Sasquatch Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 24 minutes ago, mikebpackfan said: I admire @incognito_man s conviction trying to teach you all probabilities. Quantitative analysis is an extremely useful tool and highly under-appreciated. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeresAGuy Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Oline was fantastic today given the circumstances. Can’t ask for much more from that group minus bak Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cpdaly23 Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Came here for the post game meatball chest pounding, stayed for the discussion on Bayesian probability. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sasquatch Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 1 hour ago, Cpdaly23 said: Came here for the post game meatball chest pounding, stayed for the discussion on Bayesian probability. Meh, we’re not chest pounders, we’re problem solvers 😎 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lrs3 Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 (edited) Estimated odds of the next opponent based on current lines: TB 42% LAR 27% CHI 19% WAS 12% /// After the first NFC game... if SEA wins… TB 63% CHI 19% WAS 18% if LAR wins… LAR 81% CHI 19% Edited January 4, 2021 by lrs3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainmaker90 Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 I personally think all 3 underdogs are live. In fact, I think all 6 underdogs are live. I bet 2-3 win actually. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HyponGrey Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 8 hours ago, Toddfather said: I get the nation appeal of Rodgers vs Brady. I'm not wishing for it, but I'm not afraid of them to be honest. I'm not afraid, but I do recognize they're a bad matchup for us. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartacus Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Anyone else catch that line up with Jones-Dillon in the backfield. We ended up passing to Jones in the flat both plays but I really think that is a lineup we can have success with in the playoffs. You could tell the Bears defense just didn't know how to handle it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reaper Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Just now, Spartacus said: Anyone else catch that line up with Jones-Dillon in the backfield. We ended up passing to Jones in the flat both plays but I really think that is a lineup we can have success with in the playoffs. You could tell the Bears defense just didn't know how to handle it. I thought it was great and only noticed it the one time. I could have simply been focusing on something else though. On that particular play it looked like Dillon was open as well though Jones was clearly the first option. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Norm Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 (edited) 7 minutes ago, Spartacus said: Anyone else catch that line up with Jones-Dillon in the backfield. We ended up passing to Jones in the flat both plays but I really think that is a lineup we can have success with in the playoffs. You could tell the Bears defense just didn't know how to handle it. I'm beating a personal dead horse here but I don't see why this is so hard to deal with. Only one can run the ball at a time, neither are used to lead blocking and neither are as good as your typical WR. I've asked this a lot over the years. I guess I just don't see what's so dangerous about it? Someone help me Is it the threat of Dillon inside and Jones doing stuff outside? Edited January 4, 2021 by Norm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arthur Penske Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
{Family Ghost} Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 13 minutes ago, Spartacus said: Anyone else catch that line up with Jones-Dillon in the backfield. We ended up passing to Jones in the flat both plays but I really think that is a lineup we can have success with in the playoffs. You could tell the Bears defense just didn't know how to handle it. Yeah, that was sweet .. Jones is a stud. I think he's really underutilized, but now that it's the playoffs it's time to unleash this guy. He needs a minimum of 20 touches per game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartacus Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 7 minutes ago, Norm said: I'm beating a personal dead horse here but I don't see why this is so hard to deal with. Only one can run the ball at a time, neither are used to lead blocking and neither are as good as your typical WR. I've asked this a lot over the years. I guess I just don't see what's so dangerous about it? Someone help me Is it the threat of Dillon inside and Jones doing stuff outside? I think its sort of like an RPO where it forces the defense to show there hand. If there playing light in the middle you run it up the gut. If they play heavy in the middle you can do outside zone or screen to Jones. It finds a way IMO to get two of the better football players on this offense on the field at the same time while removing one of the average to below average WRs (If you believe like I do that our #2 & #3 are nothing special). I'm a little disappointed in Dillons use this game though. I just think he is a better pure runner then Williams. I know Williams does everything decent but I think this team really needs to find a use for Dillon. He is too talented to just ignore in favor of Williams especially. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexGreen#20 Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 8 minutes ago, Norm said: I'm beating a personal dead horse here but I don't see why this is so hard to deal with. Only one can run the ball at a time, neither are used to lead blocking and neither are as good as your typical WR. I've asked this a lot over the years. I guess I just don't see what's so dangerous about it? Someone help me Is it the threat of Dillon inside and Jones doing stuff outside? It's more the misdirection on guys with two responsibilities. Against the run a lot of defenses have an ILB assignment called a 10/Scrape. They're responsible for the A-Gap (so the ILB lines up as a 10 technique) if it's an inside run, and for scraping over the top and filling outside if it's an outside run. If you can get the ILB to take a false step to the A gap thinking he needs to meet Dillon, you might hold him up the split second you need to get Jones to the outside. Additionally, in the pass game, if the ILB thinks he needs to fill the A gap against Dillon, you might spring Jones open for a swing pass due to the ILB reading run to pass. That's what happened against the Bears. There's more efficient plays in the playbook for sure, but as an off speed pitch, we do dumber stuff. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfanfb Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Kirksey had another pretty solid game. What a difference it has made to move him to the Will spot and reduce his overall playing time. He's found a good role in this defense. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.