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BDL 2022 Playoffs Week 1 - #7 Cuba Smugglers @ #2 Anchorage Trappers


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  1. 1. Who Wins?

    • Cuba Smugglers
    • Anchorage Trappers

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  • Poll closed on 12/15/2022 at 05:00 AM

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BDL 2022 Playoffs Week 1

Match:  Cuba Smugglers @ Anchorage Trappers

 Away Owner:  @MD4L

Home Owner:  @Scoundrel

 Vote for who you think would win the game.

One vote per person, duplicate accounts will be banned and action taken against those attempting to rig the results.

One vote per team involved in the match. Co-owners may vote in every match up except their own.

For members, who have been following along, and wish to vote.  Please join the conversation and maybe give a reason you voted as you did. This will alleviate any suspicions of unusual voting and will promote discussion.

Note: Players that have a (D) next to their name indicate that they are doubtful or unlikely to play. Players with (Q) are game-time decisions.

Good luck to you both


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QB: Tom Brady
RB: Dalvin Cook
WR: Justin Jefferson 
WR: Mike Williams 
WR: Keenan Allen
TE: Jelani Woods
LT: Charles Cross
LG: Elgton Jenkins 
C - Connor Williams
RG: Ezra Cleveland 
RT: Lane Johnson 

QB: Deshaun Watson
RB: Travis Etienne 
RB: Jamaal Williams
WR: DJ Chark
WR: Braxton Berrios
TE: Mo Alie-Cox
OL: Brian O’Neill
OL: Cole Strange 


Edge: Haason Riddick
DT: Zach Sieler
NT: DJ Reader
Edge: Maxx Crosby
WLB: Jerome Baker
MLB: Eric Kendricks 
RCB: Martin Emerson
NCB: Alontae Taylor 
FS: Duron Harmon
SS: Justin Reid
LCB: Denzel Ward 

Edge: Rashad Weaver
Edge: Dante Fowler 
DT: Zach Allen
DT: Leki Fotu
OLB: Myles Jack
CB: Rasul Douglas
CB: Kadar Kohou
S: LaMarcus Joyner








QB- Joe Burrow

RB- Josh Jacobs

X- Ja’Marr Chase

Z- Hollywood Brown

Slot- Parris Campbell 

TE- Isaiah Likely 

LT- Andrew Thomas 

LG- Jon Runyan Jr

C- Frank Ragnow

RG- Austin Corbett

RT- Terence Steele



RB- Jonathan Taylor

RB- Zonovan Knight 

WR4- Mack Hollins

WR5- Donovan Peoples-Jones

WR6- Jameson Williams 

TE2- Jordan Akins

OL- Jamaree Salyer

OT- Ikem Ekwonu



End- Sam Hubbard 

UT- Ed Oliver

NT- Vita Vea

End- Bradley Chubb

MLB- Micah Parsons 

Stud- Isaiah Simmons

CB- Patrick Surtain 

CB- Jaylon Johnson

CB- Jaycee Horn

S- Jessie Bates lll

S- Talanoa Hufanga



Edge- Alex Highsmith

Edge- Aidan Hutchinson 

DT- DaQuan Jones

DT- Greg Gaines

DT- Jordan Davis

LB- Mykal Walker

Dime/S- Budda Baker

CB- Sean Murphy-Bunting

Edited by RedGold
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Intro: Anchorage outplayed, out coached, and thoroughly defeated us in a severe week 4 beatdown. We play them again this week and our team is getting healthy at the right time. We are well aware Anchorage lost to the 7th seed last year and expect Scoundrel to use it as a motivating tool. Make no mistakes about it however; That 12-1 victory remains fresh in our mind. We are ready this week and playing freely as underdogs. Credit to Scoundrel for his impeccable work building this team. 



This is why we signed Tom Brady in the off-season. The Anchorage defense is intimidating but we are healthy at WR and they have seen some injuries in the backend. It looks like Jaylon Johnson will start this week and we will accordingly target him repeatedly in coverage. We anticipate forms of man coverage and cover 3 with limited shadowing considering Horn in the slot and Surtain on the boundary is Anchorage’s go to coverage tendency. We will go 4 WR on some plays to isolate the depth of Anchorage’s CBs or find the non elite CB who’s not getting safety help deep against a quick passing game. 

We expect Anchorage to lock in on Jefferson with various bracket strategies including helping Surtain deep, isolating Surtain against Jefferson, or using another player and giving him safety help. Jefferson remains our focal point and we’re still going to make him our option on 25-30% of our target share. There is a lot of potential to use him as a decoy, particularly when Surtain covers him and gets help deep. As we have seen in recent weeks, Surtain is tremendous in coverage but has been beaten by DJ Moore and DaVante Adams for 3 total TDs. 2 of those plays were crossing routes and the other was Adams finding Surtain’s blind spot in cover 3. He has zero interception this season so our worst case scenario is he forces incompletions all game. 

Jefferson is one of the handful of WRs good enough to challenge Surtain on a talent basis so we embrace best on best this week. We will target Jefferson some in the first half, but we will go after this matchup moreso in the second half. Primarily with set up on play action with a TE, RB, or sixth OL on Parsons side and allow Brady time to get Jefferson on a double move, ala Adams on his game winning TD catch several weeks ago. 

Like Surtain, Horn is another extremely talented young CB but with less explosive plays given up. He also has two INTs this season and is a dynamic athlete. We want to avoid testing him as much unless he plays off and throw comeback routes that direct the WR to go up field and break on the ball instead of back shoulder fades. If Jefferson gets him all, we will keep Jefferson’s targets in single digits. We like flat/slant concepts (Allen/Jefferson stack), pick routes from bunch sets (drag/flat concepts with Allen/Williams), and play action opportunities that allow crossing routes and more vertical friendly concepts (Jefferson/Williams stack). Mike Williams healthy will make a big difference particularly if he avoids either CB. If he’s isolated, we want to go after his non Surtain/Horn assignment from the first snap. It is our hot route on audibles at the line if he’s not matchup against either. Having Allen healthy allows us to keep him in the slot and run underneath drag routes testing the middle of the field and serving as a friendly first half pass concept to win on first down. DJ Chark will mostly play outside and he lets us move Jefferson around in presnap. If we decide to bunch we will keep Chark opposite in isolated situations and have Jefferson’s motion as a bite for the safeties before going on a couple deep shots. Brady dismisses efficiency for effectiveness against this group.

Of course, Brady will not be asked to win this game by himself because we have a running game that has blossomed this season. We opted to go pass heavy in our last meeting but play our game against Anchorage defensive line. We are going to use Lane Johnson as a weapon in the run game. Expect multiple tosses to the right side with Johnson springing into the open field. If Parsons is the Mike, Johnson will work to find him in the open field. When we run inside from shotgun we’ll use invaried traps and counters that involve the RT springing up field and serving as a wall for Cook or Etienne. Elgton Jenkins will help against Parsons as a pass rusher, and we will have him help Connor Williams when Anchorage lines up with Vea AND Davis at DT. In those situations, we will have Brady be aware of it and call into play action passes with deeper targets or screen routes if Anchorage plays their CBs in off-coverage. We like the idea of using some two RB sets this week with 3 WRs or 2 WR sets and a TE. In 3 wide, Brady is getting the ball out quickly. We’ll incorporate some Etienne screens from that 2 RB set. The 21 personnel is also to give Brady max protection to target Jefferson in potential iso opportunities against whomever his opponent is in coverage. The 21 lineup will be used 5-6 times with Brady at QB. It is the only formation we will use Deshaun Watson in. He will be used on 3-5 snaps, all in the redzone and short down distance or at the goal line. He will not throw more than one pass. He serves as a running option himself and with Cook/Etienne in the backfield is a nice blend of misdirection opportunities that Brady lacks. It will be used no more than 5 potential plays.

The important factor in this game is winning on first downs. We want to avoid situations where Anchorage can pin their ears back and not worry about our run offense. The best way to do so is getting completions on first downs. We are leaning slightly more toward passing, but that is because our insistence on staying ahead in the down and distance. On 2nd and less then 5 we are going to lean slightly more toward running the ball keep the offense on schedule. This is our first half strategy as it keeps our offense balanced, keeps Anchorage’s offense off the field, and allows Cook + Etienne to control the game. In the second half, we keep the same gameplan but will look more toward using a couple play action passes with slant combos that eventually turn to stop and go’s in pursuit of the big play. When we face 4th and 2s or less we are going for it with Brady dropping back as a passer. With 3 WRs available, Brady will either look for Jefferson isolated or find whomever Jaylon Johnson is covering. Anchorage ran a lot of single high last time we played them and if they choose to run two safeties deep this week, Brady will also look for his RBs in the flat to keep this game of cat and mouse on going. Sean Murphy Bunting or Budda Baker as their 4th would definitely be targeted as both players have allowed over 80% completion rate as primary players in coverage, so we’re salivating at a Jefferson motion getting him against either player in one on one. We feel our offense can do a lot of what we intend based on winning 1st down. Likewise, we have a spirited energy knowing we are underdogs. 



We welcome the chance to play Joe Burrow for the 2nd time this season. Anchorage was slightly run heavy last time we played them so DJ Reader is a massive boost. Losing Derwin James is a big loss with Josh Jacobs and Jonathan Taylor serving as a premier 1-2 punch. It’s not out of our attention Anchorage may just ride the hot hand and give these RBs equally bell cow responsibility. If Anchorage plays with 2 WRs on the field, Justin Reid will stay deep next to Harmon, and we will have our 3 LBs all on the field together to help against the run. If we blitz, it will be in this set as it guarantees one of the best players on the team (Jacobs or Taylor) has blocking responsibility or is without the ball in his hand.

We still expect Anchorage to get their backs involved frequently but Burrow is a franchise QB and we expect him to do more this week. We brought Denzel Ward for games like this and we will let him and Ja’Marr Chase go at it. We are throwing the book of coverages at Chase but will avoid shadow responsibility for most of the game. Martin Emerson has been battle tested this season (82 targets as the primary defender in coverage - 3rd most in the league) and has allowed 51 pct of targets his way to be completed. This includes a RL performance against Burrow where he allowed 58 yards on 12 targets. He has shown himself as an asset particularly against non speedy receivers which is beneficial with Brandin Cooks out this week. Hollywood is a deep threat so we will give Emerson safety help on more plays than usual. We also safely assume Jameson Williams gets some more run this week. If we play cover 3, Emerson will play off ball and be on the lookout for double moves. On 3rd and longs or 4th and longs, we will use some quarters personnel (3 DL, 1 LB, 7 DBs) and have Emerson in man coverage against Isaiah Likely. Alontae Taylor moves outside, Kadar Kohou moves into the slot, Ward follows Chase, and Douglas plays accordingly (slot or boundary where Ward would line up).

Alontae Taylor has been a revelation in coverage this season. He’s been the primary defender in coverage over 50 times and allowed less than 50% of his targets to be completed with zero pass TDs allowed. He’s a full time starter on our defense and rotates with Emerson this week if Emerson has any issues with the vertical threats in 2 WR personnel. We will split between zone and man based on how Anchorage tries to attack our defense. We anticipate play action being used often and counteract that with more zone coverages with the CBs preventing the deep ball, Harmon playing the deep 3rd, and Reid on watch for crossing patterns.

With Haason Riddick and Crosby on the edges, we have 21 combined sacks between the two and consistent pressure on the edge. Andrew Thomas growth this year has been evident so we want to find ways where we can blitz Riddick and Crosby on same side stunts. That is our 3rd down wrinkle in this game. When Anchorage tries to run hurry up or a two minute drill, we will insert Zach Allen, Rashad Weaver, or Dante Fowler on Thomas side so Riddick can rush from the 2nd level. This also counteracts Burrow’s premier ability: Resetting the pocket and throwing precision passes despite being on the run. Having a speed rusher on the 2nd level helps when Burrow aims to step up in the pocket.

When Anchorage plays 2 WRs, we will keep sides and definitely help Emerson against Chase. Alontae Taylor on the boundary would be similar but we are willing to let Taylor play one on one on more than one occasion because of his athletic profile. We expect some more Jameson Williams this week and will immediately respect his deep speed. Against 3 WR sets, Emerson likely gets Hollywood and safety help from Harmon. 











We have never won a playoff game and our team, fans and state crave this. Cuba is a team we have a lot of respect for and they can use the drubbing we put on them earlier this season as motivation but we want this more than anyone and we are going to take what’s ours. We are bringing a balanced offensive attack and a disciplined defense out to bring the hurt to Cuba. It’s going to be wild here in Anchorage. Let’s win this one at home!


Offense: 3 Wide (40%), 4 Wide (30%), 2TE (30%)
A 55/45 Pass/Run play split will be our goal this week. We want a balance of  spreading out the Cuba defense opening up running lanes and taking advantage of quick passes and big play opportunities down the field. We will also mix in heavy sets to wear them down and utilize play action to open up the passing game. We want to keep the Cuba offense off the field and control time of possession. 

•Quick passing to establish rhythm followed by double moves to attack young eager corners also working play action off of our run game to get the youngins biting.

• Utilize screens to mitigate the Cuba pass rush

•Open up running lanes spreading out the defense and mixing in heavy sets to wear them down. Allow our talented backfield to take over this game.

•Utilize Burrow’s legs on roll outs, scrambling for first downs when the pass isn’t there and goaline sneaks

•Identify Derwin pre-snap (if he plays)

•Disciplined protection, pass off stunts and twists and slide protection/chips to Crosby’s side. 

Passing Game and Protection:
We have some fun weapons for Burrow to utilize. We will look to establish a rhythm and get Joe Cool spreading out the Cuba defense attacking ideal matchups using our combo routing. We will have receivers attacking all depths of the field on every play. We will utilize a lot of pre snap movement with our receivers to determine coverage and also make it difficult to press. If they do try and press us and try and take away our underneath game we entrust in Burrow to make the deep shots with our receiver speed and find those quick hitters off of movement. If we are seeing heavy man we will run more twins and bunch and rub route guys open still attacking multiple depths. If heavy zone we will flood zones more and let Burrow pick them apart. We will utilize play action off of our running game to take advantage of inexperience and youth in their secondary. We will work double moves to also attack the eager youth in the secondary and give us big plays. If we see double teams on Chase we will slot him often and run him right at the deep middle opening up our other matchups or run him deep down the sideline giving us open space elsewhere to attack. We won’t completely avoid Chase as we know he can beat double teams but the matchup advantages this will provide us with our other weapons will be hot spots for Burrow. Akins will also see some time at TE in our 3wide rotating with Likely. In 4 wide Hollins and DPJ will split time as the fourth receiver. Jameson Williams will get a couple opportunities in this game to stretch the defense and provide us an additional threat.

Our backs or tight ends will be used to chip Crosby before they release. Crosby is a terror and we need to put multiple bodies on him every play. We will utilize our backs in the flats and on some swings and wheels. We are going to implement more screens to our backs this week than we have run this season. This will help mitigate the Cuba pass rush and provide us with big play opportunities. We are going to identify Derwin James presnap if he plays as he is a game wrecker and Cuba uses him in a variety of ways. We want to account for him at all times in the run and pass game. We will shift protection toward his side when we see him lined up near the line of scrimmage as they like to stunt with him. We will pass off stunts and twists and ensure every rusher is accounted. We entrust Thomas on an island in pass pro but if we see overloading/Derwin there that is where our shift of protection will be. If they want to use James or another rusher off the edge with Reddick and keep Crosby on an island against Steele we will chip with our TE or RB to the Crosby side and if in 4 wide we will look to quick passes to combat that rush using our RB to still chip. If Derwin does not play due to injury we will shift protection to any over load side and make sure again we are always chipping/having more than one body on Crosby. 

Burrow’s Legs:
Joe is an underrated scrambler when he needs to be. He has as many rushing TDs this season as Josh Allen and more than Lamar Jackson. He is a master of the goaline/short to go QB sneak and we will utilize him in these situations as a compliment to our running game which our backs will receive the majority of our goaline/short to go carries. We will use Joe on some roll outs and manipulate the pocket to counter the pass rush of Cuba. We entrust in him to take off and make plays when he needs to and put our offense in positions to succeed. 

Running Game: 
We are going to attack this defense with our run game in a couple of ways. We will spread them out and use our zone to allow our backs to pick their holes utilizing inside and outside zone. We are also going to use zone in our 2TE sets and also use man blocking schemes. We will utilize some tosses and counters to beat an over aggressive dline. We will use traditional two tight sets but also use one of our TE as a FB/H-Back lead blocker at times motioning from TE to these roles and vice versa. Chase and DPJ will see most of the reps at WR in the 2TE with Hollins getting some. We will use our TE’s to help seal the edge and get to the second level. We want to control time of possession and let the talent of our backs shine as they use their vision and explosiveness to pick up yards and score touchdowns. We will give Hollins a couple end around opportunities in four wide. We will run a 55/45 split with Jacobs and Taylor. 


Defense: Nickel Base against 3 Wide, Dime against 4/5 wide, 4-3 against 2WR or less sets
We are going to play gap disciplined and bring the heat in Brady’s face. Micah will be blitzing mostly from the A and B gaps this game when we send him. We want to contain the run game and force everything back inside funneling it into the strength of our Dline. We will play matchup specific in coverage when in man and incorporate zone looks with some robber calls looking to take advantage of that in the face pressure. If they decide Watson is the key for their team for some reason we won’t deviate from our plan. 

•Bring pressure in Brady’s face and force off platform throws 

•Funnel the run back inside and play gap disciplined

•Mix in matchup specific man and various zone concepts 

•Pump up the crowd and get that noise to work in our defense’s favor


Pash Rush:
As mentioned it is imperative that we get pressure in Brady’s face and throw off his timing while forcing him to make off platform throws when we aren’t outright sacking and hitting him. We will line Micah up at times in the A or B gap and either send him or drop him into coverage. Other times we will position him at off ball depth and send him and other times have him sit/drop into middle zone coverage/robber. Micah will still get some run off the edge on overloads on either the left or right side but his main focus this game is to be a force in the middle. Simmons will see some blitz action when Micah isn’t going. We will run some twists with our DT’s to generate different pressure looks against the oline and still send Micah at times when we do so. Vita and Oliver get the starts inside and we will rotate all five of our DT’s enough to keep the group fresh. Chubb and Hubbard will be coming off the edge and Highsmith will see more of a rotation for Hubbard on clear passing downs/3rd and 6 or more. Hutchinson will get some edge rotation reps as well but we will also use him some inside in place for one of our DT’s in clear passing situations. A couple of plays when he is inside we will bring Micah and drop Aidan into the shallow middle to play robber on crossing routes to confuse the offense and get his mitts on the ball. Against four wide we will use Micah off the edge and stunt with the DT plenty to his side to keep that consistent inside pressure while also allowing him to beat his man off the edge on other plays. If Cuba wants to try and run hurry up in our stadium to keep us from substituting, good luck with that noise and we will do our best to get our optimal packages on the field at our desired times but we trust all of our players in our lineup to be able to execute our plan. 

Run Defense:
We will play gap disciplined and make sure we do not leave holes for big plays. Force the run back inside to limit the explosive runs outside with stout run stuffing ends. Speed at backer to chase down ball carriers and fill gaps. We will two gap with our nose for either A/B or A/A and our UT will one gap A or B. While our MLB fills the other gap inside unaccounted for. Ends have outside gaps while Stud fills One C on TE side in Nickel base as that strong side Edge has D. SS is in the box and has RB track as he also covers the RB in pass coverage in man so this is an easy transition even if they motion the back out. Against 2WR and less Ends have outside gaps, OLBs (Simmons/Walker) in our 4-3 fill C gaps against 2TE. If 1 TE 2 RB then Walker tracks the 2nd RB while Simmons fills strong side C gap as strong side End has D gap. We have the same gap assignments inside for our 4-3 as in our nickel for the A/B gaps and SS again tracks RB1. Against 4 wide ends have C gaps, NT has A/B or A/A, UT has A or B and MLB has A or B that UT does not have and Stud tracks RB. We line up heavy on the goaline as they have a back in Williams who can pick up those tough yards and goaline TD’s so we will use our beef up front to shut him down.

We will mix in man and zone coverages (2/3/6). We will have Surtain cover Jefferson when he is outside and Horn covers him in the slot. Jefferson is an elite player and when he is outside in our man we will shade our single high to his side. Jaylon covers the #2 outside. We will presnap trail all our matchups even in zone and just shift zones accordingly. We are going to mix in press in man/zone with our corners using the physicality of our DBs to our advantage and taking away quick throws allowing our pressure to get home as well as off man/zone to bait underneath throws and prevent big plays in other situations (ex: 3rd and long/game on the line and far to go). Simmons has TE and Hufanga has RB in our Nickel Base. Bates will play the single high. Micah will blitz, or drop back as a robber. If they run a 3WR/2RB we will still play our nickel and just motion out our SS to cover the RB if they split him out and run our mix of zone/man. Against 2WR or less Surtain and Horn have the outside receivers and we will stick Horn to Jefferson. Walker has RB2/TE2 and Simmons has TE1 while Hufanga has RB1. Micah is free to blitz or play robber in this formation as well. We will lineup Micah on the edge against 4 wide and move Hufanga to the Stud moving Simmons to MLB.  Baker comes on as the Dime corner. This will also help us against the run vs 4 wide. We will drop the MLB into a robber role/middle zone to take away crossers, sometimes blitz, but also drop him into zone help with Budda’s zone or other shallow/intermediate zones if we start to see some flooding/heavy attacking there. We will only play our various zones against four wide.   



Edited by RedGold
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I trust the pass rush/DL combo od Anchorage more than I trust Cuba's OL, especially with the turbulent season some of these guya have had.

I get trying to attack Surtain who jas gicen up TDs to a couple of very good WRs but then you sort of lose me when suggesting the use of Jefferson as a decoy.

The RBs they Cuba has, while talented have not been particularly productive on a consistent basis in recent weeks and against this front 7, i dont see how that changes.

I think it was smart of Anchorage to use screens and quick passing to neutralize the pass rush of Cuba.  The final straw for me though is the Burrow/Chase combo vs. Tom Brady. Tom Brady irl is working with arguably elite or at the very least high tier receivers and he has struggled this season. I don't view him as a QB at this stage of his career than can get the most out of any WRs, even if they are Jefferson, Allen, and Williams. I just see that offense having frequent 3 and outs.

38-21 Anchorage

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For a team that shouldn't be here (bring back homefield advantage you cowards), Cuba came out guns blazing. Both teams planned well here and this looks like an instant classic. I'm going back and forth on it, but I am giving the advantage to Anchorage at home.

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28 minutes ago, bcb1213 said:

i don't think this matters much here with Budda being the dime, but Murphy Bunting was inactive this week

He practiced full on Friday so I threw him on the bench just in case for depth but he isn’t mentioned in the plan and wasn’t getting on the field so you are correct.

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Between the two teams, I think they'll both be able to pressure the opposing QB. The difference for me is Anchorage's ability to bring pressure from multiple levels because of the freakish nature of their LB's. The hard part about planning for Anchorage is with all their pass rushing prowess...it's not like you can just decide to go run heavy becasue they're incredibly well rounded..which is what Brady needs to succeed right now.

I loved both guys plans to get their weapons open, but I think Burrow's mobility and cool under pressure gives him the edge over Cuba right now. Incredibly close game. 

Also, Patrick Surtain now has an INT this year. 

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Two very good teams with great gameplans. Getting back Ja'Marr Chase is very clutch for Anchorage because their offense definitely could use that firepower and the connection between he and Burrow. The Cuba defense, despite their somewhat inexperienced secondary, will do well to limit big plays in the passing game. I have a hard time seeing Cuba be successful against this Anchorage defense however. They've got no real strong weaknesses there and they have some really nice depth on top of it. I think this will be a defensive slugger of a game but Burrow and Chase will be able to get a bit more going and ultimately win this game.

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These teams match up incredibly well against each other.  Both game plans are quite solid.  I think Cuba just runs into a couple too many negative plays with Brady's clear mobility issues and a young secondary, while promising, has been a roller coaster ride, especially with Ward struggling for most of the season.


Anchorage 24-16

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