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Which Keepers - Tough Call


roger murdock

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Assumptions: 

  • Standard scoring (non-PPR)
  • 12-team league
  • 3WR
  • 2RB
  • 1QB/DEF/TE/K
  • Snake draft
  • I will be picking late 1st/early 2nd round (lets assume picks 10/15)
  • Every player has a 2-round penalty each season you keep them. So I can keep these guys next year as well for 2 rounds lower

I get to choose two players. Here are my options: 

  • Devin Singletary - Keep for 7th rounder - Approximately pick #82
  • Chris Godwin - Keep for 8th rounder - Approximately pick #87
  • Cooper Kupp - Keep for 10th rounder - Approximately pick #111
  • DK Metcalf - Keep for 11th rounder - Approximately pick #130

Typically everyone keeps 2 players, so you are drafting at roughly a 1-2 round ADP penalty throughout most of the draft, especially the first 8 rounds or so.

Godwin feels like a no-brainer - you agree?

I like Cupp more than Metcalf but the value difference is pretty huge between 130 and 111 so thats a really tough call

Devin Singletary clearly looks like the worst value but I really dont like the RBs that are projected to be on board for me. At pick 10 I'm probably taking someone like Aaron Jones or Joe Mixon if I am lucky but WRs like OBJ/Hill could be on board. 

Feels like Sophies choice. I might be drafting the guys I dont keep R3/R4. 

 

 

 

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