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Kmet extended


AZBearsFan

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37 minutes ago, AZBearsFan said:

Deal puts him just behind Engram ($13.750M), Njoku ($13.688M) and Knox ($13M) annually, and with it being an extension the annual cap hits will be less than the $12.5M in new AAV. Feels about right to me. 

This is a solid deal for us…surprised he didn’t get more than Knox in AAV to be honest.

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10 minutes ago, TankWilliams said:

People in NFL News are ragging on it, and yeah its probably one of those contracts that looks a little big now, but thats often the case.  Market value is never capped at what yesterday's contracts were, so I'm good with it.  

As per usual, context matters. Kmet’s 50/544/7 on its own isn’t crazy impressive, but it was also in an offense that threw just 377 passes last year (22/game). The midpoint offenses in the league last year in terms of attempts (DEN and PIT were 16th and 17th in attempts) each attempted 571 passes. Nearly two hundred more attempts.

Applying his same target share and success rate in an offense passing at even an average frequency Kmet’s 2022 numbers projected to 77/824/11 last year across 105 targets. For comparison, in 2022 Mark Andrews was 73/847/5 on 113 targets. Pat Freiermuth (was 63/732/2 on 98 targets. Those are similar TEs stylistically to Kmet. He was a really efficient passing game weapon for us last year despite being in an offense with little else that worked amongst its receivers. 

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4 hours ago, AZBearsFan said:

Deal puts him just behind Engram ($13.750M), Njoku ($13.688M) and Knox ($13M) annually, and with it being an extension the annual cap hits will be less than the $12.5M in new AAV. Feels about right to me. 

As with all of these, Im much more interested in what the deal is for the first 3 years. (possibly even just the first 2)

The $20m in New money this year almost puts us over the spending floor, but also might really lower what we are tied to later on.

I also wonder if getting into camp, and maybe alittle push from JF got this done. 

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1 hour ago, TankWilliams said:

People in NFL News are ragging on it, and yeah its probably one of those contracts that looks a little big now, but thats often the case.  Market value is never capped at what yesterday's contracts were, so I'm good with it.  

The Bears fans should be happy with the Kmet signing because it makes him the WR2 as a TE1.  With this signing, the option is wide concerning Johnson, Mooney, Claypool, and Whitehair.

This means that the WR3 and WR4 can be much cheaper.  Now, we can pump Kmet to 75 catches and 1000 yards lolz ahahah🤣 and allow the next best men to come up to the WR3 and WR4.  The offense will be great depending on Fields.

And next year, the draft will be mostly defense if nobody steps up.

The Pole team is doing a great job.... even if the Claypool experiment fails.

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1 hour ago, StLunatic88 said:

As with all of these, Im much more interested in what the deal is for the first 3 years. (possibly even just the first 2)

The $20m in New money this year almost puts us over the spending floor, but also might really lower what we are tied to later on.

I also wonder if getting into camp, and maybe alittle push from JF got this done. 

Yeah, I just mentioned the structure will make this a great deal or not in the New Forum, so I agree.

His run blocking is a huge reason I am liking this. The Bears are still going to be run-first so he gets to hopefully continue to be a top 10 blocker and produce like last year. Poles seems shrewd and lauded Kmet, so I still would wager a penny he made it pretty team-friendly. 

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