If the Seahawks Win - Sit or Play

[incognito_man]

Just now, Jaire_Island said:

90% of the time football gods favor the team which is playing for the playoff spot vs team which is playing for seeding.

I bet it's actually less than 45%

[Sasquatch]

I’m playing to beat the Titans!  Positive momentum going into the Bears game, which I think is going to be a dog-fight in their stadium, especially if their playoff hopes rest on the outcome of that game.

[Malfatron]

Play like it means something

because if we beat the titans, we could still win the division of sea loses to sf w17 and we lose to the bears

[Refugee]

1 hour ago, Jaire_Island said:

If it boils down to GB vs CHI game and if CHI still in playoff hunt...

90% of the time football gods favor the team which is playing for the playoff spot vs team which is playing for seeding..

Pray that Chicago looses next week.

Jax has the 1st overall pick and finally looked like a team that had given up. The levels of tanktitude will only get more serious from here. Probably will have the whole PS out there.

The game with Chi will be meaningful, more to them than us but we need to be ready to win these next two weeks. 

[Uffdaswede]

1 hour ago, Jaire_Island said:

If it boils down to GB vs CHI game and if CHI still in playoff hunt...

90% of the time football gods favor the team which is playing for the playoff spot vs team which is playing for seeding..

Pray that Chicago looses next week.

 

1 hour ago, incognito_man said:

I bet it's actually less than 45%

Too bad we don't have one of those nerdy computer ninjas like the stock characters on the criminal investigation shows that rattle the keyboard for three seconds to locate plot advancing trivia.

Here. Let me rattle the keyboard...

League-wide the numbers are 44.9% (Incog: "Yesss!")

For Green Bay, though, we lose 91% of the games we play in that scenario. (Jaire_Island: "Booyah!")

[smetana34]

We have nothing locked up, so why wouldn't we play? 

[beekay414]

5 hours ago, incognito_man said:

I don't think we lock up the #1 seed if we go Loss, Loss if Seattle wins.

And I suspect we can still get the #1 seed if we go Win, Loss depending on other week 17 results.

Late to the party but the scenarios are:

Lose to Titans, beat Bears - Clinch #1 seed no matter what
Beat Titans, lose to Bears - Clinch #1 seed if Seahawks lose to Rams or 49ers (if Seahawks win both we fall to #2 seed - #3 seed if Saints win out)
Lose to Titans and Bears - Clinch #1 seed if Seahawks lose to Rams or 49ers, Rams lose to Seahawks or Cardinals, Saints lose to Vikings or Panthers (fall to #2 seed if one of these don't happen - #3 seed if 2 of those don't happen)
 

[Mr. Fussnputz]

Just win, baby.

[{Family Ghost}]

LaFleur isn't going to go out and roll over for his former boss.  I'm sure he's looking forward to matching wits with Vrabel.

[chucknorris101]

Taking things easy when a bye isnt locked in is a recipe to get knocked out in the first round. How is this even a discussion

[incognito_man]

21 minutes ago, chucknorris101 said:

Taking things easy when a bye isnt locked in is a recipe to get knocked out in the first round. How is this even a discussion

Yeah this isn't a discussion anymore once it was determined there's a statistical benefit to winning this game (i.e. it's possible to get #1 seed beating Tennessee but losing to Chicago)

 

[pacman5252]

5 hours ago, incognito_man said:

Bottom Line:

If Seattle wins:

• GB has a 74% chance of winning #1 seed heading into SNF
• GB has a 79% chance of winning #1 seed if they beat Tennessee
• GB has a 65% chance of winning #1 seed if they lose to Tennessee

If LA wins:

• GB has an 87% chance of winning #1 seed heading into SNF
• GB clinches #1 seed if they beat Tennessee
• GB has a 65% chance of winning #1 seed if they lose to Tennessee

The game matters. You play to win, clearly.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-nfl-predictions/

If Seattle wins, it doesn't really matter. The 14% gain we'd get in the odds is essentially the odds that SEA loses week 17 to the dead Chris Mullens lead SF team, which isn't happening.

Looking at the schedule, unless craziness happens, we need to win week 17 (which, we'll probably be 5 point favs, or a 65% chance at winning).

 

 

 

[incognito_man]

2 minutes ago, pacman5252 said:

If Seattle wins, it doesn't really matter. The 14% gain we'd get in the odds is essentially the odds that SEA loses week 17 to the dead Chris Mullens lead SF team, which isn't happening.

Looking at the schedule, unless craziness happens, we need to win week 17 (which, we'll probably be 5 point favs, or a 65% chance at winning).

 

 

 

No way the Jets best the Rams either to even get us to discuss thi....oh wait

Math is king.

[gopackgo972]

MLF doesn’t seem like the sort of coach to sit his players for any reason. All gas no ******* breaks.

[pacman5252]

57 minutes ago, incognito_man said:

No way the Jets best the Rams either to even get us to discuss thi....oh wait

Math is king.

Relying on one of the 3 biggest upsets in 30 years isn't a good bet