Washington Players Current Trade Value

[MKnight82]

As an exercise to determine where our roster stands I thought it would be interesting to consider what the trade value of all of our players might be.  Now I'm not arguing to trade any of these players, I'm merely discussing what their value might be if they were shopped.  Feel free to tell me where you disagree: 

 

1^st Round +

WR Terry McLaurin – AJ Brown was traded for a 1^st (18^th overall) and 3^rd round pick. It would be interesting to see what his value would be, cause we would eat a lot of his contract via trade. Because of that he might go for even more.

 

1^st Round Pick

WR Jahan Dotson – he was just a first round pick and has looked good so far. 

 

2^nd Round Pick

DT Jonathan Allen – he’s obviously very talented but he’s about to get very expensive.

 

3^rd-4^th Round Pick

RT Sam Cosmi – He was a 2^nd round pick just last year but he’s already missed time with an injury and this year has struggled.  Still, he has two years of cheap rookie contract left after this season, I’m thinking maybe a 4^th round pick?

DE Chase Young – maybe a 4^th simply because of all the draft hype?

DT Daron Payne – this one is difficult to project as he’s a pending FA. He’s currently on pace to have a career year, but the contract situation kills that value.  I’m thinking 3^rd round pick, either by tag and trade or letting him walk with the comp pick.

CB Kendall Fuller – he only has 1 year remaining on his contract after this year, and that is at a $11.6 mil cap hit. He’s talented but not elite, yet kind of expensive.  I’m thinking a 4^th round pick.

 

Late Round Pick

QB Sam Howell – maybe worth a 7^th cause of the contract, but no one used a pick on him till the 5^th last year.

WR Curtis Samuel – only has 1 year left on his contract after this season.  Injury history, but productive when on the field.  I’m thinking like a 5^th or 6^th round pick?

WR Dyami Brown – 2 years remaining on rookie deal after this season, less than $1 mil year in cap. Former 3^rd round pick. Maybe a super late pick?

DE Montez Sweat – his cap hit jumps to $10.9 mil next year and then he’s a FA.  His sack numbers went from 7, to 9, to only 5 last year. He currently has zero sacks this year.  I’m thinking at most a 5^th round pick at this point, purely for the upside.  But honestly with that cap hit he might have no value.

CB Ben St.-Juste – he’s a former 3^rd round pick who has shown some ability in the league. He has 2 years remaining on his rookie deal at 1.3 & 1.6 mil each year. I think he could be worth a 5^th or 6^th round pick.

 

No Trade Value

QB Carson Wentz – he will have no trade value because teams will know we have to cut him (huge cap savings).

QB Taylor Heinicke – he’s too limited physically to have any trade value IMO.

LT Charles Leno – if he had any trade value the Bears wouldn’t have just cut him.

LG Andrew Norwell – his cap hit jumps to $5.1 mil next year and he will be 31 years old.  You can find similar Guard in FA without giving up a draft pick for one.

OC Wes Schweitzer – backup level player with injury history.

RG Trai Turner – he’s on his 4^th team in 4 years, none have traded him but released him outright.

OT Cornelius Lucas – backup Olineman on non rookie deals don’t get traded.

OG Chris Paul – He’s on a rookie deal but was only taken in the 7^th round, can’t see him being worth that or more now.

Saahdiq Charles – Former 4^th round pick, has never proven he’s capable of being a starter.

TE Logan Thomas – He’s coming off an injury, is 30 years old and is getting ready to be pretty expensive.

CB William Jackson – Everyone knows we will cut him, he has no trade value.

All of the RBs – HBs rarely have trade value because they are seen as easily replaceable.

All the backup TEs – (Bates, Turner, Rogers) don’t see any trade value here.

The rest of the WRs – (Milne, Sims) don’t see any trade value here.

All of the backup DEs – (Toohill, Obada, Smith-Williams, Toney) – none

All of the linebackers – (Davis, Holcomb, Bostic, Mayo) – These guys are all off the ball linebackers which generally don’t have a ton of value. Davis, despite being a recent 1^st has struggled so much I can’t see him having any value.

The rest of the CBs – (Wildgoose, Holmes, Castro-Fields) – and bunch of JAGs.

All of the Safeties – (Curl, Forrest, McCain, Butler, Reaves) – Yes even Curl. All of these guys are probably replacement level or worse for the position.

All of the Specialists (Way, Slye, Cheeseman) – rarely traded for

 

That's pretty much it.  It's a pretty depressing list to be honest.  

Edited October 4, 2022 by MKnight82

[e16bball]

Good thought exercise. Just to clarify, is it if we traded them right now? Or if we tried to trade them in the coming offseason?

[MKnight82]

2 hours ago, e16bball said:

Good thought exercise. Just to clarify, is it if we traded them right now? Or if we tried to trade them in the coming offseason?

Probably next off-season, there aren’t many in seasons trades as comparables.

Edited October 5, 2022 by MKnight82

[turtle28]

How can Cosmi have a 3rd or 4th round trade value?
 

He’s arguably been our worst OL this year. He’s been really, really bad & should be benched in favor of Lucas but I don’t see Ron/Scotty doing it bc they want Cosmi to play to try to develop as a RT but I think his future is at OG, not OT, he doesn’t seem to have the feet to be an OT vs speed rushers in the NFL, just like Scherff.

[TOUCAN]

I think Chase would net more than a 4th rounder honestly but that all depends on what he comes back and looks like. There’s an immense well of talent there and I think it’s easy to forget because of how last season was for him.

[MikeT14]

12 hours ago, turtle28 said:

How can Cosmi have a 3rd or 4th round trade value?
 

He’s arguably been our worst OL this year. He’s been really, really bad & should be benched in favor of Lucas but I don’t see Ron/Scotty doing it bc they want Cosmi to play to try to develop as a RT but I think his future is at OG, not OT, he doesn’t seem to have the feet to be an OT vs speed rushers in the NFL, just like Scherff.

Ironically, he had the highest rating from PFF last week in the 70s. 

[turtle28]

5 hours ago, MikeT14 said:

Ironically, he had the highest rating from PFF last week in the 70s. 

Last week as in vs Dallas or Philly?

He was awful vs Philly. I agree that he seemed to play better vs Dallas.

I still think Lucas is better than him though.

[MikeT14]

1 minute ago, turtle28 said:

Last week as in vs Dallas or Philly?

He was awful vs Philly. I agree that he seemed to play better vs Dallas.

I still think Lucas is better than him though.

Dallas.

[turtle28]

2 hours ago, MikeT14 said:

Dallas.

Ok, makes sense. I do think he played better vs Dallas. Vs Philly though he couldn’t handle Brandon Graham at all.

Well, maybe he will work out RT, but that Philly game was real bad. I hope he works out at RT & Charles works out at RG. It’d be nice to lock down the right side again RG way we had with Moses & Scherff a few years ago.

[Thaiphoon]

Was just thinking about a firesale. Love this idea. So Mr. Pin comes out and this post looks all pretty at the top.

There/ Just gonna pin this pretty post right at the top.

 

[e16bball]

Pretty excellent job with this @MKnight82, not many I’d disagree with too substantially. There are some guys I think have more value than the original post. One thing I think we have to keep in mind is the disdain much of the league has for our organization. I would imagine that there are numerous teams that believe they can get more out of players than we can, and that a guy struggling here doesn’t mean he’d struggle there.

 

Chase Young: Guy was an elite draft prospect in the eyes of literally everyone. He was then DROY. Last year was a lost season, but teams are not going to give up on him based on that. I think he’d still go for a 2nd+ at this point. 

Charles Leno: I think everyone thought it was odd when the Bears released him, but I imagine it had to do with having zero cap space to even sign their rookies. He’d be on a contract for something like 2/$22M, which is pretty reasonable for a solid LT. I think he’d have at least late round value.

Kamren Curl: I think teams would give up a good bit for him, actually. We learned from Landon Collins that (other) teams aren’t going to invest in pure box safeties, but Curl is a lot more than that. I think there’s a very reasonable argument that he’s at least our second-best defensive player, and he gets paid in literal peanuts. 

Brian Robinson: We’ll have to see him play before we can really say anything about his value, but if he’s a solid starter as most of us expect, he’ll have value. Teams don’t invest assets in older RBs who are hitting FA, but young RBs with their rookie contracts ahead of them still have draft pick value. As evidenced by teams continuing to use picks to draft them. 

Jamin Davis: Certainly can’t peg his value off the R1 status anymore, but he’s clearly improving and he’s still the same physical freak he always was. Someone would take a shot on him, even if just as a bet against our ability to properly develop/deploy him. I’d say something in the 5th round pick area.

A little torn on Montez Sweat, Logan Thomas, and Curtis Samuel. Want to say a bit higher (3rd-4th for Sweat, 6th-7th for Thomas, 3rd-4th for Samuel), but I buy your reasoning and will assume I’m too optimistic on them.

A couple quick guys I think are too high: Daron Payne, Kendall Fuller, Dyami Brown, William Jackson.

[turtle28]

On 10/5/2022 at 6:02 AM, JoshstraDaymus said:

I think Chase would net more than a 4th rounder honestly but that all depends on what he comes back and looks like. There’s an immense well of talent there and I think it’s easy to forget because of how last season was for him.

Agreed, if your trading for a 22-year old Chase Young, your trading for what he will develop into, not what he currently is. I’m not even sure Chase has scratched the surface on his potential. I used to feel that way about Sweat also, but the more time goes on w/ him just being average at getting sacks while only making a few other game changing plays a year the more and more I think that despite Sweat’s natural  talent/athleticism/potential that he may never develop into the player everyone things he should be given his size/speed combo.  
 

I mean Sweat is 26 now, he’s in his 4th year in the league & the results so far this year are underwhelming to say the least. He just isn’t what everyone wants him to be. He isn’t even in Orakpo’s category as a pass rusher. Such a disappointment 😢 

[turtle28]

22 hours ago, Thaiphoon said:

Was just thinking about a firesale. Love this idea. So Mr. Pin comes out and this post looks all pretty at the top.

There/ Just gonna pin this pretty post right at the top.

 

Ahh, the ole’ firesale in our hearts & minds. We’ve only been doing this since 2007 & it’s yet to happen once, but bc I’m both bored & frustrated with this team again, I’ll play along.

Edited October 6, 2022 by turtle28

[MKnight82]

2 hours ago, e16bball said:

Chase Young: Guy was an elite draft prospect in the eyes of literally everyone. He was then DROY. Last year was a lost season, but teams are not going to give up on him based on that. I think he’d still go for a 2nd+ at this point. 

I'm not so sure.  The guy hasn't had a piece of positive media in over 12 months, his value has to be at an all time low right now. He got hurt, his rehab has dragged out and he has had some reports about him not working out with the team, etc. Maybe some GM is still in love with him and pays that price but I doubt it.  Maybe a conditional pick based on his play would be more reasonable. 

2 hours ago, e16bball said:

Charles Leno: I think everyone thought it was odd when the Bears released him, but I imagine it had to do with having zero cap space to even sign their rookies. He’d be on a contract for something like 2/$22M, which is pretty reasonable for a solid LT. I think he’d have at least late round value.

You may be right that contract may have some value. 

2 hours ago, e16bball said:

Kamren Curl: I think teams would give up a good bit for him, actually. We learned from Landon Collins that (other) teams aren’t going to invest in pure box safeties, but Curl is a lot more than that. I think there’s a very reasonable argument that he’s at least our second-best defensive player, and he gets paid in literal peanuts. 

In preseason he really struggled in coverage at times.  He's a limited player that contributes in positive ways but I don't think he has a lot of trade value. 

2 hours ago, e16bball said:

Brian Robinson: We’ll have to see him play before we can really say anything about his value, but if he’s a solid starter as most of us expect, he’ll have value. Teams don’t invest assets in older RBs who are hitting FA, but young RBs with their rookie contracts ahead of them still have draft pick value. As evidenced by teams continuing to use picks to draft them. 

Correct, teams do continue using draft picks on RBs, they don't really use them to trade for veteran ones though. They're seen so interchangeable they'd rather have the 4 year rookie contract. 

2 hours ago, e16bball said:

Jamin Davis: Certainly can’t peg his value off the R1 status anymore, but he’s clearly improving and he’s still the same physical freak he always was. Someone would take a shot on him, even if just as a bet against our ability to properly develop/deploy him. I’d say something in the 5th round pick area.

I could see the argument for a 5th. 

2 hours ago, e16bball said:

Daron Payne

This one is really hard to project.  There just aren't many DT trade comparables out there to look at as comparison. I'm not sure why they don't get traded often, but they don't.  I don't know if that is because teams highly value them so they won't trade them, or if they feel like they can draft one easily and replace. 

2 hours ago, e16bball said:

Kendall Fuller

I think a 4th for a solid starting CB is pretty fair. 

2 hours ago, e16bball said:

Dyami Brown

You're probably right.  

2 hours ago, e16bball said:

William Jackson

I had him as no trade value, not sure how I could have him lower than that. 

[e16bball]

17 minutes ago, MKnight82 said:

William Jackson: I had him as no trade value, not sure how I could have him lower than that. 

I think we’d have to attach a draft pick to him to get someone to take him at that cost at the moment 😂