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Thoughts on NFL adapting NBA style draft lottery?


SotanKing

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On 12/24/2020 at 11:55 AM, Uncle Buck said:

If they did that, you would end up with a league that is like college football.  That's great if your franchise ends up being one of the good teams that all the best prospects want to play for.  If you end up being one of the duds like the Minnesota Gophers, for example, your team will never have a chance to win a Super Bowl.  It would be like going back to the old days when you could put a great team together and keep them that way for their entire careers.  It's why we saw dynasties and also other teams who had decades of total ineptitude.  That's no good for the fans.  I love the parity the league has created in the NFL where teams have to keep working hard to stay relevant.

Franchise reputation would certainly be an advantage, but there's still a salary cap for teams to contend with. Football has a disadvantage for players too in that contracts are not guaranteed and football is highly injury prone, so for a young guy coming out of school to turn down lots of money with a crap team to sign with a contender for peanuts would be a huge mistake from a financial risk management perspective. Now if he doesn't want to sign with a team because they have a reputation of mismanagement and negligence then you now have more of an incentive for teams to treat their players well, so for this reason you'd probably never see the owners vote in favor of this.

 

Even so, if they adopted a rookie FA model and it turned out that parity was waning then they could add stipulations about signing with highest bidder.

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On 12/23/2020 at 6:38 PM, upriser7 said:

With how depressing Jets fans have been feeling since Sunday, it just doesn't feel right for me that fans of a team are so distraught to see their team finally win a game and avoid finishing 0-16. I also do hate tanking and in general rooting against your fav team. With ever more increasing importance of QB position and how a QB is mostly being picked with the No1 pick, don't you think it would make sense for NFL to adopt NBA stlye draft lottery system?

In the NBA draft lottery system, team with worst record usually only has 14% chance of No1 pick and 52% chance of getting a top4 pick..teams with 2nd, 3rd worst records also have similar odds of getting No1 pick. You can see detailed odds for each team here http://www.tankathon.com/. There would be much less incentive to tank in this system when you aren't guaranteed of No1 pick even if you finish with the worst record.

 

Didnt the Jets literally just prove that tanking isnt real?

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