These things happen in threes: Which QB on a new team wins the Super Bowl?

[MikeT14]

Purely speculative and for fun, assume it's a guarantee these things happen in threes: a team with a newly acquired starting Quarterback wins the Super Bowl. We've had Brady in '20 with the Bucs and Stafford in '21 with the Rams. For the purposes of this scenario, it's a LOCK it happens in '22. Which of the following teams has the best shot for it? 

Browns - Deshaun Watson
Commanders - Carson Wentz
Steelers - Mitch Trubisky
Colts - Matt Ryan
Broncos - Russell Wilson
Falcons - Marcus Mariota
Seahawks - Drew Lock

[Slappy Mc]

Russ has the highest chance in my opinion. Not that I think it will happen, but odds-wise, I give him the nod. 

[MikeT14]

2 minutes ago, Slappy Mc said:

Russ has the highest chance in my opinion. Not that I think it will happen, but odds-wise, I give him the nod. 

But in this magical scenario it DOES happen for one of them 😉. 

[MikeT14]

The easy answer for me was Russ, but that division is going to be a damn gauntlet. I'm leaning Watson at the moment. 

[Zethious]

I think Colts certainly are in the conversation, pretty well rounded assuming they do SOMETHING at WR. I think a "game manager" at QB is the difference between not making the playoffs last year to being a contender next year.

[Daniel]

There’s no option for none of the above, so I voted for Wentz, because that seems like a pretty good stand-in for none of the above.

[squire12]

7 minutes ago, Zethious said:

I think Colts certainly are in the conversation, pretty well rounded assuming they do SOMETHING at WR. I think a "game manager" at QB is the difference between not making the playoffs last year to being a contender next year.

I would say based on the team around the new QB it's Wilson, Ryan or Watson 

A looming potential suspension for Watson changes that chance if it's longer.  Big unknown with that coupled with a year off.

Ryan is in a much better division to get a nice seed in playoffs.  Tennessee and indy should be tops, so the winner gets a bump up.  

AFC west is brutal, so even the division winner might only be the 4th seed.

I'd rank them Ryan, Wilson, Watson

 

If Watson faces a short or no suspension,  that could swing things 

[MikeT14]

4 minutes ago, Daniel said:

There’s no option for none of the above, so I voted for Wentz, because that seems like a pretty good stand-in for none of the above.

You want an other? I don't think I am missing anyone at the moment. 

[Malfatron]

Of the options, broncos have the best shot

[Soggust]

Matt Ryan for sure. Fits the aging QB narrative better than Wilson too.

Wilson is going to be a tough division, but he's the only other with a chance, in my mind.

[Daniel]

18 minutes ago, MikeT14 said:

You want an other? I don't think I am missing anyone at the moment. 

Nah, I just think none win.

Of the choices, probably Wilson has the best chance.

[Hunter2_1]

[MikeT14]

3 minutes ago, Daniel said:

Nah, I just think none win.

Of the choices, probably Wilson has the best chance.

Probably, just... in this made up scenario one does. 

[ronjon1990]

Colts for me. 

With Houston and Jacksonville being bad and Tennessee starting to feel like they're in neutral, the Colts have the best chance to even make the playoffs and have a potentially high speed. And they're already a pretty good team, which helps. 

Wilson and Denver are in a buzzsaw division. 

Watson and the Browns are in a buzzsaw division along with Trubisky riding the coattails of annual excellence that graces the Pittsburgh Steelers. 

The other 3 QBs may not even finish the year as a starter 

[minutemancl]

Broncos, then Browns, then Colts.