4%	22	55.8%	1	16.9%	28	11.9%	13
Dak Prescott	10.5%	29	54.9%	2	23.6%	11	10.9%	18
Tom Brady	18.8%	14	53.9%	3	18.4%	24	8.9%	23
Deshaun Watson	16.3%	20	53.6%	4	15.4%	29	14.8%	5
Derek Carr	21.0%	7	53.4%	5	17.8%	25	7.7%	27
Lamar Jackson	13.4%	27	53.1%	6	19.6%	22	13.9%	6
Matt Ryan	14.1%	25	52.1%	7	23.7%	10	10.1%	19
Drew Brees	19.7%	12	51.1%	8	22.1%	17	7.2%	28
Kirk Cousins	20.6%	9	49.9%	9	17.6%	26	11.8%	14
Ryan Fitzpatrick	14.0%	26	49.7%	10	24.4%	9	11.9%	12
Andy Dalton	16.3%	19	49.1%	11	26.3%	5	8.4%	25
Jacoby Brissett	18.6%	15	49.0%	12	24.6%	8	7.8%	26
Matthew Stafford	10.8%	28	48.9%	13	23.0%	13	17.3%	1
Gardner Minshew	20.9%	8	48.7%	14	20.2%	20	10.1%	20
Kyle Allen	17.9%	17	48.2%	15	22.9%	14	11.1%	16
Josh Allen	17.7%	18	47.3%	16	22.2%	16	12.7%	9
Carson Wentz	20.2%	10	47.1%	17	22.7%	15	10.0%	21
Jimmy Garoppolo	22.0%	4	46.8%	18	25.0%	7	6.3%	29
Patrick Mahomes	21.3%	6	46.7%	19	20.0%	21	11.9%	11
Jared Goff	18.2%	16	46.1%	20	26.9%	4	8.8%	24
Mitchell Trubisky	23.3%	3	45.3%	21	20.3%	19	11.0%	17
Sam Darnold	16.2%	21	45.2%	22	29.0%	1	9.5%	22
Kyler Murray	26.1%	1	45.1%	23	17.6%	27	11.2%	15
Ryan Tannehill	15.2%	23	44.0%	24	27.5%	3	13.3%	7
Baker Mayfield	21.4%	5	42.7%	25	23.1%	12	12.8%	8
Jameis Winston	14.5%	24	42.5%	26	27.9%	2	15.2%	4
Russell Wilson	19.2%	13	42.5%	27	21.7%	18	16.6%	2
Philip Rivers	20.1%	11	42.3%	28	25.0%	6	12.6%	10
Aaron Rodgers	25.2%	2	40.5%	29	18.8%	23	15.5%	3

 

 

[soulman]

This was wholly expected by most.  Mitch simply didn't earn it and there's a 50/50 chance he won't even be named #1 QB for the season after camp and preseason.

Personally I don't see what benefit we would have gotten from it.  If he explodes in 2020 he can still be signed beyond 2020 before becoming a UFA or he can be tagged while we negotiate a longer term deal and he'd still need to have a Patrick Mahomes kind of year to justify a top dollar deal.  How likely is that?

This is one of those cases where I believe it's best for all parties to have him playing for his next contract and for Nick Foles to be playing to improve upon his by qualifying for the bonuses he can get should be become the #1 QB.  Both pride and money are part of the equation for both which IMHO makes their competition all that much fairer and balanced.

This is one of those deals where I really don't have a favorite.  I just posted an analytical by Jonathan Woods whose conclusion is the Foles will win this competition and start the season but both QBs have struggled with consistency and Foles has never played an entire 16 game season as a #1 QB in his entire career.  So if anyone believes they know how this will all come out in the wash please share.  Right now I'm about equal on whose gonna be our QB in 2021 between these two and a rookie draftee.