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malagabears

Bears to decline Trub's 5th year option

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^ I think the above refutes the "dink/dunk" opinion. 

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19 hours ago, CBears019 said:

I agree with you, but aren’t you really against people saying something along the lines of, “Sure he had a decent season, but if you remove games A, B, and C you’ll see that he didn’t really do that well”?

Isn’t this kind of the same?  Sure, his YPA was low, but if you remove all those short passes to Cohen it would be higher.

No, because Cohen stank. It wouldn't have mattered who was throwing him the ball--he was awful.

And shouldn't have been on the field nearly as much as he was. If at all.

That's not Trubisky's fault. 

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*DISCLAIMER: I have not yet fact checked these so take them how you may. *

Sorry to you phone users out there. Complain to invision.

Target depth per throw % (meaning where the target was on the field when they caught the pass)

Quarterback Short (To 0 yards) Rank Underneath (1-10 yards) Rank Intermediate (11-20 yards) Rank Deep (21+ yards) Rank
Daniel Jones 15.4% 22 55.8% 1 16.9% 28 11.9% 13
Dak Prescott 10.5% 29 54.9% 2 23.6% 11 10.9% 18
Tom Brady 18.8% 14 53.9% 3 18.4% 24 8.9% 23
Deshaun Watson 16.3% 20 53.6% 4 15.4% 29 14.8% 5
Derek Carr 21.0% 7 53.4% 5 17.8% 25 7.7% 27
Lamar Jackson 13.4% 27 53.1% 6 19.6% 22 13.9% 6
Matt Ryan 14.1% 25 52.1% 7 23.7% 10 10.1% 19
Drew Brees 19.7% 12 51.1% 8 22.1% 17 7.2% 28
Kirk Cousins 20.6% 9 49.9% 9 17.6% 26 11.8% 14
Ryan Fitzpatrick 14.0% 26 49.7% 10 24.4% 9 11.9% 12
Andy Dalton 16.3% 19 49.1% 11 26.3% 5 8.4% 25
Jacoby Brissett 18.6% 15 49.0% 12 24.6% 8 7.8% 26
Matthew Stafford 10.8% 28 48.9% 13 23.0% 13 17.3% 1
Gardner Minshew 20.9% 8 48.7% 14 20.2% 20 10.1% 20
Kyle Allen 17.9% 17 48.2% 15 22.9% 14 11.1% 16
Josh Allen 17.7% 18 47.3% 16 22.2% 16 12.7% 9
Carson Wentz 20.2% 10 47.1% 17 22.7% 15 10.0% 21
Jimmy Garoppolo 22.0% 4 46.8% 18 25.0% 7 6.3% 29
Patrick Mahomes 21.3% 6 46.7% 19 20.0% 21 11.9% 11
Jared Goff 18.2% 16 46.1% 20 26.9% 4 8.8% 24
Mitchell Trubisky 23.3% 3 45.3% 21 20.3% 19 11.0% 17
Sam Darnold 16.2% 21 45.2% 22 29.0% 1 9.5% 22
Kyler Murray 26.1% 1 45.1% 23 17.6% 27 11.2% 15
Ryan Tannehill 15.2% 23 44.0% 24 27.5% 3 13.3% 7
Baker Mayfield 21.4% 5 42.7% 25 23.1% 12 12.8% 8
Jameis Winston 14.5% 24 42.5% 26 27.9% 2 15.2% 4
Russell Wilson 19.2% 13 42.5% 27 21.7% 18 16.6% 2
Philip Rivers 20.1% 11 42.3% 28 25.0% 6 12.6% 10
Aaron Rodgers 25.2% 2 40.5% 29 18.8% 23 15.5% 3

 

 

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This was wholly expected by most.  Mitch simply didn't earn it and there's a 50/50 chance he won't even be named #1 QB for the season after camp and preseason.

Personally I don't see what benefit we would have gotten from it.  If he explodes in 2020 he can still be signed beyond 2020 before becoming a UFA or he can be tagged while we negotiate a longer term deal and he'd still need to have a Patrick Mahomes kind of year to justify a top dollar deal.  How likely is that?

This is one of those cases where I believe it's best for all parties to have him playing for his next contract and for Nick Foles to be playing to improve upon his by qualifying for the bonuses he can get should be become the #1 QB.  Both pride and money are part of the equation for both which IMHO makes their competition all that much fairer and balanced.

This is one of those deals where I really don't have a favorite.  I just posted an analytical by Jonathan Woods whose conclusion is the Foles will win this competition and start the season but both QBs have struggled with consistency and Foles has never played an entire 16 game season as a #1 QB in his entire career.  So if anyone believes they know how this will all come out in the wash please share.  Right now I'm about equal on whose gonna be our QB in 2021 between these two and a rookie draftee.

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