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Predict the Record: Week 5 Edition


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Forgot to throw this up before the regular season started, so what the heck.

 

Currently sitting at 4-1 and as the 2nd seed in the AFC.

 

Remaining Schedule

Week  6 @ New England

Week  7 @ Green Bay

Week  8 v Indianapolis 

Week  9 @ New York Jets

Week 10 v Detroit

Week 11 @ Dallas

Week 12 v Tennessee

Week 13 @ Jacksonville 

Week 14 BYE

Week 15 v Miami

Week 16 @ Kansas City

Week 17 v Baltimore 

Week 18 @ Tennessee

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Week  6 @ New England  W

Week  7 @ Green Bay  L

Week  8 v Indianapolis  W

Week  9 @ New York Jets  W

Week 10 v Detroit  L

Week 11 @ Dallas  L

Week 12 v Tennessee W

Week 13 @ Jacksonville  W

Week 14 BYE

Week 15 v Miami  W

Week 16 @ Kansas City  L

Week 17 v Baltimore  W

Week 18 @ Tennessee   W

 

12-5

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     If we look at differentials in yards and points, for and against, Houston should be significantly favored (i.e. differentials +20 or more) in six games going forward from Week #5:  @N.E., Indianapolis, Tennessee twice, Jacksonville, and Miami.  The Texans should be slight faves against Dallas and the Jets.  Green Bay and Baltimore are toss-ups so let's give Houston one of those.  That is (6+2+1+4=) 13 total wins with a decent shot at 14, depending on upsets.

Wk v Opnt Yardage | Scoring | W/L Win
   @      For  Vs | For  Vs | 
                  |         | 
     Hous 6th 4th | 19   17 | 4-1 6+3
                  |         | 
 6 @ N.E. 31   24 | 31  9th | 1-4 +49
 7 @ G.B. 4th  21 | 8th  14 | 3-2  +3
 8 v Indi 13   32 | 13   25 | 2-3 +37
 9 @ Jets 27  2nd | 25 T5th | 2-3 +13
10 v Detr 3rd  22 | 7th  10 | 3-1  -7
11 @ Dall 12   15 | 15   23 | 3-2 +19
12 v Tenn 30  1st | 20   15 | 1-3 +20
13 @ Jkvl 15   31 | 21   30 | 1-4 +51
14   BYE          |         |  
15 v Miam 21  6th | 32   16 | 2-3 +29
16 @ K.C. 11  9th | 14 T5th | 5-0  -7
17 v Balt 1st  19 | 2nd  26 | 3-2  +2
18 @ Tenn 30    1 | 20   15 | 1-3 +20 

The fly in the ointment is that the Texans are new as favorites.  This will show if they have killer instincts.

Bottom Line:  There aren't any 1985 Bears class defenses here.  Houston doesn't face many good offenses and will be a tough out for teams without one.

 

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Week  6 @ New England  W

Week  7 @ Green Bay  L

Week  8 v Indianapolis  W

Week  9 @ New York Jets  W

Week 10 v Detroit  L

Week 11 @ Dallas  W

Week 12 v Tennessee W

Week 13 @ Jacksonville  W

Week 14 BYE

Week 15 v Miami  W

Week 16 @ Kansas City  L

Week 17 v Baltimore  W

Week 18 @ Tennessee   W

 

13-4

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