NYRaider Posted May 17, 2022 Share Posted May 17, 2022 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWil23 Posted May 17, 2022 Share Posted May 17, 2022 8 AFC teams in the Top 12. It's going to be a blood bath 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OkeyDoke21 Posted May 17, 2022 Share Posted May 17, 2022 (edited) Wow, they are either incredibly down on SF, or think they have an outrageous home field advantage. I'm just going to pretend it's latter, to maintain my sanity. Edited May 17, 2022 by OkeyDoke21 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Forge Posted May 17, 2022 Share Posted May 17, 2022 2 minutes ago, OkeyDoke21 said: Wow, they are either incredibly down on SF, or think they have an outrageous home field advantage. I'm just going to pretend it's latter, to maintain my sanity. It's because they are using Lance in the model. I don't think that they article is out yet, but they address where the team would be with Jimmy G and I'm pretty sure it's considerably higher. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bolts223 Posted May 17, 2022 Share Posted May 17, 2022 (edited) There are some other minor disagreements I have with this list but here are the major ones: Cowboys are too high Colts are too high Bengals are way too low 49ers are too low Edited May 17, 2022 by Bolts223 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OkeyDoke21 Posted May 17, 2022 Share Posted May 17, 2022 Just now, Forge said: It's because they are using Lance in the model. I don't think that they article is out yet, but they address where the team would be with Jimmy G and I'm pretty sure it's considerably higher. Oh, interesting. I was assuming it was treating it as if Deebo were gone. A two touchdown net between SF and Dallas seems pretty intense. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYRaider Posted May 17, 2022 Author Share Posted May 17, 2022 52 minutes ago, Bolts223 said: There are some other minor disagreements I have with this list but here are the major ones: Cowboys are too high Colts are too high Bengals are way too low 49ers are too low I'll never understand the Colts love, like people legitimately hype them up more than they hype you guys up. With the Chargers I see it but the Colts, meh. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrantikRam Posted May 17, 2022 Share Posted May 17, 2022 1 hour ago, MWil23 said: 8 AFC teams in the Top 12. It's going to be a blood bath 4 NFC teams in the top 6 5 in the top 9 6 in the top 13 So I think you're off 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Forge Posted May 17, 2022 Share Posted May 17, 2022 1 hour ago, OkeyDoke21 said: Oh, interesting. I was assuming it was treating it as if Deebo were gone. A two touchdown net between SF and Dallas seems pretty intense. Its really hard for a predictive model to calculate an expected performance with such a small sample size, I think. This happened in 2017 as well when they rated the Rams like 29th because they had no idea how to evaluate what Goff would bring based on the previous season, even with the addition of Watkins, Woods, Whitworth and Sullivan. It makes sense...it's a limited sample size and how do you really extrapolate the necessary data. Add to the seen through the lens of QBR which still doesn't make any sense and there you go. Lance's QBR was miserable last year (25 versus Carolina, 31 I think against Houston which makes 0 sense, but I digress). Wondering where the 49ers would rank if Jimmy Garoppolo were to return as the starter in 2022? They would move up to 13th in the FPI rankings. It's a big jump, fueled by the fact that Garoppolo has posted decent QBRs throughout his career -- which is a lot better than what the model assumes the 49ers will get from Lance in 2022 on average. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bolts223 Posted May 17, 2022 Share Posted May 17, 2022 2 hours ago, Forge said: It's because they are using Lance in the model. I don't think that they article is out yet, but they address where the team would be with Jimmy G and I'm pretty sure it's considerably higher. Isn't that a fairly flawed way to create a model though? You'd have to assume that if the 49ers decide to start Lance it would be because they view him in a similar league to Jimmy at this point in his development. Otherwise they'd just start Jimmy. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheKillerNacho Posted May 17, 2022 Share Posted May 17, 2022 Looks about right for Miami, although I'd personally have us over Washington. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ET80 Posted May 18, 2022 Share Posted May 18, 2022 Jacksonville over Houston, I guess? Neither is good, so maybe I'm splitting hairs over nothing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blackstar12 Posted May 18, 2022 Share Posted May 18, 2022 That’s high for the Colts tbh. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TitanSlim Posted May 18, 2022 Share Posted May 18, 2022 Everyone’s mentioning the Colts but the Cardinals at 9 is just as confusing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrantikRam Posted May 18, 2022 Share Posted May 18, 2022 15 minutes ago, TitanSlim said: Everyone’s mentioning the Colts but the Cardinals at 9 is just as confusing. Not to me. They struggled down the stretch, but they were still a really good team, and obviously FPI isn't accounting for Hopkins suspension and at full strength I think them being a top 10 team makes sense. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.