Tk3 Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 Week 11 power rankings Egypt Starfall (9-2) - unchanged Phoenix Rattlers (8-3) - UP 1 Norway Knights (8-3) - UP 1 Rio de Janeiro Pirates (7-4) - DOWN 2 Rocket City Trash Pandas (8-3) - unchanged Chicago Fire (7-4) - UP 2 Hanoi Viet Kong (6-5) - DOWN 1 South Africa Woolley Mammoths (6-5) - UP 3 Freiburg Venom (6-5) - DOWN 2 Indianapolis Predators (5-6) - unchanged Miami Sharks (6-5) - DOWN 2 Reykjavik Direwolves (5-6) - UP 1 Tacoma Thunder (5-6) - UP 1 Scranton Papermakers (5-6) - UP 1 Seattle Sonics (4-6-1) - DOWN 3 Iowa Jagwads (3-8) - UP 3 Southview Saints (3-8) - unchanged Anchorage Eskimos (4-7) - DOWN 2 Little Rock Uni Royals (2-9) - UP 1 Richmond Flying Squirrels (2-8-1) - DOWN 2 Took Pwn's advice. I very much prefer the stronger emphasis on +/- Playoff odds Norway Knights (8-3) (proj 11.7 wins) - >99% playoff chance Rio de Janeiro Pirates (7-4) (proj 11.2 wins) - >99% playoff chance Chicago Fire (7-4) (proj 9.4 wins) - 53% playoff chance Hanoi Viet Kong (6-5) (proj 9.2 wins) - 48% playoff chance South Africa Woolley Mammoths (6-5) (proj 9.0 wins) - 44% playoff chance Reykjavik Direwolves (5-6) (proj 7.9 wins) - 26% playoff chance Tacoma Thunder (5-6) (proj 7.4 wins) - 18% playoff chance Seattle Sonics (4-6-1) (proj 6.5 wins) - 10% playoff chance Anchorage Eskimos (4-7) (proj 4.6 wins) - 1% playoff chance Little Rock Uni Royals (2-9) (proj 3.2 wins) - <1% playoff chance This race got a lot more interesting this week with important wins for the Mammoths, Direwolves, and Thunder, plus the loss for the Kong. Knights have a 2 game lead over 5th, and the Pirates should be able to weather that loss. I still think the Fire have a nice leg up, but the Kong suddenly feel endangered with the glut of longshot teams all winning. The 4 seed will almost certainly be a 9 win team, so I won't count out the Direwolves or Thunder yet. I do think the Sonics have strongly fallen out of the mix though. Egypt Starfall (9-2) (proj 12.6 wins) - >99% playoff chance Phoenix Rattlers (8-3) (proj 11.8 wins) - >99% playoff chance Rocket City Trash Pandas (8-3) (proj 11.1 wins) - >99% playoff chance Freiburg Venom (6-5) (proj 8.5 wins) - 32% playoff chance Indianapolis Predators (5-6) (proj 8.0 wins) - 26% playoff chance Miami Sharks (6-5) (proj 8.0 wins) - 25% playoff chance Scranton Papermakers (5-6) (proj 7.0 wins) - 14% playoff chance Iowa Jagwads (3-8) (proj 5.0 wins) - 2% playoff chance Southview Saints (3-8) (proj 4.8 wins) - 1% playoff chance Richmond Flying Squirrels (2-8-1) (proj 3.2 wins) - <1% playoff chance Oof.. this was a BAD week for this conference. At the top, Starfall, Rattlers, and Pandas won, and with losses by Venom, Predators, and Sharks, those top 3 teams are now virtually locked and just playing for seeding, with a 2 game gap between the top 3 and the 4th seed. Venom/Predators/Sharks/Papermakers are all going to slug it out to see who can steal that 4th seed. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RandyMossIsBoss Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 Knew we should have just called it a season after week 4. Give Nacho an extended vacation, maybe would make him reconsider retirement. Some things are bigger than sim sports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EaglesPeteC Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 13 minutes ago, RandyMossIsBoss said: Knew we should have just called it a season after week 4. Give Nacho an extended vacation, maybe would make him reconsider retirement. Some things are bigger than sim sports. This is lies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bucsfan333 Posted August 30, 2020 Share Posted August 30, 2020 I'm behind the team I beat. Fair enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SirA1 Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 10 hours ago, El Ramster said: What a freaking game.. GGs brother man. We let them off the hook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malfatron Posted August 31, 2020 Share Posted August 31, 2020 On 8/29/2020 at 6:50 PM, Malfatron said: BACK BY POPULAR DEMAND, ITS THE WEEK 11 PREVIEW WEEK 11 Little Rock Uni Royals @ Norway Knights Norway is riding high after beating Brees twice this year. You would think they would easily beat up on the hapless Royals But parity rules this season, and Malf has been getting lucky lately. Plus malf got cocky and didnt tailor his sliders this game. as the kids say, big oof Dak had 400 yards last game, but this one, he will have 3 picks. Royals returns a punt for a TD, making Anger angry. All the RNG goes against the Knights this game prediction: Royals win 41-22 in a headscratcher Hanoi Viet Kongs @ Phoenix Rattlers playoff implications abound! A loss by either team could open the door to competitors sneaking up to either take the playoffs or the division respectively. Conversely, a win puts both squarely in the drivers seat to control their own destiny. I will definitely be reading the game doc along on this one prediction: Hanoi wins 30-13 and nudge themselves closer to the playoffs Rocket City Trash Pandas @ Indianapolis Predators RC looks to put the nail in the coffin for the Preds. They can afford to lose, but not if they want HFA This is the last gasp for the former GOAT Week 4 team however, RC is a better team prediction: RC rolls 31-14, but is subsequently ranked below the preds in the upcoming team power rankings. Scranton Papermakers @ Miami Sharks Can Miami keep defying the odds? Chances are that either them or Venom is gonna earn the right to beat Ramster in WC weekend. Things cant be easy though. Bold prediction: Scranton gets over 150 yards on the ground and eeeks out a win prediction: paperteam wins 27-20 South Africa Woolly Mammoths @ Anchorage Eskimos Do or die for the SA team who made some big trades to play for the now. point blank: if they lose here, its over. but they win. They are playing the exact right team to stay in the mix prediction: SA wins 30-20 Egypt Starfalls @ Freiburg Venom Oh man. the Venom came all this way, but now have to face the best team in the conference. no matter what happens though, they are still in it. Rammy has a history of winning some crazy close games. I see the same thing happening here prediction: egypt wins 27-25 (venom with a failed 2 pt conversion to lose) Rio de Janeiro Pirates @ Reykjavík Direwolves REY is the most underachieving team of the year. No way they should be 4-6. Rio has been playing like the best team in the NSFL lately. Somethings gotta change! This is my lock of the week. Prediction: REY wins 34-27 Lamaer has 315 total yards and 4 TDs Mahomes throws 2 picks Iowa Jagwads @ Richmond Flying Squirrels sigh.... prediction: squirrels win 21-14 i guess Tacoma Thunder @ Seattle Sonics Loser is out. winner needs a lot of help but is still alive i think thunder is just a better team all around prediction: thunder win 38-24 Chicago Fire @ Southview Saints Brees against the Saints?? He is not ready for this moment prediction: saints win 24-16 6-4 record im getting better at my analysis this week should be even better! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EaglesPeteC Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 Did the trade deadline pass? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malfatron Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 Week 12 Preview posting it early so owners can adjust their sliders accordingly. Little Rock Uni Royals @ Egypt Starfalls This game will shock Rammy to the core. He has been getting lucky each and every week. Time for RNG to strike back. egypt has been sacked 30 times and has a combined 20 fumbles/ints. He has allowed 372.91 yards per game. Here are his margins of victory 15 (i screwed up my sliders bad) 3 1 6 7 6 17 (against counse) 1 2 The wheels are gonna fall off soon. I think this week. Prediction: Royals win 37-16 Miami Sharks @ South Africa Woolly Mammoths Playoffs start now for 2 desperate teams who need a win to stay in contention I really like Brady to pick apart a team allowing an opp passer rating of 105.81. prediction: SA wins 43-26 Seattle Sonics @ Iowa Jagwads Its Rookie Bowl! Burrow v Tua The difference in the game will come down to turnovers(both qbs like to turn the ball over). Whicker is doing better in that department (+1 to -2) so I think he pulls out the W in an exciting game prediction: Sonics 31-26 Rio de Janeiro Pirates @ Chicago Fire Juggernaut bout! possible future playoff game! Means a lot for the division right here. My lock of the week paid off last week as I saw Rio losing for the first time in about a month. This week I am nowhere near as confident. Fire can sling it all over the field, but brees has been known to throw some ints and fumble (combined 8). Fournette has another 5 fumbles. Brieda has been a minor guardian angel for Rio , averaging 4.48 YPC and making Mahomes not have to do it all (though he often does) I think Rio controls the game from start to finish. Look for long drives fires TOP is Time of Possession: 47.92% Rios is 50.75% If Chicago cant improve their -9 TO diff, it will be a long day. prediction: Rio wins 34-13 Southview Saints @ Indianapolis Predators This isnt about playoffs. this is about winning a game. The preds have a very good shot against the Saints, but the Saints have been playing good teams close. They almost got the drop on chicago, and only lose to 1 by egypt. They actually beat the Rattler team. But the Preds defense is among the best, only allowing 19.45 ppg. They will definitely keep it close, and the Saints dont have enough weapons to put it away Prediction: Preds win 17-15 (on game winning FG with under 30 secs to play) Reykjavík Direwolves @ Richmond Flying Squirrels Big win for REY as they find themselves back in the mix. sadly, I like Richmond in this game. REY is 4-2 at home, but only 1-4 away. REYs rushing defense is pitiful. They are allowing a whopping 150 rush yards per game against them I predict a big day with the rushing attack of Murray and Jones. and...a lot of drive stalls for both teams prediction: richmond 20-10 Freiburg Venom @ Rocket City Trash Pandas Big conf game here. I really like RC as a dark horse to make it to the nacho bowl A balanced ball control offense, and a defense who has forced 4.82 punts per game should coast. prediction: RC 29-7 Scranton Papermakers @ Phoenix Rattlers Big conference game here. I also see this one ripe for an upset This is the Malf Lock of the week! bucs lose their first game at home??? how malf, how? 1. scranton is immune to the rubberband effect (only allowed 67 pts in the 4th) 2. This is the Malf lock of the week, which makes Cousins nervous 3. papermakers only allowing 3.53 yrds per rush, and that secondary is better than what they have been RNGing at. Marlon Mack isnt going to help that, so expect the rattlers in a lot of unfavorable scenarios. prediction: papermakers win 20-3 (Malf lock of the week) Norway Knights @ Tacoma Thunder Theres a lot to like about the knights, but lets talk about the Thunder Time of Possession: 55.02% wow! Rodgers is still a beast, and dbs have trouble picking him off, which i pretty much need to rely on. He will get his. should be a good game prediction: Thunder win 26-18 Anchorage Eskimos @ Hanoi Viet Kongs Well, this is gonna be a laugher. prediction: 31-6....eskimos 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravens5520 Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 13 minutes ago, Malfatron said: Week 12 Preview Anchorage Eskimos @ Hanoi Viet Kongs Well, this is gonna be a laugher. prediction: 31-6....eskimos Hahahaha I giggled! Definitely a laugher 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EaglesPeteC Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 17 minutes ago, Malfatron said: I really like RC as a dark horse to make it to the nacho bowl 5 game losing streak confirmed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravens5520 Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 1 hour ago, Malfatron said: 6-4 record im getting better at my analysis this week should be even better! You should know better with us on the road... Shanahan is cursed in the sim! I think Nacho has a vendetta against him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malfatron Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 1 minute ago, ravens5520 said: You should know better with us on the road... Shanahan is cursed in the sim! I think Nacho has a vendetta against him thats true which is why i made week 12 predictions with analytics instead of gut feel 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravens5520 Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 17 minutes ago, Malfatron said: thats true which is why i made week 12 predictions with analytics instead of gut feel I’d like an insight on these so called analytics after the games Wednesday! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scoundrel Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 @Glen and @TheKillerNacho please Start Dwayne Haskins for Anchorage. Time to see if Simba is a lion or a house cat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EaglesPeteC Posted September 1, 2020 Share Posted September 1, 2020 7 hours ago, Counselor said: @Glen and @TheKillerNacho please Start Dwayne Haskins for Anchorage. Time to see if Simba is a lion or a house cat. House cat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts