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The Playoff Chase


pwny

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Current playoff probability sits at 97%.

Chance at the 4 seed is less than 1%. 3 seed is 27% and 5 seed is 38%. Chance at getting a bye sits at 19%.

 

With the Chiefs, Chargers and Raiders all at 6-6, we could see a complete shake up in who ends up in that 4 seed. For those of you that want to avoid the Chargers, it may no longer be them in the 6th seed facing a division winning AFC South team, but in the 4 seed playing the team that comes out of the South as a Wild Card.

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1 minute ago, iPwn said:

Current playoff probability sits at 97%.

Chance at the 4 seed is less than 1%. 3 seed is 27% and 5 seed is 38%. Chance at getting a bye sits at 19%.

 

With the Chiefs, Chargers and Raiders all at 6-6, we could see a complete shake up in who ends up in that 4 seed. For those of you that want to avoid the Chargers, it may no longer be them in the 6th seed facing a division winning AFC South team, but in the 4 seed playing the team that comes out of the South as a Wild Card.

Yup, and I'm fairly certain it'll be the Chargers.

Not a great matchup imo. Hopefully KC or OAK can sneak in if we're the wild card.

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On 12/4/2017 at 10:21 AM, .Buzz said:

Yup, and I'm fairly certain it'll be the Chargers.

Not a great matchup imo. Hopefully KC or OAK can sneak in if we're the wild card.

Maybe.  But also, i feel like the worst matchup is probably whichever of those teams ends up winning the spot...by being the best team.  Like, if KC or OAK sneak in...it'll probably because they're playing fairly well, or at least a little bit better than the others.

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21 minutes ago, .Buzz said:

!!!!!!

That's a lot of qualifiers on our scenario.  Doesn't seem likely.

But at least we're talking about longshot playoff clinching scenarios this time of year, rather than longshot "not technically eliminated" scenarios, or "clinching Top-5 pick" scenarios.

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37 minutes ago, Tugboat said:

That's a lot of qualifiers on our scenario.  Doesn't seem likely.

But at least we're talking about longshot playoff clinching scenarios this time of year, rather than longshot "not technically eliminated" scenarios, or "clinching Top-5 pick" scenarios.

But then I’m pretty sure that just means that we get in with two wins.

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If we lose one of Seahawks/49ers, win the other and then win the two division games, we win the division.

If we lose either of the division games, we no longer control our destiny, even if we win all three other games on our schedule.

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The Titans have the Cards, 49ers and Rams as their next three games. The only way we wrap up the division before the week 17 game is if we go 3-0 and they go 1-2, or they go 0-3 and we only lose to one of Seahawks/49ers.

The Titans can wrap up the division if they go 3-0 and we lose to Houston or lose to both Seahawks/49ers 

All other scenarios seemingly come down to week 17 for the division.

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