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BDL 2022 Playoffs Week 2 - #5 Cancun Kaiju @ #3 Rome Eternals


RedGold

Who Wins?   

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  1. 1. Who Wins?

    • Cancun Kaiju
    • Rome Eternals

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  • Poll closed on 12/22/2022 at 05:00 AM

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BDL 2022 Playoffs Week 2

Match:  #5 Cancun Kaiju @ #3 Rome Eternals

 Away Owner:  @Blue @MWil23

Home Owner:  @bcb1213

 Vote for who you think would win the game.

Rules:
One vote per person, duplicate accounts will be banned and action taken against those attempting to rig the results.

One vote per team involved in the match. Co-owners may vote in every match up except their own.

For members, who have been following along, and wish to vote.  Please join the conversation and maybe give a reason you voted as you did. This will alleviate any suspicions of unusual voting and will promote discussion.

Note: Players that have a (D) next to their name indicate that they are doubtful or unlikely to play. Players with (Q) are game-time decisions.

Good luck to you both

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Cancun
QB Patrick Mahomes
RB Aaron Jones
WR Chris Olave
WR Elijah Moore
WR Olamide Zacchaeus
TE Dalton Schultz
LT Yosh Nijman
LG Wyatt Teller
C Andre James
RG Zion Johnson
RT Sam Cosmi

RB2 Rhamondre Stevenson
RB3 Alexander Mattison
FB Kyle Juszczyk
WR4 Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
WR5 Josh Reynolds
TE2 Kylen Granson
OL6 Cordell Volson
OL7 Calvin Anderson

DE Cameron Jordan
DT Jonathan Allen
NT Tim Settle
DT/DE Greg Rousseau
LB Pete Werner
LB Ernest Jones
CB Tre'davious White
CB Michael Davis
CB Jack Jones
S Kevin Byard
S Marcus Williams

DE3 Kayvon Thibodeaux
DE4 Preston Smith
DT3 Travis Jones
DT4 Zach Carter
LB3 Kaden Elliss
CB4 Jaylen Watson
S3 Jalen Pitre
S4 Donovan Wilson

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Rome

QB Justin Herbert

RB D’Andre Swift

RB Jerrick McKinnon 

WR Amari Cooper 

WR Jaylen Waddle

WR Juju Smith Schuster 

LT Tyron Smith 

LG Michael Onwenu

C Mason Cole 

RG Chris Lindstrom

RT Ryan Ramcyk 

 

WR Josh Palmer 

TE CJ Uzomah 

RB Najee Harris

TE Cade Otten

WR DeSean Jackson

FB Patrick Ricard

C Luke Fortner 

OT Bernhard Raimann 

 

Edge Matt Judon

NT Mike Purcell 

UT Dalvin Tomlinson 

Edge Jaelan Phillips

LB Matt Milano

LB Nick Bolton 

CB Marlon Humphrey

CB DJ Reed 

CB Michael Carter II 

S Malik Hooker 

S Andre Cisco 

 

Edge Justin Houston

Edge  Carl Lawson 

DL Marcus Davenport 

INT Broderick Washington 

LB Devondre Campbell

CB Isaiah Rodgers 

CB Daron Bland 

S Kyle Hamilton

Edited by RedGold
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Cancun
 

Offense:

We have had this game circled on our schedule since Week 4 since we lost to Rome in a game we felt should have been an easy Cancun win. Coming into this game, we are certain Rome feels they have a strong pass rush up front, and we want to abuse that misguided belief in their players to set ourselves up for big early gains and throw them off their rhythm. Our offense is kicking into a pass-heavy, shotgun-focused gear this week, with 3 and 4 WR sets being the norm and a preferred 70-30 pass-run ratio. We will always have at least four skill players running routes on pass plays, with a tight end or back chipping to Yosh Nijman’s side at times, with Wyatt Teller helping him out other times. We’re content to leave Andre James and Zion Johnson one-on-one with the interior defensive line for most of the game, as we absolutely do not respect Dalvin Tomlinson (12 career sacks in 89 games) or Mike Purcell (2 2022 starts, 3.5 career sacks in 70 games) trying to get upfield. Given the Rome interior rush is as bad as it is, our tackles will routinely look to protect their outside shoulder on passing downs, knowing they’re likely to get help if the defender tries to work inside. If Rome opts to blitz, the aforementioned screens and draws will hurt them even more, and if they keep doing that in spite of giving up those big gains, we’re happy to keep running them.

Matt Judon currently sits 2nd in the NFL in sacks, in large part because he wants to beat his man psychologically as well as physically (https://www.golongtd.com/p/kill-or-be-killed-inside-the-mad). We’re going to beat him at his own game by letting him think he’s doing that. Our early game script will heavily feature draw plays and screen passes, being careful to let Judon get upfield before burning the defense through the hole he created trying to get there. This will be made even easier by Rome’s tendency to put zero run defense responsibility on their defensive backs outside the strong safety, meaning no help on the outside edges of the defense. On more straightforward pass plays, we’ll chip Judon with a back or tight end, occasionally with a guard helping out too just to frustrate him. We are going to poke the tiger and then we are going to put the tiger in the dirt and call him a pu55y. If Rome is going to try to beat us in the trenches, it will be with someone other than Matt Judon. Even if they do get pressure on us, Mahomes will still pick up big plays doing nonsense like this that no other QB in the league has any business attempting:

All of this buys Mahomes plenty of time to work the Rome secondary aggressively in the intermediate and deep portions of the field. Rome’s safety duo would be poor by NFL standards, let alone BDL. Kyle Hamilton still has zero NFL starts, with the Ravens choosing to play Geno Stone over him. Malik Hooker has just six IRL 2022 starts of his own and hasn’t played 80% of the snaps in a game since Week 10. The Ravens have smartly played Hamilton mainly in the box, but if these guys’ own NFL teams won’t play them every down, they have no business doing it here.

We’re taking advantage of that safety tandem as well as one of the biggest week-to-week tendencies of Rome, which is to play man Cover-1 with the strong safety in the box. It’s what they did in their Week 4 game against us because they clearly don’t respect our receivers, and we are going to beat their ***** over that arrogance. The instant we see the safety playing up close in the box and covering the short middle of the field, the very next play we are lining up with four receivers who will all run downfield routes, the outside receivers running corner/post to the sidelines and the inside receivers running go routes. The running back will stay in for a six-man protection front. This forces that sorry-*** single high safety to pick who he is going to help and leave three other receivers one-on-one, and we have same damn good deep threats in Elijah Moore (4.35 40), Olamide Zacchaeus (14.9 YPR, 14th in the NFL), and obviously Chris Olave. All it takes is one step and those receivers are in the endzone with one of the best deep passers in the NFL throwing to them. Even if we don’t score here, we will force the Rome DBs to back off in coverage because they know they are toast if they don’t play their coverage perfectly.

This will make life easier for us in our quick passing game on early downs since the corners will be forced to leave a cushion to protect against the deep ball. This will be our bread and butter in the second half, using the threat of our early aggression in the passing game to force Rome to react to our playcalling instead of playing the game the way they want to. We want to start directing runs up the middle at this point to take advantage of a dead-tired defensive line that could dress as few as three true interior linemen. Olave will also get a couple touches on jet sweeps disguised as motion, trying to catch the defense off guard and keep him involved in the gameplan even if Rome doubles him.

Above all, we are calling this game aggressively from start to finish. We are going to force Rome to match our energy throughout the game, and we will not be content sitting on a lead.

Defense:

We lost a tough one to Rome in a hotly contested matchup earlier in the season with a score of 6 to 5. Rome was able to execute a hurry up no huddle offense on the road in a hostile environment with their ability to dink and dunk down the field and control the clock against a Cover 2 defense who was lacking our best defensive back in Tre'Davious White. Ultimately, this go around we will have a very healthy secondary capable of doing a lot of different things and giving Herbert and company a lot of varied looks.

Najee is capable but not great, and Swift hasn't been the healthiest this year. However, both can be effective out of the backfield, so we will be forced to account for them in some capacity overall. We anticipate them running the ball just enough to keep us honest, which is fine, because we will maintain gap integrity (even with stunts and twists to disrupt the blocking scheme) but more so be willing to be able to get off of the field consistently on third downs.

Rome would be wise to stay away from Tre'Davious White, and we anticipate them trying to find mismatches in the slot, which we will address by having a 2 safety look to limit the amount of seam balls and denying those. We are going to put White on Waddle all game, and we will be double covering Amari Cooper with a safety slid to his side on the other side when both are lined out wide, forcing Herbert to get to his third or fourth option.

A "4 strong" look (3 WR with a RB to that side for a flat/wheel option and support in pass pro on floods and boot/rollouts) from Rome will be a Flood Route "zone beater" tell, and we will scheme and game plan accordingly:

v-under1.png?resize=840,630&ssl=1

Note the nickel can align to the slot and deny the second level route, or on a boot action we can have the Field Corner sink, have the CS play robber on the 2nd level, and have the Cover Down S deny anything from the #3 WR.

Here is our Match mixer showing Cover Down while then running Match with press on the backside (White):

04-press.png?resize=840,630&ssl=1

We anticipate Rome to come out in a lot of 3 and 4 receiver looks, while knowing that they do have the possibility to give us a few 2 RB looks as well as their TE situation is less than ideal. We expect Rome to attempt to utilize motion presnap to see if they can get a tell on man vs. zone coverage, so we will be spending all week lining up in the same shell/base look presnap and not rotating until post-snap if we are running ANY coverage variation, whether it's Cover 1, 2, 3, or 4. We will be staying in our 2 high shell base the entire game.:

C4toC3-300x146.png

We will also be giving our defensive players the ability to line up almost in a "Chinese Fire Drill" look pre-snap showing multiple coverage looks on 3rd Down, giving us the flexibility to play Man, Man under, or Cover 3 or Quarters. Below you can see an example of a Man/Quarters look that will effectively make it impossible to utilize any real semblance of a screen game.

C4toC2-300x147.png

Lastly, and potentially most importantly, we will be using heavy stemming from our defensive front and linebackers to counter that motion, by completely confusing the blocking schemes in both run and pass protection. It also creates a bit of a "change up" for the defense, can help us with some big sack/turnover opportunities, and help relieve some pressure from the secondary.

PITstunt1.jpg

This is a simple and yet effective tool in our toolbox with the option of sending additional pressure from the MIKE (#52 pictured above). 

tex-stunt-exit-stunt.png

Here we are showing a double inside overload blitz, sending two interior rushers, but having the up linebacker (#50) back off and bail.

Since we showed a lot of overload last week, we also will show it a lot this week, and then do this, giving an overload look but coming from the off side as a mixer from our man/press man look, while actually running Match zone coverage:

247593aa4625f46181521339cc33c764_crop_ex

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Rome

Offense

Formations /Approach 

While we list two RB formation, we also will use four wr, 5 wr, 11 formation and even some two te/fb jumbo sets.  There's not a major base formation this week as we want to attack Cancun in all facets of the game.  We are going to maintain a pass heavy offense. Running about a 60-40 pass to run ratio. Obviously we'll switch that up if we need to run some clock at any point. 

Up Front /the running game 

After sitting out the regular season recovering, Rome is happy to bring back Tyron Smith into the starting lineup this week to solidify a great offensive line.  Cancun brings in a solid defensive line with a good trio of edges and Jonathan Allen inside who also is having a really good season.  The second DT spot is a bit underwhelming however so we plan on being able to double Allen inside and let either of the guards take on that second DT solo.   Ramcyk has been his usual dependable self.  We'll have a chip ready to help Tyron if we feel he needs it.   This entire line can be excellent road graders however and we feel we can get some push against Rousseau, thibs, settle and company if Cancun foolishly lines them up next to to each other (I shouldn't use this but here we are, Miami had a lot of success running at the Settle Rousseau side last night).  Putting McKinnon in motion out should lighten the box or allow for a quick RPO hit to him outside if no one goes with him with two wr blocking in front.  We also have no problem going into heavy formations and running right up the gut with Ricard leading the way for Harris.   As an added running game wrinkle, we have a couple QB draws out of empty sets ready against a zone heavy defense with retreating LB.   We are going to use all types of runs here, zones, power os, dives, and off tackles. We trust the offensive line and Swift and Harris to get some nice gains for us. 

The passing game 

Wtih Cancun being down Steven Nelson this week and Jack Jones nursing an injury, we feel this secondary is ripe for the pickings if they foolishly play man coverage.  We think mwil is much smarter than this however and will likely go heavy zone like they did in our last matchup. 

This we are preparing this week for all of our zone buster routes and plays.   We have our floods, seams, levels and new this week swing screens to McKinnon to attack the zones.  If we are seeing majority cover two we are gonna hit that space on the sideline between the corner and safety or on the deep side middle post to juju or Palmer .   We have a savvy group of WR who know how too find the hole in the zone and sit in them.  Herbert can extend plays with his legs if needed to find angles to hit the WR. Waddle is especially dangerous with the ball in his hands so we are going to scheme combo routes to get him open. We definitely think he can run past any of the it corners in a cover three unless they are plying super off coverage.  If we see it, Herbert and Waddle know to hit the quick pass where one missed tackle is a huge gain 

If for whatever reason we see them going man, we will switch to more a four and five wr based offense and force Pitre and whoever would be CB 5 into mismatches inside against Juju, Waddle and Jackson with Cooper and Palmer outside.  In regulars formations we are gonna let our wr run their route trees and hit whoever gets open.  We'll try to get McKinnon one on one with a LB in a wheel as well.  

The other thing we are going to to incorporate more is the screen game which will slow down their edge rushers as well. All three of of our RB are excellently pass catchers to we plan on hitting them with little dig routes underneath against the zone to pick up four - five easy yards against bailing LB 

The QB 

Justin Herbert has been outstanding this year and we are going to lean on him this week to make the right reads.  We obviously have a way better line than he has in real life life and when given time this year, his rocket arm has been deadly 

 

Defense 

This week we go against one of the best QB in the league in Pat Mahomes but we feel we have a fantastic defense and match up extremely well against Cancun. 

Up front 

The first thing we want to mention is the lackluster offensive line in front of Mahomes. Both of the offensive tackles aren't starters on their own real life teams and just have filled in due to injuries. Yoshi was playing well to start the season but has really regressed the past couple weeks. He'll have league leader sack master Matt Judon across from him. On there opposite side, Cosmi will have to deal with Jaelan Phillips who has been a menace for Miami all season long. We also have Justin Houston and his 9 sacks rotating in to keep the guys fresh as well Carl Lawson and his six sacks.   On the inside we have pocket pusher Dalvin Tomlinson and run stuffer Mike Purcell who will rotate out in long distances with Houston jumping inside.  For the interior of Cancun, Andre James has regressed from a solid rookie season.  Wyatt Teller has been his normal excellent self while you never know which Zion Johnson you're gonna get week to week.  We are going to put Tomlinson in between Teller and James to get the double team and let Houston work one on one with his veteran know how against Johnson in long distances.    Put all this together, plus an occasional blitz and Mahomes is going to be facing a long day filled with pressure. 

The Secondary 

On the outside we are going to be locking down Chris Olave with perennial all pro Marlon Humphrey to shut down the main weapon of Cancun.  Dj Reed is going to run with Elijah Moore to shut him down while Michael Carter gets whoever the number three WR is for Cancun this week.   Dalton Schultz is going to get blanketed by Matt Milano.   Aaron Jones is definitely a weapon to look out for in the passing game so he is going to get covered by our most Athletic Safety in Andre Cisco with his 4.33 speed   Without a huge deep threat, we are generally going to be playing press coverage to allow the pressure to get home and throw off the quick timing routes Cancun likes to use.   Bolton will be playing the underneath Robber and Mahomes spy role allowing him to free flow doing what he does best.  Hooker has centerfield duties just like he's had in Dallas all year where he's excelled.   In two TE, we have another LB stud in Devondre Campbell ready to come in and take the TE2, or FB. 

The Run game 

As noted we really like our front matchup against Cancun and we feel that extends to the run game as well.  Mike Purcell doesn't really offer anything in the pass game but he is one of the better run stuffers in the league. Combined with Tomlinson its going to be tough sledding inside. With Cisco being in charge of Jones he will also be up in the box as an extra run defender and BDLs best LB group can easily flow sideline to sideline. Aaron Jones has really struggled to the last month averaging barely 3 yards a carry so if they want to take the ball out of Mahomes hands against our front, we welcome it 

 

The plan 

This is going to be a primary cover one defense today.  We will also use some cover three and cover two zone looks as we don't want to give a qb like Mahomes the same look all game.  There won't be much blitzing but when there is, it will generally come from the LB position towards Mahomes right to flush him to his weak side and into Judon. This mainly will happen out of zone looks but occasionally we'll do it from man with Bolton picking up Jones and Cisco blitzing from the outside as a free runner.  

We don't plan on doing anything super fancy today and we don't need graphs to explain concepts you all should understand anyhow. Keep it simple and trust the talent 

Edited by RedGold
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6 hours ago, Blue said:

well that's just an outright lie, lol

Really?  Maybe I'm wrong on yoshi but I know I'm not on Cosmi 

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cbssports.com/fantasy/football/news/commanders-samuel-cosmi-full-participant-wednesday/amp/

"Cosmi may return to his usual reserve role" 

https://www.espn.com/nfl/team/depth/_/name/wsh/washington-commanders

https://www.ourlads.com/nfldepthcharts/depthchart/WAS

 

Also Jack Jones inactive so the chiefs fourth/fifth corner is the number three now 

Edited by bcb1213
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Blue complaining about Hamilton not starting, whose on my bench while simultaneously starting the bills 4th DT while his backup hasn't played more than 20 snaps in a game in two months is fun.  I was gonna be quiet unless blue spoke up lol 

Edited by bcb1213
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1 minute ago, Scoundrel said:

Cosmi has played in the last four games

49% 44% 58% 40% of snaps

He certainly was a starter to begin the season 

Filling in for injured players.  Like I said.  Or he's played so bad he lost his starting gig. Guess that's for you to decide. I only go by what I've read. Can't say I've watched much commander football 

Edited by bcb1213
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4 minutes ago, bcb1213 said:

You are abso-*******-lutely wrong on Nijman. He has 9 starts this year, most of them at right tackle. If you're claiming he's played poorly the last few weeks at that position as opposed to the beginning of the season when he was playing left tackle, which is where I have him here, that doesn't exactly help you.

1 minute ago, Scoundrel said:

Cosmi has played in the last four games

49% 44% 58% 40% of snaps

He certainly was a starter to begin the season 

He started last week at guard, and he hasn't been starting at tackle solely because Cornelius Lucas has played well there and Washington doesn't want to shuffle multiple positions on the offensive line. We'll see if Cosmi plays tonight, but if he doesn't, I have Calvin Anderson ready to step in and he's started six straight games at left tackle and played really well.

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2 minutes ago, bcb1213 said:

Filling in for injured players.  Like I said.  Or he's played so bad he lost his starting gig. Guess that's for you to decide. I only go by what I've read. Can't say I've watched much commander football 

Neither of those is ******* true. He got hurt and then was a reserve while getting back up to speed, and then they moved him to guard because they didn't want to bench his replacement who was playing well.

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3 minutes ago, Blue said:

You are abso-*******-lutely wrong on Nijman. He has 9 starts this year, most of them at right tackle. If you're claiming he's played poorly the last few weeks at that position as opposed to the beginning of the season when he was playing left tackle, which is where I have him here, that doesn't exactly help you.

He started last week at guard, and he hasn't been starting at tackle solely because Cornelius Lucas has played well there and Washington doesn't want to shuffle multiple positions on the offensive line. We'll see if Cosmi plays tonight, but if he doesn't, I have Calvin Anderson ready to step in and he's started six straight games at left tackle and played really well.

I don't know think you must get to change your starters on the fly unless one is inactive.  Clearly you don't think Anderson is as good as Cosmi or your would have started him in the first place 

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3 minutes ago, Scoundrel said:

Also Purcell has played an average of 5.61 more snaps than Settle a game... I don’t think that’s a big difference here between your DT starters on both teams.

Blue made it a point in his writeup that that if a guy doesn't start, he shouldn't be starting here. Purcell, while just a run stuffer, Does start 

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