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18 hours ago, Forge said:

Its very clear that there isn't the same faith in his arm that there used to be, and there is typically a reason for that. His arm isn't the same.
Doesn't mean he's bad. 

Drew trained hard in the offseason to strengthen his legs and boost his arms.
He understands and accepts the reality and is doing everything he can to overcome it

from The Athletic:

"Brees has only thrown eight passes between 21 and 40 yards this year"

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4 hours ago, Bearerofnews said:

Anyone know what site still has splits for distance ball travels? ESPN used to have splits that showed data for passes thrown behind los, 1 > 10 yds, 11 > 20 yds, etc. But they don't anymore, either does NFL.com or football reference. 

Football reference doesn't do the splits any more, but they do track averages for how far the ball travels in the air, including on a game by game basis. So you can't see how many throws someone made over 20 yards in a game, but you can get the averages. 

That being said, you can also check out the deep ball project for FO. It doesn't have full splits, but documents 21-30 yards by QB and 31+ yards per QB, but doesn't break down anything less than 20 yards. 

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21 hours ago, Forge said:

I don't quite understand the offense that people are taking to saying that Brees' arm is shot. Doesn't mean he's a bad QB (hell, honestly you may want to give him more credit for succeeding with that limitation). You can still win like that. The two guys who are dead last in the league in average depth of target the last two years are 30-11 combined (Jimmy G and Drew Brees). Brees has been dead last in depth of target the last two years, and over the last three, his average target distance has drastically decreased (over 7 yards per attempt in 2018, only 5.5 this year, which is nearly a full yard shorter than Jimmy at the second lowest). He's still one of the most obscenely accurate quarterbacks in the league. Its very clear that there isn't the same faith in his arm that there used to be, and there is typically a reason for that. His arm isn't the same. Doesn't mean he's bad. 

I do worry about the viability of the Saints as the season wears on because I Think it's a lot harder to navigate an offense with 12-15 play drives every time successfully when refs swallow the whistle and the weather gets a little worse, but he'll have his chance to prove me wrong again this year. 

His arm is definitely weaker now than it was in his prime, no question.  But it's been roughly the same for the past little while.  He started adapting and playing differently at QB towards the end of 2016 because of it.  He also started taking more veteran days off around the same time.

This isn't a secret, or shouldn't have been, we've been discussing it forever.  Everyone and their mother knows Brees has lost some arm strength.  People acted like this was some brand new thing early this year, and it wasn't.  The problem earlier in the year, was the fact that he was uncharacteristically inaccurate.  That was worrying for a few games, but it's gotten better.  Arm strength is the same, accuracy got back to normal 3 or 4 weeks in.

Whether or not Saints can sustain that offense, well I mean, I guess anyone who thinks they can't won't change their mind unless Saints win a superbowl. That almost certainly won't happen regardless, so to each his own I suppose.  I personally think it's possible, but not with a defense ranked in 20s in points against.  They won't win 3-4 shootouts consecutively against PAckers, Seahawks, Buc, Chiefs and the like.

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22 hours ago, Forge said:

Matt Schaub has a streak of 4 straight games with a pick six in 2013, and a streak of three straight games with a pick 6 in 2015 lol. He once ran up a streak where he had 6 pick sixes in 9 games and 4 touchdown passes lol

It was this streak that led to Bill O'Brien. It was a dark, desolate time.

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On 11/2/2020 at 6:54 PM, wackywabbit said:

Yea, it's a week old. The Steelers game will plummet that graphic comparison. And Lamar visibly isn't as sharp as he was last year.

Big picture there's nothing to panic about with Lamar or the offense. I don't care what the stats say, he's doing his job more often than not, especially early in games when the games were competitive. This year the only thing that matters is how they look week 18.

The offense has not looked good. Lamar has been inaccurate and slow to read defenses. 

You can downplay it all you want, but everything that everyone was saying about him after his rookie year (the offense will get figured out, he's not accurate enough) is becoming increasingly accurate 

That's not to say the book is closed on him, it's not and no where near being at that point, but the only reason no one is panicking is because the Ravens defense is very good. If it wasnt as good as it is, then y'all would have some serious problems 

Greg Roman has had troubles scheming up a passing game since 2011/2012

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1 hour ago, Jakuvious said:

Depending on how literally they're taking the word start, possibly Watson for TDs?

Actually ya might be right about Watson for tds. This isnt limited to rookies. Just first 7 starts.

 

    Passing
Rk Player From To Lg Tm G W L T W-L% Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD Int Rate Sk Yds Y/A AY/A
1 Kurt Warner* 1999 1999 NFL RAM 7 6 1 0 .857 147 208 70.67 1859 21 3 125.9 15 103 8.94 10.31
2 Deshaun Watson 2017 2018 NFL HTX 7 3 4 0 .429 131 215 60.93 1773 19 8 101.2 18 113 8.25 8.34
3 Patrick Mahomes 2017 2018 NFL KAN 7 6 1 0 .857 157 247 63.56 2149 18 5 107.2 8 41 8.70 9.25
4 Justin Herbert 2020 2020 NFL SDG 7 1 6 0 .143 181 269 67.29 2146 17 5 104.7 14 82 7.98 8.41
5 Mark Rypien 1988 1989 NFL WAS 7 3 4 0 .429 111 189 58.73 1682 16 9 96.5 13 98 8.90 8.45
6 Marc Bulger 2002 2002 NFL RAM 7 6 1 0 .857 138 214 64.49 1826 14 6 101.5 12 102 8.53 8.58
7 Daunte Culpepper 2000 2000 NFL MIN 7 7 0 0 1.000 119 191 62.30 1671 14 7 99.6 19 83 8.75 8.57
8 Derek Anderson 2006 2007 NFL CLE 7 2 5 0 .286 124 227 54.63 1689 13 14 72.0 11 111 7.44 5.81
9 Shaun Hill 2007 2008 NFL SFO 7 5 2 0 .714 129 207 62.32 1499 13 5 95.1 15 100 7.24 7.41
10 Dan Marino* 1983 1983 NFL MIA 7 5 2 0 .714 115 202 56.93 1558 13 4 94.9 8 71 7.71 8.11
11 Marcus Mariota 2015 2015 NFL OTI 7 2 5 0 .286 147 224 65.63 1795 13 6 98.3 20 136 8.01 7.97
12 Baker Mayfield 2018 2018 NFL CLE 7 2 5 0 .286 159 262 60.69 1783 13 7 86.4 21 146 6.81 6.60
13 Tyler Thigpen 2008 2008 NFL KAN 6 0 6 0 .000 116 207 56.04 1313 12 6 82.5 15 86 6.34 6.20
14 Kyle Allen 2018 2019 NFL CAR 7 6 1 0 .857 132 218 60.55 1519 11 4 90.7 20 165 6.97 7.15
15 Tom Brady 2001 2001 NFL NWE 7 5 2 0 .714 135 211 63.98 1380 11 5 90.2 20 115 6.54 6.52
16 Aaron Brooks 2000 2001 NFL NOR 7 4 3 0 .571 145 255 56.86 1827 11 6 83.9 18 120 7.16 6.97
17 Jay Cutler 2006 2007 NFL DEN 7 4 3 0 .571 127 209 60.77 1574 11 8 85.7 16 99 7.53 6.8
Edited by Bearerofnews
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Arians needs to delegate vs New Orleans from now on....

 

Brady was pressured on 19 of his 41 dropbacks

In two games this season, the Saints pressured Brady 32 times in total — that makes up 37% of his total pressures after nine weeks. Overall, his 5.5 yards per attempt and 57.9% completion rate in this game are the lowest marks of his season so far.

For the Saints defense, David Onyemata showed up with seven total pressures and put four hits on Brady. Trey Hendrickson joined in with two sacks and five total pressures. Only two pressures came from linebackers and safeties as the Saints defensive line dominated proceedings. 

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