Matts4313 Posted October 22, 2021 Author Share Posted October 22, 2021 Some dude on Reddit did the math and we can technically win the division on thanksgiving. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Texas_OutLaw7 Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 27 minutes ago, Matts4313 said: Some dude on Reddit did the math and we can technically win the division on thanksgiving. Honestly, I hate that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nextyearfordaboyz Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 59 minutes ago, Texas_OutLaw7 said: Honestly, I hate that. Why? Home field advantage and a bye week aren’t enough incentive for a team that wants to win the Super Bowl? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nextyearfordaboyz Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 (edited) 2 hours ago, Texas_OutLaw7 said: I'd say we have a 55% chance to make it to the Conference Game. Feel good about playing the Panthers. Don't feel Great about playing the Bucs. Both games are winnable. 55% is probably the percentage if you get a 1st round bye, because you only have to play 1 game, and it’s at home. But if you don’t, you have to win 2 games. Even if you say you have a 90% chance to beat the Panthers, and a 60% chance to win at Tampa (both odds are far too generous), that only equates to a 54% chance. The reality is probably closer to 65% against Carolina, and 45% at Tampa. Which gives you ~30% chance at making the conference championship with that path. Edited October 22, 2021 by Nextyearfordaboyz 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Texas_OutLaw7 Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 22 minutes ago, Nextyearfordaboyz said: Why? Home field advantage and a bye week aren’t enough incentive for a team that wants to win the Super Bowl? A Bye week would be lovely. My larger concern is once we got our division in the bag, each game that follows is less important. Especially if Arizona continues to win. The urgency shifts from: Make the playoffs to either...go for the bye or stay healthy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nextyearfordaboyz Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 24 minutes ago, Texas_OutLaw7 said: A Bye week would be lovely. My larger concern is once we got our division in the bag, each game that follows is less important. Especially if Arizona continues to win. The urgency shifts from: Make the playoffs to either...go for the bye or stay healthy. Division win is already just a formality. 1st round bye essentially doubles your chance of making the NFC Championship game. I don’t think that lacks for any sense of urgency. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtnldave Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 3 hours ago, Texas_OutLaw7 said: A Bye week would be lovely. My larger concern is once we got our division in the bag, each game that follows is less important. Especially if Arizona continues to win. The urgency shifts from: Make the playoffs to either...go for the bye or stay healthy. I'm not convinced on Arizona yet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nextyearfordaboyz Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 59 minutes ago, Rtnldave said: I'm not convinced on Arizona yet. Jeez, what’s it going to take? They have been smoking teams. And good teams at that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaBoys Posted October 22, 2021 Share Posted October 22, 2021 1 hour ago, Rtnldave said: I'm not convinced on Arizona yet. 15 minutes ago, Nextyearfordaboyz said: Jeez, what’s it going to take? They have been smoking teams. And good teams at that. https://www.azcentral.com/story/sports/nfl/cardinals/2021/10/20/arizona-cardinals-favored-win-every-game-left-2021-nfl-schedule/6104647001/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtnldave Posted October 23, 2021 Share Posted October 23, 2021 2 hours ago, DaBoys said: https://www.azcentral.com/story/sports/nfl/cardinals/2021/10/20/arizona-cardinals-favored-win-every-game-left-2021-nfl-schedule/6104647001/ Yeah good. It happens every year. Some team comes out smokin early and then either falls apart or gets beat in the post season. It's way early. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nextyearfordaboyz Posted October 23, 2021 Share Posted October 23, 2021 1 hour ago, Rtnldave said: Yeah good. It happens every year. Some team comes out smokin early and then either falls apart or gets beat in the post season. It's way early. So you just aren’t sold on anyone, then. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WizardHawk Posted October 23, 2021 Share Posted October 23, 2021 (edited) 9 hours ago, Nextyearfordaboyz said: So you just aren’t sold on anyone, then. We’re talking about Dave here. I’m not sure he’s sold on water being wet. No offense, Dave. Just sayin’ Edited October 23, 2021 by WizardHawk Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtnldave Posted October 23, 2021 Share Posted October 23, 2021 10 hours ago, Nextyearfordaboyz said: So you just aren’t sold on anyone, then. Not yet. Give it until Thanksgiving. Then you will begin to see who is making a push for the postseason or higher seeding etc. You will also see the frauds begin to fall apart. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtnldave Posted October 23, 2021 Share Posted October 23, 2021 52 minutes ago, WizardHawk said: We’re talking about Dave here. I’m not sure he’s sold on water being wet. No offense, Dave. Just sayin’ Yeah I mean, you are only 33%, roughly, into the season. Lotta football to play gentlemen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nextyearfordaboyz Posted October 23, 2021 Share Posted October 23, 2021 1 hour ago, Rtnldave said: Yeah I mean, you are only 33%, roughly, into the season. Lotta football to play gentlemen. Yeah, I mean, this is obviously true. Still think betting against the Cardinals to be fighting for a high playoff seed is a bold strategy at this point. Seems like you aren’t sold yet specifically because it’s still early, and literally no other reason. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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