Jump to content

Trey Lance's realistic 2022 season stat prediction thread


49erurtaza

Recommended Posts

It's the slow period between free agency and the draft. Thought we can talk about what Trey realistically might produce this season.

Here are Jimmy's stats for 2021 for a base reference.

*jimmy did miss 2.5 games last season. 

Year
Team
YDS
TD
INT
Rating
 
2021
SF
3,810
20
12
98.7

I think Lance can produce similar numbers as Jimmy but with 500 yards and 6-8 TDs rushing. 

last question what type of production do the 49ers need out of Trey to make the playoffs/make a run?

Edited by 49erurtaza
Went from 450 yards rushing to 500.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Lance: 306/510  4080yds, 24 tds, 12 ints

119 carries, 833 yards, 8tds rushing

With a full year of health. Lower completion % hovering around 60%. Still among the league leaders in ypa because Shanahan and it fits his priors, slightly less int% than Jimmy, if not fewer in number due to more snaps. Fumbles less and takes significantly fewer sacks than the G man. Overall, the offense is a bit more stuttery - Jimmy's high completion percentage resulted in very few unproductive 3 and 6 and out drives, but it hits more explosive plays and scores tds at a higher rate, making up for fewer scoring drives overall. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, NcFinest9erFan said:

I am going to use the Houston game as a baseline since is probably the only game where he is "healthy"

I'll say 4000 Pass Yards 30 TDs, 10INTs

500 Rush Yards and 5 TDs. 

 

If Lance produces these numbers we will win the NFC West. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think Kyle will want to use the running game as much as he can to take the pressure off of Trey's shoulders. So, I expect several 150-200 passing yard games.Then he'll probably get to feast on a bad team or two, and the need to move the ball in the fourth quarter, playing from behind, will give him a few 300 yard games, perhaps. But I think Kyle will use the threat of his legs to prop up the running game, and that will be the main focus of the offense. Honestly, I think sub-4000 yard season, with 25ish TD throws, and 10ish running TD.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Pass TDs: 19

INTs: 11

Pass Yards: 3100

Rush Yards: 425

Rush TDs: 3

I think Trey Lance will have a lot growing pains early on w/ 1-2 really bad games (2+ INTs) but will start to ascend toward the last third of the season as he gains experience. I see the team one and done or barely missing the playoffs if they can't get the wild card. Barring injury, I think the Rams run away with the division next year. But, there's always surprises.  

Edited by gridirongorilla
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 4/7/2022 at 6:30 PM, 9erFreak77 said:

What is your take? Does he get injured week 3 and out for the season or Jimmy G starts the year ?? Lol

I’m guessing his numbers are going to be similar to Jimmy’s, exception being I except lance to have 400-500 yards rushing and a dociole TDs..

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, John232 said:

I’m guessing his numbers are going to be similar to Jimmy’s, exception being I except lance to have 400-500 yards rushing and a dociole TDs..

Agree I think Lance's numbers will be around what Jimmy did this past season. I will be happy with that plus his rushing upside which is hard to calculate exactly what it will be. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 4/7/2022 at 5:17 PM, John232 said:

Damn you guys are optimists 

Check his total yards in the two games he started and then take into consideration the natural progression made from year one to year two. I think some of these predictions are a bit more pessimistic if anything. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
×
  • Create New...