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Around the NFL - Week 6


Texas_OutLaw7

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I am ******* cursed.. I started out betting 500 won, worked my way up this weekend to 3000. Bet double or nothing on Buff. best team in Football?  Then they play no defense, Fine. Still had the game. Return a kickoff for the game winning TD right, Nope. Penalty. So what, 3 mins to Go, march down the field easy right???? Tenn can't stop Buff. Easy FG at worst, game winning TD at best right??? Nope. they get to the 3 yd line. they try a QB sneak on 4th a half yd.. And they can't get a half YD???? game over.. ARE YOU ******* KIDDING ME????

This is after losing a chance for 29000 (started out betting 500) win every game but Sam Fing Darnold collapses a chokes away a big 2nd half lead. 

The other week before KC goes in for the game winning FG, they try to run one more time. and then the stupid Running back fumbles the game away. started out betting 500 as well and had 12000 just about won. 

I haven't lost a single game in a NON freak way all year, not one. It takes a complete utter collapse and brain fart just for me to lose.

$12,000 + 29,000 + 6000 lost in earnings because of these three games..  

It is ******* Madness.. 

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43 minutes ago, resilient part 2 said:

I am ******* cursed.. I started out betting 500 won, worked my way up this weekend to 3000. Bet double or nothing on Buff. best team in Football?  Then they play no defense, Fine. Still had the game. Return a kickoff for the game winning TD right, Nope. Penalty. So what, 3 mins to Go, march down the field easy right???? Tenn can't stop Buff. Easy FG at worst, game winning TD at best right??? Nope. they get to the 3 yd line. they try a QB sneak on 4th a half yd.. And they can't get a half YD???? game over.. ARE YOU ******* KIDDING ME????

This is after losing a chance for 29000 (started out betting 500) win every game but Sam Fing Darnold collapses a chokes away a big 2nd half lead. 

The other week before KC goes in for the game winning FG, they try to run one more time. and then the stupid Running back fumbles the game away. started out betting 500 as well and had 12000 just about won. 

I haven't lost a single game in a NON freak way all year, not one. It takes a complete utter collapse and brain fart just for me to lose.

$12,000 + 29,000 + 6000 lost in earnings because of these three games..  

It is ******* Madness.. 

I mean… honestly, that sounds like football. There rarely is anything that is certain and I wouldn’t be so quick to throw big money around. 

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10 hours ago, resilient part 2 said:

I am ******* cursed.. I started out betting 500 won, worked my way up this weekend to 3000. Bet double or nothing on Buff. best team in Football?  Then they play no defense, Fine. Still had the game. Return a kickoff for the game winning TD right, Nope. Penalty. So what, 3 mins to Go, march down the field easy right???? Tenn can't stop Buff. Easy FG at worst, game winning TD at best right??? Nope. they get to the 3 yd line. they try a QB sneak on 4th a half yd.. And they can't get a half YD???? game over.. ARE YOU ******* KIDDING ME????

This is after losing a chance for 29000 (started out betting 500) win every game but Sam Fing Darnold collapses a chokes away a big 2nd half lead. 

The other week before KC goes in for the game winning FG, they try to run one more time. and then the stupid Running back fumbles the game away. started out betting 500 as well and had 12000 just about won. 

I haven't lost a single game in a NON freak way all year, not one. It takes a complete utter collapse and brain fart just for me to lose.

$12,000 + 29,000 + 6000 lost in earnings because of these three games..  

It is ******* Madness.. 

Everyone who has ever bet on football has stories like this a mile long. Don’t think you are cursed. But this is exactly why I won’t bet.

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14 minutes ago, cromagnum said:

Any interest in Whitney Merciles? Very good pass rusher not sure if he’s still as effective as he once was

Honestly? Not really. Think he's past his prime and wouldn't bring much to our defense.

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NFL Power Rankings (Combined) Week 6 (self.nfl)

Submitted 2 hours ago * by mikebiox

  Team Wapo SN Y! B/R CBS USA NFL ESPN Reddit Avg SD 538 CGPR
1 Arizona 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1   1.3 0.7 4 1
2 LA Rams 4 2 2 2 3 2 7 3   3.1 1.7 5 3
3 Tampa Bay 2 4 3 3 4 3 3 4   3.3 0.7 1 4
4 Green Bay 1 5 5 7 2 6 6 7   4.9 2.2 8 6
5 Buffalo 8 3 6 4 7 8 2 2   5.0 2.6 2 8
6 Dallas 6 6 4 6 5 4 4 5   5.0 0.9 7 2
7 Baltimore 5 7 7 5 6 5 5 6   5.8 0.9 3 5
8 LA Chargers 13 8 9 9 8 9 8 8   9.0 1.7 9 7
9 Kansas City 11 9 8 8 10 10 9 9   9.3 1.0 6 16
10 Tennessee 7 13 10 11 13 7 10 10   10.1 2.3 12 10
11 Cincinnati 9 10 12 10 12 13 11 11   11.0 1.3 18 11
12 New Orleans 10 15 13 12 9 11 12 14   12.0 2.0 10 13
13 Cleveland 12 12 11 13 14 12 13 12   12.4 0.9 11 12
14 Las Vegas 15 11 14 15 11 17 15 13   13.9 2.1 17 9
15 Pittsburgh 16 14 15 14 16 18 16 15   15.5 1.3 19 15
16 Minnesota 14 16 16 22 15 14 14 16   15.9 2.6 13 17
17 Carolina 22 20 18 17 18 15 19 17   18.3 2.1 23 18
18 San Francisco 17 18 17 19 22 20 17 18   18.5 1.8 14 20
19 Chicago 18 19 21 21 19 16 23 19   19.5 2.1 24 14
20 Denver 23 21 20 18 21 21 20 20   20.5 1.4 22 19
21 New England 20 23 19 16 24 23 21 21   20.9 2.6 20 24
22 Seattle 25 17 23 20 20 19 22 23   21.1 2.6 15 23
23 Indianapolis 24 25 22 23 17 22 18 22   21.6 2.8 16 22
24 Philadelphia 21 22 24 24 23 24 24 24   23.3 1.2 25 21
25 Atlanta 19 24 26 26 25 26 25 26   24.6 2.4 26 27
26 Washington 26 26 25 27 26 25 26 25   25.8 0.7 21 25
27 Miami 30 29 27 25 29 29 29 27   28.1 1.6 27 31
28 NY Jets 27 27 28 29 31 27 30 28   28.4 1.5 29 29
29 NY Giants 28 28 29 28 27 30 27 31   28.5 1.4 28 26
30 Jacksonville 29 31 30 30 28 28 28 29   29.1 1.1 30 28
31 Houston 31 30 31 31 30 31 32 30   30.8 0.7 31 32
32 Detroit 32 32 32 32 32 32 31 32   31.9 0.4 32 30
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13 hours ago, resilient part 2 said:

I am ******* cursed.. I started out betting 500 won, worked my way up this weekend to 3000. Bet double or nothing on Buff. best team in Football?  Then they play no defense, Fine. Still had the game. Return a kickoff for the game winning TD right, Nope. Penalty. So what, 3 mins to Go, march down the field easy right???? Tenn can't stop Buff. Easy FG at worst, game winning TD at best right??? Nope. they get to the 3 yd line. they try a QB sneak on 4th a half yd.. And they can't get a half YD???? game over.. ARE YOU ******* KIDDING ME????

This is after losing a chance for 29000 (started out betting 500) win every game but Sam Fing Darnold collapses a chokes away a big 2nd half lead. 

The other week before KC goes in for the game winning FG, they try to run one more time. and then the stupid Running back fumbles the game away. started out betting 500 as well and had 12000 just about won. 

I haven't lost a single game in a NON freak way all year, not one. It takes a complete utter collapse and brain fart just for me to lose.

$12,000 + 29,000 + 6000 lost in earnings because of these three games..  

It is ******* Madness.. 

Okay, let me enlighten you a bit. 

The games you won or lost in a "non-freak" way we're mostly on Sundays, is this correct?

And the "freak" inexplicable play calling losses are mostly on Sunday or Monday nights?

That is because the house knows they are the only games on at that time. Anyone that bets is going to get THAT game. 

You see on Sundays there are so many games it would be impossible to control them all.

But 1 game??? 1 game that they KNOW everyone is betting???

Well, why not control that game so the outcome favors the house? 

Look, if you win big Sunday, the gambling mind doesn't know when to quit, feels like they are on a streak, will go double up on the "sure thing" right? Wrong, as you just found out.

Conversely, the guy who took a beating on Sunday afternoon had the impression it is an opportunity to break even. So they bet the "sure thing."

Again, the house KNOWS everyone is betting this game for 1 reason or another, so they see where the weight is (all the money bet on 1 team) and, wouldn't you know it, some fantastic, inexplicable, unforeseen series of events occurs and you are left saying, well, pretty much what you wrote, but the bottom line, the house has your money.

In short, STOP BETTING! THE TABLE IS RIGGED!

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13 hours ago, resilient part 2 said:

I am ******* cursed.. I started out betting 500 won, worked my way up this weekend to 3000. Bet double or nothing on Buff. best team in Football?  Then they play no defense, Fine. Still had the game. Return a kickoff for the game winning TD right, Nope. Penalty. So what, 3 mins to Go, march down the field easy right???? Tenn can't stop Buff. Easy FG at worst, game winning TD at best right??? Nope. they get to the 3 yd line. they try a QB sneak on 4th a half yd.. And they can't get a half YD???? game over.. ARE YOU ******* KIDDING ME????

This is after losing a chance for 29000 (started out betting 500) win every game but Sam Fing Darnold collapses a chokes away a big 2nd half lead. 

The other week before KC goes in for the game winning FG, they try to run one more time. and then the stupid Running back fumbles the game away. started out betting 500 as well and had 12000 just about won. 

I haven't lost a single game in a NON freak way all year, not one. It takes a complete utter collapse and brain fart just for me to lose.

$12,000 + 29,000 + 6000 lost in earnings because of these three games..  

It is ******* Madness.. 

Im not a gambler, so take what I say with a grain of salt, but theres a reason they say parlays are for suckers. YOu might as well be burning your money, you are never going to win that. 

Except of course if you happen to be that one dude, one time. 

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14 hours ago, NoFlyZone said:

I mean… honestly, that sounds like football. There rarely is anything that is certain and I wouldn’t be so quick to throw big money around. 

"It sounds like Football" happens YES, But I play the Odds. 

1st loss, last second FG misses happen, but fumble the ball away while already in good FG range happens who often? ODDs are heavy in my favor.

2nd loss - how often does a QB throw 3 picks and a team get a punt blocked with a few minutes to Go all while having a 2 or 3 score lead?? Happens of course, but again long shot odds. 

3rd Buffalo going for a QB sneak from 1/2 yd away on the 3 1YD line. Allen has been 13 of 14 on 4th and 1 in his career. Buff/Allen  needed a 1/2 yd. Doesn't get it. 

If just one of these "freak shets" happened, it's football. But my only 3 loses all year, with the Odds heavy in my favor is just ridiculous. 

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1 hour ago, Matts4313 said:

Im not a gambler, so take what I say with a grain of salt, but theres a reason they say parlays are for suckers. YOu might as well be burning your money, you are never going to win that. 

Except of course if you happen to be that one dude, one time. 

Each time I put up 500 (except 1000 2x on just Dallas and won) but in 3 weeks total out of pocket loss is 1500. But it's 48,000 of net gain, on stuff that on most occasions, was heavy in my favor. the fact that it happened 3 out of 3 times is extremely rare, yet it happened to me all 3 times.  

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3 hours ago, Matts4313 said:

Is it rare though? It seems like the exact opposite. Extremely common and happens to every person who gambles. 

bad shet happens to every person that gambles = 100% if talking about "in their life time" if talking about 3 out of 3 in just a few weeks, then not so much.. whatever. I never ever bet what I can't afford to lose. but to be so so close and inches from victory in some cases, only to lose 3 separate times for 6000, 12,000, and 29000 is frustrating as hell. 

Not giving it up yet though.

You know my user name. ;)

Edited by resilient part 2
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